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1.
C.-H. Liao C.-L. Chang C.-Y. Su P.-T. Chiueh 《International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology》2013,10(6):1275-1286
Urban areas are the main sources of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Previous studies have identified the effectiveness of better urban design on mitigating climate change and land-use patterns in cities as important factors in reducing GHG by local governments. However, studies documenting the link between land-use and GHG emissions are scant. Therefore, this study explores the driving forces of land-use change and GHG emission increments in urban areas and investigates their correlations. The study area, Xinzhuang, is a satellite city of Taipei that has rapidly urbanized in the past few decades. Twenty-one potential variables were selected to determine the driving forces of land-use change and GHG emission increments by binomial logistic regression based on the investigation data of national land use in 1996 and 2007. The correlation of land-use change and GHG increments was examined by Spearman rank-order analysis. Results of logistic regression analysis identified that population and its increasing density rate are main driving forces on both land-use change and GHG increments. The Spearman rank correlation matrix indicates that fluctuating urbanization level is significantly correlated with the increase of total GHG emissions, the emissions of residence, commerce, and transportation sectors in neighborhoods; and the emissions of residence and transportation sectors seem closely connected to current urbanization level. The findings suggest that relationships among land-use, urbanization, and GHG emissions in urban areas vary greatly according to residence and transportation characteristics. Land-based mitigation may provide the most viable mechanism for reducing GHG emissions through residence and transportation sectors. 相似文献
2.
Modeling and assessing land-use and hydrological processes to future land-use and climate change scenarios in watershed land-use planning 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Effective information regarding environmental responses to future land-use and climate change scenarios provides useful support
for decision making in land use planning, management and policies. This study developed an approach for modeling and examining
the impacts of future land-use and climate change scenarios on streamflow, surface runoff and groundwater discharge using
an empirical land-use change model, a watershed hydrological model based on various land use policies and climate change scenarios
in an urbanizing watershed in Taiwan. The results of the study indicated that various demand and conversion policies had different
levels of impact on hydrological components in all land-use scenarios in the study watershed. Climate changes were projected
to have a greater impact in increasing surface runoff and reducing groundwater discharge than are land use changes. Additionally,
the spatial distributions of land-use changes also influenced hydrological processes in both downstream and upstream areas,
particularly in the downstream watershed. The impacts on hydrological components when considering both land use and climate
changes exceeded those when only considering land use changes or climate changes, particularly on surface runoff and groundwater
discharge. However, the proposed approach provided a useful source of information for assessing the responses of land use
and hydrological processes to future land use and climate changes. 相似文献
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北京城乡过渡区土地利用变化驱动力分析 总被引：52，自引：1，他引：52
在多时相遥感数据和实际调查数据的支持下，采用典型样带和样点相结合的研究方法，对北京西部城乡过渡区的土地利用/覆盖变化驱动力进行了研究。结果表明，研究区的土地利用/覆盖变化受到了不同层次、多种驱动力的综合作用，人类活动从整体上改变着城乡过渡区的景观特征，政策体制转变下的经济高速增长和快速的城市化过程是北京城乡过渡区土地利用/覆盖变化的根本原因。在这个过程中，城市投资和产业的转变与农村农业用地内部的结构调整相互结合，从城市和农村两个方向共同推动着北京城乡过渡区的土地利用/覆盖变化，而地形、交通等因素则从局部尺度上决定着土地利用/覆盖变化的方向。此外，人类个体的行为选择，尤其是就业和消费选择，也在一定程度上对北京城乡过渡区的土地利用/覆盖变化起着调整和修改作用。 相似文献
5.
Land use/cover change and its driving forces has been one of the most important fields in global environmental change research
since the 1990s. Karst areas are distributed extensively on the Earth’s surface and are usually characterized by a fragile
eco-environment. In southwest China, karst landforms are fully developed and their eco-environment is highly fragile. Over
the past decades, irrational land use practice has caused a series of alarming eco-environmental issues including forest clearing,
soil erosion, and karst rocky desertification. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to study land use/cover change
in this area and its driving forces in order to re-build the damaged eco-environment and achieve sustainable land use. In
this paper, the authors conduct a case study on land use/cover change and its natural and human driving forces since the early
1970s in southwest China’s Maotiaohe watershed. The results indicate that the land use/cover pattern in the study area has
undergone a very complex change, which is a result of combined action of both natural and anthropological factors. In the
1970s and 1980s, climate change and fast population increase played dominating roles in the change of arable land, shrub land,
grassland, and rocky desertification land. Since the early 1990s, economic development has gradually taken the place of population
change to become the overwhelming human factor to go along with climate change in driving the land use/cover change, particularly
the change in arable land, construction land, and rocky desertification land. 相似文献
6.
