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1.
Gregory T. Spanski 《Natural Resources Research》1992,1(2):163-183
Faced with an ever-increasing diversity of demand for the use of public lands, managers and planners are turning more often to a multiple-use approach to meet those demands. This approach requires the uses to be mutually compatible and to utilize the more valuable attributes or resource values of the land. Therefore, it is imperative that planners be provided with all available information on attribute and resource values in a timely fashion and in a format that facilitates a comparative evaluation.The Kootenai National Forest administration enlisted the U.S. Geological Survey and U.S. Bureau of Mines to perform a quantitative assessment of future copper/silver production potential within the forest from sediment-hosted copper deposits in the Revett Formation that are similar to those being mined at the Troy Mine near Spar Lake. The U.S. Geological Survey employed a quantitative assessment technique that compared the favorable host terrane in the Kootenai area with worldwide examples of known sediment-hosted copper deposits. The assessment produced probabilistic estimates of the number of undiscovered deposits that may be present in the area and of the copper and silver endowment that might be contained in them.Results of the assessment suggest that the copper/silver deposit potential is highest in the southwestern one-third of the forest. In this area there is an estimated 50 percent probability of at least 50 additional deposits occurring mostly within approximately 260,000 acres where the Revett Formation is thought to be present in the subsurface at depths of less than 1,500 meters. A Monte Carlo type simulation using data on the grade and tonnage characteristics of other known silver-rich, sediment-hosted copper deposits predicts a 50 percent probability that these undiscovered deposits will contain at least 19 million tonnes of copper and 100,000 tonnes of silver. Combined with endowments estimated for identified, but not thoroughly explored deposits, and deposits that might also occur in the remaining area of the forest, the endowment potential increases to 23 million tonnes of copper and 190,000 tonnes of silver. 相似文献
2.
Victor F. Hollister 《Natural Resources Research》1992,1(4):293-302
A plutonic porphyry gold deposit model is proposed that is imilar to the plutonic porphyry copper deposit model. However, unlike the plutonic porphyry copper deposit model, the proposed model is deficient in copper and contains less than 1 percent total sulfides. In the proposed model, gold is accompanied by scheelite, molybdenite, arsenopyrite, a variety of bismuth sulfides, tellurides, and native bismuth. The host rock varies from granite to granodiorite stock. Most of the ore is in the pluton. Deposits cited as examples of the proposed model are the Mokrsko deposit in Czechoslovakia, the Fort Knox deposit in the United States, and the Dublin Gulch deposit in Canada. In each of these deposits, pervasive potassic or phyllic alteration zones accompany the gold ore, which is disseminated in quartz-rich stockworks, veinlet swarms, and veins. Tonnages of gold-bearing material are large, but grades are low in the cited deposits. The proposed model is distinct from other gold deposit models because of the low Cu to Au ratio and the association of Au, Bi, W, and Mo. 相似文献
3.
Examining Risk in Mineral Exploration 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
Successful mineral exploration strategy requires identification of some of the risk sources and considering them in the decision-making process so that controllable risk can be reduced. Risk is defined as chance of failure or loss. Exploration is an economic activity involving risk and uncertainty, so risk also must be defined in an economic context. Risk reduction can be addressed in three fundamental ways: (1) increasing the number of examinations; (2) increasing success probabilities; and (3) changing success probabilities per test by learning. These provide the framework for examining exploration risk. First, the number of prospects examined is increased, such as by joint venturing, thereby reducing chance of gambler's ruin. Second, success probability is increased by exploring for deposit types more likely to be economic, such as those with a high proportion of world-class deposits. For example, in looking for 100+ ton (>3 million oz) Au deposits, porphyry Cu-Au, or epithermal quartz alunite Au types require examining fewer deposits than Comstock epithermal vein and most other deposit types. For porphyry copper exploration, a strong positive relationship between area of sulfide minerals and deposits' contained Cu can be used to reduce exploration risk by only examining large sulfide systems. In some situations, success probabilities can be increased by examining certain geologic environments. Only 8% of kuroko massive sulfide deposits are world class, but success chances can be increased to about 15% by looking in settings containing sediments and rhyolitic rocks. It is possible to reduce risk of loss during mining by sequentially developing and expanding a mine—thus reducing capital exposed at early stages and reducing present value of risked capital. Because this strategy is easier to apply in some deposit types than in others, the strategy can affect deposit types sought. Third, risk is reduced by using prior information and by changing the independence of trials assumption, that is, by learning. Bayes' formula is used to change the probability of existence of the deposit sought on the basis of successive exploration stages. Perhaps the most important way to reduce exploration risk is to employ personnel with the appropriate experience and yet who are learning. 相似文献
4.
