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On August 25, 2008, an MW6.7 earthquake struck Zhongba County, central Lhasa block. Subsequently, an aftershock of MW6.0 occurred on September 25. The rupture caused by this earthquake is rather complicated. There are some differences in focal positions and fault parameters given by different institutions. In addition, a deeper understanding of the tectonic significance of this earthquake is also needed.
Firstly, we use interferometric synthetic aperture radar data collected by the environmental satellite(ENVISAT)of European Space Agency and the advanced land observing satellite(ALOS)of Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency to obtain eight coseismic deformation fields covering the whole epicenter region based on InSAR technology. Because the terrain in the earthquake area fluctuates greatly and there are many objects with low coherence(eg. lake), we choose 30-resolution SRTM DEM data as reference DEM, the more robust Goldstein as filtering method, and Delaunay Minimum Cost Flow as phase unwrapping method. The interferograms show that the surface deformation caused by this earthquake is about 50km long and is divided into two lobes, north and south. The shape of the deformation in the north is similar to that of Palung Co Lake, and the maximum signal is hidden by the lake. The deformation in the south has two centers, located at two ridges respectively. The aftershock also caused two minor deformations at the east and north of Palung Co Lake.
Secondly, we use uniform sampling method to downsample 8 interferograms, and set the sampling interval of near-field data to be much smaller than that of far-field region, to ensure the observation data characteristic and sampling density of the main deformation region. In order to better invert the rupture slip distribution of the main shock, we subtract the influence of aftershock deformation. Finally, 6 data sets for the main shock deformation are obtained. Smoothness of sliding distribution is applied to restrict the sliding amount of adjacent fault slices. The best-fit solution shows that at least two ruptures in the south and north are caused by the earthquake, mainly of normal dip-slip and partial sinistral strike-slip by Okada uniform elastic half-space dislocation model and SDM method. The northern rupture is related to the Palung Co Fault with NE strike, with the maximum deformation of -13.0cm and the maximum slip of 0.52m in the depth of~12km, and the southern rupture deformation is obviously strongly related to topography, with the maximum deformation of -38.7cm and the maximum slip of 1.15m in the depth of~14km. The maximum slip is located at(30.81°N, 83.45°E), between the positions determined by GCMT and NEIC. The results also show that normal fault earthquakes may play an important role in the uplift of Tibet Plateau.
Thirdly, we use 15 images obtained between 2008 and 2010 from ENVISAT to obtain the post-earthquake time series deformation to further understand the tectonic background of the earthquake using SBAS-InSAR technology. 54 pairs of good interferences are screened out for processing, of which 30 pairs were unwrapped by Delaunay MCF method. The velocity accuracy threshold is set to 2mm/a to ensure reliable estimation of deformation velocity value. After two step SBAS inversions, the time series of deformation after the earthquake is obtained, thereby revealing that the post-earthquake deformation is not obvious on both sides of the fault but in the denudation and deposition area. This shows that no obvious common phenomena such as afterslip or creep are found after the earthquake. From the three cumulative deformation profiles, it can be seen that the regional deformation is mainly denudation and subsidence related to topography and geomorphology, and the deformations of adjacent subsidence and uplift regions are basically the same. The result shows that the graben structure in Lhasa block is mainly vertical deformation caused by terrain difference. In order to explain this result, we processed GPS data from 1991 to 2015 and obtained the principal strain rate in the western region of Lhasa block. The result shows that the east-west extension in Lhasa block is obvious but uneven. The strain is mainly stretching or squeezing perpendicular to deep and large faults, and the strain decreases near the grabens. The tensile strain near the Palung Co fault graben is~2.4×108/a. This also shows that estimates of the tectonic activity based on geomorphology may be underestimated on some normal faults that have not been mapped or have no clear large-scale surface expression in the Tibet Plateau.
