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1.
气象事业是科技型、基础性社会公益事业,气象服务是气象事业的出发点和归宿点。首先介绍了气象服务的概念,明确了气象服务在整个气象业务体系中的定位,并探讨了气象服务的经济属性。从多个学科的理论与方法的角度出发,系统的介绍了气象服务效益的主要评估方法和技术,同时介绍了我国目前气象服务效益评估的基本情况。最后,文章针对目前我国气象服务的现状,提出了一些建议。  相似文献   

2.
气象服务效益评价研究进展   总被引:7,自引:2,他引:5  
姚秀萍  吕明辉  范晓青  王静  王丽娟 《气象》2011,37(6):749-755
气象服务是气象事业的出发点和归宿点,采用科学客观的方法开展气象服务效益的评价工作,有利于气象部门更好地改进和完善气象服务,促进气象事业的持续快速发展。本文从理论和方法应用的角度出发,系统地介绍了气象服务效益评价的国内外发展现状、理论基础和技术方法等,并对气象服务效益评价的未来发展趋势进行了展望。  相似文献   

3.
“十五”期间陕西农业气象服务的思考   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
1 转变观念 ,围绕支柱产业和市场需求开展农业气象服务和研究1 .1 气象服务是气象事业的立业之本气象工作者历来十分重视气象服务工作 ,6 0年代曾提出气象服务为纲 ,80年代提出气象服务是气象工作的出发点和归宿 ,90年代提出气象服务是气象事业的立业之本。气象事业在国民经济中的作用实际上是通过气象服务来体现的。要求我们既要紧密围绕国民经济的发展搞好气象服务这一主题不能变、不能偏 ,同时 ,又要随着社会经济的发展、市场经济的需求、产业结构的调整和支柱产业发展的需要来不断调整我们的服务思路、服务内容、服务方式和方法 ,以不…  相似文献   

4.
我国气象服务效益评估业务的现状与展望   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
气象服务是气象事业的出发点和归宿点,因而采用科学客观的方法开展气象服务效益的评估工作,有利于气象部门更好地改进和完善气象服务,促进气象事业的持续快速发展。本文介绍了我国气象服务效益评估业务的现状,并对气象服务效益评估业务的未来发展趋势进行了构想,指出规范化、常态化、人性化服务是未来气象服务效益评估业务的发展趋势。  相似文献   

5.
气象事业关系国计民生,气象防灾减灾和公共气象服务是政府服务的重要内容,气象信息是生产生活不可或缺的重要信息。浙江省委、省政府历来高度重视气象事业的发展,把公共气象服务、气象防灾减灾、气象现代化等工作摆在经济社会发展的全局来谋划,认真贯彻实施“一法两条例”等有关法律法规,采取有效措施,落实各项要求。2010年以来,全省上下积极完善气象防灾减灾体系,大力加强公共气象服务,加快推进气象现代化建设,气象事业步入依法、科学的发展轨道。  相似文献   

6.
气象科技服务作为气象事业的重要组成部份,其发展的快慢与否直接影响到气象事业的健康发展。探索总结气象科技服务发展的趋势和方向,充分认识当前所面临的机遇和挑战,对于实现气象事业又好又快地发展有着重要的现实意义。本文通过对近四年来黔西南州气象科技服务工作的开展情况,统计分析各科技服务项目的总服务效益、服务成本,实际效益及所占比重等要素的变化情况,总结得出黔西南州未来气象科技服务的发展趋势和方向。  相似文献   

7.
十一届三中全会的胜利召开,改革开放的春风吹遍了华夏大地,社会主义现代化建设蒸蒸日上,青海省气象后勤服务与保障工作随着我国气象事业的长足发展也取得了辉煌成就。三十年来,青海省气象后勤服务中心不断调整事业结构和完善运行机制,经过由小到大、由弱到强的发展,成为气象事业发展中一支强有力的保障队伍。对气象业务、改善职工工作生活条件、稳定和优化队伍结构起到  相似文献   

8.
中国的气象服务及其效益评估   总被引:8,自引:2,他引:6       下载免费PDF全文
韩颖  蒲希 《气象科学》2010,30(3):420-426
气象事业是科技型、基础性社会公益事业,气象服务是气象事业的出发点和归宿点。首先分析了气象服务的概念,确立了气象服务的内涵与外延以及分类情况,明确了气象服务在整个气象业务体系中的定位,并探讨了气象服务的经济属性。从气象情报信息服务和气象预报信息服务的角度介绍了中国气象信息服务的情况。从人工影响天气技术、农业气象工程服务技术、雷电灾害防御技术介绍了中国气象工程服务及其技术的情况。从多个学科的理论与方法的角度出发,系统的介绍了气象服务效益的主要评估方法和技术,同时介绍了中国目前气象服务效益评估的基本情况。最后,文章针对目前中国气象服务的现状,提出了一些建议。  相似文献   

