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为了充分发挥地方地震监测预报机构的作用,发挥区域优势,推动群测群防工作的开展。认为,地方地震监测预报部门的基础性工作必须要从重视基础研究、抓观测资料质量、提高会商质量、提高监测队伍素质、深入开展地震科普知识宣传等方面入手,才能适应当前监测预报体系的发展要求。 相似文献
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1 研究背景
我国将大地测量用于地震监测预报始于1966年邢台地震,现已逐步发展成为具有多手段、多队伍的地形变监测学科,积累现象了大量监测资料.在地震的中长期预测、中短期预报中有较为成功的实例,但错报、漏报现象也不少.地震预报水平与防震减灾的实际需求仍有较大差距,实事求是地总结成功经验与失败教训,有利于清醒认识地震监测预报水平,以便不断完善多手段地形变监测,推动地震科研事业不断向前发展. 相似文献
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本文概要综述了近30年来四川地震监测、科研和预报工作的进展。观测台网从无到有,由疏到密,从“土”到新,得到较快的发展;取得各类连续观测资料,积累了一批宝贵的震例;获得地震地质、观测系统研制和建设、地震学和地震预报多项重大科研成果;成功实现10次中强地震的短临预报,其中6级以上地震预报成功6次。经统计,四川地区实现6级以上主震的短临预报比例0.43;川、滇两省区5.5级以上主震的短临预报实现比例0.39,均远高于这一时期世界其他有监测预报能力地区的地震预报水平。同时也指出目前地震预报面临的困难和挑战。 相似文献
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本文根据我国地震监测预报的实践,论述了地震监测预报中横向联系的必要性和搞好横向联系的可能性,提出了横向联系形式上的多样性和方法上的灵活性,以及发展横向联系应该坚持的“自愿结合、平等互惠”原则。 相似文献
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INTRODUCTIONItisknownthatChinaisanearthquake pronecountryintheworldandisalsoacountrysufferingmostsevereseismiccalamitiesintheworld .China’sterritoryoccupiesabout 1 1 4oftheglobalconti nentalarea ,whileabout 1 3ofglobalM≥ 7.0continentalearthquakesoccurredinCh… 相似文献
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随着新观测技术和理论的进一步发展,同位素地球化学方法在地震监测预测研究中发挥了越来越重要的作用。通过同位素地球化学方法确定地下流体来源,研究地下流体循环特征,分析地震前兆异常的成因,评估地质构造活动的程度,开展地震预测研究。同位素示踪技术还可以结合深源流体监测和地球物理方法,揭示地震孕育、流体与震源之间的关系。此外,同位素地球化学还可以构建断裂带流体地球化学背景特征,用于地震监测点映震效能的评估,提高地震监测预测的准确性,为地震新监测点的布设和震情跟踪提供技术支撑。通过对现今同位素在地震监测预测中所使用的方法、技术及国内外应用情况的总结分析,力图全面认识同位素地球化学在地震监测预测应用中的现状及发展趋势。 相似文献
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地震灾害造成的损失随社会发展而加重。经济迅速发展的我国新世纪防震减灾应采取新措施;需要提高地震设防标准,鼓励部分建筑先坚固起来,使我国建设的抗震能力在几十年内逐步达到国际先进水平;应在全国范围内抑制虚报,科学地确定地震预报的震级下限,通过清理地震预报方法提高报准率,从总体上提高地震预报效益;应重视震时应急行动的研究;应加强企业的防震减灾工作,并通过立法加以落实。 相似文献
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Chen Zhangli 《中国地震研究》2001,15(4):329-345
In the article the author looks back the hard development course and great progress in earth quake science and technology in China during the last near a half of century and expounds the following 3 aspects: (1) The strong desire of the whole society to mitigate seismic disasters and reduce the effect of earthquakes on social-economic live is a great driving force to push forward the development of earthquake science and technology in China; (2) To better ensure people‘ s life and property, sustainable economic development, and social stability is an essential purpose to drive the development of earthquake science and technology in China; and (3) To insist on the dialectical connection of setup of technical system for seismic monitoring with the scientific research of earthquakes and to better handle the relation between crucial task, current scientif ic level, and the feasibility are the important principles to advance the earthquake science and technology in China. Some success and many setbacks in earthquake disaster mitigation consistently enrich our knowledge regarding the complexity of the conditions for earthquake occurrence and the process of earthquake preparation, promote the reconstruction and modernization of technical system for earthquake monitoring, and deepen the scientific research of earthquakes. During the last 5 years, the improvement and modernization of technical system for earthquake monitoring have clearly provided the technical support to study and practice of earthquake prediction and pre caution, give prominence to key problems and broaden the field of scientific research of earth quakes. These have enabled us to get some new recognition of the conditions for earthquake oc currence