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1.
Information on the Arctic sea ice climate indicators is crucial to business strategic planning and climate monitoring. Data on the evolvement of the Arctic sea ice and decadal trends of phenology factors during melt season are necessary for climate prediction under global warming. Previous studies on Arctic sea ice phenology did not involve melt ponds that dramatically lower the ice surface albedo and tremendously affect the process of sea ice surface melt. Temporal means and trends of the Arctic sea ice phenology from 1982 to 2017 were examined based on satellite-derived sea ice concentration and albedo measurements. Moreover, the timing of ice ponding and two periods corresponding to it were newly proposed as key stages in the melt season. Therefore, four timings, i.e., date of snow and ice surface melt onset (MO), date of pond onset (PO), date of sea ice opening (DOO), and date of sea ice retreat (DOR); and three durations, i.e., melt pond formation period (MPFP, i.e., MO–PO), melt pond extension period (MPEP, i.e., PO–DOR), and seasonal loss of ice period (SLIP, i.e., DOO–DOR), were used. PO ranged from late April in the peripheral seas to late June in the central Arctic Ocean in Bootstrap results, whereas the pan-Arctic was observed nearly 4 days later in NASA Team results. Significant negative trends were presented in the MPEP in the Hudson Bay, the Baffin Bay, the Greenland Sea, the Kara and Barents seas in both results, indicating that the Arctic sea ice undergoes a quick transition from ice to open water, thereby extending the melt season year to year. The high correlation coefficient between MO and PO, MPFP illustrated that MO predominates the process of pond formation.  相似文献   

2.
渤海海冰的年际和年代际变化特征与机理   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
根据1951-2013年间的渤海冰情等级资料,利用最大熵谱分析、相关分析和合成分析等方法,研究了渤海冰情等级的年际和年代际变化特征,探讨了局地气候、大气环流、ENSO(El Nio-Southern Oscillation)和太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)对海冰的影响。结果表明,渤海海冰具有明显的年际和年代际变化特征,并在1972年前后发生了一次由重到轻的气候跃变,在跃变后冰情较跃变前平均降低了0.7级。相关分析与合成分析结果显示,渤海冰情的年际变化除受局地气候的影响外,还受西太平洋副热带高压(副高)、极涡和欧亚环流的共同调控,特别在1972年以后,秋季副高、冬季欧亚和亚洲纬向环流对渤海冰情的年际变化均有重要影响,可作为渤海海冰预报的重要因子,而春季PDO、ENSO、冬季副高及欧亚和亚洲经向环流则是渤海冰情年代际变化的影响因素。  相似文献   

3.
Numerical sea ice prediction in China   总被引:5,自引:2,他引:3  
NumericalseaicepredictioninChinaWuHuiding,BaiShan,ZhangZhanhai1(ReceivedSeptember12,1996;acceptedJune5,1997)Abstract──Adynami...  相似文献   

4.
Numerical simulation for dynamical processes of sea ice   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
NumericalsimulationfordynamicalprocessesofseaiceWuHuiding,BaiShan,ZhangZhanhaiandLiGuoqing(ReceivedMay16,1996;acceptedJanuary...  相似文献   

5.
The Chukchi and Beaufort Seas include several important hydrological features: inflow of the Pacific water, Alaska coast current ( ACC ), the seasonal to perennial sea ice cover, and landfast ice 'along the Alaskan coast. The dynamics of this coupled ice-ocean system is important for both regional scale oceanography and large-scale global climate change research. A mumber of moorings were deployed in the area by JAMSTEC since 1992, and the data revealed highly variable characteristics of the hydrological environment. A regional high-resolution coupled ice-ocean model of the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas was established to simulate the ice-ocean environment and unique seasonal landfast ice in the coastal Beaufort Sea. The model results reproduced the Beaufort gyre and the ACC. The depthaveraged annual mean ocean currents along the Beaufort Sea coast and shelf hreak compared well with data from four moored ADCPs, but the simulated velocity had smaller standard deviations, which indicate small-scale eddies were frequent in the region. The model resuits captured the sea,real variations of sea ice area as compared with remote sensing data, and the simulated sea ice velocity showed an ahnost stationary area along the Beaufort Sea coast that was similar to the observed landfast ice extent. It is the combined effects of the weak oceanic current near the coast, a prevailing wind with an onshore component, the opposite direction of the ocean current, and the blocking hy the coastline that make the Beaufort Sea coastal areas prone to the formation of landfast ice.  相似文献   

