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1.
Several giant debris flows occurred in southwestern China after the Wenchuan earthquake, causing serious casualties and economic losses. Debris flows were frequently triggered after the earthquake. A relatively accurate prediction of these post-seismic debris flows can help to reduce the consequent damages. Existing debris flow prediction is almost based on the study of the relationship between post-earthquake debris flows and rainfall. The relationship between the occurrence of post-seismic debris flows and characteristic rainfall patterns was studied in this paper. Fourteen rainfall events related to debris flows that occurred in four watersheds in the Wenchuan earthquake area were collected. By analyzing the rainfall data, characteristics of rainfall events that triggered debris flows after the earthquake were obtained. Both the critical maximum rainfall intensity and average rainfall intensity increased with the time. To describe the critical conditions for debris flow initiation, intensity–duration curves were constructed, which shows how the threshold for triggering debris flows increased each year. The time that the critical rainfall intensities of debris flow occurrences return to the value prior to the earthquake could not be estimated due to the absent rainfall data before the earthquake. Rainfall-triggering response patterns could be distinguished for rainfall-induced debris flows. The critical rainfall patterns related to debris flows could be divided on the basis of antecedent rainfall duration and intensity into three categories: (1) a rapid triggering response pattern, (2) an intermediate triggering response pattern, and (3) a slow triggering response pattern. The triggering response patterns are closely related to the initiation mechanisms of post-earthquake debris flows. The main difference in initiation mechanisms and difference in triggering patterns by rainfall is regulated by the infiltration process and determined by a number of parameters, such as hydro-mechanical soil characteristics, the thickness of the soil, and the slope gradient. In case of a rapid triggering response rainfall pattern, the hydraulic conductivity and initial moisture content are the main impact factors. Runoff erosion and rapid loading of solid material is the dominant process. In case of a rainfall pattern with a slow triggering response, the thickness and strength of the soil, high hydraulic conductivity, and rainfall intensity are the impact factors. Probably slope failure is the most dominant process initiating debris flows. In case of an intermediate triggering response pattern, both debris flow initiation mechanisms (runoff erosion and slope failure) can play a role. 相似文献
2.
人工降雨条件下冲沟型泥石流起动试验研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
下垫面以位于贡嘎山东坡的熊家沟为模型,开展了不同降雨强度条件下冲沟型泥石流起动的模拟试验,初步研究了冲沟型泥石流的形成机理和演化特征.试验研究表明:(1)在强降雨条件下,水体入渗速度、不同深度土体含水量变化与降雨强度呈反比例关系,降雨强度越大,越不利于水体入渗,而有利于坡面汇流、冲沟径流和下切侵蚀; (2)在强降雨和径流条件下,土体破坏方式、破坏程度以及泥石流形成机理表现出差异性.相对较小雨强降雨条件下,土体破坏方式以滑坡为主,泥石流形成模式表现为滑坡液化与转化起动,雨强较大降雨条件下,土体破坏方式以侵蚀垮塌为主,泥石流形成模式为洪流席卷垮塌体和沟床揭底; (3)起动试验中泥石流阵性特征明显.在强降雨条件下,雨强与泥石流的规模、黏度之间没有正相关性,雨强越大,泥石流黏度越小,试验中多出现的是高含砂洪流,而相对较小雨强作用下由土体液化转化形成的泥石流黏度较大.试验现象和结果与熊家沟泥石流起动、发生过程具有较高的一致性. 相似文献
3.
坡面土体的崩塌活动是泥石流形成的初始过程。为了研究降雨条件下该过程中蕴含的随机性,选择典型泥石流源地坡面进行人工降雨实验,观测坡面径流和坡面土体活动特征。结果表明：坡面径流的产生与坡面土体的供给是2个相对独立的过程;坡面产流过程在时间上具有连续性,空间上具有均匀性,规模上具有稳定性;即使是在恒定的降雨强度条件下,泥石流的源地土体活动也表现为一个离散的土体崩塌序列,具有时间上的间歇性、空间上的聚集性、规模上的随机性,且在时间上服从泊松分布,在规模上服从规模-频率的幂率关系;坡面的水土过程是不完全同步的,泥石流的形成依赖于坡面土体补给的时间、空间和规模分布,这也决定了泥石流阵流的多变和流量的涨落。建立基于土体活动特征的随机性补给模型,结合分布式水文模型,是建立科学的泥石流预报模型的有效方法。 相似文献
4.
