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1.
Koichiro Obana Shuichi Kodaira Yoshiyuki Kaneda 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》2004,222(2):561-572
Along the Nankai trough, southwestern Japan, the Philippine Sea plate (PSP) is subducting beneath the Eurasian plate, and large interplate earthquakes have occurred repeatedly with a recurrence interval of about 100-200 years. The most recent large thrust event in the eastern Nankai trough off Kii Peninsula was the 1944 Tonankai earthquake. In this region, current seismicity is very low and hypocenters are not determined accurately by the land seismic network. We conducted microseismicity observations around the rupture area of the 1944 Tonankai earthquake using ocean bottom seismographs (OBSs). Hypocenters were determined using a 2-D seismic velocity structure model based on an airgun-OBS seismic survey. Results obtained show that the seismicity was relatively active near the trough axis. These earthquakes may relate to deformation of the subducting Philippine Sea plate. On the other hand, microseismicity in the rupture area of the 1944 Tonankai earthquake was very low. This low-level seismic activity in the co-seismic rupture area of the 1944 Tonankai earthquake likely relates to a single large asperity off Kii Peninsula. 相似文献
2.
The Dogo hot spring, situated in Matsuyama City, Ehime Prefecture, Japan, is one of the oldest and most famous hot springs
in Japan. The groundwater level or discharge at the spring decreased four times during the past eight or nine Nankai earthquakes.
These are large interplate earthquakes that have occurred repeatedly in the western part of the Nankai Trough at intervals
of 100–200 years since A.D. 684. To clarify the mechanism of these earthquake-related changes in the water level at the spring,
we analyzed groundwater-level data recorded at the spring immediately after the 1946 Nankai earthquake and over the period
from 1985 to 2006. We detected the other nine postseismic increases in groundwater level and no decreases, except for a large
decrease of 11.4 m related to the 1946 Nankai earthquake. The increases were probably caused by ground-shaking, while the
decrease was caused by a change in coseismic volumetric strain. These results lead to the following explanation of the recorded
earthquake-related changes in the groundwater level at the Dogo hot spring. Both coseismic changes in volumetric strain and
ground-shaking can lead to postseismic changes in groundwater pressure. The increase in groundwater pressure arising from
ground-shaking is generally greater than the change in pressure associated with changes in coseismic volumetric strain; however,
at the time of the Nankai earthquakes, the spring experiences a large increase in coseismic volumetric strain, leading to
a considerably larger decrease in the groundwater level than the increase associated with ground-shaking. Therefore, the groundwater
level at the Dogo hot spring usually increases at times of relatively large earthquakes, although the groundwater level or
discharge decreases in the case of the Nankai earthquakes. 相似文献
3.
A new criterion is introduced to judge if the vicinity of the source region of a great interplate earthquake is in an active period. It is based on the stress change caused by the great earthquake. A region is regarded as being in an active period of seismicity if the occurrence rate of earthquakes on faults in the stress shadow of the great earthquake is significantly higher than in the early stage of the seismic cycle, and if the stressing rate of these faults is sufficiently low. This criterion was applied to the seismicity in the central part of southwest Japan before and after the 1944 Tonankai and 1946 Nankai earthquakes. The results show that before the 1944 Tonankai earthquake, the region was in an active period from at least 1927.The region was in a quiet period for almost50 years after the 1946 Nankai earthquake.Data after 1995 show that the region is once more in an active period of seismicity preceding the next great interplate earthquakes along the Nankai trough,although the total number of earthquakes has not yet significantly increased. Our results indicate that earthquake probability in the central part of southwest Japan will become high in the coming decades until the next great interplate earthquakes along the Nankai trough. 相似文献
4.
There is a high possibility of reoccurrence of the Tonankai and Nankai earthquakes along the Nankai Trough in Japan. It is
very important to predict the long-period ground motions from the next Tonankai and Nankai earthquakes with moment magnitudes
of 8.1 and 8.4, respectively, to mitigate their disastrous effects. In this study, long-period (>2.5 s) ground motions were
predicted using an earthquake scenario proposed by the Headquarters for Earthquake Research Promotion in Japan. The calculations
were performed using a fourth-order finite difference method with a variable spacing staggered-grid in the frequency range
0.05–0.4 Hz. The attenuation characteristics (Q) in the finite difference simulations were assumed to be proportional to frequency (f) and S-wave velocity (V
s) represented by Q = f · V
s / 2. Such optimum attenuation characteristic for the sedimentary layers in the Osaka basin was obtained empirically by comparing
the observed motions during the actual M5.5 event with the modeling results. We used the velocity structure model of the Osaka
basin consisting of three sedimentary layers on bedrock. The characteristics of the predicted long-period ground motions from
the next Tonankai and Nankai earthquakes depend significantly on the complex thickness distribution of the sediments inside
the basin. The duration of the predicted long-period ground motions in the city of Osaka is more than 4 min, and the largest
peak ground velocities (PGVs) exceed 80 cm/s. The predominant period is 5 to 6 s. These preliminary results indicate the possibility
of earthquake damage because of future subduction earthquakes in large-scale constructions such as tall buildings, long-span
bridges, and oil storage tanks in the Osaka area. 相似文献
5.