9.
随着我国气象现代化建设的开展,气象档案工作呈现出新的特点。为了更好地发挥气象档案的资源优势和信息作用,本文针对气象档案工作面临的新形势、新情况、新变化和气象档案工作发展存在的主要问题,从理论、技术、服务等方面提出了创新是档案事业保持蓬勃发展的活力之源,是新时期气象档案工作发展的切入点。  相似文献   

10.
我国气象事业发展战略研究成果中,特别强调了气象对经济社会发展的服务职能。这给气象服务带来了巨大的发展空间。气象服务市场的发展需要从业人员具备较强的营销能力。引进营销理念、培养气象服务人员的营销能力是发展气象服务事业的必然要求。气象服务人员营销能力培养的主要任务是树立系统的营销观念,提高各种具体的营销能力。培养的方法主要是通过高效的培训。  相似文献   

11.
The spatial and temporal variations of daily maximum temperature(Tmax), daily minimum temperature(Tmin), daily maximum precipitation(Pmax) and daily maximum wind speed(WSmax) were examined in China using Mann-Kendall test and linear regression method. The results indicated that for China as a whole, Tmax, Tmin and Pmax had significant increasing trends at rates of 0.15℃ per decade, 0.45℃ per decade and 0.58 mm per decade,respectively, while WSmax had decreased significantly at 1.18 m·s~(-1) per decade during 1959—2014. In all regions of China, Tmin increased and WSmax decreased significantly. Spatially, Tmax increased significantly at most of the stations in South China(SC), northwestern North China(NC), northeastern Northeast China(NEC), eastern Northwest China(NWC) and eastern Southwest China(SWC), and the increasing trends were significant in NC, SC, NWC and SWC on the regional average. Tmin increased significantly at most of the stations in China, with notable increase in NEC, northern and southeastern NC and northwestern and eastern NWC. Pmax showed no significant trend at most of the stations in China, and on the regional average it decreased significantly in NC but increased in SC, NWC and the mid-lower Yangtze River valley(YR). WSmax decreased significantly at the vast majority of stations in China, with remarkable decrease in northern NC, northern and central YR, central and southern SC and in parts of central NEC and western NWC. With global climate change and rapidly economic development, China has become more vulnerable to climatic extremes and meteorological disasters, so more strategies of mitigation and/or adaptation of climatic extremes,such as environmentally-friendly and low-cost energy production systems and the enhancement of engineering defense measures are necessary for government and social publics.  相似文献   

12.
Observed daily precipitation data from the National Meteorological Observatory in Hainan province and daily data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis-2 dataset from 1981 to 2014 are used to analyze the relationship between Hainan extreme heavy rainfall processes in autumn (referred to as EHRPs) and 10–30 d low-frequency circulation. Based on the key low-frequency signals and the NCEP Climate Forecast System Version 2 (CFSv2) model forecasting products, a dynamical-statistical method is established for the extended-range forecast of EHRPs. The results suggest that EHRPs have a close relationship with the 10–30 d low-frequency oscillation of 850 hPa zonal wind over Hainan Island and to its north, and that they basically occur during the trough phase of the low-frequency oscillation of zonal wind. The latitudinal propagation of the low-frequency wave train in the middle-high latitudes and the meridional propagation of the low-frequency wave train along the coast of East Asia contribute to the ‘north high (cold), south low (warm)’ pattern near Hainan Island, which results in the zonal wind over Hainan Island and to its north reaching its trough, consequently leading to EHRPs. Considering the link between low-frequency circulation and EHRPs, a low-frequency wave train index (LWTI) is defined and adopted to forecast EHRPs by using NCEP CFSv2 forecasting products. EHRPs are predicted to occur during peak phases of LWTI with value larger than 1 for three or more consecutive forecast days. Hindcast experiments for EHRPs in 2015–2016 indicate that EHRPs can be predicted 8–24 d in advance, with an average period of validity of 16.7 d.  相似文献   

