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1.
ＡｄｅｔｅｒｍｉｎｉｓｔｉｃｍｅｔｈｏｄｆｏｒｄｅｓｉｇｎｉｎｇｎｅａｒｆｉｅｌｄａｎｄｆａｒｆｉｅｌｄｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓＭｅｎｇ－ＴａｎＧＡＯ；（高孟潭）Ｊｉａ－ＱｕａｎＹＡＮ；（鄢家全）ａｎｄＷｅｉＨＡＮ；（＠２韩炜）（Ｉｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆ... 相似文献
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The Seismic Intensity Zoning Map of China(1990)was based on the probabilistic method of seismic hazard analysis.In compiling the map,the characteristics of inhomogeneity of earthquake distribution both in space and time in China are considered sufficiently,and some necessary modifications in the model of seismic hazard analysis are carried out.Based on the analysis of the seismic activity and seismotectonic environment,26 seismic provinces are divided first as the statistical elements of the seismicity analysis; the seismic potential source areas are then divided in the seismic provinces.The 733 potential source areas with various upper limit magnitudes have been divided in the country.According to the reliable time domain of earthquake data with various magnitude intervals,the b values in magnitude-frequency relationship are calculated in the seismic provinces.According to the analysis of the inhomogeneity of seismicity distribution both in space and time,the annual average occurrence rates of the eart 相似文献
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我国新的地震区划图(1990年版)是采用地震危险性慨率分析方法编制的。该图给出的是场点地震烈度值,该值在50年内被突破的概率为0.1。人们普遍关注该图与我国曾经编制的地震区划图(1957年版,1977年版)的区别,该图超越概率概念的内含和外延以及超越概率水平为什么采用50年超越概率0.1。本文围绕这些问题进行了讨论。分析结果表明,前两张地震区划图编图的基本着眼点都是地震预测,而新的地震区划着眼于场点的地震动预测。新的地震区划图是按场点地震危险性分析方法给出的,它所表示的地震危险性只能针对具体的场点,不能完全反映区域的地震危险性特征。而弄清场点地震危险性和区域地震危险性的差异是正确进行区域防灾对策的基础。作者希望这些讨论能对正确使用新的地震区划图有所裨益。 相似文献
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关于在基础设施抗震规范中规定最低设防要求的一点建议 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
作者针对目前我国基础设施抗震设计时遇到的问题,给出了以下建议:①根据地震作用水平,对结构不同部位、不同构件制定不同的设计目标,明确设计构件所用的强度、延性参数指标;②我国地震动区划图提供的地震动参数仅仅是中震水平(地震重现期475年),实际发生的地震可能远远超过中震水平,在基础设施设计时应对大震(罕遇地震)有所考虑,甚至应考虑超预期地震发生后的应对、应急措施;③提高最低设防水准,并非是提高一度设防,应通过确定最小地震动参数满足最低设防要求,并在地震动区划图中以地震重现期代表地震危险程度;④对于Ⅵ度以下设防地区的基础设施结构物,都应按照Ⅵ度设防标准设计并考虑采取相应的抗震措施. 相似文献
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In this paper, by means of the statistical analysis method of stochastic spatial point process, statistical analysis of spatial
distribution of earthquakes in the large northern region of China is made. Emphasis is on the test and analysis of the complete
spatial randomness, correlation of earthquake distribution in the different magnitude interval and random labeling. It is
shown by the analysis that the spatial distribution of earthquakes in the large northern region is “clustered”, the distributions
of earthquakes in different magnitude interval are positively correlated and can be modeled by a two-dimensional process.
The results obtained in the paper can be used for the establishment of a reasonable spatial distribution model and have some
application in the reasonable estimation of seismic hazard.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 129–135, 1993. 相似文献
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In order to examine the applicability of ground‐shaking mapping techniques to a near‐field earthquake, a peak ground velocity map of the 1995 Hyogo‐ken Nanbu, Japan earthquake computed from seismic zoning methods that consider the effects of geological conditions is compared with the actual observed intensity map. When computing the ground‐shaking map, the site amplification at each site is calculated in terms of the average shear‐wave velocity of the ground estimated from the corresponding geomorphological conditions. This map shows a relatively good agreement with the observed intensity map. However, the computations provide smaller values for certain disastrous areas of the earthquake, where the effects on ground motion of a deep, irregular underground structure have been reported. The effect of such structures on site response is examined implementing 2D FEM analyses, thereby being also incorporated into the method. Results considering the effect of the irregular underground structure show better agreement with the observed intensity map. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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Two kinds of methods for determining seismic parameters are presented,that is,the potential seismic source zoning method and grid-spatially smoothing method. The Gaussian smoothing method and the modified Gaussian smoothing method are described in detail, and a comprehensive analysis of the advantages and disadvantages of these methods is made. Then,we take central China as the study region,and use the Gaussian smoothing method and potential seismic source zoning method to build seismic models to calculate the mean annual seismic rate. Seismic hazard is calculated using the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis method to construct the ground motion acceleration zoning maps. The differences between the maps and these models are discussed and the causes are investigated. The results show that the spatial smoothing method is suitable for estimating the seismic hazard over the moderate and low seismicity regions or the hazard caused by background seismicity; while the potential seismic source zoning method is suitable for estimating the seismic hazard in well-defined seismotectonics. Combining the spatial smoothing method and the potential seismic source zoning method with an integrated account of the seismicity and known seismotectonics is a feasible approach to estimate the seismic hazard in moderate and low seismicity regions. 相似文献
10.
