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1.
Thomas Van Der Hammen 《Climatic change》1991,19(1-2):37-47
2.
From the IGAC-DEBITS Africa network (IDAF), data sets on precipitation chemistry collected from the ‘wet savanna ecosystem’ site of Lamto (Côte d'Ivoire), are analyzed (1995–2002). Inorganic (Ca2 +, Mg2 +, Na+, K+, NH4 +, Cl?, SO4 2 ?, NO3 ?) and organic (HCOO?, CH3COO?) ions content were determined using Ion Chromatography. The analyzed 631 rainfall events represent 8420.9 mm of rainfall from a 9631.1 mm total. The precipitation chemistry at Lamto is influenced by four main sources: natural biogenic emissions from savanna soils (NO x and NH3), biomass burning (savanna and domestic fires), terrigeneous particles emissions from dry savanna soils, and marine compounds embedded in the summer monsoon. The inter-annual variability of the weighted volume mean concentration of chemical species linked with wet deposition fluctuates by ～ 20% over the period. Ammonium concentration is found to be the highest (17.6 μ eq.l? 1) from all IDAF sites belonging to the West Africa ecosystems. Ammonia sources are from domestic animals, fertilizers and biomass burning. In spite of the high potential acidity of 30.5 μ eq.l? 1 from NO3 ?, SO4 2 ?, HCOO? and CH3COO?, a relatively weak acidity is measured: 6.9 μ eq.l? 1. The 40% acid neutralization is explained by the acid gas – alkaline soil particles interaction. The remaining neutralization is from inclusion of gaseous ammonia. When results from Lamto, are compared with those from Banizoumbou (dry savanna) and Zoetele (equatorial forest), a regional view for wet tropospheric chemistry processes is obtained. The high concentration of the particulate phase in precipitation emphasizes the importance of multiphases processes between gases and particles in the atmospheric chemistry of the West Africa ecosystems. For example, the nss Ca2 + precipitation content, main indicator of terrigeneous particles, goes from 30.8 μ eq.l? 1 in dry savanna to 9.2 μ eq.l? 1 at Lamto and 8.9 μ eq.l? 1 in the Cameroon forest. A similar gradient is obtained for rainfall mineral particles precipitation content with contribution of 80% in dry savanna, 40% in wet savanna, and 20% in the equatorial forest. 相似文献
3.
Summary Reports of changes in the seasonal and annual rainfall in Nigeria suggests that a more detailed analyses of the geographic
extent of these changes and of their impact on agriculture could be of value. Variation in the growing season (April to September)
rainfall from stations across Nigeria was analysed over the 30-yr period, 1960–90. Regression analyses were used to examine
long-term trends. Principal component and cluster analyses were used to group stations with similar trends in standardised
seasonal rainfall. Mean accumulated standardised seasonal rainfall were used to examine short- and medium-term trends for
each of the groups identified. Significant (P ≤ 0.05) decreases in rainy season rainfall were found at 8 stations mostly in the Guinea and arid/semi-arid savannas of northern
Nigeria, whereas no station showed significant increases. Examination of the monthly (April through September) rainfall showed
that only three – Kano, Sokoto and Potiskum in the arid/semi-arid savanna – of the twenty-three stations used in the analysis
had declining rainfall trends for each of the months April to September and subsequently declining seasonal rainfall trends.
However, 12 to 15 stations had consistently declining rainfall trends in atleast some but not all the growing season months.
However, a similar pattern was not the case in terms of increasing rainfall trends, where only one to three stations had consistently
increasing rainfall trends in some but not all of the months from April to September. Stations that showed increasing rainfall
trends were in the southern parts of Nigeria.
Six groups with similar patterns in standardised seasonal rainfall were identified by Principal Component and Cluster analyses.
For most of the groups, the period from 1967 to 1973 was that of consistently below average seasonal rainfall. However, the
timing and extent of the decline varied with location. Common to stations in four of the six groups was a negative trend in
seasonal rainfall for the period considered. The geographic variation in seasonal rainfall trends has tremendous agricultural
significance since there are indications that the reliability of the season is decreasing from the humid forest zone with
positive seasonal trends to the arid/semi-arid savanna with significant negative seasonal trends.