This study combines multi-orbit InSAR data to constrain the focal mechanism solution of the Zhongba earthquake, proving that abundant interferometric results can complement each other, which is helpful to analyze the deformation distribution caused by the earthquake more clearly and completely, especially in the absence of surface rupture. 相似文献
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汶川8级大地震活动断裂滑动速率异常低的比较讨论 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
本文在收集1900—2008年东亚大陆西部三角地震区内8次陆内逆冲型浅源大地震(M≥7.5)活动断裂的滑动速率基础上, 初步比较分析表明东亚大三角地震区陆内逆冲型孕震断层的缩短或垂直平均滑动速率≤12 mm/a; 2008年四川汶川8.0级大地震发生在滑动速率异常低(0.2～1.0 mm/a)的龙门山活动断层上; 地震震级大小和滑动速率大小之间的关系并没有显示出线性的简单相关关系; 地震震级大小可能与多种因素有关, 包括断层的地质年代、 尺度(长度、 宽度和深度)、 活动速率和历史、 物性, 以及应力-应变本构关系和动力学环境等, 需要深入研究。 相似文献
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2016年2月6日台湾西南部高雄市美浓区发生了MW6.4地震.本文结合ALOS2卫星升降轨、Sentinel-1A升轨SAR数据,采用两轨差分干涉技术获取了该区域的同震形变场,形变结果表明震中西北部以抬升为主,最大视线向形变量约为11.2 cm.基于均匀位错模型和多峰值粒子群（MPSO）算法,利用InSAR和GPS形变数据联合反演了美浓地震的断层几何参数,结果表明震源中心位于22.920°N,120.420°E,深度约12 km,发震断层长度约15 km,走向角307°,倾角16.5°,平均滑动角为51.5°,此次地震是以逆冲倾滑兼左旋走滑的破裂模式.利用格网迭代搜索法得到最优倾角为15.7°,GPS和InSAR最优权比为18：1,最优平滑因子为0.06.基于非均匀位错模型,利用非负最小二乘方法进行线性反演,结果显示最大倾滑和走滑量分别为51.7 cm和55.3 cm,对应矩震级为MW6.38,略小于GCMT （MW6.4）的结果.通过与已有文献的比较和对该区域断层构造的分析,发现美浓地震的发震断层为单一断层的解释更为合理,我们推测发震断层是位于左镇、后甲里等断层之间的一条东南-西北走向往东北倾斜的盲断层,并初步推测2010年MW6.3甲仙地震也同该断层有关. 相似文献
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Precise leveling data observed in the period of 1970–2014 around the Ordos block were collected and processed to estimate present-day crustal vertical movement. Vertical rates of 6 GPS sites were employed as a priori constraints to define the reference frame. The velocity field shows that the interior of the Ordos block moves upward at a rate of 3 mm/a as a stable block. With respect to the central Ordos, the grabens and rifts around the Ordos block are undergoing subsidence, while the northeastern and southwestern Ordos uplift at the average rates of 2 and 1 mm/a, respectively. To the southeastern margin of the Ordos block, the Weihe and southern Shanxi grabens are subsiding at the rates of 4–6 mm/a. The subsidence of the Shanxi graben indicates that the graben is experiencing extensional movement on a long timescale. To the northwestern margin of the Ordos block, the Hetao and Yinchuan rifts are subsiding at the rates of 2–3 mm/a. A 2-D buried faulting model is used to infer the normal or reverse dip-slip rates. Our solution shows that most of the normal slip rates along the faults in the grabens and rifts are ~2 mm/a. 相似文献
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昌马断裂带是是青藏高原北部一条活动强烈的左旋走滑断裂带。它表现为重力、航磁、地壳厚度的综合异常梯度带，属于断面陡、切割深的超岩石圈断裂。昌马断裂带由１２条长４公里至１８公里不等的不连续的主断层和４条次级断层组成，可划分为东、中、西三大段落。断裂的水平位移和滑动速率具有分段性，全新世以来，东、中、西三段的左旋水平滑动速率分别为４．１毫米／年，２．６毫米／年和１．５毫米／年。北东东、北北西和北西西三个方向断层的位移具有分级特征，不同级别的位移具有良好的同步性。全新世以来北东东、北北西和北西西三个方向断层的水平滑动速率分别为４．１毫米／年、３．８毫米／年和２．７毫米／年。白垩纪以来，昌马断裂呈天平式运动，显示了枢纽断裂运动特征，枢纽轴位于断裂中段。昌马地震震源破裂性质及其反映的震源应力场与地震破裂带的破裂性质及其反映的构造应力场不一致。昌马地震震源机制解反映了北北西～南南东挤压，作用应力近于水平的震源应力场；昌马地震破裂带的变形组合反映了东北～南西挤压的构造应力场。昌马地震破裂带长１２０公里，分为东部正走滑段、中部逆走滑段和西部尾端破裂段，显示了多个水平位移峰值。全新世以来，沿昌马断裂发生了６次强震事件，强震复发 相似文献
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MOMENT DEFICITS ON THE MAJOR FAULTS AND EARTHQUAKE HAZARD ASSESSMENT IN THE EASTERN HIMALAYAN SYNTAXIS 
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下载免费PDF全文 The Eastern Himalayan Syntaxis(EHS)is a critical region for studying the tectonic evolution of Tibetan plateau, which was affected by the intense seismic activities. We use the theory of moment balance, GPS velocities and historical earthquake records to analyze the moment deficits in the EHS, assess the future seismicity and further to predict the recurrence interval of the 1950 Chayu MS8.6 earthquake.
