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1.
基于提升回归树的东、黄海鲐鱼渔场预报 总被引：10，自引：2，他引：8
为提高东、黄海鲐鱼渔场预报准确率、降低渔业生产成本,研究提出了一种基于提升回归树的渔场预报模型。研究采用2003—2010年我国大型灯光围网渔捞日志数据,以有网次记录的小渔区为渔场,以渔捞日志未记录的区域作为背景场随机选择假定非渔场数据,以海表水温等环境因子作为预测变量构建东、黄海鲐鱼渔场预报模型并以2011年的实际作业记录对预报模型进行精度验证。验证计算得到预报模型的AUC(area under receiver operating curve)值为0.897,表明模型的预报精度较高。模型的空间预测结果表明,预报渔场与实际作业位置基本吻合,其位置移动也与实际情况相符。这表明基于提升回归树的渔场预报模型可以用来进行东、黄海鲐鱼渔场的预报。 相似文献
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基于个体模型的东海鲐鱼渔场形成机制研究 总被引：4，自引：2，他引：2
鲐鱼Scomber japonicus资源丰富,在我国近海渔业中占有重要地位。其渔场的形成受海洋环境的制约,本文确定鲐鱼运动和物理环境之间的响应关系,建立起了基于个体的东海鲐鱼生长洄游模型。结果显示,鲐鱼集群分布与捕捞生产渔场基本吻合,鲐鱼聚集主要受台湾暖流、大陆沿岸水、黑潮影响,往往集群在一定温度范围内并在冷暖交汇区温盐梯度大偏暖水一侧。在台湾暖流和沿岸水交汇的锋面附近、台湾暖流暖水舌前端、黑潮与中国大陆沿岸水形成的潮境区域均有大量的鲐鱼聚集,并形成渔场。产卵位置的变动使偏西产卵位置的鲐鱼由于受台湾暖流影响较大,鲐鱼会呈长带状大量聚集在台湾暖流和沿岸水的锋面附近,并使在台湾暖流暖水舌前端的聚集数量增多,而偏东的产卵的鲐鱼受黑潮影响较大,聚集分布范围较大,会使黑潮形成的锋面附近聚集数量增多,而使台湾暖水舌的前端的聚集量减少。正常产卵位置在生存率方面是最佳产卵位置。研究表明鲐鱼所处空间位置不同,会影响其集群的位置,用数值模型验证了物理环境会对鲐鱼的洄游和渔场的形成产生影响。 相似文献
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东海南部海洋净初级生产力与鲐鱼资源量变动关系的研究 总被引：6，自引：3，他引：3
海洋初级生产力决定海洋渔业资源的潜在产量,我国应用海洋初级生产力方法估算渔业资源量亦已取得不少研究成果,但海洋生态系统中的营养控制机制复杂多样,将影响海洋初级生产力与鱼类资源量的关系。本文利用中国大型灯光围网渔业在东海南部渔场的鲐鱼(Scomber japonicus)捕捞数据与海洋净初级生产力的遥感资料分析了鲐鱼资源量变化与净初级生产力的关系,探讨了其生态系统营养控制机制。研究结果表明,净初级生产力与标准化CPUE(Catch Per Unit Effort)不存在显著的线性关系(P>0.05),但呈显著非线性关系(P<0.05),且这种非线性关系表现为倒抛物线,即鲐鱼资源量随净初级生产力的增加而提高,但当净初级生产力进一步增加,鲐鱼资源量则呈下降趋势。净初级生产力与标准化CPUE呈显著的倒抛物线关系表明生态系统存在上行控制机制,但并非受该机制完全控制。种间竞争或浮游动物资源量的变动均可能引起鲐鱼资源的相对丰度与净初级生产力呈倒抛物线关系。 相似文献
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采用2016—2017年中国印度洋围拖网生产数据和同期的海表温度、叶绿素、表层海流和海面高度数据, 绘制了阿拉伯海鲐鱼Scomber australasicus围网月平均单位捕捞努力量渔获量(CPUE)和环境因子空间叠加图, 分析鲐鱼渔场与海洋环境因子之间关系, 采用频次分析和经验累积分布函数计算鲐鱼渔场最适宜的海洋环境区间。结果表明, 该海域月平均CPUE呈现先减少后增加的趋势; 围网渔场渔汛主要在东北季风期间, 从10月到翌年3月; 作业渔场重心分布在59°—62°E、13°—17°N, 具有明显的月变化, 基本呈现西南移动趋势。空间上, CPUE 分布在西边界流速较大的海域右侧, 在海流最大值和最低值中间区域。在印度洋东北季风期间, 阿拉伯海围网鲐鱼渔场适宜海表温度在25~28℃; 叶绿素浓度在0.2~0.5mg·m -3; 表层海流在0.05~0.25m·s -1; 海表高度0.2~0.35m。 相似文献
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Habitat suitability index of Chub mackerel (<Emphasis Type="Italic">Scomber japonicus</Emphasis>) from July to September in the East China Sea 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
The habitat quality of Chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) in the East China Sea has been a subject of concern in the last 10 years due to large fluctuations in annual catches of
this stock. For example, the Chinese light-purse seine fishery recorded 84000 tons in 1999 compared to 17000 tons in 2006.