马关都龙曼家寨锡锌多金属矿床经济评价研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
在对马关都龙曼家寨锡锌多金属矿床地质特征进行分析、研究的基础上,应用地质统计学的理论和方法,运用大型矿业专用软件Surpac建立了该矿体的原始资料数据库和三维数学模型.根据不同边界品位多方案圈定矿体,分别计算矿体的盈亏平衡品位、平均品位和综合品位.通过对比以平衡品位和综合品位圈定的矿体块体模型,对该矿床进行技术经济评价研究,得出了有利于矿产资源综合利用、减少资源浪费的以综合品位圈定矿体的结论. 相似文献
5.
钾盐是我国的紧缺矿产资源之一,寻找钾盐资源尤其是古钾盐矿床对于我国具有重要的意义。但是由于钾盐易溶,在地表很少有成矿标志,所以加大了找矿的难度。通过论述地球化学方法在蒸发岩研究中的应用情况,指出地球化学方法在寻找钾盐的过程中有着重要的应用,其应用可以概括为:可以判断成盐古卤水的蒸发浓缩阶段和矿床的成矿阶段、揭示盐类矿床的物质来源及其沉积环境、划分蒸发岩的沉积旋回和重现古盐湖的演化过程以及分析成盐盆地的封闭蒸发条件和氧化还原性等。云南兰坪—思茅盆地是我国最具有找钾希望的区域,研究盆地内蒸发岩的地球化学特征对于在盆地内寻找钾盐矿床具有重要的指示意义。 相似文献
6.
柴达木盆地盐湖锂矿床成矿过程及分布规律 总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1
柴达木盆地盐湖蕴藏230×10~4t锂,集中分布在别勒滩、东西台等4个盐湖,占我国卤水锂资源总量~80%,战略资源地位不言而喻。近年来提锂技术及工程化研究倍受重视,而对盐湖锂矿成因和分布规律的了解凸显不足,锂矿资源流失严重与之不无关联。研究查明,昆仑山高温热泉群含锂泉水长期注入洪—那河,流入终端盐湖,蒸发富集成矿;锂的年输入通量748.8 t,结合区内盐湖锂矿总储量保守估算,成矿期始于14 ka BP之后;洪—那河早期主要流向别勒滩,在山前冲积扇向北推进、扇前河改道北流后,方才形成含锂河水当前分配格局。据此,破解了别勒滩锂矿在研究区储量最大的原由。还查明了锂矿床仅存在于别勒滩,而在达布逊等3个区段不能成矿的原因。阐明了锂的来源与新生代火山喷发岩、深部岩浆房、昆仑大断裂活动有关,以及含锂热水持续远程输送至盐湖成矿的地貌和水文气候动因。企业应当根据锂的分布规律和矿床特征,迅速转变钾肥生产模式。 相似文献
7.