To actually reflect the seismic temporal-spatial inhomogeneity of intra continental strong earthquakes of North China in seismic
hazard analysis, several seismological and geological characteristics have been selected and quantized to describe the seismicity
features in time and space of every magnitude interval with the thought of dividing the interesting magnitude range into several
intervals and using of spatial probability distribution function. A component analysis method with orthogonal transformation
is introduced to avoid the repeated use of the same element and the subjective effects in determining the annual earthquake
occurrence rates of earthquake. By passing synthetic fuzzy judgement on the nonintercorrelated new characteristics, the annual
occurrence rates of every magnitude interval of each potential source area are obtained associated with the adjustments of
earthquake reducing process after the occurrence ofM>7 quake. An intensity map of the Beijing-Tianjin-Zhangjiakou area is calculated as an example which shows a close coincidence
with the seismic temporal-spatial inhomogeneity of North China.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 496–504, 1991. 相似文献
11.
地震烈度模糊标定及其工程应用 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
本文根据文献[1]提供的地震烈度衰减资料,研究了我国地震烈度区划图中所具有的模糊性。为与新颁布的建筑结构抗震规范中对地震环境的要求相适应,文中提出地震烈度、近震和远震的模糊性标定方法,同时探讨了烈度、近震和远震模糊标定结果的工程应用等问题。 相似文献
12.
Shao-Xie Xu 《地震学报(英文版)》1993,6(2):517-533
The method of prediction of earthquake by using seismisity (MPES) is to make use of the message of earthquakes (including
large, middle, small) in pre-period to predict large earthquake in post-period. Some better methods are presented in this
paper which are selected among many means used in our country recent years. These methods are classified into six sets: 1.
Method of spatial pattern; 2. Method of time process; 3. Method of seismic sequence; 4. Method of earthquake correlation;
5. Method of parameters of seismic source and medium; 6. Comprehensive method. Prediction effects of each method are evaluated
with unique score. The value of each method, scoreR, are generally in a range between 0.3 and 0.6. This value only represents internal consistency, however, the ability of actual
prediction belongs to the extensional effect, which is generally lower than the value of internal consistency. If the ability
of actual prediction could be evaluated withR = 0.3, the ability of prediction of earthquake by seismicity will be stated as following: If most of earthquakes must be
predicted, the warning time needs to take seventy percent of whole time period of prediction; If half earthquakes must be
predicted, the warning time needs to take twenty percent of whole time period of prediction.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 239–252, 1993. 相似文献
13.
震后应急工作中地震影响场的判定和快速给出较为合理的地震烈度分布图,是震后应急救援的重要依据,对于政府了解灾情、部署工作以及估算灾害损失都尤为重要,所以本文以此为研究目的,力求震后快速给出准确的地震烈度分布图。本文收集整理了河北地区中强地震的实际等震线图,将其与加入了震源机制解影响参数的烈度衰减关系计算得到的理论等震线图进行对比。结果显示:随着震级的增大,由衰减关系计算得到的等震线图与实际地震等震线图在高烈度区（≥Ⅶ度）相似度更高。另外,根据震后24小时内余震频度的空间变化,对极震区理论等震线修正后,其与实际等震线更加贴合,即理论计算烈度与实际调查烈度值更加接近。最后,对河北地区划分网格,根据地震动衰减关系计算震例对各个网格中心点产生的影响—基岩PGA。提取场地类别属性,考虑场地放大因子,完成基岩PGA到地表PGA的转换。将地表PGA换算成烈度,并与实际地震等震线图进行对比分析。结果表明,考虑了场地放大效应的地震影响场在高烈度区与实际等震线相似度很高,且相似度超过基于震源机制解的烈度衰减关系方法。 相似文献
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Hu-Shuan Wang 《地震学报(英文版)》1993,6(3):705-712
Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model of computation based on mathematical model of neural processes is applied to establish
an intelligent computing network from seismic intensity to peak ground parameter instead of the conventional statistical relationship
in this paper. For a give seismic intensity rating, the network formed with actual strong ground motion records directly produces
the corresponding peak ground parameters and the effects of earthquake magnitude and epicentral distance are included. The
computed results of the network trained with a number of strong motion records in the West America show that such networks
have obtained good conversion relationship from seismic intensity to peak ground parameters.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 208–216, 1993. 相似文献
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高孟潭 《地震学报(英文版)》1994,7(3):441-446
ＥｘｐｅｃｔｅｄｍａｇｎｉｔｕｄｅａｎｄｄｉｓｔａｎｃｅｏｆｐｏｔｅｎｔｉａｌｓｏｕｒｃｅａｒｅａａｎｄｔｈｅｅｓｔｉｍａｔｉｎｇｍｅｔｈｏｄＭｅｎｇ－ＴｔａｎＧＡＯ（高孟潭）（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＧｅｏｐｈｙｓｉｃｓ，ＳｔａｔｅＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇ... 相似文献
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本文从地震基本烈度含义的演变入手，重点叙述了山西地震基本烈度的分布特征、影响场、地震烈度区划图的正确使用和建设场地的地震安全性评价关系等问题。 相似文献
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国家地震局组织所属单位共同编制了《中国地震烈度区划图》(1:300万),1977年已由国家地震局正式颁布,供建设规划和确定中、小型工程地区基本烈度使用参考.地震基本烈度是指某地区今后一定时期内,在一般场地条件下可能遭受的最大烈度.该图是一幅1973年以后未来百年内地震基本烈度的预告图.本文介绍了编制该图的主要原则和方法.由于目前对地震活动的认识水平和研究程度的限制,方法不可能是完善的,预告也不一定准确,有待今后进一步研究. 相似文献
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Based on the models of non-uniform earthquake distribution in the potential source,the seismic zonation of Western Panzhihua and Central and Southern Shanxi Province is studied.The results show that the usual uniform distribution model may underestimate the seismic risk and result in a reduction of the areas of high intensity.The influence of each non-uniform probabilistic distribution method on the result of seismic zoning is discussed. 相似文献