The fluctuations have been attributed to variability in habitat quality. The habitat suitability Index (HSI) has been widely
used to describe fish habitat quality and in fishing ground forecasting. In this paper we use catch data and satellite derived
environmental variables to determine habitat suitability indices for Chub mackerel during July to September in the East China
Sea. More than 90% of the total catch was found to come from the areas with sea surface temperature of 28.0°–29.4°C, sea surface
salinity of 33.6–34.2 psu, chlorophyll-a concentration of 0.15–0.50 mg/m3 and sea surface height anomaly of −0.1–1.1 m. Of the four conventional models of HSI, the Arithmetic Mean Model (AMM) was
found to be most suitable according to Akaike Information Criterion analysis. Based on the estimation of AMM in 2004, the
monthly HSIs in the waters of 123°–125°E and 27°30′–28°00′ N were more than 0.6 during July to September, which coincides
with the catch distribution in the same time period. This implies that AMM can yield a reliable prediction of the Chub mackerel’s
habitat in the East China Sea. 相似文献
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Fish biomass is a critical component of fishery stock assessment and management and it is often estimated from ocean primary production（OPP）. However, the relationship between the biomass of a fish stock and OPP is always complicated due to a variety of trophic controls in the ecosystem. In this paper, we examine the quantitative relationship between the biomass of chub mackerel（Scomber japonicus） and net primary production（NPP） in the southern East China Sea（SECS）, using catch and effort data from the Chinese mainland large light-purse seine fishery logbook and NPP derived from remote sensing. We further discuss the mechanisms of trophic control in regulating this relationship. The results show a significant non-linear relationship exists between standardized CPUE（Catch-Per-Unit-Effort） and NPP（P〈0.05）. This relationship can be described by a convex parabolic curve, where the biomass of chub mackerel increases with NPP to a maximum and then decreases when the NPP exceeds this point. The results imply that the ecosystem in the SECS is subject to complex trophic controls. We speculate that the change in abundance of key species at intermediate trophic levels and/or interspecific competition might contribute to this complex relationship. 相似文献
8.
使用ROMS(regional oceanic modeling system)模式模拟了40年的渤黄东海温盐流,数据包括三维的温度、盐度、流速、流向和海表高度,同时包含了逐小时的潮汐信息。将模拟结果与观测资料和卫星反演数据进行对比,检验了模式准确性。整体上,模式模拟的水位与近岸观测值基本一致,能够准确再现风产生的增水;模式较为准确的再现了渤黄东海的温度分布,在深水区模拟的温盐剖面与观测值基本一致;模式模拟渤黄东海区域的海表高度和海表流与卫星反演结果相比偏小,但分布趋势相近。模式结果可以为研究气候变化对水位的影响和黄海暖舌的扩散过程等现象提供数据支持。 相似文献
9.