Received June 24, 1998 Revised December 18, 1998 相似文献
4.
W. R. Hartmann M. Santana M. Hermoso M. O. Andreae E. Sanhueza 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1991,13(1):63-72
Formic and acetic acids were measured in a scrub-grass savanna and in a nearby semideciduous forest. Gaseous HCOOH and CH3COOH were collected using the mist-scrubber technique, and were determined using ion chromatography. A strong diurnal cycle was observed at both sites, with higher mixing ratios during daytime. Concentrations in the savanna were always higher than in the forest. Most of the time HCOOH/CH3COOH ratios greater than one were recorded at the savanna site, and ratios less than one at the forest site. Boundary-layer mixing ratios in the savanna region, derived from measurements during midday, are 1.3±0.4 ppbv and 0.7±0.3 ppbv for HCOOH and CH3COOH. Dry depositions velocities between 0.5 and 1 cm s-1 were estimated for the savanna region. Atmospheric residence times of <3 days and >5 days were estimated for the rainy and dry season, respectively. 相似文献
5.
Most, if not all forests in the Caribbean are subject to occasional disturbances from hurricanes. If current general circulation model (GCM) predictions are correct, with doubled atmospheric CO2 (2 × CO2), the tropical Atlantic will be between 1 °C and 4 °C warmer than it is today. With such a warming, more than twice as many hurricanes per year could be expected in the Caribbean. Furthermore, Emanuael (1987) indicates that in a warmed world the destructive potential of Atlantic hurricanes could be increased by 40% to 60%. While speculative, these increases would dramatically change the disturbance regimes affecting tropical forests in the region and might alter forest structure and composition. Global warming impacts through increased hurricane damage on Caribbean forests are presented.An individual tree, gap dynamics forest ecosystem model was used to simulate the range of possible hurricane disturbance regimes which could affect the Luquillo Experimental Forest in Puerto Rico. Model storm frequency ranged from no storms at all up to one storm per year; model storm intensity varied from no damage up to 100% mortality of trees. The model does not consider the effects of changing temperature and rainfall patterns on the forest. Simulation results indicate that with the different hurricane regimes a range of forest types are possible, ranging from mature forest with large trees, to an area in which forest trees are never allowed to reach maturity. 相似文献
6.
Investigations of the ecological, atmospheric chemical, and climatic impacts of contemporary fires in tropical vegetation have received increasing attention during the last 10 years. Little is known, however, about the impacts of climate changes on tropical vegetation and wildland fires. This paper summarizes the main known interactions of fire, vegetation, and atmosphere. Examples of predictive models on the impacts of climate change on the boreal and temperate zones are given in order to highlight the possible impacts on the tropical forest and savanna biomes and to demonstrate parameters that need to be involved in this process. Response of tropical vegetation to fire is characterized by degradation towards xerophytic and pyrophytic plant communities dominated by grasses and fire-tolerant tree and bush invaders. The potential impacts of climate change on tropical fire regimes are investigated using a GISS GCM-based lightning and fire model and the Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse Gas-Induced Climate Change (MAGICC). 相似文献
7.
相空间中划分大尺度异常雨型的初步研究 总被引：5，自引：2，他引：5
文中针对以往雨型研究中的不足 ,从动力学角度将相空间引入到大尺度异常雨型的划分 ,通过估计EOF相平面上的概率密度函数、并确定局部极大值区域来划分主要雨型。分析表明 ,新雨型不仅再现了传统的 3类雨型特征 ,还得到了其他分型 ,并且能够反映出异常降水分布的季节内低频变化 ;分别采用 10和 2 0d低通滤波数据划分的雨型形态比较接近 ,但其种类、持续性和季节内分布等特征存在一定差异 ;雨型的气候分布与季风雨带有一定对应关系 ,其形成与夏季风异常关系密切。通过对简单直观的二维相平面问题的探讨 ,不仅证实了在相空间中划分大尺度雨型的可行性 ,也为进一步在高维空间中讨论雨型问题提供了依据。 相似文献
8.