We first collected multiple sets of GPS velocity fields and combined them to reduce the systematic bias. Then a micro-blocks model, constrained by GPS velocities, was built by TDEFNODE software to simultaneously invert the fault elastic strain parameters and rigid motion parameters based on the grid research and simulated annealing methods. The long-term slip rates on the faults were further estimated by the differential motions between the neighboring blocks. The results show that the nearly NS dextral strike-slip faults, Naga Fault and Sagaing Fault, slip with the average rates of ~10.6 and ~16.6mm/a, which are consistent with the lateral extrusion in the Tibetan plateau. However, the Main Frontal Thrust shows a distinguished sinistral strike-slip feature(6~10mm/a), possibly caused by the NNE pushing from the Indian plate to the Eurasian plate. On the other hand, because the EHS is located in frontal area of the collision between Indian and Eurasian plate, most faults show thrusting feature. The most obvious one is the Mishimi Fault, slipping with the rate of 23.3mm/a, implying that the convergence rate of the Indo-European plates is largely absorbed by this fault. The moment accumulation rate in the EHS is higher than the average rate in the Tibetan plateau and the total moment accumulation is(1.15±0.03)×1022 N·m in the last 200a. About 59.7% and 21.6% of the moment accumulation rate concentrate on the Main Frontal Thrust and Mishimi Fault.
Second, we selected the earthquake records occurring on the upper crust since 1800AD to analyze the moment release in the EHS based on the data from the International Seismological Centre, United States Geological Survey, and catalogue of historical strong earthquakes in China and some other previous studies. In addition, the Global Centroid Moment Tensor Project and linear regression method were adopted to estimate the relationship between body wave magnitude(mb), surface wave magnitude(MS), local magnitude(ML)and the moment(M0). Then we further estimated the total fault moment release in the EHS, (5.50±2.54)×1021N·m, which is significantly lower than the total moment accumulation. About 79.2% of the moment release occurs on the Mishimi Fault, this is because the 1950 MS8.6 Chayu earthquake is assumed to have ruptured on this fault.
Finally, the present-day moment deficits on the faults in the EHS were calculated by the differences between the moment accumulation and release, which represent the possibility to produce earthquakes on the upper crust faults in the future. The largest moment deficit was found on the Main Frontal Thrust near Bhutan, which is able to rupture with MW8.1+. Similarly, earthquakes with MW7.5+ and MW7.3+ have the potentials to occur on the Naga Fault and the Jiali Fault near Tongmai. However, the future earthquake scales may be less than MW7.1 on the remaining faults. Moderate minor earthquakes are the main activity in the area near the Yarlung Zangbo Suture zone and the southern Sagaing Fault. Although the Chayu MS8.6 earthquake occurred near the Mishimi Fault and the eastern MFT, the earthquake risk on those two faults cannot be ignored. Meanwhile, no matter which fault produced the Chayu earthquake, its recurrence will likely be 660a to 1 030a. 相似文献
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2016年5月22日,在西藏定结县发生四次MW4~5地震,研究本序列地震的发震断层几何和运动特征对于认识周边活动断裂性质具有重要意义.由于发震地区偏远,且观测台网分布稀疏,本研究采用星载雷达干涉测量(DInSAR)技术进行了同震形变场重建,但是定结地震震级较小,单干涉像对获取的形变场受相位噪声影响较大.为了解决这一问题,本研究基于时间序列Sentinel-1A干涉数据生成多期同震与非同震干涉图,并利用叠加平均法对本次定结地震同震形变场进行重建,提取了定结2016年5月22日多次地震产生的同震累计整体形变场.基于InSAR同震形变场和区域地质特征,研究进行了滑动分布反演,确定其主要贡献的发震断层几何参数及滑动分布:断层走向为188°,倾角为43°,平均滑动角为78°,发震断层的运动性质以正断为主兼具少量左旋走滑分量,滑动主要集中在断层垂直深度0~9km处,最大滑动量约为25cm,位于断层倾向深度3km处,反演得到的矩震级为MW5.58.本研究结果表明采用星载InSAR叠加平均技术可以较好地压制相位噪声,有效提取此类中小型浅源地震同震微弱形变场.最后,我们认为本次定结地震与藏南拆离断层与申扎-定结断层的活动密切相关. 相似文献