Takashi Furumura Toshihiko Hayakawa Misao Nakamura Kazuki Koketsu Toshitaka Baba 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2008,165(3-4):585-607
Strong ground motions recorded in central Tokyo during the 1944 Tonankai Mw8.1 earthquake occurring in the Nankai Trough demonstrate significant developments of very large (>10 cm) and prolonged (>10 min) shaking of long-period (T > 10–12 s) ground motions in the basin of Tokyo located over 400 km from the epicenter. In order to understand the process by which such long-period ground motions developed in central Tokyo and to mitigate possible future disasters arising from large earthquakes in the Nankai Trough, we analyzed waveform data from a dense nation wide strong-motion network (K-NET and KiK-net) deployed across Japan for the recent SE Off-Kii Peninsula (Mw 7.4) earthquake of 5 September 2004 that occurred in the Nankai Trough. The observational data and a corresponding computer simulation for the earthquake clearly demonstrate that such long-period ground motion is primarily developed as the wave propagating along the Nankai Trough due to the amplification and directional guidance of long-period surface waves within a thick sedimentary layer overlaid upon the shallowly descending Philippine Sea Plate below the Japanese Island. Then the significant resonance of the seismic waves within the thick cover of sedimentary rocks of the Kanto Basin developed large and prolonged long-period motions in the center of Tokyo. The simulation results and observed seismograms are in good agreement in terms of the main features of the long-period ground motions. Accordingly, we consider that the simulation model is capable of predicting the long-period ground motions that are expected to occur during future Nankai Trough M 8 earthquakes. 相似文献
6.
Kiyoo Mogi 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1988,126(2-4):447-463
Before the 1944 Tonankai earthquake along the Nankai Trough, seismic activity increased in the shallow depths, and then the activity gradually migrated downwards. When it reached its limit (a depth of approximatelty 70 km), the main shock occurred. Several deep earthquakes, including one ofM5.3, occurred several months prior to the Tonankai earthquake. A similar downward migration pattern also can be recognized regarding the 1952 Tokachi-oki earthquake. In this case the deepest earthquakes reached about 400 km. This may be one of the intermediate-term precursory phenomena of great thrusttype earthquakes in subduction zones. Recent observations in the Tokai district along the Suruga Trough, where a large earthquake is expected to occur in the future, suggest a similar downward migration pattern in the land area. 相似文献
7.
Kiyoo Mogi 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1984,122(6):765-780
The temporal variation in precursory ground tilt prior to the 1944 Tonankai (Japan) earthquake, which is a great thrust-type earthquake along the Nankai Trough, is discussed using the analysis of data from repeated surveys along short-distance leveling routes.Sato (1970) pointed out that an anomalous tilt occurred one day before the earthquake at Kakegawa near the northern end of the focal region of the earthquake. From the analysis of additional leveling data, Sato's result is re-examined and the temporal change in the ground tilt is deduced for the period of about ten days beginning six days before the earthquake. A remarkable precursory tilt started two or three days before the earthquake. The direction of the precursory tilt was up towards the south (uplift on the southern Nankai Trough side), but the coseismic tilt was up towards the southeast, perpendicular to the strike of the main thrust fault of the Tonankai earthquake. The postseismic tilt was probably opposite of the coseismic tilt. The preseismic tilt is attributed to precursory slip on part of the main fault. If similar precursory deformation occurs before a future earthquake expected to occur in the adjacent Tokai region, the deformation may help predict the time of the Tokai earthquake. 相似文献
8.
Radon Changes Associated with the Earthquake Sequence in June 2000 in the South Iceland Seismic Zone 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Páll Einarsson Páll Theodórsson Ásta Rut Hjartardóttir Guðón I Guðjónsson 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2008,165(1):63-74
An earthquake sequence at the transform plate boundary in South Iceland, that included two magnitude 6.5 earthquakes in June
2000, was anticipated on the basis of a centuries-long seismicity pattern in the area. A program of radon monitoring in geothermal
water from drill holes, initiated in 1999, rendered distinct and consistent variations in radon in association with these
events. All seven sampling stations in a 50 × 30 km zone covering the epicentral area showed a consistent pattern. Four types
of change could be identified: 1) Preseismic decrease of radon. Anomalously low values were measured 101–167 days before the
earthquakes. 2) Preseismic increase. Spikes appear in the time series at six stations 40–144 days prior to the earthquakes.