Ang Li Xueming Zhu Yunfei Zhang Shihe Ren Miaoyin Zhang Ziqing Zu Hui Wang 《海洋学报(英文版)》2021,40(11):87-103
In order to satisfy the increasing demand for the marine forecasting capacity, the Bohai Sea, the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea Operational Oceanography Forecasting System (BYEOFS) has been upgraded and improved to Version 2.0. Based on the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS), a series of comparative experiments were conducted during the improvement process, including correcting topography, changing sea surface atmospheric forcing mode, adjusting open boundary conditions, and considering atmospheric pressure correction. (1) After the topography correction, the volume transport and meridional velocity maximum of Yellow Sea Warm Current increase obviously and the unreasonable bending of its axis around 36.1°N, 123.5°E disappears. (2) After the change of sea surface forcing mode, an effective negative feedback mechanism is formed between predicted sea surface temperature (SST) by the ocean model and sea surface radiation fluxes fields. The simulation errors of SST decreased significantly, and the annual average of root-mean-square error (RMSE) decreased by about 18％. (3) The change of the eastern lateral boundary condition of baroclinic velocity from mixed Radiation-Nudging to Clamped makes the unreasonable westward current in Tsushima Strait disappear. (4) The adding of mean sea level pressure correction option which forms the mean sea level gradient from the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea to the western Pacific in winter and autumn is helpful to increasing the fluctuation of SLA and outflow of the Yellow Sea when the cold high air pressure system controls the Yellow Sea area. 相似文献
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黄、东海陆架海域温度垂直结构类型划分与温跃层分析 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
基于黄、东海陆架海域1997—1999年4个季节调查的CTD资料,采用拟阶梯函数逼近法对温度垂直剖面拟合逼近,然后按拟合均方差和跃层强度对黄、东海陆架区的温度垂直结构进行类型划分,共划分为6个类型:三层结构型(T型)、主跃层上位型(U型)、主跃层下位型(L型)、多阶梯状结构型(M型)、异常结构型(A型)和垂直均匀型(H型)。分析结果表明:温度垂直结构类型在黄海区域为:春季呈L型;夏季呈U型;秋季呈T型;冬季呈H型。东海北部春季基本呈T型;夏季西部呈T型,东部呈U型;秋、冬季演变为H型;东海南部春、夏季主要呈L型;秋、冬季除近岸出现逆温类型外,大部分区域呈H型。利用风和潮的混合卷挟模式阐述了各种温度垂直结构的形成机制,最后给出了黄、东海陆架海域的主温跃层特征值的区域分布和季节变化。 相似文献
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基于分类回归树算法的东南太平洋智利竹筴鱼渔场预报 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
为了提高智利竹筴鱼渔场预报水平和满足渔业捕捞生产的需要,利用2002—2008年的东南太平洋公海海域捕捞的中国大型拖网渔船共计15艘的生产统计资料,以及海洋环境数据(包括海表温度、叶绿素a浓度、表温距平、叶绿素a浓度距平、海表温度梯度强度和海面高度异常等数据),基于CART的算法,构建了智利竹筴鱼渔场决策树预报模型。用含1 114条记录的数据集对模型进行训练,并采用ROC方法对该模型诊断中心渔场的准确性进行了分析。最后将该模型应用于2009年各月份的智利竹筴鱼中心渔场预报,并与实际渔场位置进行了对比,结果显示预报渔场与实际生产位置基本一致,表明利用CART决策树方法建立智利竹筴鱼渔场预报模型是可行的。 相似文献
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海表水温变动对东、黄海鲐鱼栖息地分布的影响 总被引：6，自引：2，他引：4
海表水温(SST)通常是表征鱼类栖息地分布的主要指标。本文根据1999—2007年我国大型灯光围网的鲐鱼生产统计数据,结合海洋遥感获得的SST,分析了渔汛期间鲐鱼栖息地的适宜SST范围,探讨了SST变动情况下鲐鱼栖息地的变化趋势。研究结果表明,东、黄海鲐鱼7—12月的适宜SST范围为15~30℃。根据政府气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)第四份评估报告,本文拟定4种SST上升的情况,即(1)每月平均SST+0.5℃;(2)每月平均SST+1℃;(3)每月平均SST+2℃;(4)每月平均SST+4℃。结果显示,东、黄海鲐鱼的潜在栖息有明显向北移动的趋势,并且栖息地面积逐渐减小。研究认为,全球气候变化引起的SST上升,可能会对近海鲐鱼栖息地造成严重的影响。 相似文献
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The macroalgal blooms of floating brown algae Sargassum horneri are increasing in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea during the past few years. However, the annual pattern of Sargassum bloom is not well characterized. To study the developing pattern and explore the impacts from hydro-meteorologic environment, high resolution satellite imageries were used to monitor the distribution, coverage and drifting of the pelagic Sargassum rafts in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea from September 2019 to Au... 相似文献
