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1.
In the context of a model of tropical cyclone intensity based on an improved meso-scale atmospheric model, numerical simulation is performed of the track and intensity variation of tropical cyclones(TC) arising from sea surface temperature(SST) variation over a specified sea region. Evidence suggests that the model is capable of modeling quite welt the track and intensity of TC:SST variation leads to an abrupt change in the cyclone intensity:the response of the cyclone to the abrupt SST change lasts 8-12 h. 相似文献
2.
A barotropic prirnitive equation model is used to simulate the tropical cyclone motion.Tropical cyclonemovements under different environmental flow backgrounds were examined and sensitivity of tropical cyclonetracks were discussed.Conclusions of practical significance have been obtained in this paper. 相似文献
3.
Taking Tropical Cyclone (TC) No.9806 (Todd) as an example, the effects of Zhoushan
archipelago terrain on landfall TC are investigated by use of numerical simulation. Results show that, under
topographic influences of Zhoushan Islands, the westward-moving landfall TC deflects. And, small orographic
highs and enhanced rainfall caused by climbing airflow on the windward slope of main mountains of these
islands are a result of effects of Zhoushan Islands. These results display some particular laws of effects of
small-sized islands on the landfall of TC. 相似文献
4.
非绝热加热对热带气旋非对称结构影响的数值试验 总被引：4，自引：4，他引：4
利用含非绝热加热强迫的正压涡度方程。将非绝热加热作适当的参数化处理。对初始对称 热带气旋作了一系列数值试验,结果表明：不仅β项、平流项在热带气旋非对称结构的形成中有重要作用,而且非绝热加热对热带气旋的非对称结构亦有重要影响,从而验证了非绝热加热是热带气旋非对称结构形成的一种可能机制的结论。 相似文献
5.
雷小途 《热带气象学报(英文版)》1998,4(2):131-140
Using the barotropic volticity equation that contains forcing from diabatic heating with appropriate parameterization. a number of numerical experiments are conducted for the tropical cyclone that is initially symmetric The result shows that the diabatic heating has important effects on the asymmetric structure in addition to the roll of the β term and nonlinear advection term in its formation. It again confirms the conclusion that the diabatic heating is a possible mechanism responsible for such structures in the tropical cyclone. 相似文献
6.
海洋飞沫对热带气旋影响的数值试验 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
将最新版的Andreas海洋飞沫通量参数化方案与中尺度大气模式MM5V3耦合,对0514号热带气旋Nabi进行数值模拟,探讨海洋飞沫蒸发对热带气旋发展和演变的影响.模拟结果表明,考虑海洋飞沫的作用后,热带气旋范围内(气旋中心附近600 km左右范围内)的潜热和感热通量明显增强,尤其是潜热通量,最大值可提高35%～80%,潜热通量的大值区对应热带气旋眼墙处的最大风速区.无论是否考虑海洋飞沫作用,模式均能较好地模拟出热带气旋Nabi的移动路径,但考虑飞沫作用后,由于飞沫对海气界面通量交换的贡献,使得模拟热带气旋中心的最低海平面气压降低,最大风速增强,暖心结构更加明显. 相似文献
7.
The dynamics of tropical cyclone is investigated in a nondivergent barotropic model with nobasic flow. The effect of nonlinear term on the movement and development of tropical cyclone isemphatically demonstrated. The advection of asymmetric vorticity by the symmetric flow (AAVS)produces the small-scale gyres (SSGs). The SSGs counterclockwise rotate around the tropicalcyclone center. The interaction of SSGs with the large-scale beta gyres (LSBGs) leads to theoscillation in translation speed and vacillation in translation direction for tropical cyclone. Theadvection of symmetric vorticity by the asymmetric flow (ASVA) steers the symmetric circulationof tropical cyclone. The ventilation flow vector determined by the asymmetric flow is closecorrelated with the motion vector of tropical cyclone. The nonlinear advection of relative vorticityis an order of magnitude greater than the linear advection of planetary vorticity, However, theasymmetric circulation created by the planetary vorticity advection provides a background conditionfor anomalous motions of the tropical cyclone. The combination of the linear and nonlinear effectsresults in accelerated, decelerated, changing direction and/or counterclockwise looping motions ofthe tropical cyclone. 相似文献
8.
台风移速突变的数值研究 总被引：5，自引：2，他引：5
用准地转正压模式，在无环境气流的情况下，实施了８组时间积分大于５个模式日的试验。在模式大气台风移动的过程中，清楚地显示了移速突然变化的现象。台风移速突然变化与前期台风环流的非对称结构之间存在着密切的联系。最后分析了台风环流非规则结构对路径的影响。 相似文献
9.
