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1.
矩、概率权重矩与线性矩的关系分析 总被引：2，自引：5，他引：2
本文叙述了矩、概率权重矩与线性矩之间的关系，并以Г分布为例进行分析。线性矩的计算式为概率权重矩的线性组合，两者的计算结果完全相同。概率权重矩和线性矩均与指定的频率分布型式和作为权重的概率有关，结果的敏感性较差。详细分析了计算参数的近似公式及其精度。对水文应用而言，它们的计算结果仅是估计的初值，需经过合理性分析才能取用。 相似文献
2.
线性矩法的特点评析和应用问题 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1
介绍了线性矩法的无偏估计与直接计算的关系，讨论了在概率权重矩计算过程中各系列之间的高度相关性及其对结果的影响，建立了直接计算线性矩法的Cv和Cs近似公式，叙述了适线问题和相应的经验频率公式。文中认为，水文频率计算时，由于资料的随机性和处理方法上的概化性，故用任何计算方法得到的结果，具有不同程度的不确定性，只能作为估计的初值，需通过时空上综合平衡，再经合理性分析和调整后，才能取用。 相似文献
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可考虑历史洪水信息的广义极值分布线性矩法的研究 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
在水文及其他行业中广义极值分布(GEV)是一种较为常用的分布线型,包括极值Ⅰ型、极值Ⅱ型和极值Ⅲ型分布.在介绍了该分布线性矩与其参数关系后,给出了有效的可以考虑历史洪水信息的线性矩公式,并对由线性矩推求分布密度函数中k值作了改进.通过统计试验计算分析了线性矩在该分布中的统计性能及历史洪水公式的适用性,并与绝对值准则和平方和准则两种不同优化适线法、矩法作了比较.统计试验表明,改进k值计算后的线性矩法略优于传统线性矩法.从总体上讲,改进k值计算后的线性矩法优于平方和准则适线法及矩法,其参数及设计值的不偏性很好,与绝对值准则适线法总体上相当. 相似文献
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线性矩法估计参数的保证修正值系数B的推求 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
在设计洪水的抽样误差估计中,采用保证修正值系数B方法估计均方差简单易用。应用线性矩法估计频率分布曲线的参数,有较好的无偏性和有效性,具有一定的应用前景。目前线性矩法的B值诺模图尚未确定,给用线性矩法确定参数时估计抽样误差带来了难度与不便。采用统计试验,分析了离差系数、偏态系数和样本长度对B值的影响,结果表明线性矩法估计参数时仍可采用保证修正值系数B值诺模图方法来估计抽样误差,并推求了不同偏态系数、设计频率情形下的B值,制成了线性矩法的B值诺模图备用。 相似文献
7.
以淮河流域为研究区,利用地区线性矩法进行站点极值降雨的频率分析。研究结果表明:基于气象成因和水文统计特性相结合的方法将研究区划分为6个通过异质性和不和谐性检测的水文气象一致区。在此基础上,通过蒙特卡罗模拟、均方根误差和线性矩系数的相关图综合判断得出各时段下6个一致区下的最优分布。其中,24h时段下的最优分布分别为:GEV、GNO、GLO、GEV、GLO、GEV。利用最优分布计算出淮河流域各站点一整套(多时段多重现期)的频率估计值。其中,最大值分布在沂蒙山区,这与站点的实际观测相一致。水文气象分区线性矩法是一种稳健可靠的频率分析方法,可应用于其它流域。 相似文献
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矩法计算粒度参数首先需将薄片粒度换算成筛析粒度，然后根据各次矩公式进行计算该方法使得整个粒分布都投入计算，因而具有图算法无法比拟的优越性；借助于计算机，使得这一方法适用范围更为广泛，使用起来更为快速，准确。 相似文献
9.
P-III分布参数的概率权重矩法S函数计算 总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3
概率权重矩法是一种估计统计分布参数的方法.本文根据不完全Γ函数在无限区间积分,推导了P-Ⅲ分布参数的S函数的计算公式.通过现有计算公式比较,其计算结果具有较高的计算精度,避免了的大量的数值积分计算.文中公式只要借助于计算编程进行求解,给定超几何函数项一定的截断误差,其运算具有较高的运行速度.文中计算公式是一种P-Ⅲ分布参数S函数的计算途径. 相似文献
10.