6.
渤海海冰特征厚度分析   总被引:8,自引:2,他引:6  
季顺迎  岳前进 《海洋学报》2000,22(6):117-123
通过海冰生消机理和数值试验,讨论了渤海海冰特征厚度的存在条件;对不同厚度的海冰表面温度、冰面热量收支、冰面下热传导和太阳辐射透射量进行了对比分析,分析了渤海海冰向特征冰厚的动态演化过程;在不同气温、风速、相对湿度和海洋热通量等气象和水文条件下,对渤海特征冰厚进行了计算;讨论了海冰生消的动态平衡过程,分析了1997/1998年冬季辽东湾JZ20-2海域实测冰厚与特征冰厚的相互关系。对渤海特征冰厚分析将有助于渤海海冰数值模拟工作的开展和对不同重现期设计冰厚的推算。  相似文献   

7.
刘煜  白珊  刘钦政  吴辉碇 《海洋预报》2005,22(Z1):35-43
在海冰动力学和热力学的研究基础上,开发应用于渤海的质点-网格海冰模式.该模式采用质点-网格法,有效地避免了传统海冰模式的数值扩散问题.该模式采用冰厚分布函数取代传统渤海业务海冰预报模式中平整冰、堆积冰和开阔水的三类海冰分型.应用质点-网格海冰模式对2003年~2004年冬季渤海冰情进行了业务化逐日数值预报试验,并对预报结果进行统计检验和分析比较.  相似文献   

8.
海冰动力学过程的数值模拟   总被引:41,自引:11,他引:30  
讨论了海冰动力学性质并阐述决定海冰漂移的动量平衡,冰脊和水道形成及确定冰应力与形变、强度之间关系的海冰流变学.提出了模拟海冰动力学过程的数值模式,模式中冰厚分布由开阔水、平整冰和堆积冰3种要素表示.在这3要素的预报方程中引入形变函数,采用一种参数化方法模拟冰脊和水道.为了表示冰内相互作用,将海冰作为一种非线性粘性可压缩物质,采用粘-塑性本构关系.本文还概述和讨论了模式中所采用的数值方法,应用此模式模拟了渤海、波罗的海的波的尼亚湾和拉布拉多海的冰漂移.渤海冰漂移模拟结果明显地显示出潮周期变化,还模拟了渤海的冰脊和水道,进行了海冰流变学参数的敏感性试验.并将此冰模式与大气模式和边界层模式联接,给出渤海海冰预报结果.  相似文献   

9.
1997/98年冬季渤海和黄海北部冰情特征分析   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3  
王曼丽 《海洋预报》1999,16(1):49-55
海冰预报是渤、黄海重要的海洋灾害性预报项目之一。本文对1997~98年冬季渤海及黄海北部的冰情概况进行了总结,并分析了渤海流冰范围在短时间内的迅速增长与天气、海洋等因子的相关关系。  相似文献   

10.
海冰的热力过程及其与动力过程的耦合模拟   总被引:17,自引:0,他引:17  
研究和讨论了海气相互作用过程中海冰演变的物理过程;大气和海洋对海冰的热力作用以及冰内物理过程;大气和海洋热力学参数对冰厚和密集度等冰情参数的影响和上述物理过程的数学处理。计算了冰面与水面能量收支,并分析海冰热力增长函数的特征;将热力模式与动力模式。对渤海1989-1990年度海冰进行数值模拟。结果表明,考虑热力过程的热动力模式,对类似于1990年2月12-18日海冰融化过程显示出明显的优越性,模拟  相似文献   

11.
海冰是低温条件下的海水冻结物,在我国渤海,每年冬季有4个月左右的结冰期,形成大范围的海冰。海冰具有灾害性,常对冬季海上运输及海洋生产构成危害,但因其含盐量较低,海冰还具有资源性,有可能以较低成本转化为淡水。自1995年以来,我国学者开展了渤海海冰淡化利用研究,在国家有关项目的大力支持下,已在海冰资源特性、资源量估算、海冰淡化技术和海冰水农业利用等方面均取得了一系列重要的研究进展。本文是对这些研究进展及尚需解决问题的综述。  相似文献   