通过数值模拟来研究热带气旋中的β偶极涡环流，结果可见，在中层的偏差流场上，有清晰的β偶极涡环流，即涡旋中心以西为气旋性环流，以东为反气旋性涡旋，理论分析表明，该β偶极涡环流是由地转涡度平流造成的。 相似文献
10.
数值剖析0411号热带气旋位置不连续变化和强度突变 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
为探究竟0411号热带气旋(TC0411)出现数小时内向北"走"了300多公里且急剧加强的异常现象,根据TC0411经向环流特征(辐合抬升ω<0的水汽多来自偏南风v>0)及其与第2类条件不稳定(CISK)机制的密切关系,运用反映南海经向环流的线性诊断模式(包含边界效应、各稳定度及17个内力因子),对TC0411进行定量诊断。结果表明:南海东北部深厚强盛的偏南风急流及其造成的弱惯性稳定度为TC0411发生发展(向北不连续位移)提供了有利水汽输送和抬升(驱动)条件。其中,对偏南风有突出正贡献的边界效应与5°N西南夏季风和西太平洋东南风的辐合有关;驱动地转南风的气压梯度力与中南半岛季风槽、西太平洋高压和高层东风扰动有关。驱动非地转南风的内力因子主要是与斜压不稳定有关的平均经向温度平流、与西南风急流切变场有关的涡动西风动量经向输送、与夏季风环流和高层东风扰动相互作用有关的平均西风动量纬向输送及与非对称动力热力场有关的涡动温度平流。TC0411向北不连续位移实质为22.7°N附近生成新热带低压(TD)和19°N附近TD消亡的结果。2004年7月26日20时—27日02时激发22.7°N附近上升运动(19°N附近下沉运动)的主要因子是平均经向温度平流和涡动西风动量水平输送(平均西风动量纬向输送和涡动温度平流)。27日02—14时使新TD加强为热带风暴(TS)并维持的主要因子是潜热加热和平均经向温度平流。根据以上分析,建议业务预报应着眼于深厚强盛西南风急流和温度平流的共同作用。 相似文献
11.
运用GMS-5气象卫星的OLR资料，研究了2001～2002年6月10日～8月10日西北太平洋上15个热带气旋的移动方向。选取多个OLR特征值因子及热带气旋中心最低海平面气压，结合《热带气旋年鉴》资料，采用统计回归的方法，得到热带气旋未来6、12、24小时移向的客观预报算式，其结果与年鉴中移向之间的复相关系数分别达到0．954、0．945、0．914。用预留的2001年6号台风作检验，结果很好。该方法可在日常的业务预报中试用，有助于提高热带气旋移向的预报水平，尤其是对移向突变的热带气旋具有较强的预报能力。 相似文献
12.
13.
罗哲贤 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1992,50(4):413-419
用一个带有热力强迫和耗散项的准地转正压模式,实施了16组积分时间大于7d的数值试验,研究了在环境流场和环境加热场共同作用下,热带气旋的移动路径问题。结果表明,随着环境流场参数、环境加热场参数和热带气旋尺度参数取值的不同,在模式大气中,清楚地复制出逆时针打转、蛇行摆动、向西移行和突然北折等截然不同的运动形态,并显示出具有非线性特色的临界点现象。 相似文献
14.
NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVEMENT WITH THE RELATED CRITICAL POINT PHENOMENON 
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下载免费PDF全文 (罗哲贤) 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1994,(2)
A study is made of the paths of tropical cyclones under the joint action of environmental flow and heating fields interms of a quasi-geostrophic barotropic model with the thermal forcing and dissipation terms involved,in which 16 ex-periments are designed and integrated for more than 7 model days.Results show that for different parameter values ofthe environmental flow and heating field,and the cyclone scale, such paths as counterclockwise looping, zigzag form andwestward march with an abrupt turning towards the north are reproduced clearly in the model atmosphere,exhibitingtheir critical points of nonlinear character. 相似文献
15.
Based on the tropical cyclone(TC)asymmetric disturbance as the superposition of thesymmetric environmental circulation,the analytical solution of travelling wave is given by usingthe barotropical nondivergent model with diabatic heating forcing and non-friction in a plane polarcoordinate.Then,the TC radial inhomogeneous structure is analyzed on radial/tangential velocityand geopotential height.It is found that the different kinds of structures are influenced by theCoriolis parameter(f),TC intensity(Ω),disturbance circular frequency(ω),and TC angularwavenumber(m).And,the diabatic heating(Q_1)has significant impacts on the radial/tangentialvelocity distribution shaped like the inner-tight and outer-relaxed. 相似文献
16.