地区线性矩法(Regional L-moments Analysis,RLMA)是目前最先进的频率估算方法之一,自20世纪90年代起被广泛应用于美国及其他一些国家的防洪设计标准的分析计算中;我国近年也在太湖流域暴雨频率分析中成功地采用推广了这一水文气象途径的频率计算方法,积累了实际经验。但是,由于地面雨量站点有限、资料长度有限以及站点空间分布的不均匀等问题,研究区中相邻水文气象一致区之间暴雨频率估算值会出现空间不连续性的现象,这个空间不一致的问题尚没有得到合理的解决。在简要介绍地区线性矩法推求频率估计值的基础上,着重讨论并介绍一种概念清楚、简单易操作的基于空间往返二次内插的校正方法,来解决频率估算值空间不连续的问题。这种空间内插平差主要通过构造一个与研究区实测站点控制面积相应分辨率的虚拟网格站网来实现。研究结果表明,经过平差后校正的研究区内各站点的频率估计值的经验频率与理论概率更加接近,频率估计值的空间分布也更加合理。 相似文献
11.
研究基于高阶概率权重矩的广义极值分布参数估计。根据高阶概率权重矩法原理,建立了广义极值分布高阶概率权重矩估算参数模型。以陕北地区4个水文测站的年最大洪峰流量序列为例,结果表明:高阶概率权重矩法能赋予大洪水值更多的权重。蒙特卡洛试验表明:适当提高阶数可以减小误差,但阶数过高反而会增大误差。 相似文献
12.
基于谱矩的地学特征因子提取方法及其应用 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
地学特征因子的提取是定量化数学地质分析的重要基础,可以为地貌类型识别提供有效的客观依据。基于谱矩分析,本文提出了一种描述表面数据粗糙程度的特征因子,并且分析了新特征因子的特点和其应用可能性。该方法以随机过程理论为基础,通过计算表面各阶谱矩以及相应的统计不变量来描述三维表面形貌的特征。以中国卫星重力测量数据和DEM数据为例,试验该方法运用于地貌类型识别的效果。理论模型数据与实际数据结果均表明,基于谱矩的新的地学特征因子不仅可以有效地反映数据起伏与变异特征,而且提取出的特征可以为地貌及重力构造单元划分提供客观依据。 相似文献
13.
针对岩土工程的功能函数强非线性且难以显式表达的特点,提出了基于人工神经网络的四阶矩法,充分利用了基本随机变量的统计信息。首先利用神经网络对结构的隐式功能函数进行拟合,求得基本随机变量在均值点处的功能函数值及其偏导数,然后利用泰勒级数展开的方法由基本随机变量的前四阶矩求得功能函数的前四阶矩,并借助于Pearson系统获得功能函数的更高阶矩。在此基础上,通过最大熵原理确定以功能函数各阶矩为约束的功能函数的概率密度函数,最后由一次积分得到结构的失效概率。通过数值算例和工程实例不同方法的对比分析,表明基于神经网络的结构可靠度分析四阶矩方法是可行的,有效的,能够满足岩土工程可靠度分析的要求。 相似文献
14.
人们普遍认为要从理论上通过数学分析的方法来论证不连序系列样本概率权重矩的偏倚性是很困难的。本文根据次序统计量理论，分析推证了不连序系列样本概率权重矩的不偏计算公式，论证结果具有较重要的理论和实用意义。 相似文献
15.
The effects of closure on the moments of a distribution 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
John C. Butler 《Mathematical Geology》1979,11(1):75-84
When percentages are formed from uncorrelated, normally distributed parent variables the moments of the percentage distribution may differ considerably from those of the parents. Equations can be derived which enable the approximation of the moments of a percentage variable in terms of the moments of the parent distribution, the row sum statistics, and the correlation between a part of a sum and the sum (the part-whole correlation). If the part-whole correlation is negative the mean and variance of the percentage are increased (relative to the means and variances of those variables with a positive part-whole correlation) and the percentage variable will exhibit a positive skewness. If the part-whole correlation is positive the percentage variable will be negatively skewed if, and only if, the part-whole correlation is greater than the ratio of the coefficient of variation of the row sum (T) to the coefficient of variation of the parent variable. The kurtosis of the percentage variable must be greater than that of the parent variable regardless of the sign of the part-whole correlation. It is obvious that the interpretation or explanation of the distribution of a percentage variable must include an assessment of the effects of percentage formation. However, at the present time the isolation of the percentage effect appears to be impossible unless the parent data set is available. 相似文献
16.
Stereological and Other Methods Applied to Rock Joint Size Estimation—Does Crofton''s Theorem Apply?
Geoffrey J. Lyman 《Mathematical Geology》2003,35(1):9-23
A number of authors concerned with the analysis of rock jointing have used the idea that the joint areal or diametral distribution can be linked to the trace length distribution through a theorem attributed to Crofton. This brief paper seeks to demonstrate why Crofton's theorem need not be used to link moments of the trace length distribution captured by scan line or areal mapping to the moments of the diametral distribution of joints represented as disks and that it is incorrect to do so. The valid relationships for areal or scan line mapping between all the moments of the trace length distribution and those of the joint size distribution for joints modeled as disks are recalled and compared with those that might be applied were Crofton's theorem assumed to apply. For areal mapping, the relationship is fortuitously correct but incorrect for scan line mapping. 相似文献
17.