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海面粗糙度对于海洋工程和海洋军事都非常重要,但对海面粗糙度的现场观测资料非常少, 这大大制约了对海面粗糙度的认识。利用 TOPEX 高度计风速资料实现了对海面粗糙度的反演,并利用 1993 年和1998 年两年的资料对西北太平洋海域的海面粗糙度进行了研究。 相似文献
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近百年来渤、黄、东海陆架冲淤作用强度数值研究 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
数值模拟了渤，黄，东海陆架区潮流动力场作用下9种无黏性单粒径泥沙的冲淤作用强度，计算所得渤，黄，东海陆架近百年来的冲淤分布与实测底质类型的分布多数海区相一致，这表明渤，黄，东海陆架的潮流动力场在该区泥沙输运与淤积中起着主导作用，是该区近百年来冲淤作用强度分布格局的主要控制因素。 相似文献
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我国海洋渔业地理信息系统发展现状 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
详细总结了我国海洋渔业地理信息系统的研究与应用现状,远洋渔业地理信息系统主要应用于金枪鱼、鱿钓业和秋刀鱼的资源分布、渔获量与渔场环境关系、渔情预报、渔场图绘制等方面,近海主要用于分析东海渔业资源分布和漂移特征、渔场环境分布、部分种类渔获量分布与环境关系及渔情预报等方面。除渔业资源与渔场领域外,渔业地理信息系统还被应用到渔船跟踪、捕捞违法行为判别、渔业信息发布和水产品查询,以及渔港建设等领域,国内学者在进行渔业地理信息系统技术应用的同时,还注重了其技术的研究及改进。 相似文献
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Whitespotted conger Conger myriaster is a commercially important species in the seas around China, Korea and Japan. The coastal waters of China serve as an important feeding ground for congers, but the spatio-temporal variations in the fishery and biological characteristics of the population have been rarely evaluated and less well understood in this area. We studied the growth, spawning and feeding characteristics of C. myriaster on the basis of samples collected from October 2016 to April 2017 in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea. A total of 529 specimens were collected, with ages ranging from 1 to 6 years and total length ranging from 132 mm to 834 mm.The parameters of von Bertalanffy growth equation L_∞ and k were 1 026 mm and 0.226 a~(–1), respectively; the sex ratio was 88:0(female: male) in the East China Sea and 2.67:1 in the South Yellow Sea; the development stage of ovary ranged from peri-nucleolus stage to secondary yolk globule stage, and the testis of two males was at midmeiotic stage; Crustacean was the major prey for conger of small length, and food source shift to fish with somatic growth. The results showed substantial differences from previous studies in Japan and Korean waters, as well as from China seas in the 1980 s, suggesting potential spatiotemporal changes in the biological characteristics of C.myriaster. This study may improve current understanding of the fishery biology of C. myriaster in the Yellow Sea and East China Sea. 相似文献
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The simulation of the geometry of a tuna purse seine under current and drift of purse seiner 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
It was necessary to obtain a more practical interactive precise model of the three-dimensional (3-D) geometry during purse seine operations considering movements of fishing vessel and details of the sea condition. The changes in the shape of a purse seine from shooting to pursing during pelagic skipjack fishing was recorded in the Southwest Pacific Ocean by photographs of the scanning sonar with in situ measurements of water flow by a current meter. The modeling of 3-D geometry during purse seining was established using finite element methods, as resultant force vector from flow drag, buoyancy, sinking force, tension of pulling or pursing acting on net panels in connection with drift of fishing vessel with time elapsed from the start of shooting to the end of pursing. The simulation results were matched closely by field measurements as a heart-like shape in upper net near floatline and a water-drop shape in purse line following drift of ship towards inside net circle during pursing. This model of a purse seine can be extended to almost any kind of purse seine generating real fishing parameters and to modeling fish capture process. 相似文献