Gary L. Raines 《Natural Resources Research》2008,17(2):87-97
It has been proposed that the spatial distribution of mineral deposits is bifractal. An implication of this property is that
the number of deposits in a permissive area is a function of the shape of the area. This is because the fractal density functions
of deposits are dependent on the distance from known deposits. A long thin permissive area with most of the deposits in one
end, such as the Alaskan porphyry permissive area, has a major portion of the area far from known deposits and consequently
a low density of deposits associated with most of the permissive area. On the other hand, a more equi-dimensioned permissive
area, such as the Arizona porphyry permissive area, has a more uniform density of deposits. Another implication of the fractal
distribution is that the Poisson assumption typically used for estimating deposit numbers is invalid. Based on datasets of
mineral deposits classified by type as inputs, the distributions of many different deposit types are found to have characteristically
two fractal dimensions over separate non-overlapping spatial scales in the range of 5–1000 km. In particular, one typically
observes a local dimension at spatial scales less than 30–60 km, and a regional dimension at larger spatial scales. The deposit
type, geologic setting, and sample size influence the fractal dimensions. The consequence of the geologic setting can be diminished
by using deposits classified by type. The crossover point between the two fractal domains is proportional to the median size
of the deposit type. A plot of the crossover points for porphyry copper deposits from different geologic domains against median
deposit sizes defines linear relationships and identifies regions that are significantly underexplored. Plots of the fractal
dimension can also be used to define density functions from which the number of undiscovered deposits can be estimated. This
density function is only dependent on the distribution of deposits and is independent of the definition of the permissive
area. Density functions for porphyry copper deposits appear to be significantly different for regions in the Andes, Mexico,
United States, and western Canada. Consequently, depending on which regional density function is used, quite different estimates
of numbers of undiscovered deposits can be obtained. These fractal properties suggest that geologic studies based on mapping
at scales of 1:24,000 to 1:100,000 may not recognize processes that are important in the formation of mineral deposits at
scales larger than the crossover points at 30–60 km. 相似文献
8.
Joseph S. Duval 《Natural Resources Research》2003,12(2):121-126
The U.S. Geological Survey has developed a technique that allows mineral resource experts to apply economic filters to estimates of undiscovered mineral resources. This technique builds on previous work that developed quantitative methods for mineral resource assessments. A Monte-Carlo calculation uses mineral deposit models to estimate commodity grades and tonnages of undiscovered deposits. The results then are analyzed using simple estimates of capital expenditures and daily operating costs for a mine and associated mill. The daily operating costs and the value of the ore are used to calculate the net present value of the deposit, which is compared to the capital expenditures to determine whether the deposit is economic. Repetition of these calculations for many deposits produces a table that can be interpreted in terms of the probability of there being deposits that have anet present value exceeding some specified amount. Sample calculations indicate that applying economic filters to simulated mineral resources might change the perception of the results compared to presenting the calculations in terms of the expected mean gross-in-place value of the minerals. 相似文献
9.
基于产业链的全球铜贸易网络结构研究 总被引：4，自引：2，他引：2
基于产业链视角研究铜贸易网络,构建了2017年铜矿石、粗铜、精炼铜、铜材和废杂铜5类含铜产品的全球贸易网络,对比产业链上各环节产品的贸易网络的拓扑结构,以全面刻画铜资源的全球流动以及国家（地区）之间的铜贸易关系。主要结论如下：① 2001年以来,全球含铜产品贸易重量稳定增长,其中铜矿石贸易重量最大,精炼铜次之。② 5类含铜产品贸易网络的拓扑结构存在明显差异,根据社区发现算法可划分为4~8个组团,模块度在0.216~0.482之间。由于资源禀赋和工业体系发展程度不同,大部分国家（地区）在5类贸易网络中分属于不同的组团。③ 中国对铜资源的需求巨大,围绕着中国的需求产生的贸易关系在铜矿石、粗铜、精炼铜、废杂铜4类贸易网络中都构成第一大组团,分别包含47、102、120、135个国家（地区）,表明中国在全球铜贸易中占有重要地位,但也反映了中国铜资源自给率低、对外依存度大等问题。 相似文献
10.
11.
In order to determine whether it is desirable to quantify mineral-deposit models further, a test of the ability of a probabilistic
neural network to classify deposits into types based on mineralogy was conducted. Presence or absence of ore and alteration
mineralogy in well-typed deposits were used to train the network. To reduce the number of minerals considered, the analyzed
data were restricted to minerals present in at least 20% of at least one deposit type. An advantage of this restriction is
that single or rare occurrences of minerals did not dominate the results. Probabilistic neural networks can provide mathematically
sound confidence measures based on Bayes theorem and are relatively insensitive to outliers. Founded on Parzen density estimation,
they require no assumptions about distributions of random variables used for classification, even handling multimodal distributions.