12.
渤海及黄海北部冰情长期变化趋势分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
统计分析上世纪50年代—2010年渤海及黄海北部海冰资料,对其年代际变化特征进行分析。上世纪50年代—90年代冰情总体呈缓解的趋势,2000年以来冰情略有加重。研究发现太阳活动与渤海及黄海北部冰情变化关系密切,太阳活动可能是渤海及黄海北部冰情长期变化重要影响因素。如果太阳黑子的周期长度比上一个周期长,那么周期内冰情较上一个周期严重。反之亦然。  相似文献   

13.
近半个多世纪以来渤海冰情对全球气候变化的响应   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
张云吉  金秉福  冯雪 《海洋通报》2007,26(6):96-101
渤海是季节性的结冰海域,属于北半球结冰海区的南边缘,其冰情状况是对大气场和海洋场共同作用的响应。1951—2004年渤海海冰冰级与中国大陆气温距平具有很强的负相关性,渤海海冰状况是对我国北方地区、尤其是对华北地区的中短期气候变化的响应。从20世纪50年代至90年代,海冰偏轻年数逐年代增加,同时海冰平均等级也逐渐降低,是对全球气候变暖的响应。渤海重冰年出现的周期大约为10a,与太阳黑子活动周期很接近,反映太阳活动对渤海冰情具有相当大的影响,尤其是极值事件。分析表明,渤海冰情与厄尔尼诺事件之间不存在显著的线性关系,厄尔尼诺不是渤海冰情变化的原因,相反,渤海冰情的加重,预示着厄尔尼诺的来临。  相似文献   

14.
Application of the HY-1 satellite to sea ice monitoring and forecasting   总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1  
The HY-1A satellite is the first oceanic satellite of China. During the winter of 2002~2003, the data of the HY-1A were applied to the sea ice monitoring and forecasting for the Bohai Sea of China for the first time. The sea ice retrieval system of the HY-1A has been constructed. It receives 1B data from the satellite, outputs sea ice images and provides digital products of ice concentration, ice thickness and ice edge, which can be used as important information for sea ice monitoring and the initial fields of the numeric sea ice forecast and as one of the reference data for the sea ice forecasting verification. The sea ice retrieval system of the satellite is described, including its processes, methods and parameters. The retrieving results and their application to the sea ice monitoring and forecasting for the Bohai Sea are also discussed.  相似文献   

15.
Application of the HY-1 satellite to sea ice monitoring and forecasting   总被引:4,自引:2,他引:2  
The HY-1A satellite is the first oceanic satellite of China. During the winter of 2002-2003, the data of the HY-1A were applied to the sea ice monitoring and forecasting for the Bohai Sea of China for the fhst time. The sea ice retrieval system of the HY-1A has been constructed. It receives 1B data from the satellite, outputs sea ice images and provides digital products of ice concentration, ice thickness and ice edge, which can be used as important information for sea ice monitoring and the initial fields of the numeric sea ice forecast and as one of the reference data for the sea ice forecasting verification. The sea ice retrieval system of the satellite is described, including its processes, methods and parameters. The retrieving results and their application to the sea ice monitoring and forecasting for the Bohai Sea are also discussed.  相似文献   

16.
海冰模式和数值预报   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
吴辉碇  李海 《海洋预报》1999,16(3):85-96
根据渤海冰情,在海冰动力学和热力学研究基础上,提出一种海冰动力一热力模式。该模式包括平整冰、堆积冰和开阔水三要素,采用粘一塑性本构关系计算冰内应力。利用参数化方法处理变形函数和热力增长率。该冰模式与潮流模式耦合研究渤海冰-潮相互作用,并与ECOM-Si海洋模式耦合进行预报试验。该冰模式与大气模式联接,或应用气象部门数值天气预报产品进行海冰业务数值预报。本文还给出了预报结果。  相似文献   

17.
渤、黄海海冰的变化和预报结果分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
利用1951—2000年的渤、黄海的海冰资料,用小波分析和最优气候均态法对渤、黄海的海冰冰级进行分析和预测。小波分析结果较好地反映了渤、黄海海冰的变化规律,使对海冰的研究更符合实际情况。这必将有助于研究海冰变化的机理和不同尺度变化的相互作用。最优气候均态法较好地实现了对渤、黄海海冰的预测。此方法在海冰预报中不失为一种可用的方法。  相似文献   

