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1.
We consider the problem of stable development of natural economical complexes from the viewpoint of basic balances in an ecological economical system. We construct a basic dynamical model of the complex capable of predicting various scenarios of the industrial development, consumption of natural resources, and pollution of the environment and propose a mechanism of control over the process of development by introducing rent payments for the use of natural resources and ecological fines for the pollution of the environment. The efficiency of the applied model is demonstrated by analysing the process of control over the concentration of biological resources in marine media as an example. We describe the results of numerical experiments performed to show the possibility of creation of the information technology of control over marine bioresources. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

2.
We propose a procedure for the construction of prognostic models of ecological economical systems based on the combination of dynamical models of natural environments with conceptual models of natural economical complexes. This procedure enables one to study space and time distributions of ecological and economical parameters parallel with the fields of physical, chemical, biological, and other characteristics of the natural environment. With the help of a conceptual model of the “sea-land” natural economical complex in the Sea of Azov used asan example, we show that it is possible to relate the dynamics of the concentrations of pollutants and biological resources of the sea with the economical profitability of fishery and the rates of ecological fines controlling the costs of production. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

3.
We use many-year archival observations of hydrologic and hydrobiologic state of the Sea of Azov for the identification of the structure of a model of its ecosystem. The ecosystem model, supplemented with expert estimates of bioresource consumption (fish reserve), contamination level, and possible ecologic fines for violation of the sea natural state, is formalized by the method of system dynamics. Hereat, the major part of influence functions is found in terms of observational data with application of self-organization algorithms. We also present the results of simulated experiments with the model of the ecosystem, which enable us to analyse scenarios of its behaviour under the influence of various external factors (wind, river discharge, water exchange with the Black Sea, etc.). Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

4.
It is suggested to describe the ecological and economic features of the local sites of natural environments (dry-land and water areas) by their resource potential conditional relative to the technologies of their application. An information model aimed at the prediction of scenarios of conditional resource potentials capable of evaluation of the efficiency of consumption of the resources is developed. The model is based on the monitoring of the amount of debt for the consumption of the resources accumulated by a branch of economy (plant) in the unfavorable economic situation or in the case of deterioration of environmental conditions. Examples of simulation of the processes of consumption of the resources aimed at the realization of control over the stable development of ecological and economic systems are presented. __________ Translated from Morskoi Gidrofizicheskii Zhurnal, No. 2, pp. 24–42, March–April, 2006.  相似文献   

5.
We analyze the results of numerical calculations performed according to the three-dimensional interdisciplinary model of an ecological system of the Black-Sea shelf zone near the estuary of the Danube. The complete system of equations of hydrothermodynamics is solved together with transport equations of the advection-diffusion-reaction type used to describe the transformation of a substance (nitrogen) between the components of the characteristic vectors of the ecosystem: plankton, detritus, and biogenic elements (nitrates). We describe the distinctive features of the circumcontinental distribution of components obtained as a result of numerical experiments and present arguments for the conclusion that the ecosystem of the Danube estuary water area plays the role of a buffer zone between the press of the Danubian biogenic pollutions and the neighbouring areas of the shelf zone and open sea. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

6.
7.
We present the results of investigation of the transformation of a momentum flux coming from the atmosphere into a water reservoir and establish the relationship between the surface velocity of the drift current and the dynamic velocity of wind. For the initial stage of the development of wind waves, we propose a dependence that enables one to determine the momentum flux spent for an increase in the intensity of waves via the momentum flux coming into the water reservoir from the wind. The behavior of the ratio of the momentum flux spent for the increase in the intensity of waves to the total momentum flux coming from the atmosphere into the water is studied depending on the dimensionless fetch and age of waves. In our analysis, we used both our own experimental data and the data available from the scientific literature. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

8.
在生态文明建设、生态红线制度、围填海管控等制度框架体系下,如何合理高效可持续地利用围填海存量资源、妥善处理好历史遗留问题,成为当前一项紧迫而重要的课题。文章以围填海存量资源优化利用为出发点,立足淤涨型滩涂演变的自然规律和海域的多功能性,借鉴梯度开发理论,提出围填海存量资源梯度开发模式,分析了该模式的生态环境适宜性、技术经济可行性及面临的海洋功能区划符合性、配套管理制度不足等制约因素,并从统一管理主体、探索多规合一、严格国土空间用途管制等方面提出了围填海存量资源梯度开发实施保障措施,为提高围填海集约节约利用度、创新基于陆海统筹的围填海配套管理制度提供新思路。  相似文献   

9.
We propose a method for the adaptive numerical analysis of current velocities in a basin including a shelf zone and having a lengthy open boundary with the sea, at which the current velocity is not given. This method is based on a multilayer quasiisopycnic model. We use an approach according to which one introduces additional terms of the source type into the equations of heat and salt transfer and the equation of evolution of the thicknesses of layers. We describe the results of calculations of the current velocities in the northwest part of the Black Sea in June on the basis of climatic data. We also analyse specific features of thermohaline and dynamic structure of waters. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