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THRUST OF THE SOUTHERN LONGMENSHAN FAULT IN THE LATE QUATERNARY REVEALED BY RIVER LANDFORMS 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 The Longmenshan fault zone is divided into three sections from south to north in the geometric structure. The middle and northern segments are mainly composed of three thrust faults, where the deformation of foreland is weak. The geometric structure of the southern segment is more complex, which is composed of six fault branches, where the foreland tectonic deformation is very strong. The Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake occurred in the middle of the Longmenshan in 2008, activating the bifurcation of two branches, the Yingxiu-Beichuan and the Guixian-Jiangyou faults. In 2013, the Lushan MS7.0 earthquake occurred in the southern Longmenshan, whose seismogenic structure was considered to be a blind fault. After the Lushan earthquake, the seismic hazard in the southern Longmenshan has been widely concerned.
At present, the studies on active tectonics in the southern Longmenshan are limited to the Dachuan-Shuangshi and the Yanjing-Wulong faults. The Qingyi River, which flows across the southern Longmenshan, facilitates to study fault slip by the deformation of river terraces. Based on satellite imagery and high-resolution DEM analysis, we measured the fluvial terraces along the Qingyi river in detail. During the measurement, the Sichuan network GPS system (SCGNSS)was employed to achieve a precision of centimeter grade. Besides, the optical luminescence dating (OSL)method was employed to date the terraces' ages. And the late Quaternary activities of the six branch faults in the southern Longmen Shan were further analyzed.
The Gengda-Longdong, Yanjing-Wulong and the Xiao Guanzi faults (west branch of the Dachuan-Shuangshi fault)all show thrust slip and displaced the terrace T2. Their average vertical slip rates in the late Quaternary are 0.21-0.30mm/a, 0.12-0.21mm/a and 0.10-0.12mm/a, respectively. Since the Late Quaternary, vertical slip of the east branch of the Dachuan-Shuangshi fault was not obvious, and the arc-like Jintang tectonic belt was not active. Crustal shortening rate of the southern Longmenshan thrust fault zone in the late Quaternary is 0.48-0.77mm/a, which equals about half of the middle segment of the Longmenshan. Based on the previous study on the tectonic deformation of the foreland, we consider that the foreland fold belt in the southern Longmenshan area has absorbed more than half of the crustal shortening. The three major branch faults in the southern Longmenshan are active in the late Quaternary, which have risk of major earthquakes. 相似文献
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本文利用主成分分析、震间位错反演和小波技术分析了鲜水河断裂西北段的跨断层形变资料(1986—2013).结果表明:以左旋走滑为主的断层长期运动为跨断层资料的主要信息,且符合负指数函数的运动规律,随着断层深度的增加,滑动量逐渐减弱.从炉霍段、道孚段到乾宁段,断层闭锁程度逐渐增强.2001年昆仑山M8.1地震发生后,鲜水河断裂西北段地壳浅层(地表以下30km)的左旋走滑明显减弱,到2013年的累积减弱量为3~13mm.5·12汶川M8.0地震发生前,断层滑动出现周期4~5年的增强信号.4·20芦山M7.0地震发生前,断层滑动首先出现低频信号(4~5年周期)增强,随着地震发生临近,强信号频率逐渐升高,直到出现周期为1年的强信号. 相似文献
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文中收集了1999—2015年天山地震带及其周边地区的GNSS数据,计算得到了速度场结果,并利用弹性块体模型计算了研究区域内各块体的闭锁深度和主要断层的滑动速率。研究结果表明:南天山断裂带西段的迈丹断裂的缩短速率处于高值状态,达(-6.3±1.9) mm/a,高于南天山东段;北天山断裂带西段的缩短速率同样高于东段。利用主要断裂带的滑动速率计算出各地震带的地震矩积累变化及1900年以来的地震矩释放变化量,以分析地震矩亏损分布,结果显示北天山山前断裂、迈丹断裂、额尔齐斯断裂带北段和喀什河断裂西段存在较大的地震矩亏损,具有孕育7级以上地震的潜能,而北轮台断裂、柯坪断裂带中段则呈现地震矩盈余状态,在未来的一段时间内不具备发生强震的可能。 相似文献
