共查询到19条相似文献,搜索用时 328 毫秒
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HEIFE绿洲和沙漠地区大气边界层湍流混沌特性研究 总被引:8,自引:1,他引:7
利用“黑河实验”期间张掖、沙漠观测站加强观测期间1991年6月20日09:00至1991年10月2日09:00时段内水平风速的观测资料,计算分析了有关测量混沌的特征量:关联维数。Lyapunov指数和Kolmogorow熵。 相似文献
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攀西地区月降水时序非线性特性分析 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
在介绍相空间重构理论的基础上,以攀西地区4个站点47 a的月降水时间序列为例,研究了该地月降水时间序列的非线性特性。首先,运用定量的G-P关联维方法,探讨了非线性分析的主要定量指标,具体而言有,饱和关联维数D2和柯尔莫哥诺夫熵,计算表明攀西月降水时间序列具有一定的非线性混沌特性。其次,结合定性的功率谱分析方法,进一步验证了攀西月降水时序具有非线性特性。除此之外还应用Cao方法检验,从而排除了月降水时序为随机序列的可能性。本文为进一步研究月降水时序数据的复杂性及其演化规律奠定了基础。 相似文献
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在介绍相空间重构理论的基础上, 以攀西地区4个站点47 a的月降水时间序列为例, 研究了该地月降水时间序列的非线性特性。首先, 运用定量的G-P关联维方法, 探讨了非线性分析的主要定量指标, 具体而言有, 饱和关联维数D2和柯尔莫哥诺夫熵, 计算表明攀西月降水时间序列具有一定的非线性混沌特性。其次, 结合定性的功率谱分析方法, 进一步验证了攀西月降水时序具有非线性特性。除此之外还应用Cao方法检验, 从而排除了月降水时序为随机序列的可能性。本文为进一步研究月降水时序数据的复杂性及其演化规律奠定了基础。 相似文献
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引入数据关联规则挖掘技术,分析地面观测中不同气象要素之间的相互关系,为不同气象要素观测数据的内部一致性检查提供参考。通过对2013年全年北京南郊试验站地面气象自动观测数据的分析,统计出了强关联规则气象观测要素相应的值域分布区间。分析了相对湿度和风速变化值之间的相关性,得到相对应的变化阈值;通过分析能见度与相对湿度的相关性,发现能见度变化受降水影响较大,因此,统计不同等级降雨强度所对应的能见度区间值,通过分析具体降水过程,揭示能见度与降雨强度随时间的变化关系,结果表明,利用上述相关性对气象要素观测数据进行判定,可以为多种气象观测数据的质量控制提供参考。 相似文献
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水面蒸发敏感因素的判断,对于干旱区水资源的规划与利用具有重要指导意义。文章以新疆塔里木河下游铁干里克气象站2005年资料为例,对研究区水面蒸发影响因素进行分析。采用熵值法对水面蒸发进行敏感性分析,并与关联分析法分析结果进行对比。结果表明:在塔里木河下游铁干里克地区,温度与风速二因素对水面蒸发影响最为敏感;基于熵值法的敏感因素研究结果与关联分析的结果基本一致。 相似文献
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VARIATIONS OF ATMOSPHERIC OSCILLATION FACTORS AND 500 HPA CIRCULATION PATTERNS AND THEIR RELATIONS* 下载免费PDF全文
Wavelet analysis,EOF and CCA are used to analyze the variations of atmospheric circulation factors,including the key atmospheric oscillations,W,C,E and subtropical high (SH),and their relationships.The results are shown that the variations of atmospheric circulation factors both in troposphere and lower atmosphere layer are different on different time scales.The most significant variation of atmospheric circulation factors is in the period less than 7 years.The correlation relations of atmospheric circulation factors are different on different time scales.Combination patterns of circulation factors have impact on the relationships of factors.There are lag correlations between combination patterns of circulation factors in former year and that of in next year. 相似文献
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In this paper, the attractors of turbulent flows in phase space are reconstructed by the time delay technique using observed data of atmospheric boundary-layer turbulence, which include high resolution temperature, humidity andthree-dimensional wind speed measurements in Gansu province and Beijing, China. The correlation dimensions and largest Lyapunov exponents have been computed. The results indicate that all the largest Lyapunov exponents in different conditions of time, site and atmospheric stability are greater than zero. This means that the atmospheric boundary-layer turbulence system is really chaotic and has appropriate low-dimensional strange attractors whose dimension numbers range from 3 to 7 and vary with different variables (dynamical variables or non-dynamical variables) and atmospheric stability. Turbulent kinetic energy is first applied to reconstruct the attractor of turbulence, and is found to be feasible. 相似文献