They train quickly and work as well as, or better than, multiple-layer feedforward networks. Tests were performed with a probabilistic
neural network employing a Gaussian kernel and separate sigma weights for each class and each variable. The training set was
reduced to the presence or absence of 58 reported minerals in eight deposit types. The training set included: 49 Cyprus massive
sulfide deposits; 200 kuroko massive sulfide deposits; 59 Comstock epithermal vein gold districts; 17 quartzalunite epithermal
gold deposits; 25 Creede epithermal gold deposits; 28 sedimentary-exhalative zinc-lead deposits; 28 Sado epithermal vein gold
deposits; and 100 porphyry copper deposits. The most common training problem was the error of classifying about 27% of Cyprus-type
deposits in the training set as kuroko. In independent tests with deposits not used in the training set, 88% of 224 kuroko
massive sulfide deposits were classed correctly, 92% of 25 porphyry copper deposits, 78% of 9 Comstock epithermal gold-silver
districts, and 83% of six quartzalunite epithermal gold deposits were classed correctly. Across all deposit types, 88% of
deposits in the validation dataset were correctly classed. Misclassifications were most common if a deposit was characterized
by only a few minerals, e.g., pyrite, chalcopyrite,and sphalerite. The success rate jumped to 98% correctly classed deposits
when just two rock types were added. Such a high success rate of the probabilistic neural network suggests that not only should
this preliminary test be expanded to include other deposit types, but that other deposit features should be added 相似文献
12.
Spatial uncertainty analysis is a complex and difficult task for orebody estimation in the mining industry. Conventional models (kriging and its variants) with variogram-based statistics fail to capture the spatial complexity of an orebody. Due to this, the grade and tonnage are incorrectly estimated resulting in inaccurate mine plans, which lead to costly financial decision. Multiple-point geostatistical simulation model can overcome the limitations of the conventional two-point spatial models. In this study, a multiple-point geostatistical method, namely SNESIM, was applied to generate multiple equiprobable orebody models for a copper deposit in Africa, and it helped to analyze the uncertainty of ore tonnage of the deposit. The grade uncertainty was evaluated by sequential Gaussian simulation within each equiprobable orebody models. The results were validated by reproducing the marginal distribution and two- and three-point statistics. The results show that deviations of volume of the simulated orebody models vary from ? 3 to 5% compared to the training image. The grade simulation results demonstrated that the average grades from the different simulation are varied from 3.77 to 4.92% and average grade 4.33%. The results also show that the volume and grade uncertainty model overestimates the orebody volume as compared to the conventional orebody. This study demonstrates that incorporating grade and volume uncertainty leads to significant changes in resource estimates. 相似文献
13.
近百年来人类活动对鸭绿江口河床演变的影响 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
本文以鸭绿江口西汊道连续性较好、时间分辨率较高、以海湾性质为主的2 处现代沉积物为样本,对其沉积速率、粒度特征、碎屑矿物、重金属进行了测定和分析。柱状样记录了1920 年以来西汊道上游的沉积过程,平均沉积速率约为0.98 cm/a,粒度参数、指示性碎屑矿物、重金属的垂向分布显示出这里的沉积是以海相河口湾沉积为主,但交替存在河流沉积。通过与前期研究成果的比较,揭示了近百年来人类活动对鸭绿江口河床演变的影响。其中,兴修水利对河床演变的影响集中在早期,并带来了河床地貌的重大改变,西汊道失去了河流主汊道的地位;围垦带来的河床演变出现在中期,对河床地貌的影响也很深刻,表现为陆域面积不断扩大,水域面积不断缩小;航道治理等人类活动对河床演变的影响出现在中后期,河床地貌没有明显的改变;最近的人类活动影响有待观察。 相似文献
14.