Summary Homogeneous rainfall regimes in Sri Lanka have been devised through multivariate statistical techniques. The nature of previous subjective classifications are reviewed and the need for an objective classification is stressed. Each of the major classifications of rainfall regimes, micro, meso and macro, throw new light on our understanding of the climates of Sri Lanka. New boundaries between dry/wet and dry/arid zones have emerged and are compared with previous examples. Three rainfall dominance regimes are also identified. Finally a brief account of the micro scale rainfall regimes is given.With 5 Figures 相似文献
9.
J. A. Mabbutt 《Climatic change》1989,15(1-2):191-221
Tropical semi-arid climates occur between 10 and 35 deg latitude and are characterised by highly variable summer rainfall of between 300 and 750 mm in a rainy season of at least 4 months, generally adequate for rainfed cropping but with considerable drought risk. They support a mesic savanna vegetation. They have a land extent of 4.5 million km2, mainly occupied by Third World nations with rapidly increasing populations which in the main are predominantly rural and largely agricultural with low per capita incomes, consequently vulnerable to climate change. A doubling of atmospheric CO2 by the year 2030 is predicted to cause a rise in equilibrium mean temperature of 1–3 °C; however there is continuing uncertainty regarding the consequences for rainfall amount, variability and intensity, length of rainy season or the frequency of extreme rainfall events. Two scenarios are considered, with reduction and increase in rainfall respectively, involving corresponding latitudinal shifts in present climatic boundaries of about 200 km. Because of their variability, a clear signal of the greenhouse effect on these climates may be delayed, whilst regional responses may differ. Vegetational and hydrological responses under the alternative scenarios are considered. The possible consequences for rainfed and irrigated agriculture, water and energy supplies and disease and pest ecology are discussed. Lands of the semi-arid tropics are already extensively desertified, with consequent lowered productivity and heightened vulnerability to drought, and the possible impacts of greenhouse warming on desertification processes and on measures for land rehabilition to the year 2030 are reviewed. Measures to conserve the biological diversity of savanna lands in face of greenhouse warming are discussed. 相似文献
10.
Emissions of N2O, CH4, and CO2 from soils at two sites in the tropical savanna of central Venezuela were determined during the dry season in February 1987. Measured arithmetic mean fluxes of N2O, CH4, and CO2 from undisturbed soil plots to the atmosphere were 2.5×109, 4.3×1010, and 3.0×1013 molecules cm-2 s-1, respectively. These fluxes were not significantly affected by burning the grass layer. Emissions of N2O increased fourfold after simulated rainfall, suggesting that production of N2O in savanna soils during the rainy season may be an important source for atmospheric N2O. The CH4 flux measurements indicate that these savanna soils were not a sink, but a small source, for atmospheric methane. Fluxes of CO2 from savanna soils increased ninefold two hours after simulated rainfall, and remained three times higher than normal after 16 hours. More research is needed to clarify the significance of savannas in the global cycles of N2O, CH4, CO2, and other trace gases, especially during the rainy season. 相似文献
11.
Sherri A. Mason Jörg Trentmann Tanja Winterrath Robert J. Yokelson Theodore J. Christian Lisa J. Carlson Thomas R. Warner Louise C. Wolfe Meinrat O. Andreae 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2006,55(3):273-297
Results from two independently developed biomass-burning smoke plume models are compared. Model results were obtained for the temporal evolution of two nascent smoke plumes originating from significantly different fire environments (an Alaskan boreal forest and an African savanna). The two smoke plume models differed by 1%–10% for [O3], with similar differences for NO
x
and formaldehyde (relative percent differences). Smaller intermodel differences were observed for the African savanna smoke plume as compared to the plume from the Alaskan boreal fire. Mechanistic differences between the models are heightened for the Alaskan smoke plume due to the higher VOC emission ratios as compared to the African savanna fire. The largest deviations result from the differences in oxidative photochemical mechanisms, with a smaller contribution attributable to the calculation of photolysis frequencies. The differences between the two smoke plume models are significantly smaller than the uncertainties of available photokinetic data or field measurements. Model accuracy depends most significantly on having the fullest possible VOC data, a requirement that is constrained by currently available instrumentation. 相似文献
12.