These anomalies were large and unusual if compared to a 17-years history of radon monitoring in this area. 3) Coseismic step,
most likely related to the coseismic change in groundwater pressure observed over the entire area. 4) Postseismic return of
the radon values to the preseismic level about three months later, also concurrent with groundwater pressure changes. 相似文献
9.
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11.
Groundwater responses at 15 monitoring wells on Jeju Island were observed in relation to the magnitude 9.0 Tohoku Earthquake off the Pacific coast of Honshu, Japan, on 11 March 2011, at 14:46:23 h local time (05:46:24 h UTC time). In coastal areas, the groundwater level responses to the earthquake were oscillatory at 12 wells, and the range of the maximum groundwater level changes was 3–192.4 cm. The response durations were approximately 1–62 min. The relationship between the maximum groundwater level changes and the response durations displayed a high correlation coefficient (r = 0.81). Groundwater temperature changes were also observed at 7 of 12 wells 3–10 min after the seismic wave arrived, and the range was from 0.01 °C to 1.20 °C. In mid‐elevation areas, the groundwater level changes appeared in three different forms: oscillatory, spiky and persistent. The groundwater temperature changes were also observed at two wells. One indicated decreasing and recovering temperatures, and the other exhibited rising and persistent temperatures. The primary temperature changes occurred 5–6 min after the earthquake and 2–3 min after the seismic wave arrived. In addition, the electrical conductivities at the depth of the transition zone were monitored, and the responses to the earthquake appeared at all three wells. Although the electrical conductivity and temperature changes were not well understood, groundwater inflow and mixing were likely caused by the earthquake, and the responses were various and site specific. The responses to the earthquake were closely related to the hydrogeological characteristics at each monitoring well, and a more detailed hydrogeological characterization is needed to understand the mechanisms related to earthquakes in general. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
12.
Gaku Kimura Yasuyuki Nakamura Kazuya Shiraishi Gou Fujie Shuichi Kodaira Asuka Yamaguchi Rina Fukuchi Yoshitaka Hashimoto 《Island Arc》2021,30(1):e12402
The Nankai Trough, Japan, is a subduction zone characterized by the recurrence of disastrous earthquakes and tsunamis. Slow earthquakes and associated tremor also occur intermittently and locally in the Nankai Trough and the causal relationship between slow earthquakes and large earthquakes is important to understanding subduction zone dynamics. The Nankai Trough off Muroto, Shikoku Island, near the southeast margin of the rupture segment of the 1946 Nankai earthquake, is one of three regions where slow earthquakes and tremor cluster in the Nankai Trough. On the Philippine Sea plate, the rifting of the central domain of the Shikoku Basin was aborted at ~15 Ma and underthrust the Nankai forearc off Muroto. Here, the Tosa-Bae seamount and other high-relief features, which are northern extension of the Kinan Seamount chain, have collided with and indented the forearc wedge. In this study, we analyzed seismic reflection profiles around the deformation front of accretionary wedge and stratigraphically correlated them to drilling sites off Muroto. Our results show that the previously aborted horst-and-graben structures, which were formed around the spreading center of the Shikoku Basin at ~15 Ma, were rejuvenated locally at ~6 Ma and more regionally at ~3.3 Ma and have remained active since. The reactivated normal faulting has enhanced seafloor roughness and appears to affect the locations of slow earthquakes and tremors. Rejuvenated normal faulting is not limited to areas near the Nankai Trough, and extends more than 200 km into the Shikoku Basin to the south. This extension might be due to extensional forces applied to the Philippine Sea plate, which appear to be driven by slab-pull in the Ryukyu and Philippine trenches along the western margin of the Philippine Sea plate. 相似文献
13.
M. H. Shapiro A. Rice M. H. Mendenhall J. D. Melvin T. A. Tombrello 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1984,122(2-4):309-326
Four techniques (pattern recognition, Fourier transformation, cross-correlation, and multiple linear regression) have been used to recognize nontectonic environmental factors affecting groundwater radon data collected by the Caltech automated geochemical network. Several factors, including air temperature, rainfall, water level, carbon dioxide concentration in the water, and barometric pressure, were found to correlate with radon level at some stations in the network. For example, approximately 60% of the variance in radon signal at one site studied (Pacoima) could be accounted for by nontectonic influences. However, it was not possible to correlate all the observed changes in radon concentration with nontectonic environmental variables. Some of the observed radon anomalies did appear to be related to either regional changes in tectonic strain or some individual earthquakes. A model is developed to account for spike-like increases in radon caused by carbon dioxide emission. 相似文献
14.