通过一系列四维变分同化试验对GMS5卫星资料反演的云迹风资料在西北太平洋热带气旋的初始化及路径数值预报中的作用进行研究,同化资料为中国国家卫星气象中心提供的GMS5水汽和红外云迹风资料,其中70%在400hPa以上,50%集中在200～300hPa。应用美国NCAR/PSU中尺度模式MM5及其四维变分同化系统,同化窗口为6h,对初始时刻和6h后的云迹风进行同化。同化前对云迹风资料进行了简单的类似ECMWF初值检验方法的质量控制。对2002年8个西北太平洋热带气旋共进行了22组试验。结果表明,采用四维变分同化技术同化云迹风对热带气旋路径预报有一定改善,12,24,36和48h预报的平均距离误差分别降低5%,12%,10%和7%,但同化云迹风的作用与初始气旋强度有关。选择初始中心海平面气压960hPa作为强、弱气旋的分类标准,则11个较强气旋平均路径误差12h减小了13%,12h以后的预报误差减小率维持在20%以上。而对于11个较弱气旋,平均路径误差反而略有增加,说明同化云迹风资料对不同初始强度的气旋作用也有所不同。其主要原因是由于强度较强的热带气旋往往具有较为深厚的垂直结构,因此受高层大气流场的影响更明显;同时,较弱热带气旋的云迹风观测相对稀少且凌乱,并且更容易受环境气流的影响,因此对于较弱的热带气旋,当模式变量与模式或变量之间在同化后不够协调的话,就会产生负效应。 相似文献
17.
Given time-independent monthly mean sea temperature,numerical simulation was done of the path of the tropicalcyclone Forrest and its related physical quantity field in terms of the improved version of the σ-coordinate 10-levelprimitive equation model for tropical cyclones developed by the Guangzhou Institute of Marine Meteorology.Resultssuggest the similarity between the simulated and observed physical quantity fields except that the simulated path was tothe right of the observed,with the deviation increasing with time.Sea and tropical cyclone,in effect,interact mutually.In an attempt to compare the results from coupling anduncoupling experiments,an oceanic mixed layer model was formulated based on experiments with sea response to cy-clone and integrated in synchronous coupling with the aforementioned version of tropical cyclones,the computationaldomain covering the western North Pacific with the coastal configuration involved.The coupling experiment shows thatthe negative feedback of the interaction between sea and mature cyclone leads to weaker sea response as compared to theuncoupling case.Except for the location of the divergence core of oceanic current,the mixed layer depth andinhomogeneous distribution of sea surface temperature (SST) caused by the cyclone-core position and intensity,the val-ues of the maximum oceanic current,departure of the mixed layer depth and SST drop were smaller in the coupling thanin the uncoupling case,and so was the maximum wind near the cyclone core.The path from the coupling run is to theleft of the course in the uncoupling experiment but closer to the observed one though remaining somewhat leftward.Even on a scale of less than 3 days,the effects of sea and sea-cyclone interaction on the cyclone were by no means negli-gible. 相似文献
18.
By using a beta-plane quasigeostrophic barotropic model,four numerical experiments withintegration time more than five days are performed.Results show that the vorticity advection termand beta term are two basic factors significantly affecting tropical cyclone structure and motion. 相似文献
19.
The relationship between the tropical intra-seasonal oscillation (ISO) and tropical cyclones (TCs) activities over the South China Sea (SCS) is investigated by utilizing the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) global reanalysis data and tropical cyclone best-track data from 1949 to 2009. The main conclusions are: (1) A new ISO index is designed to describe the tropical ISO activity over the SCS, which can simply express ISO for SCS. After examining the applicability of the index constructed by the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), we find that the convection spatial scale reflected by this index is too large to characterize the small-scale SCS and fails to divide the TCs activities over the SCS into active and inactive categories. Consequently, the CPC index can’t replace the function of the new ISO index; (2) The eastward spread process of tropical ISO is divided into eight phases using the new ISO index, the phase variation of which corresponds well with the TCs activities over the SCS. TCs generation and landing are significantly reduced during inactive period (phase 4-6) relative to that during active period (phase 7-3); (3) The composite analyses indicate distinct TCs activities over the SCS, which is consistent with the concomitant propagation of the ISO convective activity. During ISO active period, the weather situations are favorable for TCs development over the SCS, e.g., strong convection, cyclonic shear and weak subtropical high, and vice versa; (4) The condensation heating centers, strong convection and water vapor flux divergence are well collocated with each other during ISO active period. In addition, the vertical profile of condensation heat indicates strong ascending motion and middle-level heating over the SCS during active period, and vice versa. Thus, the eastward propagation of tropical ISO is capable to modulate TCs activities by affecting the heating configuration over the SCS. 相似文献