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1.
给出一种模糊聚类循环迭代模型以及通过模糊二元对比赋权与迭代赋权相融合的组合赋权方法,采用交叉循环迭代的方法确定聚类中心矩阵,通过判断聚类准则函数获得最终聚类矩阵.该模型兼顾了主观决策与客观决策,使聚类分析具有很大的柔性,最后将模型应用到辽宁省海岸带30个县(市)区的水资源可持续发展分区研究中,按照水资源可持续发展评价的9个指标分为4个类别,结果表明,模型聚类分区结果比较合理.  相似文献   

2.
城市水资源系统模糊综合评价   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
针对城市经济和水资源系统的特点,通过建立一套指标体系,利用模糊综合评价方法,对城市水资源系统评价进行了探讨,旨在为城市水资源的合理开发和利用决策提供一种科学的依据.  相似文献   

3.
文章根据辽宁沿海经济带生态环境和经济发展现状,选取适宜的指标,采用熵权法确定指标权重,并应用可变模糊模型,对辽宁沿海经济带内6市的生态环境与经济协调发展情况进行了定量研究。  相似文献   

4.
海岸侵蚀灾情分级   总被引:18,自引:0,他引:18  
分析了海岸侵蚀灾变强度因子和灾度因子,提出了基于海岸侵蚀后退速率和海滩宽度侵蚀模数的海岸侵蚀灾变强度分级方案;在参考其它地质灾害灾度分级方案的基础上,给出了海岸侵蚀灾度分级方案。  相似文献   

5.
福建海岸侵蚀风险评价研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
海岸侵蚀和淤积一直存在于海岸带系统内并塑造着现在的海岸线,近年来不当的人类活动以及全球气候变化加剧了海岸侵蚀,导致沿海土地流失,威胁人类生命财产安全。本文构建了海岸侵蚀风险评价理论体系,阐述了海岸侵蚀风险评价的方法,为海岸侵蚀风险管理提供有效指导。运用层析分析法确定评价指标权重;根据模糊集理论合成海岸侵蚀风险等级。以福建省海岸带为例,进行了海岸侵蚀风险评价,编绘了风险评价图,评价结果与客观情况比较吻合,验证了文中理论方法的适用性。本文构建的海岸侵蚀风险评价理论体系可以推广到其他区域,但应根据实际情况适当调整指标个数以及指标权重。  相似文献   

6.
将模糊多属性决策理论应用于海洋平台设计选型中,根据多个属性的估计值,结合决策者的偏好,通过综合评价,在若干设计方案中选出最优方案.考虑到在概念设计阶段对于属性特征值及属性权重值的估计带有一定的模糊不确定性,将属性特征值和属性权重值表示为模糊数的形式,并且根据模糊集理论的表现定理得出各个设计方案的决策值.根据模糊数排序理论对设计方案进行排序并得到最优设计方案.总之,该研究为海洋平台设计方案的选型决策提高了一种新方法.  相似文献   

7.
为解决浅剖数据质量评价指标不一、定量化不足的问题,本文基于层次分析法的原理,结合德尔菲法及模糊评价方法,建立了浅剖质量评价的模糊层次分析技术流程,构建了多层次的浅剖质量评价模型,确定了3个一级指标和14个二级指标,给出了各指标在质量评价中的定量权重,定出了4个质量评价等级。文章应用评价模型对深海及浅海两套浅剖数据集进行了评价,根据评价结果及最大隶属度原则,深海浅剖数据总体质量为中等,浅海浅剖数据总体质量为良好。结果显示,该模型可以有效地将专家主观经验以知识驱动的形式转成定量化评价指标,给出的评价结果客观、可量化,减少了数据质量评价过程中人为主观因素影响和片面性,可为数据进一步应用提供较为准确的应用等级建议。  相似文献   

8.
上海市水源地水质综合评价方法的探讨   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
时俊  刘鹏霞  张丽旭  李阳 《海洋学报》2009,31(1):99-105
基于2005年至2007年上海市陈行水库和青草沙水源地的监测资料,应用基于组合权重法的水质综合评价模型对水质状况进行了综合评价。并将综合评价结果与单因子评价结果进行比较分析。研究结果表明:基于组合权重法的水质综合评价模型简便、适用,利用样本信息较为全面,能够实现对水质客观、准确、量化的分类和排序,是一种较为有效的水质评价方法。  相似文献   

9.
将模糊综合评价方法应用于渤海湾生态监控区的水质评价中,通过确定评价指标、评价等级、隶属函数、权重等构建了模糊综合评价模型,实现对各水体样本集水质的总体评价,增加对水质总体评价的精确性和可对比性,以期为制定科学的生态监控区环境污染综合防治规划及综合管理等提供依据.  相似文献   

10.
基于GIS的港口功能适宜性评价模型构建研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
以GIS技术为支撑,以港口功能适宜性为评价目标,构建了以海岸自然条件和海岸社会经济条件为主要影响要素的,具有科学化、定量化、自动化和可视化特征的港口功能适宜性评价模型,并以广西钦州湾海岸为例,对此模型进行了应用检验。此港口功能适宜性评价模型的构建理论和方法可为科学确定海岸的基本功能,建立以海岸基本功能管制为核心的管理机制提供技术支撑,模型评价结果可为海岸资源的开发与管理提供科学依据。  相似文献   