采用Mohr-Coulomb强度理论,对下有不透水层的无限边坡进行了弹塑性分析,探讨了降雨过程中坡面水平位移的变化规律,分析了边坡安全系数和滑坡前坡面水平位移的关系。数值分析表明,土坡的抗剪强度参数、初始应力状态和降雨强度对边坡的安全系数和水平位移都有很大影响,但初始应力状态对滑坡发生的时间没有影响,对于具有较小抗剪强度参数的边坡,如果降雨强度较大,则滑坡时的水平位移较小。 相似文献
5.
为进一步探明银洞子沟物源区坡面物源启动机理与降雨的相关性,在进行详细的现场考察与工程勘察工作后选取了典型模型体,并采用20余组人工降雨物理试验方法将降雨强度与坡度设为控制变量,研究了4种坡形、5种雨强条件下,坡面松散物源的失稳机制及破坏模式。试验结果揭示了地表变形与地下物理力学参数变化的定量响应关系,并基于试验发生破坏的临界雨量,建立了银洞子沟传统I-D预警模型。之后提炼可靠预警参数(坡度、深部体积含水率),通过数学回归分析方法并采用Exponential模型,得出IGD、IGM多参数新型预警判别式,实现了传统I-D模型的有效修正,并具一定的可靠性和实用价值。 相似文献
6.
降雨诱发坡面型泥石流形成机理 总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7
基于野外调查和室内测试分析,依据岩土体破坏准则理论,结合典型坡面型泥石流进行剖析,从坡面型泥石流形成的影响因素、运动学特征、动力条件、形成与演化过程等方面,探讨了降雨诱发坡面型泥石流的形成机理。研究结果表明:坡面流以平移式滑动方式破坏为主,通常发生于残坡积土层厚度小(≤2.0 m)的陡坡地带(坡度≥40°),降雨是坡面型泥石流的主要触发因素,雨水入渗促使斜坡残坡积岩土体饱和软化,当土体含水率超过28%~30%,粘聚力、内摩擦角与含水率关系曲线都出现了明显的拐点,即饱和度超过75%时,其粘聚力和内摩擦角都发生急剧降低,斜坡土体由稳定状态向破坏状态演化。遇持续降雨(或暴雨)作用,此种残坡积土局部发生失稳下滑——流土,进而在动水压力作用下发生下泻造浆形成坡面泥石流。 相似文献
7.
Simulation of a slope failure induced by rainfall infiltration 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
On 1 November 2000, Typhoon Xangsane brought heavy rainfall that caused serious disasters in many areas of northern Taiwan.
A slope located at the upstream of the Shanher Stream in Taipei County failed and induced a debris flow. To investigate the
environmental influencing factors that caused the slope failure and the debris flow disaster, laboratory tests and slope stability
analysis were performed. A series of tests were conducted to obtain the mechanical and hydraulic properties of the soil under
unsaturated and saturated conditions. Then, limit equilibrium method and numerical analysis simulating the process of infiltration
were utilized to explore the slope stability, the stress variation, and the pore-water pressure in the soil during rainwater
infiltration. The results of the stability analysis show that the rainfall intensity–time history is the most significant
influence factor, and the analyzed failure zone and the predicted time when the slope failed are comparable to the field observation. 相似文献
8.
渗透性与降雨强度对堆积层滑坡稳定性的影响 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
本文基于非饱和渗流理论及非饱和土的Fredlund双应力变量强度理论,对一沿岩土接触面滑动的堆积层滑坡模型,分别进行了8种条件下的降雨入渗数值模拟试验,研究了不同土体渗透性及降雨强度对滑坡稳定性的影响。结果表明:(1)堆积层滑坡的稳定性与土体的渗透性有密切关系,在降雨后的短期内,土体渗透性越好,滑面孔隙水压力升高越明显,滑坡的稳定性降低程度越大;(2)降雨期间,埋深较浅的滑面,入渗雨水能够较快到达,对滑坡稳定性的影响较大;(3)在相同的降雨时间内,降雨强度越大,滑坡稳定性降低速率越快;(4)降雨强度影响着滑坡发生的滞后性,在降雨总量一定的条件下,若降雨强度较大,雨停后,滑坡稳定性继续下降的程度较大;(5)降雨总量控制着滑坡的最终稳定性。 相似文献
9.