近30年巢湖流域土地利用变化及其驱动力研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
土地利用与覆被变化（LUCC）是全球变化的重要内容和主要表现之一,LUCC研究已成为全球变化研究的前沿和热点问题。基于多时相的TM影像数据,从流域尺度研究了巢湖流域的土地利用变化,分析探讨了土地利用变化的社会经济驱动力。研究结果表明,1979～2008年间巢湖流域的土地利用发生了比较明显的变化,主要表现在耕地锐减和建设用地激增;经济发展、城镇化、工业化、人口增加是造成巢湖流域土地利用变化的主要驱动力。 相似文献
7.
Yong-Jun Jiang Dao-Xian Yuan Cheng Zhang Ming-Sheng Kuang Jian-Li Wang Shi-You Xie Lin-Li Li Gui Zhang Rao-Sheng He 《Environmental Geology》2006,50(6):911-918
Xiaojiang watershed is a typical karst agricultural region of Yunan Province, China. A case study of land-use changes documents changes of soil properties from 1982 to 2003. The results are as follows: (1) The total land use transformed covers 610.12 km2, of which land use changed from unused land into cultivated land and forestland, and forestland into cultivated land during the past 20 years in Xiaojiang watershed. (2) The rapid growth of population and economic development were the main driving forces of cultivated land increase. (3) Soil properties showed modification owing to different land-use changes. The contents of the soil organic matter, total nitrogen, and total phosphorus in 2003 were significantly lower than that in 1982 after the forestland and unused land were transformed into the cultivated land, but the soil pH increased significantly in 2003. Organic matter, total nitrogen, and total phosphorus for shorter-time reforestation land declined, but the pH increased. Soil properties have improved significantly after cropland was transformed into orchard land. The organic matter, total nitrogen, total phosphorus, available nitrogen, and available phosphorus declined significantly, but pH increased significantly after rock desertification. 相似文献
8.
为定量探究城市河流变化驱动成因,以2005～2010年佛山市中心城区为例,分析了河网水系演变及其驱动因子,根据河网水系变化与其驱动因子间一对多的映射关系,借助空间自回归和地理加权回归模型,分别从整体和局部分析了两者间的统计关系,结果表明:(1)末级河流长度减少量占各级河流总变化量约92.3%,变化最为显著,而城镇用地对水田、工业用地对水域的侵占以及农业活动则是影响末级河流的主要驱动因子;(2)整体来看,末级河流受建设用地扩张,尤其是工业用地扩张的负面影响程度最大;局部来看,各驱动因子的负面影响程度在不同空间位置上存在差异,以水田-城镇用地因子为例,其在罗村、老城区和桂城的交界区域以及南庄、罗村和老城区的交界区域负面影响程度较大;(3)空间自回归模型对区域河网水系变化与其驱动因子间的关系有整体、直观的把握,地理加权回归模型则能够描述驱动因子影响的空间非平稳性,有利于获取局部信息,结合两种模型的特点能够更加全面地刻画河网水系演变的驱动成因。 相似文献
9.
采用土地利用动态度分析方法和GIS技术,通过建立土地利用空间数据库,构建土地利用时空变化模型,分析上一轮规划以来邹平县土地利用时空变化特征及驱动力。研究结果表明,从1996到2005年近10年间,邹平县土地利用／覆被变化明显。其中耕地和未利用地面积减少量最大,耕地面积逐年减少的主导原因为城镇工矿及交通水利等建设用地的逐年增加,这与邹平县城镇化水平不断提高及经济快速发展密不可分,而城镇工矿用地与GDP、非农业人口存在很强的线性相关关系;未利用转出地类主要为农用地,这一定程度上缓减了因建设占用农用地所引发的农用地规模不断下降的压力。 相似文献
10.
Assessing land use and land cover change in the Wassa West District of Ghana using remote sensing 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
John Manyimadin Kusimi 《GeoJournal》2008,71(4):249-259
Vast tracts of forests are lost globally every year especially in the developing countries of the tropics due to various human
activities such as lumbering, farming, bush fires, surface mining and urbanization. The rainforest in Ghana has experienced
rapid depletion since the 1980s. The impact of deforestation is widespread, affecting the livelihoods of local people and
disrupting the tropical ecosystem. There is a serious concern in the study area about climatic change, soil erosion, siltation
of rivers and loss in biodiversity which have an adverse impact on traditional medicinal plants of the local people. The study
examined the extent of land cover change through image differencing of Landsat TM 1986 and 2002. The image classification
indicated that, vegetative cover from 1986 to 2002 has been reducing whiles land use activities have been increasing. Closed
canopy, open canopy and plantation have significantly diminished and land use activities especially built ups, farms, mining
and openfields are more than doubled. The driving forces for the change in land cover are population growth, lumbering, socio-economic
and cultural practices of the people. Lumbering and mining have been some of the major causes of the changing landscape in
primary forest. Also the reliance on wood for domestic energy and the need to increase food productivity to feed growing population
have also contributed greatly to the rapid depletion of the vegetative cover. 相似文献
11.