11.
The analysis of the structure of the cryolithozone, facies, and thicknesses of the Quaternary sediments and the results of the physicochemical mathematical modeling of the modern shelf of the western part of the Laptev Sea support the influence of the Late Pleistocene glaciations on the heat conditions and the distribution of the permafrost in the area. A ~200-m thick glacier formed under aerial conditions from atmospheric precipitation represented the metamorphosed snow cover. According to the modeling, the long-living (from 60?50 to 10?4 ky) glacier reduced the thickness of the permafrost rocks in the reviewed shelf area for 280–360 m. The Holocene marine transgression additionally decreased the thickness from 50–140 m on the inner shelf to 220–350 m on the outer shelf. The modern submarine cryolithozone 450-0 m thick is wide-spread in the studied region from the coast to the shelf boundary (isobaths of 130–140 m), where it pinches out at a distance of ~380 km from the coast at a depth of ~250 m above the sea level.  相似文献   

12.
We analyze the components of the carbon system of the Sevastopol bay waters and the balance of main sediment-forming substances using the data of field investigations in 1998–2008. The interannual variations of total inorganic carbon and the equilibrium partial pressure of carbon dioxide in the bay water are noted. An increase in the flux of carbon dioxide into the bay and in the content of organic carbon in bottom sediments is revealed, and an explanation of this phenomenon is given. The priority accumulation of organic carbon in the sediments of the bay is established. We assess the interannual variation in the relative abundances of organic and inorganic carbon as an index of the carbon cycle stability.  相似文献   

13.
We generalize and analyze the state of investigations of the influence of river waters on the hydrologic structure of the Black Sea. Specific features of the water, regime and hydrography of rivers flowing into the sea, data on the discharge of rivers, and intrayear and interyear variability of the discharge are presented. We discuss and analyze works studying the transformation of river waters, routes of desalinized sea waters, and their influence on the thermohaline structure and dynamic regime of the sea. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

14.
We analyze the results of numerical calculations performed according to the three-dimensional interdisciplinary model of an ecological system of the Black-Sea shelf zone near the estuary of the Danube. The complete system of equations of hydrothermodynamics is solved together with transport equations of the advection-diffusion-reaction type used to describe the transformation of a substance (nitrogen) between the components of the characteristic vectors of the ecosystem: plankton, detritus, and biogenic elements (nitrates). We describe the distinctive features of the circumcontinental distribution of components obtained as a result of numerical experiments and present arguments for the conclusion that the ecosystem of the Danube estuary water area plays the role of a buffer zone between the press of the Danubian biogenic pollutions and the neighbouring areas of the shelf zone and open sea. Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

15.
Ten years of semistationary studies of the interaction of the ice cover and the coastal relief of the Kandalakhsa Gulf in the White Sea allowed us to reveal the peculiarities of these processes in the warm and cold years and the mechanisms of the origination of ice forms, including ice tents, which govern the character of the tidal flats. Three dynamic fast ice zones are distinguished by their geomorphological location, morphology, and ice dynamics. The dependence of the mechanisms and volumes of the enrichment of the fast ice in the sediments on the coastal zone??s relief was established. At the coast of the Kindo Peninsula (Velikaya Salma Strait), the ice mostly contains fine-sandy sediments. Coarser sediments, including boulders, are occasional and frozen into the ice at the contact of the fast ice and the bottom. At the expense of the ice??s spreading by 4?C6 times in the warm years and 2?C4 times in the cold years, several thousand tons of sediments mostly from the tidal flat??s surface (100?C700 m3 from 1 km of coast in the wide tidal flats and <50 m3 on the steep coasts) are delivered to the water area.  相似文献   

16.
A relationship between paths of the Kuroshio and Kuroshio Extension (KE) is investigated, using the satellite-derived altimetry dataset of 1993–2008. When the Kuroshio takes the nearshore nonlarge meander path or typical large meander path and resultantly goes through the deeper channel (about 2500 m) of the Izu-Ogasawara Ridge, the KE path adopts a relatively stable state with the two quasi-stationary meanders. On the other hand, when the Kuroshio takes the offshore nonlarge meander path and then passes over the shallower part of the Ridge (about 1000 m), the KE path tends to be convoluted, i.e., an unstable state.  相似文献   

17.
We use many-year archival observations of hydrologic and hydrobiologic state of the Sea of Azov for the identification of the structure of a model of its ecosystem. The ecosystem model, supplemented with expert estimates of bioresource consumption (fish reserve), contamination level, and possible ecologic fines for violation of the sea natural state, is formalized by the method of system dynamics. Hereat, the major part of influence functions is found in terms of observational data with application of self-organization algorithms. We also present the results of simulated experiments with the model of the ecosystem, which enable us to analyse scenarios of its behaviour under the influence of various external factors (wind, river discharge, water exchange with the Black Sea, etc.). Translated by Peter V. Malyshev and Dmitry V. Malyshev  相似文献   

18.
The methodology and the first results of the computations of the volumes, masses, and growth rates of the sedimentary body of the buried Black Sea basin are presented. Their temporal evolution reflects the regional paleogeodynamics, in particular, the reorientation of the vector of the relative movement of the Arabian and Eurasian lithospheric plates and the related intensification of their collision in the late Miocene-Pliocene.  相似文献   

19.
The spatiotemporal variability of the hydrochemical composition of the riverine runoff in nearmouth areas is presented using the example of selected rivers of the Arctic Basin. The temporal dynamics of the riverine nutrient runoff are mainly determined by the seasonal and interseasonal variations in the drainage basins. The spatial variations in the chemical composition of riverine waters in the near-mouth areas are mainly caused by the dynamics of the water flow and the river bed relief and, to a lesser degree, by biochemical processes. It is shown that the variations in the nutrient composition of the waters in near-mouth areas are comparable in magnitude to those at the river-sea geochemical barriers.  相似文献   

20.
Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - Analysis of the temporal variations of the virtual heights of the sporadic E layer (h?ES) determined from ionograms with increased accuracy (1...  相似文献   

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