Chien-Yuan Chen 《Landslides》2016,13(1):153-164
Typhoon Morakot brought extreme rainfall and initiated numerous landslides and debris flows in southern Taiwan in August of 2009. The purpose of this study is to identify the extreme rainfall-induced landslide frequency-area distribution in the Laonong River Basin in southern Taiwan and debris flow-initiated conditions under rainfall. Results of the analysis show that debris flows were initiated under high cumulative rainfall and long rainfall duration or high rainfall intensity. The relationship of mean rainfall intensity and duration threshold could reflect debris flow initiation characteristics under high rainfall intensity in short rainfall duration conditions. The relationship of cumulative rainfall and duration threshold could reflect debris flow initiation characteristics under high cumulative rainfall in long rainfall duration. Defining rainfall events by estimating rainfall parameters with different methodologies could reveal variations among intermittent rainfall events for the benefit of issuing debris flow warnings. The exponent of landslide frequency-area distribution induced by Typhoon Morakot is lower than that induced by the Chi-Chi earthquake. The lower exponent of landslide frequency-area distribution can be attributed to the transportation and deposition areas of debris flow that are included in the landslide area. Climate change induced high rainfall intensity and long duration of precipitation, for example, Typhoon Morakot brought increased frequency of debris flow and created difficulty in issuing warnings from rainfall monitoring. 相似文献
10.
2010年8月13日四川都江堰市龙池地区暴发了特大规模的群发性暴雨型泥石流过程,给龙池地区的震后恢复重建带来了巨大的灾难,因此,研究该区泥石流发生机理和预警十分必要。本文在总结前人关于泥石流暴发与降雨条件研究成果基础上,发现泥石流物源含水量及地表径流流深等是导致流域内松散物源启动的主要原因。根据其前期降雨量和有效降雨强度等特征,建立了泥石流流域物源土体颗粒个别启动、局部启动和大量启动的判别式,建立了适合该区域暴雨泥石流预警模型,将可能诱发泥石流暴发的不同降雨条件划分为蓝、黄和红色3个危险等级,为该区泥石流监测预警提供了科学依据。 相似文献
11.
2018年7月16日北京怀柔云蒙山地区突发山洪泥石流灾害,国道G111和省道S310多处毁损,周边4个乡镇506人被迫紧急转移。本文通过灾害发生前后高清卫星影像解译和现场详细调查,研究了区域内典型泥石流沟的地形地貌特征和松散固体物质来源,分析了泥石流形成的降雨激发条件,估算了容重、流速、流量等重要参数,并基于沟床块石稳定性分析改进了泥石流启动与降雨强度之间的关系式。研究表明,怀柔7·16泥石流属极端气象条件下短历时强降雨所激发的稀性泥石流,在连续2 h降雨条件下,其临界激发雨强不低于8~15 mm·h-1,物源主要来自于沟床堆积物的揭底输移,沟床岸坡松散堆积体侧蚀增加了物源补给,强降雨条件下很可能再次发生类似规模的泥石流。该研究可对今后区域内泥石流的防灾减灾工作提供参考。 相似文献
12.
Effects of Material Composition and Water Content on the Mechanical Properties of Landslide Deposits Triggered by the Wenchuan Earthquake 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
Abundant landslide deposits were triggered by the Wenchuan earthquake, providing a rich source of material for subsequent debris flows or slope failures under rainfall conditions. A good understanding of the physical and mechanical properties of the landslide deposits is very important to the research on slope failure mechanisms and the initiation of debris flow. Laboratory biaxial compression tests are used to study the material compositions and water content impacts on the mechanical properties of landslide deposits, and a discrete element method (a bond-contact model) is used to study the particle stiffness, bond force, friction coefficient and confining stress impact on the mechanical behaviors and the relationships between the numerical and experimental parameters. The experimental results show that the failure stress of landslide deposits is decreased with increasing content of fine particles and also with increased water content, especially at the initial increasing stage. Cohesion of the saturated landslide deposits is increased, but the friction angle is decreased with the increase in the fine particle content. Shear strength parameters (the cohesion and friction angle) are decreased with the increasing water content at the initial increasing stage, and then, they slowly decrease. There is a critical value of the water content at 5%–7% (in weight) for the failure stress and shear strength parameters of the landslide deposits. Quadratic equations are presented to describe the relation between the bond force and cohesion, and the numerical friction coefficient and the experimental friction angle. 相似文献
13.