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利用2018年1月至2019年12月河北省中南部地区的微波辐射计和探空数据,将两种探测设备取得的资料在时间和空间上进行点对点匹配,共筛选出187条晴空廓线、1176条云天廓线和12条毛毛雨天廓线,定量分析了各个高度层的晴天、云天和毛毛雨天气条件下两种大气探测设备的温度、相对湿度和水汽密度廓线的相关性及误差情况。结果表明:3种天气条件下的微波辐射计与无线电探空仪温度和水汽密度的相关性整体较好,地基微波辐射计观测的大气参数分布存在不同程度的差异,但是微波辐射计和探空的变化趋势一致性较好,并且无线电探空仪观测的大气参数和微波辐射计反演的温度、相对湿度和水汽密度相关性整体上均呈现低层大气优于高层大气,温度相关性最好,水汽密度次之,相对湿度最低。通过对比各个高度层的拟合程度,发现3.5 km以下的低层大气参数精度更可靠,对于需要间接计算的大气物理量,如K指数、有效位能、积分水汽含量等,使用低层数据计算的大气物理量精度会更好。本文开展的地基微波辐射计反演的大气物理参数与探空仪观测对比研究工作,对提高微波辐射计在大气物理和人工影响天气的探测精度方面具有参考意义。 相似文献
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Seven key areas of air-sea interaction in the global oceans are determined by comprehensive
analysis of the global data of monthly mean sea surface temperature (SST), surface wind, temperature, humidity,
sea surface sensible heat and latent heat fluxes. The time-lag correlation between SST and each atmospheric
element in each key area are focally analyzed to expose the same and the different features of air-sea interaction
in different key areas. The results show that the air-sea thermal interaction is strong in each area, SST, temperature and humidity can be fairly replaced with one another, particularly in the central eastern Pacific and the south India Ocean. The dynamic effect on SST is different in different areas and in the central western Pacific
such effect is more important. The correlation between sensible heat, latent heat and SST is more significant in
the eastern Pacific, the western Pacific and the two major monsoon areas — the northwestern Pacific and the
south India Ocean. By analyzing the sustainable correlation probability of SST and every atmospheric element
in each key area, we further know that the anomalies of which element, in which area and in which period are
well sustained or easily destroyed. This is beneficial not only to prediction, but also to discussion of the physical mechanism of air-sea interaction. 相似文献
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PERIOD-DOUBLING BIFURCATIONS OF THE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION AND APERIODIC VARIATIONS OF THE FLOW PATTERNS 下载免费PDF全文
Luo Zhexian 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1988,2(1):47-54
An eighth-order set of ordinary differential equations, which governs the dynamics of aquasi-geostrophic flow of the baroclinic atmosphere, is used to investigate bifurcational and chaoticforms of the atmospheric circulation. Numerical integrations of the set exhibit period-doublingbifurcations of the flow patterns. It would seem that the Feigenbaum relation (r_n-r_(n-1))/(r_(n+1)-r_n)=4.6692 is satisfied approximately. Above a limit point the solutions are aperiodic and chaotic, anda strange attractor having four inter-linked chaotic fragments appears. A window of period-6emerges also in the chaotic region. 相似文献