10.
On the basis of the data of the complex oceanographic experiment carried out in the course of the second Ukrainian Antarctic expedition in March 1998, we study the structure and kinematics of waters in the region of the archipelago of Argentine Islands. The regularities of thermohaline stratification of waters are discovered. We determine the most important environmental parameters premoting the variability of hydrophysical fields on time scales varying from several days up to a week, analyse the data of actual observations over the currents, and estimate the relative contribtions of diurnal and semidiurnal tidal waves to the total dispersion of hydrophysical parameters of the environment. The residual currents are filtered out. We propose a hypothesis about the mechanism of their formation. Various types of tidal currents are revealed and the directions of propagation of diurnal and semidiurnal tidal waves are determined. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

11.
For the submarine springs of underground water located in the karst cavities of Cape Aiya, we suggest a solution based on the modification of the model of flow rate of water and application of the formulas of mixing. We also give methodical recommendations helpful for the reliable determination of empirical parameters under thein situ conditions. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

12.
We describe the hydrological structure of waters of the Persian Gulf and its seasonal variability according to the data of CTD surveys carried out in February–June 1992 in the course of the cruises of the NOAA R/VMt. Mitchell aimed at the analysis of the consequences of the ecological catastrophe caused by the spread of oil spots formed as a result of war operations in the Persian Gulf in 1991. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

13.
We describe one of possible mechanisms of the formation of anomalies of the cloud field over the North Atlantic and Europe by using, as an example, the processes developed in the Atlantic-European sector during the natural synoptic season in the spring of 1996. It is shown that the anomalies of the cloud field can be classified with the use of the index of the North Atlantic oscillation and the latitude of the center of the Azorean maximum. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

14.
We analyse the time variability of the fields of Cs-137 concentration in the surface waters of the Black and Mediterranean Seas in 1986–1998. It is shown that more contaminated Black-Sea waters affect the levels of concentration of this radionuclide in the east part of the Mediterranean Sea. We also study the influence of atmospheric processes and water exchange through Bosporus on the radioecological situation in the east part of the Mediterranean Sea and its coastal area. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

15.
The problem of simulation of possible scenarios of the development of processes running in ecological economic systems is studied as a part of the general problem of control over natural economic complexes. The consumption of mineral, food, and ecological resources is regarded as credits given by the society to the producer and then refunded as a part of his gains. If this nature-protective tax does not compensate the damage to the environment caused by production, then the debt of the producer (called accumulated credit) appears and, finally, the process of consumption of the resources is terminated. A universal simulation model is constructed by using a new method of adaptive balance of causes (ABC method). We present basic concepts of this method and some examples of application of the simulation model to the analysis of various scenarios of consumption of marine bioresources under variable economic conditions for a marine environment with variable assimilation capacity.  相似文献   

16.
For a one type of temperature turbulent convection observed in the ocean, i.e., for the two-dimensional roller-type convection, we propose a model intended for the evaluation of the intensity and depth of penetration of convective motions as functions of a given heat flow from the sea surface and the temperature gradient in the thermocline. This model is based on the methods of the theory of turbulent jets and experimental data on the vertical distribution of temperature in the course of convection. The comparison of the calculated dimensionless values of the depth of penetration of the thermocline in autumn and winter shows a good qualitative agreement with the data ofin situ measurements. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

17.
We show that the parameters of primary radar images obtained from theSich-1 satellite depend on the mode of survey and that the time dependence of the coefficient of correction of amplification in the channel of formation of radar signals is nonlinear. We propose to process radar images of the sea surface by using the so-called Bragg normalization of signals, which enables one to get a physically correct dependence of specific effective scattering surface on the elevation angle. We also consider a procedure of determination of the dependence of specific effective scattering surface of the sea on the wind velocity on the basis of the data accumulated by the side-looking radar of theSich-1 satellite. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

18.
We analyze geostrophic currents with nonmonotonic vertical profiles, of velocity and present the distributions of the density of water and hydrostatic pressure corresponding to possible types of the vertical kinematic structure. To prove the existence of the indicated complex layered structures, we use, the data of instrumentalin situ measurements of currents in the Black Sea and in the west part of the Tropical Atlantic. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

19.
On the basis of the available literature data, we analyze basic classes of organic compounds dissolved in seawater and study the transformations of proteins, carbohydrates, and lipids produced in the process of photosynthesis in seawater and their behaviour in river water and estuaries of the Black Sea. We also discuss the causes and distinctive features of the processes of production and destruction in the Black Sea. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

20.
Within the framework of the linear theory of long waves, we study internal waves generated by a barotropic tide in a two-layer ocean of variable depth taking into account the influence of the Coriolis force. Barotropic waves run over an extended unevenness of the bottom at an arbitrary angle. This unevenness is regarded as a model of the continental slope and shelf. We establish the dependences of the amplitudes of generated internal waves on the angle of incidence of the barotropic tide, topography of the bottom, and stratification. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

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