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通过对山西河津4.8级地震前的各种前兆异常信息进行识别,发现地震前短临异常尤为突出,出现转折、加速、慢地震等现象.据此总结在地震孕育过程中前兆手段的一些异常演变特征,为山西中南部“十五”数字化资料进一步研究地震前兆信息和预报提供实际震例资料,对获取更多的震前信息提供有力证据. 相似文献
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地下水动态趋势和短临异常 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
在无其他因素引起水量增、减条件下,地下水动态大于一年的趋势变化是地下水动态的异常变化。识别地下水动态异常变化的条件是调查观测井的水文地质环境、水动力条件及水量有无变化。在趋势异常发展背景下地下水动态趋势的转折与地震活动有关。列举了河间等三口井近年来的水位观测结果,表明短临异常在震前均有趋势变化背景,因此短临异常的判别要以趋势变化分析为基础。地下水动态趋势异常和短临异常随时间的分布是有序的,用序列异常方法分析异常与地震活动形势,研究序列异常发生、发展、演变的规律与地震活动的关系,对地震发生的时间和强度有较好的预报意义。 相似文献
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1999年 11月 1日 ,在山西大同—阳高一带发生了 Ms5 .6地震。山西离石地震台依据该台地倾斜观测出现的异常 ,震前对这次地震作了较好的短临地震预报 ,为了探讨单台地震预报的方法 ,在该次短临预报的基础上 ,进一步用差分法、滤波法、矢量法、形态分析法对观测资料作了进一步的处理 ,发现该台地倾斜震前异常反映较好 ,具有明显的阶段性特征。指出 ,这对山西的地震监测预报有重要的作用。 相似文献
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从山西测震学资料入手,在核实异常的基础上,总结了１９８９年以来华北北部３次６级左右地震前的异常,并对该方法的映震能力进行了初步检评。指出,这些地震前,山西北部存在着地震空区和条带异常,在山西大同—阳高老震区还存在着短临异常。 相似文献
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地震预报是件十分困难的事,尤其是短临预报。十多年来,在利用地下水的动态异常来预测地震方面有了新的进展,并在地震成因理论方面有新的探索。本文详述了石棉5.3级地震前地下水的异常特征。给出了地下水日常监视预测指标。震前四川地震地下水观测网中渡口、会理、西昌、石棉及康定观测台的水位、水温出现异常,依据这些异常,地震前作出了短临预报。 相似文献
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《国际地震动态》2017,(12)
2008年山西数字地震台网投入运行以来,在山西南部发生两次较为显著的地震事件,即2010年1月24日山西河津4.8级地震和2016年3月12日山西盐湖4.4级地震,这两次中等地震无论中期还是短期预测,都取得了一定的成效。通过分析这两次地震前异常时空变化特征,发现东郭井水位水温、侯马水管、临汾水平摆和垂直摆等测项均出现较显著的短临异常,异常重现性较好,可将其作为山西南部地区中等地震短临预测的主要依据;大同老震区窗口爆发活动异常对山西地区中等地震有较好的短临预测意义,可作为发震时间的主要预测依据。而发震地点预测必须依据地震活动异常和地震前兆异常来进行综合判别,二者集中出现的地区往往是发震的地区。 相似文献
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通过对包头６．４级地震临震前动物、地下水等宏观异常时、空、强分布特征的研究,提出了利用动物、地下水震前宏观异常加强短临追综研究,进行短临预报的思路和方法。 相似文献
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John F. Hall 《地震工程与结构动力学》1986,14(2):281-295
The earthquake response of Pine Flat Dam is examined by a study of time history responses computed for a large set of earthquake ground acceleration records whose time axes have been systematically varied. Linear elastic behaviour is assumed. Topics considered include an investigation of the importance of the presence of water, water compressibility and the vertical component of ground motion; an evaluation of the accuracy of the lumped, added mass representation of the water; and a determination of the intensity of earthquake required to initiate non-linear behaviour in both the dam and water. 相似文献
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１９８０年以来，豫北安阳至清丰水准测线上出现了较大的地面沉降漏斗。通过对标石稳定性、采矿影响、地壳构造运动特别是地下水与地壳形变关系的分析研究，认为漏斗形成的原因与地下水和地层有关，并非地震前兆异常。 相似文献
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Comparison of strong-motion records and damage implications between the 2014 Yunnan M_S6.5 Ludian earthquake and M_S6.6 Jinggu earthquake 
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下载免费PDF全文 Serial destructive earthquakes have caused heavy casualties and economic losses to the city in southwestern of China. The Ludian M_s 6.5 earthquake and the Jinggu M_s6.6 earthquake occurred in Yunnan province in 2014. There is a question of why the two events with almost the same level of magnitude caused differences in earthquake damage. To understand the uniqueness of the phenomenon,this paper focuses on the characteristics of the ground motions and post-earthquake field investigation for the two events.Firstly, we present an overview of the residuals between the Ludian earthquake and the Jinggu earthquake based on the YW06 Ground Motion Prediction Equation(GMPE), and explain the unusual destructiveness of the strong ground motion. Then we analyze the ground motion recordings at selected typical station, based on the strong motion parameters: equivalent predominant frequency and Arias intensity. The result exhibits a good agreement with the Chinese seismic intensity scale. This study would be helpful to gain a better knowledge of the characteristics and variability of ground motions for M_S6 class earthquakes in China and to understand the implications to future earthquakes with similar focal mechanism and local condition. 相似文献