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The Shanxi Graben System is one of the intracontinental graben systems developed around the Ordos Block in North China since the Cenozoic, and it provides a unique natural laboratory for studying the long-term tectonic history of active intracontinental normal faults in an extensional environment. Comparing with the dense strong earthquakes in its central part, no strong earthquakes with magnitudes over 7 have been recorded historically in the Jin-Ji-Meng Basin-and-Range Province of the northern Shanxi Graben System. However, this area is located at the conjunction area of several active-tectonic blocks(e.g. the Ordos, Yan Shan and North China Plain blocks), thus it has the tectonic conditions for strong earthquakes. Studying the active tectonics in the northern Shanxi Graben System will thus be of great significance to the seismic hazard assessment. Based on high-resolution remote sensing image interpretations and field investigations, combined with the UAV photogrammetry and OSL dating, we studied the late Quaternary activity and slip rate of the relatively poorly-researched Yanggao-Tianzhen Fault(YTF)in the Jin-Ji-Meng Basin-and-Range Province and got the followings: 1)The YTF extends for more than 75km from Dashagou, Fengzhen, Inner Mongolia in the west to Yiqingpo, Tianzhen, Shanxi Province in the east. In most cases, the YTF lies in the contact zone between the bedrock mountain and the sediments in the basin, but the fault grows into the basin where the fault geometry is irregular. At the vicinity of the Erdun Village, Shijiudun Village, and Yulinkou Village, the faults are not only distributed at the basin-mountain boundary, we have also found evidence of late Quaternary fault activity in the alluvial fans that is far away from the basin-mountain boundary. The overall strike of the fault is N78°E, but the strike gradually changes from ENE to NE, then to NWW from the west to the east, with dips ranging from 30° to 80°. 2)Based on field surveys of tectonic landforms and analysis of fault kinematics in outcrops, we have found that the sense of motion of the YTF changes along its strikes: the NEE and NE-striking segments are mainly normal dip-slip faults, while the left-laterally displaced gullies on the NWW segment and the occurrence characteristics of striations in the fault outcrop indicate that the NWW-striking segment is normal fault with minor sinistral strike-slip component. The sense of motion of the YTF determined by geologic and geomorphic evidences is consistent with the relationship between the regional NNW-SSE extension regime and the fault geometry. 3)By measuring and dating the displaced geologic markers and geomorphic surfaces, such as terraces and alluvial fans at three sites along the western segment of the YTF, we estimated that the fault slip rates are 0.12~0.20mm/a over the late Pleistocene. In order to compare the slip rate determined by geological method with extension rate constrained by geodetic measurement, the vertical slip rates were converted into horizontal slip rate using the dip angles of the fault planes measured in the field. At Zhuanlou Village, the T2 terrace was vertically displaced for(2.5±0.4)m, the abandonment age of the T2 was constrained to be(12.5±1.6)ka, so we determined a vertical slip rate of(0.2±0.04)mm/a using the deformed T2 terrace and its OSL age. For a 50°dipping fault, it corresponds to extension rate of(0.17±0.03)mm/a. At Pingshan Village, the vertical displacement of the late Pleistocene alluvial fan is measured to be(5.38±0.83)m, the abandonment age of the alluvial fan is(29.7±2.5)ka, thus we estimated the vertical slip rate of the YTF to(0.18±0.02)mm/a. For a 65° dipping fault, it corresponds to an extension rate of(0.09±0.01)mm/a. Ultimately, the corresponding extensional rates were determined to be between 0.09mm/a and 0.17mm/a. Geological and geodetic researches have shown that the northern Shanxi Graben System are extending in NNW-SSE direction with slip rates of 1~2mm/a. Our data suggests that the YTF accounts for about 10% of the crustal extension rate in the northern Shanxi Graben System. 相似文献
