共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 15 毫秒
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谐波分析中由于采用离散数据的有限差分代替对函数的连续积分以及实际离散数据取样方式和数据性质的不同等原因,谐波参数或多或少存在一定的计算误差和拟合误差。本文着重讨论了离散化效应对截断频率谱参数的影响以及气象中各种常用离散数据的谐波参数误差情况和校正误差的方法。 相似文献
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卓伟 《高原山地气象研究》2004,24(4)
利用地面观测资料、红外卫星云图、天王山714CD多普勒天气雷达资料和STD-1闪电定位资料,详细分析了西昌卫星发射场(以下简称场区)山区地形条件下一次强对流天气的雷达回波发展演变过程和多普勒特征,对流云的云地闪特征,给出分析对流云运动演变的一些方法和应注意的问题. 相似文献
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利用地面观测资料、红外卫星云图、天王山714CD多普勒天气雷达资料和STD-1闪电定位资料。详细分析了西昌卫星发射场(以下简称场区)山区地形条件下一次强对流天气的雷达回波发展演变过程和多普勒特征，对流云的云地闪特征，给出分析对流云运动演变的一些方法和应注意的问题。 相似文献
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Dr. J. A. McGinley 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》1987,36(1-4):5-23
Summary A scheme for analysis of the ALPEX II-b data set is described. Using the calculus of variations in developing the analysis equations, considerations were consistent with requirements necessary for computing budgets for various meteorological quantities. One constraint which employs full equations of motion, reduces the momentum residual to any desired level based on selection of a weighting function. Time tendencies are assumed to be observed, while nonlinear terms can be observed or iterated. At the same time, mass continuity is completely imposed by application of a strong constraint. Approximation of terrain as a series of blocks in thex, y, p domain insures that the model terrain will block the flow to the maximum extent possible in a way consistent with the Alpine range. Comparative analyses are presented illustrating how coupling the variables increases resolution of fine scale features like fronts and jet maxima. Comparison with independently collected research aircraft data over the Mediterranean Sea also shows how the scheme can provide improved analysis even over data sparse areas. Derived vertical motion fields compare well with middle and upper level cloud patterns for a case of rapid cyclogenesis.
With 9 Figures 相似文献
Ein variierbares, objektives Analyseschema zur Analyse der ALPEX-Daten
Zusammenfassung Es wird ein Schema für die Analyse der ALPEX II-b Daten beschrieben. Zur Entwicklung der Analysengleichung wurde die Variationsrechnung verwendet. Diese Überlegungen waren vereinbar mit den Voraussetzungen, die zur Berechnung der Bilanzen verschiedener meteorologischer Größen notwendig sind. Eine Einschränkung, die vollständigen Bewegungsgleichungen betreffend, reduziert die Impulsdifferenz mit Hilfe der Auswahl einer Gewichtsfunktion auf jede gewünschte Höhe. Zeittendenzen werden als beobachtet angenommen, während nichtlineare Terme beobachtet oder iteriert sein können. Gleichzeitig ist Massenerhaltung durch Anwendung einer starken Einschränkung vollständig gegeben. Durch Annäherung des Geländes in Form von Blöcken imx, y, p-Bereich wird sichergestellt, daß das Modellgelände die Strömung im größtmöglichen Ausmaß, annähernd vergleichbar mit der Alpenkette, hemmt. Die dargestellten vergleichenden Analysen zeigen, wie die Koppelung von Variablen die Auflösung feinskaliger Merkmale wie Fronten und Windmaxima verbessert. Ein Vergleich mit unabhängig gesammelten Daten von Flügen über dem Mittelmeer zeigt ebenfalls, daß das Schema sogar über datenarmen Gebieten verbesserte Analysen ermöglicht. Abgeleitete Vertikalbewegungsfelder entsprechen gut den mittleren und höheren Wolkenmustern im Fall einer schnellen Tiefdruckentwicklung.