2003年大姚和民乐-山丹地震1年尺度预测 总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8
介绍了2003年云南大姚Ms6．2,6．1和甘肃民乐-山丹Ms6．1,5．8地震三要素的1年尺度预测情况,讨论了震中附近的地电阻率中短期异常特征。应用岩石加载实验中电阻率变化和DD模式解释了民乐-山丹地震前山丹地电的异常变化过程;大姚地震前同一活动断裂带上相邻台站其异常的相似性、同步性与以往的震例研究吻合;两组地震前电阻率中短期异常的各向异性变化与震源机制解的最大主压应力方位的关系明显,可以判定,这两组强地震附近地区的地电阻率异常与强地震的晚期孕育过程有关。 相似文献
15.
16.
基于地脉动噪声计算方法,以呼伦贝尔市地震台网8个台站连续波形资料为基础,对地震观测台网监测能力进行评估,同时开展台网优化和科学布局研究。通过累计的历史噪声数据,用来评估台站观测环境的变迁,及时掌握地震监测能力的变化。该成果将为地震速报、重点地震危险区震情跟踪、强震后现场应急提供科学参考。 相似文献
17.
Monitoring of subsurface fluid (underground fluid) is an important part of efforts for earthquake prediction in China. The nationwide network, which monitors groundwater level, water temperature, and radon and mercury in groundwater, has been constructed in the last decades. Large amounts of abnormal fluid changes before and after major earthquakes have been recorded, providing precious data for research in earthquake sciences. Many studies have been done in earthquake fluid hydrogeology in order to probe the nature of the earthquake. Much progress in earthquake fluid hydrogeology has been made in the last decades. The paper provides a review of the advances in research on earthquake fluid hydrogeology over the last 40 years in China. It deals with the following five aspects: (1) an introduction to the development history of monitoring networks construction; (2) cases of different subsurface fluid changes recorded before some major earthquakes which occurred in the last decades; (3) characteristics of subsurface fluid changes following major earthquakes; (4) mechanism of subsurface fluid changes before and following earthquakes; (5) application of earthquake fluids in the hydrogeology field. 相似文献
18.
Seismic events can affect the physico-chemical characteristics of groundwater. These anomalies are of a pre-seismic, co-seismic and post-seismic nature and correspond to pulse variations, sudden increases and decreases without return to initial values and upward or downward changes in trend. Continuous and in situ conductivity and temperature monitoring and periodic water sampling at a hot spring associated with neotectonic activity are of great interest for establishing predictive methods. This method is limited to the seismic activity affecting the fracturing system with which the hot spring is associated. The Region of Murcia and surroundings (southeast Spain) was selected as the study area for exploring the nature of these influences on groundwater. A hot spring in the Leana spa (Murcia) was equipped and monitored during the period 2006–2008, allowing for the in situ determination of conductivity and temperature as well as of major and minor constituents at the laboratory. Due to its proximity and related with fault network, we suggest that 86 % of earthquakes located between 0 and 10 km may affect in situ parameters of groundwater, and 75 % may affect laboratory determinations. This percentage drops in more distant zones. Of all earthquakes that seem to influence groundwater, 55 % of the in situ parameter anomalies and 53 % of laboratory were of a pre-seismic nature. 相似文献
19.
YANG Jianwen LI Lei ZHANG Pengying YE Beng HE Yingwen CHEN Ji CHA Wenjian 《中国地震研究》2019,33(2):320-335
On the basis of the airgun source signals recorded by the stations from January, 2016 to June, 2017, we use cross-correlation detection technology to obtain the characteristics of the stable phase travel time change of each station. We used the Yunlong MS5.0 and Yangbi MS5.1 earthquakes as samples. According to regional characteristics, 13 stations with high signal-to-noise ratios and complete data were selected (including 3 fixed stations and 10 active source stations). They are divided into four regions, and on the basis of the GNSS baseline data, the characteristics of regional wave velocity changes before and after the earthquake are analyzed. The results show that the station phase travel time change and the regional stress characteristics represented by the GNSS baseline data have good correlation in the short-term. Due to different degrees of regional stress, there are differences in the travel time changes of different stations in the four regions. Before the Yunlong MS5.0 and Yangbi MS5.1 earthquakes, with regional stress adjustment, there is an upward trend in the travel time changes of related stations in the adjacent areas of up to 0.02s. The difference is that there are differences in the time nodes and duration of the travel time anomalies, and there is a reverse descent process after the Yangbi MS5.1 earthquake. There are different degrees of travel time fluctuations in the relevant stations before and after the two earthquakes, but the fluctuation range before and after the earthquake was small. Compared with the water level change of the reservoir, the adjustment of the regional stress is more likely to have a substantial impact on the travel time changes of the relevant stations. 相似文献