and process of earthquake preparation, characteristics of seismic disaster, and mecha nism for earthquake generation in China‘s continent. The progress we have made not only en courages us to enhance the effectiveness of earthquake disaster mitigation, but also provides a basis for accelerating further development of earthquake science and technology in China in the new century, especially in the 10th five-year plan. Based on the history reviewed, the author sets forth a general requirement for develop ment of earthquake science and technology in China and brings out 10 aspects to be stressed and strengthened at present and in the future. These are: upgrade and setup of the network of digitized seismic observation; upgrade and setup of the network for observation of seismic pre cursors; setup of the network for observation of strong motion; setup of the laboratories for ex periment on seismic regime; establishment of technical system for seismic information, emer gency command and urgent rescue; research on short-term and imminent earthquake predic tion; research on intermediate- and long-term earthquake prediction; research on attenuation of seismic ground motion, mechanism for seismic disaster, and control on seismic disaster; ba sic research fields related to seismology and geoscience. We expect that these efforts will signifi cantly elevate the level of earthquake science and technology in China to the advanced interna tional level, improve theories, techniques, and methods for earthquake precaution and predic tion, and enhance the effectiveness of earthquake disaster mitigation. 相似文献
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广东省的地震工作如何适应经济发展和对外开放的新形势?本文认为:经济愈发展愈开放,就愈要加强防灾意识强化防灾措施;调整工作重心,从抓单一的地震监测预报调整到以监测预报为基础的地震综合预防;调整管理体制,强化政府管理职能,实行政、事分开;改善地震事业经费来源,国家提供“干活”经费,地方政府负责解决“吃饭”经费;诱发内部改革,扩大对外开发、增加事业发展活力和后劲;扩大与南中国海周边国家及港、澳、台地区的地震科技交流和合作、努力拓展工程地震市场、促进地震事业发展。 相似文献
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本文通过对天祝—景泰6.2级地震监测预报工作全过程的研究,展示了地电方法监测预报地震的新进展。另外,对如何运用地电场的分布变化规律及地电阻率异常时间、幅度的特征进行监测预报作了探讨。 相似文献
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Some Thoughts on the Earthquake Science Experimental Site——The Underground Cloud Map 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The Western Yunnan Earthquake Predication Test Site set up jointly by the China Earthquake Administration, the National Science Foundation Commission of America, and United States Geological Survey has played an important role in development of early earthquake research work in China. Due to various objective reasons, most of the predicted targets in the earthquake prediction test site have not been achieved, and the development has been hindered. In recent years, the experiment site has been reconsidered, and renamed the “Earthquake Science Experimental Site”. Combined with the current development of seismology and the practical needs of disaster prevention and mitigation, we propose adding the “Underground Cloud Map” as the new direction of the experimental site. Using highly repeatable, environmentally friendly and safe airgun sources, we could send constant seismic signals, which realizes continuous monitoring of subsurface velocity changes. Utilizing the high-resolution 3-D crustal structure from ambient noise tomography, we could obtain 4-D (3-D space + 1-D time) images of subsurface structures, which we termed the “Underground Cloud Map”. The “Underground Cloud Map” can reflect underground velocity and stress changes, providing new means for the earthquake monitoring forecast nationwide, which promotes the conversion of experience-based earthquake prediction to physics-based prediction. 相似文献