中国干旱区内陆河流域中游地区分布了大量晚第四纪河、湖相交替的沉积地层,这些沉积物被广泛用于古气候和古环境重建。然而,以往的研究较多关注沉积物的理、化、生指标,而忽略了沉积相变的古环境意义,这可能使古环境重建结果产生偏差。针对这一问题,选取干旱区典型内陆河——石羊河中游地区的JDT全新世沉积剖面,进行年代学、沉积相、岩性和粒度的研究,并与该区域已有的HSH全新世剖面的地球化学和古生物指标进行对比,在分析沉积相的基础上讨论二者的环境代用指标,重建石羊河中游地区全新世的古环境。两个剖面在年代和岩性上具有很好的一致性,指示了石羊河中游地区约8500 cal yr BP-3000 cal yr BP以来的沉积过程。两剖面从底部到上部可分为六层：河流相沉积（F层）——河湖相沉积（E层）——湖相沉积（D层）——浅湖—风成沉积（C层）——风成沉积（B层）——风成沉积（A层）,代表了不同沉积相及其转换过程。综合讨论沉积物岩性、沉积相和各种古环境代用指标认为：石羊河中游地区的沉积相体现了从河流相到湖相再到风成沉积物的变化过程,指示了全新世的干旱化过程。这与以往研究中认为石羊河流域全新世气候变化具有波动性的观点存在一定差异。因此,在研究沉积相变化的基础之上讨论沉积物的物理、化学和生物指标的含义,而非简单地研究这些指标的数值,是干旱区流域性气候变化对比研究的新视角。 相似文献
15.
柴达木盆地盐湖富含硼矿资源,有沉积型和矿化水两种类型。盐湖卤水硼矿在方向性变化上呈北高南低的态势。固体硼酸盐矿床的成矿时间为晚更新世到全新世,并以全新世为主。固体硼矿主要分布在盆地北缘的大、小柴旦盐湖,马海干盐湖也有零星分布,卤水硼矿床的形成受控于丰富的硼物质来源、闭流汇水盆地和干旱的气候条件;稳定的物理化学环境、低温条件、稀释掺杂作用、生物作用、盐湖水体化学类型及其它相关成盐机制则对固体硼酸盐沉积矿床的形成起着重要的作用。 相似文献
16.
Vanessa Cerqueira Koppe João Felipe Coimbra Leite Costa Rodrigo de Lemos Peroni Jair Carlos Koppe 《Natural Resources Research》2011,20(2):131-142
Data from a mineral deposit are commonly obtained by core drilling. This kind of sampling involves high costs, limiting the
number of drill holes. Additional holes should be located to bring the maximum benefit. The benefit can be evaluated by various
ways and must take into account the goals of sampling. This article presents a case study where the deposit has been sampled
and the new drillings must be added to reduce the uncertainty about a transfer function, Net Present Value (NPV) of the mining
project. There are basically two ways to choose locations where new drillings should be placed for cases where the aim of
sampling is to reduce uncertainty about a global function: the addition of new drillings outlining a quasi regular grid with
previously collected drillings or the addition of new drillings on the locations of high uncertainty about the attribute of
interest (or the attribute that is considered most influential in the transfer function). The performances of these patterns
on reducing the uncertainty measured by the function selected are compared. The results point out that the most efficient
pattern relates to the distribution (histogram) of the uncertainty about the attribute of interest. Thus, the choice of which
sampling pattern should be adopted varies depending on data distribution and its influence on the transfer function. 相似文献
17.
Dennis P. Cox 《Natural Resources Research》1993,2(2):82-91
Quantitative mineral resource assessments used by the United States Geological Survey are based on deposit models. These assessments consist of three parts: (1) selecting appropriate deposit models and delineating on maps areas permissive for each type of deposit; (2) constructing a grade-tonnage model for each deposit model; and (3) estimating the number of undiscovered deposits of each type. In this article, I focus on the estimation of undiscovered deposits using two methods: the deposit density method and the target counting method.In the deposit density method, estimates are made by analogy with well-explored areas that are geologically similar to the study area and that contain a known density of deposits per unit area. The deposit density method is useful for regions where there is little or no data. This method was used to estimate undiscovered low-sulfide gold-quartz vein deposits in Venezuela.Estimates can also be made by counting targets such as mineral occurrences, geophysical or geochemical anomalies, or exploration plays and by assigning to each target a probability that it represents an undiscovered deposit that is a member of the grade-tonnage distribution. This method is useful in areas where detailed geological, geophysical, geochemical, and mineral occurrence data exist. Using this method, porphyry copper-gold deposits were estimated in Puerto Rico. 相似文献
18.