With 9 Figures 相似文献
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Greenhouse statistics-time series analysis 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Summary The relationship global mean temperature — atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide is modelled by means of time series analysis as it is used in a non-experimental statistical context. The goal is to test the hypothesis that the global mean surface air temperature rises due to the rising atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases.The common climatological approach to confirm this hypothesis has not yet succeeded because of the overly ambitious model design and the statistically less efficient manner of information processing in interpretating the output of general circulation models. Earlier statistical attempts to detect the greenhouse signal in the temperature record failed partly because of inefficient modelling.Starting with some naive time series models we show that the enhanced greenhouse effect is plausible. Taking the long-term natural variability of the climate into account casts doubt on this claim but properly quantifying the size of the variability restores the significance of the greenhouse parameter.Extending the model to explain part of the shorter term variability by including the influence of the sun, volcanoes and El Niño the hypothesis is again but stronger confirmed. A battery of tests reveals that this model describes the observed temperature record (statistically) well. We also show that the outcomes are robust, i.e. insensitive to changes in the model.Although statistics cannot constitute a proof of the hypothesis, the results of this paper are strong enough to conclude that at least part of the recent high temperatures is, with high probability, caused by the increase in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide.With 3 Figures 相似文献
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吴亚娟 《南京气象学院学报》2010,(6):510-513
引用满意度指数的概念,根据实际满意度调查的数据,利用多元统计分析的方法,对2010届毕业生选择的第一份工作的满意度进行了实证分析,得出影响毕业生就业满意度的主要因子分别为"单位内部因子"、"个体发展因子"、"外显所得因子",其中起主要影响的因素是"单位因子",三者的影响程度依次递减,同时对2010届大学毕业生对工作的满意程度进行了预测. 相似文献
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R. A. Steinacker 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》1992,48(1-4):93-103
Summary Following the empirical rules of frontal analysis on synoptic scale weather maps, a criterion has been derived, which allows an objective determination of the frontal position and the frontal intensity. It can be shown that the extreme value lines of the crossfrontal second derivative of several atmospheric variables are relevant to resolve the structure of the ageostrophic secondary frontal circulation. This is being shown by the application of quasigeostrophic theory (Q-vector approach) as well as with the approach to ageostrophic motion by Phillips' approximation. With the aid of a case study the application of the method with regard to several atmospheric variables is shown. It is shown that the empirical rules may well be interpreted in terms of the dynamical behaviour of fronts.With 17 Figures 相似文献
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EMD analysis of solar insolation 总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7
Summary A new time series analysis technique, Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD), which has been successfully applied to nonlinear
and nonstationary data, is used to examine paleoclimate cycles in the Pleistocene (1 Ma bp–20 Ka bp). The purpose of this
study is to improve knowledge of the climatic significance of solar insolation. The results show that the eccentricity band
signal is much larger than previously estimated, having an amplitude of about 1% of solar irradiance which is comparable to
the amplitude of the precession and obliquity band signals. This finding implies the need to reconsider the role of solar
radiation on the formation and maintenance of quaternary ice sheet cycles. 相似文献
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广西壮族自治区气象台 《大气科学》1977,1(4):316-320
广西地处祖国南疆,属低纬地区,山丘起伏,地形复杂,天气多变,每年都有不同程度的灾害,给发展农业生产带来不利的影响。在“农业学大寨”、“工业学大庆”的运动中,我们在自治区党委的领导下,进一步明确了气候为农业服务的方向,天气预报为灾害性天气和农事活动关键性天气为主攻方向,开展气象科研,大搞业务基本建设,对广西的主要灾 相似文献
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金春荣 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2012,6(5):73-74
原文来自韩国气象厅预报技术组2011年6月编辑的“易于掌握的预报技术”第4期.预报技术组分析了１０年间发生在韩国的７０多个暴雨个例,得出了共六个暴雨模型图.指出了此类暴雨的分析预报方法。 相似文献