新疆塔里木盆地艾协克—桑塔木南地区油气地球化学指标的多重分形性分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
用分形与多重分形的方法研究地球化学场中地球化学指标的分布规律具有重要的意义。本文运用多重分形矩方法研究了新疆塔里木盆地艾协克一桑塔木南地区2000km^2内采集的2085个土壤样中20项油气化探指标的多重分形谱函数形态特征。结果表明，主要成油气指示指标的多重分形谱基本上呈单一“钩状”，显示较弱的多重分形或单一分形；而其他指标多显示较强的多重分形特征。这些性质在研究区广泛存在，将对区域含油性研究有重要的指示意义。 相似文献
18.
We consider groundwater steady flow in a heterogeneous porous formation of random and stationary log-conductivity Y = ln K, characterized by the mean 〈Y〉, and the two point correlation function C
Y
which in turn has finite, and different horizontal and vertical integral scales I and I
v
, respectively. The fluid velocity V, driven by a given head drop applied at the boundary, has constant mean value U ≡ (U, 0, 0). Approximate explicit analytical expressions for transverse velocity covariances are derived. The adopted methodology
follows the approach developed by Dagan and Cvetkovic (Spatial moments of kinetically sorbing plume in a heterogeneous aquifers,
Water Resour. Res. 29 (1993) 4053) to obtain a similar result for the longitudinal velocity covariance. Indeed, the approximate
covariances of transverse velocities are determined by requiring that they have the exact first order variances as well as
zero integral scale (G. Dagan, Flow and Transport in Porous Formations (Springer, 1989)) , and provide the exact asymptotic limits of the displacement covariance of the fluid particles obtained
by Russo (On the velocity covariance and transport modeling in heterogeneous anisotropic porous formations 1. Saturated flow,
Water Resour. Res., 31 (1995) 129). Comparisons with numerical results show that the proposed expressions compare quite well in the early time
regime, and for Ut/I >100. Since most of the applications, like assessing the effective mobility of contaminants or quantifying the potential
hazards of nuclear repositories, require predictions over higher times the proposed approximate expressions provide acceptable
results. The main advantage related to such expressions is that they allow obtaining closed analytical forms of spatial moments
pertaining to kinetically sorbing contaminant plumes avoiding the very heavy computational effort which is generally demanded.
For illustration purposes, we consider the movement of one contaminant species, and show how our approximate spatial moments
compare with the numerical simulations. 相似文献
19.
A Lagrangian perturbation method is applied to develop a method of moments for reactive solute flux through a three-dimensional, nonstationary flow field. The flow nonstationarity may stem from medium nonstationarity, finite domain boundaries, and/or fluid pumping and injecting. The reactive solute flux is described as a space–time process where time refers to the solute flux breakthrough in a control plane at some distance downstream of the solute source and space refers to the transverse displacement distribution at the control plane. The analytically derived moments equations for solute transport in a nonstationary flow field are too complicated to solve analytically; therefore, a numerical finite difference method is implemented to obtain the solutions. This approach combines the stochastic model with the flexibility of the numerical method to boundary and initial conditions. The approach provides a tool to apply stochastic theory to reactive solute transport in complex subsurface environments. Several case studies have been conducted to investigate the influence of the physical and chemical heterogeneity of a medium on the reactive solute flux prediction in nonstationary flow field. It is found that both physical and chemical heterogeneity significantly affect solute transport behavior in a nonstationary flow field. The developed method is also applied to an environmental project for predicting solute flux in the saturated zone below the Yucca Mountain Project area, demonstrating the applicability of the method in practical environmental projects. 相似文献
20.
John M. Harlin 《Mathematical Geology》1978,10(1):59-72
A method, applicable to multivariate designs, describing the form of the percentage hypsometric curve is developed in this research. Emphasis is placed on the quantitative aspects of curve form, rather than on average slopes, inflection points, or hypsometric integrals. A question of uniqueness arises when values, like the integral, are used as landform surrogates in process-response models involving drainage basins. It is demonstrated that the hypsometric curve has a much greater potential for quantitative landform analysis than can be realized through employment of the integral value alone. Unlike the integral, the functional form of the curve is unique to a particular area, depicting, among other things, evolutionary changes in the form of drainage basins. The technique involves treating the decumulation of the hypsometric curve in its mirror image as a cumulative distribution function. Statistical moments of the curve, and expectations of (x)for the curve's density function are derived, projecting a vector of curve-form attributes. 相似文献