The participation of different vegetation types within the physical climate system is investigated using a coupled atmosphere-biosphere model, CCM3-IBIS. We analyze the effects that six different vegetation biomes (tropical, boreal, and temperate forests, savanna, grassland and steppe, and shrubland/tundra) have on the climate through their role in modulating the biophysical exchanges of energy, water, and momentum between the land-surface and the atmosphere. Using CCM3-IBIS we completely remove the vegetation cover of a particular biome and compare it to a control simulation where the biome is present, thereby isolating the climatic effects of each biome. Results from the tropical and boreal forest removal simulations are in agreement with previous studies while the other simulations provide new evidence as to their contribution in forcing the climate. Removal of the temperate forest vegetation exhibits behavior characteristic of both the tropical and boreal simulations with cooling during winter and spring due to an increase in the surface albedo and warming during the summer caused by a reduction in latent cooling. Removal of the savanna vegetation exhibits behavior much like the tropical forest simulation while removal of the grassland and steppe vegetation has the largest effect over the central United States with warming and drying of the atmosphere in summer. The largest climatic effect of shrubland and tundra vegetation removal occurs in DJF in Australia and central Siberia and is due to reduced latent cooling and enhanced cold air advection, respectively. Our results show that removal of the boreal forest yields the largest temperature signal globally when either including or excluding the areas of forest removal. Globally, precipitation is most affected by removal of the savanna vegetation when including the areas of vegetation removal, while removal of the tropical forest most influences the global precipitation excluding the areas of vegetation removal. 相似文献
13.
Nicolas Fauchereau B. Pohl C. J. C. Reason M. Rouault Y. Richard 《Climate Dynamics》2009,32(4):575-591
A cluster analysis of daily outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) anomalies from 1979 to 2002 over the Southern Africa/Southwest
Indian Ocean (SWIO) region for the November to February season reveals seven robust and statistically well separated recurrent
patterns of large-scale organized convection. Among them are three regimes indicative of well defined tropical–temperate interactions
linking the hinterland parts of Southern Africa to the mid-latitudes of the SWIO. Preferred transitions show a tendency for
an eastward propagation of these systems. Analysis of daily rainfall records for South Africa shows that six of the OLR regimes
are associated with spatially coherent and significant patterns of enhanced or reduced daily rainfall over the country. Atmospheric
anomalies from the NCEP/DOE II reanalysis dataset show that the OLR regimes are associated with either regional or near-global
adjustments of the atmospheric circulation, the three regimes representative of tropical–temperate interactions being in particular
related to a well-defined wave structure encompassing the subtropical and temperate latitudes, featuring strong vertical anomalies
and strong poleward export of momentum in the lee of the location of the cloud-band. The time-series of OLR regimes seasonal
frequency are correlated to distinctive anomaly patterns in the global sea-surface-temperature field, among which are shown
to be those corresponding to El Nino and La Nina conditions. The spatial signature of El Nino Southern Oscillation’s (ENSO)
influence is related to the combination of an increased/decreased frequency of these regimes. It is shown in particular that
the well-known “dipole” in convection anomalies contrasting Southern Africa and the SWIO during ENSO events arises as an effect
of seasonal averaging and is therefore not valid at the synoptic scale. This study also provides a framework to better understand
the observed non-linearities between ENSO and the seasonal convection and rainfall anomalies over the region. 相似文献
14.
In this paper the authors perform an extensive sensitivity analysis of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall to changes in parameters and boundary conditions which are influenced by human activities. For this study the authors use a box model of the Indian monsoon which reproduces key features of the observed monsoon dynamics such as the annual course of precipitation and the transitions between winter and summer regimes. Because of its transparency and computational efficiency, this model is highly suitable for exploring the effects of anthropogenic perturbations such as emissions of greenhouse gases and sulfur dioxide, and land cover changes, on the Indian monsoon. Results of a systematic sensitivity analysis indicate that changes in those parameters which are related to emissions of greenhouse gases lead to an increase in Indian summer rainfall. In contrast, all parameters related to higher atmospheric aerosol concentrations lead to a decrease in Indian rainfall. Similarly, changes in parameters which can be related to forest conversion or desertifieation, act to decrease the summer precipitation. The results indicate that the sign of precipitation changes over India will be dependent on the direction and relative magnitude of different human perturbations. 相似文献
15.