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大灰厂井水位上升异常及其震兆意义 总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4
分析了大灰厂水位多年变化趋势及其影响因素的基础上,确认2003年10月9日开始出现的水位上升异常,把该异常与本台的地形变异常、邻近的另一口井水位变化对比分析后认为异常是构造运动引起的,不是干扰异常,通过震例研究,进一步认为该异常具有震兆意义。 相似文献
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M. Kawano K. Asano H. Dohi S. Matsuda 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2000,20(5-8):493-507
The linear and non-linear responses of surface soil layers have been predicted through the simultaneous simulation test against the observed ground motions at the six sites in Kobe City during the 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu earthquake. The total stress analysis method and the effective stress analysis method have been applied for the rough and detailed verification of the predicted non-linear dynamic behavior at the PIS and RKI sites including the liquefaction phenomenon. The shear strain distribution along depth, the ratio of excess pore water pressure to initial effective stress, the liquefaction strength parameters to initial effective stress, and the stress–strain curve during the earthquake at the PIS site have been investigated when the predicted ground motion could simulate successfully the observed acceleration time histories and response spectra in the non-linear range. 相似文献
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本文根据近十年来我国地声观测的某些结果, 分析了地声的时-空分布特点, 并估计了透入基岩面上和水面中的声压.同时与震前动物异常特点, 以及与人和某些动物的听觉和振动感受器的敏感阈值进行了比较.最后, 对唐山余震期间同时段内鱼和地声活动的观察结果, 进行了相关分析.其结果如下:1.地声和动物异常的时-空分布图式基本相似, 并可认为都是临震前兆.2.三级左右地震震中附近地区, 地声透入基岩面上和水面中的声压, 在150——250赫芝频段内, 分别为23——19分贝和90——86分贝.由此可见, 人耳是不可能感觉到的, 但是通常在地面上栖息的猫、狗、雉和穴居的鼠是可能觉察到的, 而骨鳔鱼类可能优先于这些陆生动物觉察到水中的地声信息.同时, 基岩面位移的垂直振幅约为10-7厘米.这虽比某些动物的振动感受器的阈振幅约低3个数量级.但可推测, 在强烈地震前的地面位移的垂直振幅可达到或超过微米量级.这就可能为这些动物的振动感受器觉察到.3.相距约20公里的鱼和地声活动观察点, 同期内的观察结果表明, 它们共同反映了同一地区内的唐山余震活动.同时, 鱼和地声活动的日频度序列之间具有一定的互相关性. 相似文献
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Ground water can facilitate earthquake development and respond physically and chemically to tectonism. Thus, an understanding of ground water circulation in seismically active regions is important for earthquake prediction. To investigate the roles of ground water in the development and prediction of earthquakes, geological and hydrogeological monitoring was conducted in a seismogenic area in the Yanhuai Basin, China. This study used isotopic and hydrogeochemical methods to characterize ground water samples from six hot springs and two cold springs. The hydrochemical data and associated geological and geophysical data were used to identify possible relations between ground water circulation and seismically active structural features. The data for delta18O, deltaD, tritium, and 14C indicate ground water from hot springs is of meteoric origin with subsurface residence times of 50 to 30,320 years. The reservoir temperature and circulation depths of the hot ground water are 57 degrees C to 160 degrees C and 1600 to 5000 m, respectively, as estimated by quartz and chalcedony geothermometers and the geothermal gradient. Various possible origins of noble gases dissolved in the ground water also were evaluated, indicating mantle and deep crust sources consistent with tectonically active segments. A hard intercalated stratum, where small to moderate earthquakes frequently originate, is present between a deep (10 to 20 km), high-electrical conductivity layer and the zone of active ground water circulation. The ground water anomalies are closely related to the structural peculiarity of each monitoring point. These results could have implications for ground water and seismic studies in other seismogenic areas. 相似文献