18.
杨颖玥  刘海龙 《海洋与湖沼》2023,54(6):1564-1572
卫星记录以来,南极海冰范围发生5次快速下降事件,研究这5次事件的时空特征,对进一步认识海冰快速下降事件的物理机制具有重要意义。基于海冰范围和海冰密集度的卫星数据,从时间和空间两个维度总结5次南极海冰快速下降事件的特征,再结合大气和海洋各项环境因素的再分析数据,探讨海冰快速下降的影响因素及其驱动过程。结果显示:南极海冰快速下降的空间分布存在季节性差异, 2021年8~12月以及2016年8~12月的春季南极海冰快速下降由别林斯高晋海、威德尔海、印度洋和西太平洋区域的海冰减少所主导; 2010年12月至2011年4月以及1985年12月至1986年4月的夏季南极海冰快速下降由威德尔海、罗斯海沿岸和西太平洋区域的海冰减少所主导;2008年4~8月的冬季南极海冰快速下降则由别林斯高晋海和西太平洋的部分区域的海冰减少所主导。探究影响海冰的环境因素发现,海表面温度和海表面净热通量对海冰减少的热力效应影响具有区域性差异。此外,南极海冰快速下降受阿蒙森低压的影响,相应的海表面风异常既通过经向热输运的热力效应导致海冰减少,也通过风的动力效应驱动海冰漂移使得海冰密集度降低。  相似文献   

19.
Though narrow straits may have a strong influence on the large-scale sea ice mass balance, they are often crudely represented in coarse resolution sea ice models. Unstructured meshes, with their natural ability to fit boundaries and locally increase the mesh resolution, propose an alternative framework to capture the complex oceanic areas formed by coasts and islands. In this paper, we develop a finite element sea ice model to investigate the sensitivity of the Arctic sea ice cover features to the resolution of the narrow straits constituting the Canadian Arctic Archipelago. The model is a two-level dynamic-thermodynamic sea ice model, including a viscous-plastic rheology. It is run over 1979–2005, forced by daily NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data. Confronting qualitatively numerical experiments with observations shows a good agreement with satellite and buoys measurements. Due to its simple representation of the oceanic interactions, the model overestimates the sea ice extent during winter in the southernmost parts of the Arctic, while the Baffin Bay and Kara Sea remain ice-covered during summer. In order to isolate the benefits from resolving the Canadian Arctic Archipelago, a numerical experiment is performed where we artificially close the archipelago. Focusing on the large-scale sea ice thickness pattern, no significant change is found in our model, except in the close surroundings of the archipelago. However, the local and short-term influences of the ice exchanges are nonnegligible. In particular, we show that the ice volume associated to the Canadian Arctic Archipelago represents 10% of the Northern Hemisphere sea ice volume and that the annual mean ice export towards Baffin Bay amounts to 125 km3 yr−1, which may play an important role on the convective overturning in the Labrador Sea.  相似文献   

20.
巴伦支海-喀拉海是北冰洋最大的边缘海,能够对环境变化做出快速的响应和反馈,是全球气候变化最为敏感的区域之一,其古海洋环境演变及海冰变化研究是全球气候变化研究的重要组成部分。末次盛冰期以来,该区域的古海洋环境受到太阳辐射、海流强度、海平面变化、温盐环流和河流输入等因素影响发生了一系列不同尺度的波动。巴伦支海受到北大西洋暖水和极地冷水两大水团相互作用的影响,在水团交界处 (极锋) 由于不同水团性质的差异,导致其海水温度、盐度及海冰发生剧烈变化。而喀拉海则受到叶尼塞河和鄂毕河大量淡水输入影响,海流系统较巴伦支海相对复杂,沉积物主要来源于河流输入的陆源物质,并可以通过磁化率的分析明确区分两条河流的陆源物质。由于受到冷水和暖水的相互作用,巴伦支海-喀拉海海冰变化迅速,并且在全新世中晚期存在 0.4 ka 和 0.95 ka 的变化周期,但海冰变化的影响因素并不是单一的,而是气候系统内部各因子相互作用的结果。目前古海冰重建研究工作主要为定性研究,定量研究相对较少,所选用的重建指标也相对单一,另外存在年代框架差、分辨率低等不足。本文以巴伦支海和喀拉海为中心,总结了其快速气候突变事件、古温度盐度、海平面及海冰的变化,对影响因素进行了探讨,并通过分析末次盛冰期以来古海洋环境研究的不足,提出了相应的展望。  相似文献   

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