中国东部沿海地区四大城市群生态效率评价 总被引：33，自引：1，他引：32
东部沿海地区城市群是国家经济发展的战略核心区和国家新型城镇化的主体区之一,其经济—生态可持续发展问题是近年来地理研究领域的前沿主题。首先对城市群生态效率进行定义并将其作为城市群可持续发展测度指标;随后运用传统DEA模型及非期望产出SBM模型,对东部沿海地区四大城市群在2005年、2011年、2014年三个时间截面中的经济效率、生态效率进行比较评价并分析了城市群生态效率时空演变特征;最后通过松弛度分析,为改善沿海地区四大城市群生态效率提供了对应建议。结果表明：① 山东半岛城市群、长三角城市群、珠三角城市群经济综合效率呈先下降后上升的V字型演变格局,而京津冀城市群经济综合效率始终呈下降趋势,2011年前其受纯技术效率影响较大,2011年后受规模效率影响较大;② 京津冀城市群受污染影响带来的效率损失最大,山东半岛城市群相对较小,总体而言,四大城市群生态效率在2005-2011年为下行期,2011-2014为修复期;③ 沿海四大城市群内城市生态效率时空格局具有不同的演化特征,核心城市周边以及沿海沿江地区城市生态效率相对较优,内陆城市则较低;④ 京津冀城市群、长三角城市群、珠三角城市群核心城市资源消耗强度高、经济效益产出高、生态效率高,从整体来看,城市群内多数城市呈污染物排放量下降趋势,污染物治理效果较为明显,环境影响问题有所改善;⑤ 影响东部四大城市群经济生态效率的原因不同,本文从城市群角度进行了差异性分析,并提出了合理化建议。 相似文献
19.
依据广东西部超过18条河流、39处河流阶地、至少35个14C、热释光的冲积层测龄数据等情况,可知粤西最多有4级河流阶地(不包括湛江组和北海组阶地);多数河流最高阶地靠近现代主河床分布,深切曲流中有河流阶地,反映近数十万年来河床改道不大;西江在封开有广东高度最高(76 m)的河流阶地,而广东高度最高的地下河阶地是111 m,大致显示出地面与地下剥蚀强度的差异;通常山区河流长度越大,河漫滩和河流阶地的高度越大,河流阶地的级数和级别也常增加;在河流上游的下段和中游的上段,河流阶地的高度最大且级数也最多;在晚更新世之前与后,河谷中下游地区的新构造运动趋势由上升变为稳定或沉降;连滩盆地是广东全新世构造沉降最典型的山间盆地。 相似文献
20.
Chad S. Lane Brooklyn Hildebrandt Lisa M. Kennedy Allison LeBlanc Kam-Biu Liu Amy J. Wagner Andrea D. Hawkes 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2017,57(3):245-255
Reconstruction of prehistoric tropical cyclone (TC) activity often relies on the identification of distinctive overwash deposits (tempestites) in coastal lagoon sediments. Similar sediment deposits, however, can result from high-energy events other than TCs. In this study we assessed the utility of using the geochemistry of ostracod valves, specifically their stable oxygen isotope composition (δ18O), as a potential validation variable that could reduce the chances of misidentifying an overwash deposit as having been generated by a TC, when in fact it formed from another high-energy depositional process (type 1 error). We applied this technique to a sediment core recovered from Laguna Alejandro, Dominican Republic, which had already been analyzed for other sedimentary TC proxies. Negative δ18O anomalies identified in the ostracod valve stable isotope record are associated with TC deposits and are most easily explained by large influxes of 18O-depleted meteoric waters typical of intense tropical storms. There is potential for this technique to be used to identify TC landfalls that are not represented by overwash deposits. We, however, propose a more conservative approach and suggest this technique be used to validate the origin of a storm deposit and reduce the odds of a type 1 error. 相似文献