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2017年8月8日四川省九寨沟县发生M_s7.0地震.本文基于Sentinel-1 SAR影像,利用InSAR技术获取了此次地震的同震形变场,反演获得同震滑动分布,计算了同震位错对余震分布和周边断层的静态库仑应力变化,并对发震构造进行了分析讨论.结果表明:①InSAR同震形变场显示,九寨沟地震造成地表形变最大量级约为20 cm(雷达视线方向),同震形变存在非对称性分布特征.②同震位错以左旋走滑为主,主要发生在4~16 km深度,最大滑动量约为77 cm,位于9 km深处.反演得到的矩震级为Mw6.46.同震错动未破裂到地表.③大部分余震发生在库仑应力增加区.此次地震增加了震中周边地区一些断裂的库仑应力,如东昆仑断裂带东段、龙日坝断裂、虎牙断裂等.④东昆仑断裂东段的未来地震危险性值得关注.⑤九寨沟地震的发震断层为树正断裂,可能是虎牙断裂的北西延伸隐伏部分,此次地震是巴颜喀拉块体南东向运动受到华南块体的强烈阻挡过程中发生的一次典型构造事件. 相似文献
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2013年9月24日发生在巴基斯坦俾路支省(Balochistan)境内阿瓦兰县(Awaran)的MW7.7级地震,在地表产生了最大达10m的滑动量.利用TerraSAR-X短波雷达数据获取的InSAR同震形变场产生了密集且大范围的干涉条纹,给后续的相位解缠带来困难.而子带干涉法是一种无需或只需进行少量相位解缠,即可获得绝对相位差的新方法.其主要思路是通过缩减带宽以增长波长,从而减少干涉条纹数,降低解缠难度或不需解缠直接得到绝对相位差.但由于带宽的缩减,导致噪声的增大和旁瓣带来的额外干扰,使干涉图质量下降,因此在子带干涉参数选取、噪声滤波以及处理流程等方面需要特殊处理,特别是子带的中心频率和带宽的选取会很大程度地影响测量精度.首先选取典型DEM实验区,以干涉图相干性和误差为评价指标,利用逐步参数选取法,研究相关参数对子带干涉测量的影响,制定最优的参数方案,认识参数选取的原则和方法.在此基础上,将子带干涉应用于巴基斯坦地震的同震形变场获取.最后,将子带干涉、Landsat 8光学影像的交叉频谱相关法、offset-tracking、常规DInSAR获取的同震形变场进行比较,并与模型拟合的形变场进行对比分析.结果表明,子带干涉虽然会受失相干的影响,其提取的形变场范围相较于Landsat 8和offset-tracking有所缺失,但在共同覆盖的区域其精度和噪声水平更优,相比较于常规DInSAR,更适用于条纹密集和形变量大的地区. 相似文献
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2014年8月24日,在美国加州旧金山海湾北部的纳帕地区发生了MW6.1地震.发震断层是西纳帕断裂系统中的一部分,但是该断层之前并未被足够重视.本文利用欧洲空间局最近发射成功并刚刚投入使用的Sentinel-1A卫星获取的第一对同震干涉像对(20140807-20140831),得到了该地震的地表同震形变场,结合震后24h内区域GPS同震形变资料作为约束条件,反演了纳帕地震的断层几何参数以及滑动分布.Sentinel-1A干涉结果表明,此次地震造成了明显的地面形变,视线向最大抬升和最大沉降量均达到了10cm.联合反演结果表明,该发震断层的走向为344°,倾角为80°.主要破裂以右旋走滑为主,平均倾滑角为-146.5°,最大倾滑量达到了1.1m,位于地表下约4km,存在明显的滑动亏损现象.此次地震,累计释放地震矩达1.5×1018 N·m,约合矩震级MW6.1.该结果略小于InSAR单独约束结果,可能与Sentinel-1A像对中包含的快速震后形变分量有关. 相似文献
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Depths of earthquake occurrence and large slip distribution are critical for seismic hazard assessment.Numerous examples show that earthquakes with similar magnitudes,however,can result in significantly different ground shaking and damage.One of the critical factors is that whether the large slip was generated near the ground surface.In this article,we reviewed two aspects that are important on this regard,shallow slip deficit and nucleation depth.Understanding how shallow future earthquakes may nucleate in particular regions,such as shale gas fields,is critical for hazard assessment.Whether or not a strong earthquake may slip significantly at shallow depths(less than 3 km)plays crucial rules in seismic hazard preparation and should be further investigated by integrating high-resolution fault zone observations,dynamic rupture simulation,and fault zone properties.Moreover,precisely resolving shallow depth and slip distribution of earthquakes demands InSAR and/or other image data that can better capture the near-fault deformation to constrain the source parameters of earthquakes. 相似文献
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SIMULATION OF SEISMIC RISK IN THE DALIANGSHAN SUB-BLOCK AND ADJACENT AREAS USING THE NONLINEAR FRICTION FEM METHOD 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 Most earthquakes result from fault activity under heterogeneous loading and complex physical properties, also affected by fault structure and interaction between faults. Such a complicated mechanism makes often failures of the "seismic gap" theory in the effort of medium-and long-term earthquake prediction. This study attempts to address this issue using the finite