为研究物质组成空间分布特征对降雨下碎石土斜坡变形破坏的影响,以不同成因碎石土斜坡的特点为依照,进行了4种物质组成空间分布的碎石土斜坡模型及1种均质斜坡模型试验。结果表明,物质组成空间分布特征对降雨下碎石土斜坡变形破坏所发挥的作用与降雨入渗方向和应力调整方向有重要关系。当土料变化方向与入渗方向大角度相交且与应力调整方向相同时,斜坡渗透性为土料各自的渗透性,斜坡力学性质偏向于组成土料力学性质的最大值。当土料变化方向与入渗方向相同且与应力调整方向大角度相交时,斜坡渗透性接近组成土料渗透性的最小值,斜坡变形破坏受控于其中的软弱土料。降雨下斜坡各处均发生变形,且变形向周围调整并产生影响。破裂面更易发于软弱土料中。该研究有助于斜坡灾害勘察、预测评价及防治向精细化方向发展。 相似文献
14.
2020年3月30日,西昌市经久乡发生森林大火,响水沟流域植被被林火大面积烧毁,同年雨季,响水沟流域内多条沟道暴发泥石流,其中1#、2#、3#沟毗邻居民房屋和耕地,影响较为严重。通过野外调查、遥感解译和室外试验,以响水沟1#、2#、3#沟为研究对象,分析了不同林火烈度下,渗透特征、坡面侵蚀和沟道侵蚀的差异,从而揭示响水沟火后泥石流的成灾机理。结果表明,林火是泥石流暴发的重要诱因,火后泥石流的降雨阈值会明显降低。林火干扰导致坡面土壤的渗透系数表现出不同程度的降低,林火烈度越严重的区域,渗透系数越小,降雨更大比例地转化为坡面径流参与到坡面侵蚀。随降雨次数的增多,轻度、中度、重度火烧区域的坡面土壤侵蚀深度均增加;中度、重度林火烈度的侵蚀深度差异不大,且明显高于轻度区域,说明当林火烈度达到中度时,坡面土壤便会受到较大程度的侵蚀。地形条件相似的沟道,林火烈度越严重,泥石流侵蚀能力越强,最终体现于沟道两岸崩滑体数量越多,沟道宽度和深度越大。 相似文献
15.
为研究震后强降雨条件下沟道泥石流产生的力学机制及水力学机理,以都江堰市龙池镇银洞子泥石流沟为研究对象,构建坡面松散堆积体地下水位变化水力模型,按照水力学渗流理论,分析了震后泥石流形成区坡面松散堆积体内潜水位变化的特征和规律,定量研究了动静水压力对坡体的作用特点。根据理论分析、实例验证与物理模拟试验的研究结果,获得了对坡面松散物源启动力学机理、启动临界条件及启动模式的深刻认识: ①在强降雨激发作用下,随着坡体内潜水位不断升高,水力条件不断恶化,最终导致坡面松散堆积体发生失稳破坏; ②堆积体内潜水位高度是坡面面积(S I T D S I H ( P ) ( G d )
16.
东南沿海残积土地区降雨诱发型滑坡预报雨强-历时曲线的影响因素分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
东南沿海山地丘陵地区每年雨季期间有大量土质滑坡发生,如何对由降雨诱发的滑坡进行预报一直都是一个热点研究课题,雨强-历时曲线（简称I-D曲线）是目前国内外常用的降雨型滑坡预报的降雨量临界值曲线。针对东南沿海地区的浅层残积土滑坡,根据相关勘察数据及资料,概化得到了该类型边坡的地质剖面及岩土层性质,然后应用Geo-Studio软件分析了边坡初始湿润条件、土体抗剪强度、饱和渗透系数、边坡坡角、残坡积土层厚度及雨型等参数对I-D曲线的影响规律。分析结果表明：残坡积土抗剪强度参数、饱和渗透系数、边坡坡角、雨型等因素对I-D曲线的影响显著,边坡安全系数降至临界值所需降雨历时随抗剪强度参数值降低、表层残积土渗透系数增加或坡角增大而减少;当雨强较小时,初始湿润条件对I-D曲线的影响显著;当雨强大于残坡积土层饱和渗透系数时,入渗量主要由渗透系数控制,边坡安全系数降至临界值所需降雨历时不随雨强增大而变化。该研究结果为I-D曲线在东南沿海残积土地区降雨诱发滑坡预警预报中的应用奠定了基础。 相似文献
17.