A. K. Guèye Serge Janicot A. Niang S. Sawadogo Benjamin Sultan A. Diongue-Niang S. Thiria 《Climate Dynamics》2012,39(9-10):2251-2272
The aim of this work is to define over the period 1979–2002 the main synoptic weather regimes relevant for understanding the daily variability of rainfall during the summer monsoon season over Senegal. “Interannual” synoptic weather regimes are defined by removing the influence of the mean 1979–2002 seasonal cycle. This is different from Part I where the seasonal evolution of each year was removed, then removing also the contribution of interannual variability. As in Part I, the self-organizing maps approach, a clustering methodology based on non-linear artificial neural network, is combined with a hierarchical ascendant classification to compute these regimes. Nine weather regimes are identified using the mean sea level pressure and 850?hPa wind field as variables. The composite circulation patterns of all these nine weather regimes are very consistent with the associated anomaly patterns of precipitable water, mid-troposphere vertical velocity and rainfall. They are also consistent with the distribution of rainfall extremes. These regimes have been then gathered into different groups. A first group of four regimes is included in an inner circuit and is characterized by a modulation of the semi-permanent trough located along the western coast of West Africa and an opposite modulation on the east. This circuit is important because it associates the two wettest and highly persistent weather regimes over Senegal with the driest and the most persistent one. One derivation of this circuit is highlighted, including the two driest regimes and the most persistent one, what can provide important dry sequences occurrence. An exit of this circuit is characterised by a filling of the Saharan heat low. An entry into the main circuit includes a southward location of the Saharan heat low followed by its deepening. The last weather regime is isolated from the other ones and it has no significant impact on Senegal. It is present in June and September, and missing in July and August, meaning that this is a weather regime more specific of the intermediate seasons than the summer. It is included in a large-scale pattern covering the northern latitudes of Europe. The correspondence between these “interannual” synoptic weather regimes and the “pure” synoptic regimes defined in Part I has been established. By selecting a high statistical significance level for these correspondences, each of five out of nine “interannual” weather regimes has a close correspondence with one “pure” synoptic weather regime, one out of them have links with two “pure” regimes, and the last three regimes have no significant correspondence in terms of “pure” regimes. However when considering more moderate links, two out of these three regimes show a connection with a “pure” regime, and the last one remains isolated. The ensemble of the weather regimes occurrences can explain a significant part of interannual variability of summer rainfall amount over Senegal, especially linked to the driest and the wettest weather regimes occurrences. It is also shown that Senegal rainfall state is very sensitive to a small displacement or deformation of the weather regime patterns. 相似文献
16.
The low-level jet （LLJ） is closely related to severe rainfall events, air pollution, wind energy utilization, aviation safety, sandstorms, forest fire, and other weather and climate phenomena. Therefore, it has attracted considerable attention since its discovery. Scientists have carried out many studies on LLJs and made significant achievements during the past five or six decades. This article summarizes and assesses the current knowledge on this subject, and focuses in particular on three aspects： 1） LLJ classification, definition, distribution, and structure; 2） LLJ formation and evolutionary mechanisms; and 3） relationships between LLJ and rainfall, as well as other interdisciplinary fields. After comparing the status of LLJ research at home （China） and abroad, we then discuss the shortcomings of LLJ research in China. We suggest that this includes： coarse definitions of the LLJ, lack of observations and inadequate quality control, few thorough explorations of LLJ characteristics and formation mechanisms, and limited studies in interdisciplinary fields. The future prospects for several LLJ research avenues are also speculated. 相似文献
17.