13.
Based on the measurements obtained at 64 national meteorological stations in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) region between 1970 and 2013, the potential evapotranspiration (ET0) in this region was estimated using the Penman–Monteith equation and its sensitivity to maximum temperature (Tmax), minimum temperature (Tmin), wind speed (Vw), net radiation (Rn) and water vapor pressure (Pwv) was analyzed, respectively. The results are shown as follows. (1) The climatic elements in the BTH region underwent significant changes in the study period. Vw and Rn decreased significantly, whereas Tmin, Tmax and Pwv increased considerably. (2) In the BTH region, ET0 also exhibited a significant decreasing trend, and the sensitivity of ET0 to the climatic elements exhibited seasonal characteristics. Of all the climatic elements, ET0 was most sensitive to Pwv in the fall and winter and Rn in the spring and summer. On the annual scale, ET0 was most sensitive to Pwv, followed by Rn, Vw, Tmax and Tmin. In addition, the sensitivity coefficient of ET0 with respect to Pwv had a negative value for all the areas, indicating that increases in Pwv can prevent ET0 from increasing. (3) The sensitivity of ET0 to Tmin and Tmax was significantly lower than its sensitivity to other climatic elements. However, increases in temperature can lead to changes in Pwv and Rn. The temperature should be considered the key intrinsic climatic element that has caused the "evaporation paradox" phenomenon in the BTH region.  相似文献   

14.
Storms that occur at the Bay of Bengal (BoB) are of a bimodal pattern, which is different from that of the other sea areas. By using the NCEP, SST and JTWC data, the causes of the bimodal pattern storm activity of the BoB are diagnosed and analyzed in this paper. The result shows that the seasonal variation of general atmosphere circulation in East Asia has a regulating and controlling impact on the BoB storm activity, and the “bimodal period” of the storm activity corresponds exactly to the seasonal conversion period of atmospheric circulation. The minor wind speed of shear spring and autumn contributed to the storm, which was a crucial factor for the generation and occurrence of the “bimodal pattern” storm activity in the BoB. The analysis on sea surface temperature (SST) shows that the SSTs of all the year around in the BoB area meet the conditions required for the generation of tropical cyclones (TCs). However, the SSTs in the central area of the bay are higher than that of the surrounding areas in spring and autumn, which facilitates the occurrence of a “two-peak” storm activity pattern. The genesis potential index (GPI) quantifies and reflects the environmental conditions for the generation of the BoB storms. For GPI, the intense low-level vortex disturbance in the troposphere and high-humidity atmosphere are the sufficient conditions for storms, while large maximum wind velocity of the ground vortex radius and small vertical wind shear are the necessary conditions of storms.  相似文献   

15.
正While China’s Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan on particulate matter since 2013 has reduced sulfate significantly, aerosol ammonium nitrate remains high in East China. As the high nitrate abundances are strongly linked with ammonia, reducing ammonia emissions is becoming increasingly important to improve the air quality of China. Although satellite data provide evidence of substantial increases in atmospheric ammonia concentrations over major agricultural regions, long-term surface observation of ammonia concentrations are sparse. In addition, there is still no consensus on  相似文献   

16.
《大气和海洋科学快报》2014,7(6):F0003-F0003
AIMS AND SCOPE
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters (AOSL) publishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmosphere sciences and physical oceanography. Contributions from all over the world are welcome.  相似文献   

17.
《大气和海洋科学快报》2014,(5):F0003-F0003
AIMS AND SCOPE Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters (AOSL) pub- lishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmos- phere sciences and physical oceanography. Contributions from all over the world are welcome.  相似文献   

18.
19.
正Aims Scope Advances in Atmospheric Sciences(AAS)is an international journal on the dynamics,physics,and chemistry of the atmosphere and ocean with papers across the full range of the atmospheric sciences,co-published bimonthly by Science Press and Springer.The journal includes Articles,Note and Correspondence,and Letters.Contributions from all over the world are welcome.  相似文献   

20.
Editorial          下载免费PDF全文
As we will soon celebrate the 90th anniversary of the founding of the Chinese Meteorological Society (CMS),Acta Meteorologica Sinica (AMS),which was originally named as Bulletin of the Chinese Meteorological Society,has gone through 89 years of development and excitement since her first issue in July 1925.According to archived documents (CMS Editorial Committee,1925),AMS was founded to report the research findings of Chinese meteorologists,record their recommendations for improving meteorological services,and share their common meteorological interests in order to promote the growth of AMS such that more members could be inspired to conduct atmospheric research and meteorological knowledge would be better disseminated to and benefit the general public.By upholding and carrying forward this purpose,AMS has published many highly valuable scientific papers.Some could be treated as classical articles,which have produced important influences on both domestic and international meteorological communities and the related fields.  相似文献   

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