element method(FEM).The friction behavior of faults can be used to simulate the non-uniformity of rupture processes of the seismogenic structure. So we use the FEM containing non-linear friction to simulate fault ruptures in the Daliangshan sub-block and adjacent areas, and compare the results with time-space evolution of historical MS ≥ 7 earthquakes since 1840 in this region. In the simulation, the sequence of large-batch fault contact nodes change from "stick state" to "slip state" in short time, which mimics the sudden fault slip and the occurrence of major earthquakes. The results show that the fault breaking lengths from simulation are largely consistent with the magnitudes of historical earthquakes in the study area, such as the 1850 Puge-Xichang MS7.5, and 1887 Shiping MS7.0 earthquakes. The simulation also shows the development of seismic gaps and "gap breaks" by major earthquakes on the Xianshuihe fault, such as 1955 Kangding MS7.5 earthquake. Especially, the results illustrated the very long time of the seismogenic process of the 2008 Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake, and the corresponding sudden big rupture along the Longmenshan Fault, which is very similar to the observed surface rupture and very long incubation time and sudden co-seismic process. Then, this simulation is further applied to long-term earthquake prediction for the study area by calculation on a much longer time. The simulation results suggest that the Xiaojiang fault and the Zemuhe fault have relatively higher seismic risk, while moderate-sized earthquakes might occur on the Daliangshan fault and the Aninghe fault, and major earthquakes might rupture the northern segment of the Xianshuihe fault in a much longer time. 相似文献
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Fault slip rate is one of the most important subjects in active tectonics research, which reveals the activity and seismic potential of a fault. Due to the improvement of dating precision with the development of dating methods, Holocene geological markers, even the young markers of thousands or hundreds of years old, are widely used in fault slip rate calculation. Usually, uncertainties from a single event and erosion of the accumulated offsets are involved in fault slip rate determination. Two types of uncertainties are related to a single event; the first is the time elapsed since the latest (the most recent) event; the second is the period since the formation of the geological marker to the occurrence of the first event. High‐slip‐rate faults are more sensitive to these uncertainties than low‐slip‐rate faults. In this study, we studied quantitatively the effects of a single event on fault slip rate following the three classic earthquake models: the characteristic earthquake, uniform slip and variable slip models. We suggest that the erosion of the accumulated offset–lateral erosion on a strike‐slip fault, should also be considered in fault slip estimation. Therefore, we propose a differential method to obtain a reliable fault slip rate. In the differential method, the slip rate is the ratio of offset differentials and corresponding age differentials between the older and younger terraces along strike‐slip faults. This kind of differential method could avoid the uncertainties from the first and latest events, as well as that from the lateral erosion. By applying the differential method, we got the revised slip rates of ∼5–10 mm/year on the Altyn Tagh and Kunlun faults. These low slip rates could fit previous geodetic and geological fault slip rates and shortening rates as well as the millennial recurrence intervals of strong earthquakes along the major segments of these faults. 相似文献