In a changing climate, changes in rainfall variability and, in particular, extreme rainfall events are likely to be highly significant for environmentally vulnerable regions such as southern Africa. It is generally accepted that sea-surface temperatures play an important role in modulating rainfall variability, thus the majority work to date has focused on these mechanisms. However past research suggests that land surface processes are also critical for rainfall variability. In particular, work has suggested that the atmosphere-land surface feedback has been important for past abrupt climate changes, such as those which occurred over the Sahara during the mid-Holocene or, more recently, the prolonged Sahelian drought. Therefore the primary aim of this work is to undertake idealised experiments using both a regional and global climate model, to test the sensitivity of rainfall variability to land surface changes over a location where such abrupt climate changes are projected to occur in the future, namely southern Africa. In one experiment, the desert conditions currently observed over southwestern Africa were extended to cover the entire subcontinent. This is based on past research which suggests a remobilisation of sand dune activity and spatial extent under various scenarios of future anthropogenic global warming. In the second experiment, savanna conditions were imposed over all of southern Africa, representing an increase in vegetation for most areas except the equatorial regions. The results suggest that a decrease in rainfall occurs in the desert run, up to 27% of total rainfall in the regional model (relative to the control), due to a reduction in available moisture, less evaporation, less vertical uplift and therefore higher near surface pressure. This result is consistent across both the regional and global model experiments. Conversely an increase in rainfall occurs in the savanna run, because of an increase in available moisture giving an increase in latent heat and therefore surface temperature, increasing vertical uplift and lowering near surface pressure. These experiments, however, are only preliminary, and form the first stage of a wider study into how the atmosphere-land surface feedback influences rainfall extremes over southern Africa in the past (when surface i.e. vegetation conditions were very different) and in the future under various scenarios of future climate change. Future work will examine how other climate models simulate the atmosphere-land surface feedback, using more realistic vegetation types based on past and future surface conditions. 相似文献
18.
Jordi Garcia-Gonzalo Heli Peltola Elemer Briceño-elizondo Seppo Kellomäki 《Climatic change》2007,81(3-4):431-454
A physiological growth and yield model was applied for assessing the effects of forest management and climate change on the
carbon (C) stocks in a forest management unit located in Finland. The aim was to outline an appropriate management strategy
with regard to C stock in the ecosystem (C in trees and C in soil) and C in harvested timber. Simulations covered 100 years
using three climate scenarios (current climate, ECHAM4 and HadCM2), five thinning regimes (based on current forest management
recommendations for Finland) and one unthinned. Simulations were undertaken with ground true stand inventory data (1451 hectares)
representing Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris), Norway spruce (Picea abies) and silver birch (Betula pendula) stands. Regardless of the climate scenario, it was found that shifting from current practices to thinning regimes that allowed
higher stocking of trees resulted in an increase of up to 11% in C in the forest ecosystem. It also increased the C in the
timber yield by up to 14%. Compared to current climatic conditions, the mean increase over the thinning regimes in the total
C stock in the forest ecosystem due to the climate change was a maximum of 1%; but the mean increase in total C in timber
yield over thinning regimes was a maximum of 12%. 相似文献
19.
Qiang Zhang Juntai Peng Chong-Yu Xu Vijay P. Singh 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2014,115(3-4):703-712
Daily precipitation data during the period of 1960 to 2005 from 147 rain gauging stations over the Yangtze River Basin are analyzed to investigate precipitation variations based on precipitation indices and also consecutive rainfall regimes in both space and time. Results indicate decreasing annual/monthly mean precipitation. Distinct decreases in rainfall days are observed over most parts of the Yangtze River Basin, but precipitation intensity is increasing over most parts of the Yangtze River Basin, particularly the lower Yangtze River Basin. Besides, durations of precipitation regimes are shortening; however, the fractional contribution of short-lasting precipitation regimes to the total precipitation amount is increasing. In this sense, the precipitation processes in the Yangtze River Basin are dominated by precipitation regimes of shorter durations. These results indicate intensified hydrological cycle reflected by shortening precipitation regimes. This finding is different from that in Europe where the intensifying precipitation changes are reflected mainly by lengthening precipitation regimes, implying different regional responses of hydrological cycle to climate changes. The results of this study will be of considerable relevance in basin-scale water resources management, human mitigation of natural hazards, and in understanding regional hydrological responses to changing climate at regional scales. 相似文献