降雨对堆积土的径流冲刷和入渗软化,是引发泥石流的关键因素。选取甘肃张掖泥石流现场堆积土为研究对象,借助人工模拟降雨试验,研究100 mm·h-1的降水强度下表面喷洒SH固土剂的泥石流堆积土的抗雨蚀性能。试验结果表明,未喷SH固土剂的堆积土,表面雨蚀严重,形成数条冲刷沟,且伴有大量泥沙流失;喷洒SH固土剂后,SH固土剂与表层土颗粒胶结形成高强黏结性的塑性胶膜,堆积土表面无明显冲痕,冲刷量少,抗雨蚀性能强;随SH固土剂喷量增加,固化土的抗雨蚀性能先增大后趋稳定;SH固土剂与粉土和砂土颗粒形成结构稳定的"镶嵌式"土膜混合层,整体上优于碎石土"漂浮式"土膜混合层的抗雨蚀性能;SH固土剂喷量和堆积土土质类型共同影响着固化土抗雨蚀性能。综合考虑费用、抗雨蚀效果等因素,建议对粉土和砂土类的堆积土,SH固土剂喷洒量为1.0 kg·m-2,对碎石土类,应适当增加喷洒量。 相似文献
18.
汶川震区暴雨泥石流激发雨型特征 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
汶川地震后暴雨诱发的泥石流不断增加,通过收集整理降雨资料,分析汶川震区不同地域泥石流暴发的激发雨强及前期有效累计降雨量变化过程,揭示震区暴雨泥石流的激发雨型特征,为暴雨泥石流的预报提供科学依据。研究结果表明,汶川震区的暴雨泥石流激发雨型可分为短期突然降雨型、中期持续降雨型和长期间断降雨型3种类型,主要表现为引发泥石流的激发雨强及前期有效累计降雨量的不同。暴雨泥石流的形成机制体现为降雨导致流域内松散土体渗透、饱和及侵蚀移动的过程。激发雨型与激发雨强及前期有效累计降雨量存在相关关系,短期突然降雨型的激发雨强最大,前期有效累计降雨量最少;中期持续降雨型的激发雨强居中,前期有效累计降雨量最多;长期间断降雨型的激发雨强最小,前期有效累计降雨量居中。对四川茂县叠溪镇新磨村突发山体高位垮塌碎屑流进行验证,初步判定是由长期间断降雨型引发岩体抗剪强度降低而引起的。对不同激发雨型特征的研究能够为汶川震区泥石流监测预警提供科学依据。 相似文献
19.
降雨诱发滑坡是世界上最普遍的地质灾害,而关于降雨入渗对边坡的可靠度分析,优势入渗的影响被长期忽视。使用Comsol Multiphysics对降雨条件下优势入渗做数值求解,利用无限边坡模型计算边坡安全系数;并应用改进Cholesky分解法生成空间相关随机场,使用蒙特卡洛方法分析降雨过程中边坡的可靠度。结合确定性与可靠度计算对比均质入渗与优势入渗在降雨过程中边坡安全性变化：（1）降雨强度较低时,优势入渗安全性较好,而降雨强度较高时,均质入渗更稳定;（2）均质入渗中参数空间变异性是边坡失稳破坏的关键因素,而优势入渗的边坡失稳则由湿润峰快速推进所导致;（3）针对优势入渗模型研究,发现基质域与优势域水力交换强度较大时边坡有更大概率失稳,而较小的水力交换强度可能影响边坡底部的失稳破坏。 相似文献
20.
Rainwater infiltration during typhoons tends to trigger slope instability. This paper presents the results of a study on slope
response to rainwater infiltration during heavy rainfall in a mountain area of Taiwan. The Green-Ampt infiltration model is
adopted here to study the behavior of rainwater infiltration on slopes. The failure mechanism of infinite slope is chosen
to represent the rainfall-induced shallow slope failure. By combining rain infiltration model and infinite slope analysis,
the proposed model can estimate the occurrence time of a slope failure. In general, if a slope failure is to happen on a slope
covered with low permeability soil, failure tends to happen after the occurrence of the maximum rainfall intensity. In contrast,
slope failure tends to occur prior to the occurrence of maximum rainfall intensity if a slope is covered with high-permeability
soil. To predict the potential and timing of a landslide, a method is proposed here based on the normalized rainfall intensity
(NRI) and normalized accumulated rainfall (NAR). If the actual NAR is higher than the NAR calculated by the proposed method,
slope failure is very likely to happen. Otherwise, the slope is unlikely to fail. The applicability of the proposed model
to occurrence time and the NAR–NRI relationship is evaluated using landslide cases obtained from the literature. The results
of the proposed method are close to that of the selected cases. It verifies the applicability of the proposed method to slopes
in different areas of the world.
An erratum to this article can be found at 相似文献