以山东省淄博市1981-2005年城市建设用地统计数据为研究基础,运用主成分分析法和定性分析法,研究该地区城市建设用地扩展的特征和影响机制。1980年以来淄博市城市建设用地分为平稳扩展、加速扩展和快速扩展3个时期。淄博市城市建设用地扩展的主要影响因素是制度改革、经济发展和人口增长。国家财税、土地等制度改革影响了经济的发展,而经济发展是城市建设用地扩展的根本驱动力。 相似文献
12.
长株潭地区耕地压力的时空变化及驱动因素分析 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
利用1997-2010年长株潭地区的土地利用现状数据和社会经济数据,运用耕地压力指数模型和主成分分析法分析了长株潭地区耕地压力的时空分布及驱动因素。结果表明:（1）长株潭地区耕地总量总体呈阶梯减少趋势;（2）整体看,长株潭地区耕地压力指数小于1,耕地压力不明显,但耕地压力指数呈上升-下降-上升走势,耕地压力呈上升势头。（3）具体看,长株潭地区耕地压力:长沙市>株洲市>湘潭市;并且县域空间差异明显,尤其是城区耕地压力指数远大于1,表明城区耕地压力非常大,其他县市压力相对较小。（4）人口快速增长、经济跨越式快速发展、农业机械化普及与农业投入的增加等4个方面是长株潭地区耕地压力变化的主要驱动因素。研究成果有利于提高人们对长株潭地区的耕地保护意识,为促进区域土地合理利用规划,实现两型发展提供科学依据。 相似文献
13.
黔桂岩溶山区土地利用变化的社会经济因素分析 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
基于黔桂岩溶山区1990、2015年的土地利用数据和社会经济统计资料,利用典范对应分析方法对1990-2015年25年间的土地利用变化及社会经济驱动因素进行了实证分析。结论如下:（1）黔桂岩溶山区土地利用变化存在明显的时空分异现象;（2）贵州高原区以草地大幅减少和林地增加为主要特征;黔桂峰丛洼地区以水域面积增加和草地减少为主要特征;广西丘陵区的主要特征是耕地减少和建设用地增加。（3）贵州高原区土地利用类型变化以经济和人口因素为主要驱动力;广西丘陵区土地利用类型变化以经济因素和农业结构水平为主要驱动力;农业因素对黔桂峰丛洼地区的土地利用变化驱动作用明显。未来应提高贵州高原和黔桂峰丛洼地区岩溶山区草地生态功能重要性的认识,在加强森林植被恢复的同时加强草地资源保护;城镇化发展背景下黔桂岩溶山区应减少优质耕地占用,开发低丘缓坡土地,建设山地特色城市。 相似文献
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Mohsen Tavakoli Florimond De Smedt Thomas Vansteenkiste Patrick Willems 《Natural Hazards》2014,71(3):2127-2142
This study investigates how extreme flows in the Grote Nete watershed located in the Flanders region of Belgium will respond to climate change and urban growth using the hydrological model WetSpa. Three climate change scenarios (low, mean and high), three urban development scenarios (low, medium and high) and the nine combined climate–urban change scenarios are considered. The results indicate that extreme low flows would decrease noticeably by climate change, while they would be less sensitive to urban development. On the other hand, extreme peak flows are predicted to increase considerably due to both climate change and urban growth. It is concluded that coupling the effects of land use change with climate change may lead to severe increase in the frequency river floods in winter as well as the frequency of extreme river low flows in summer. 相似文献
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区域土地利用变化驱动力研究前景展望 总被引：29，自引：0，他引：29
区域土地利用变化驱动力研究旨在从典型区域角度揭示土地利用变化背后的真正动因及其作用机理，进而动态模拟、预测区域土地利用变化过程。土地利用系统的自组织性及其内驱动因子作用的复杂性，决定了其研究必须与某一特定区域相联系，以便确定合适的可定量指标来体现外生驱动因子的驱动效果。系统地识别土地利用系统在不同控制状态下的驱动因子及其多种时空尺度效应，建立具有综合模拟的区域土地利用变化动态模型，能减少土地利用系统通常受临界值域和突变所左右的局面。区域土地利用变化驱动因子识别、区域土地利用变化驱动机制分析、区域土地利用变化驱动过程模拟等的研究现状表明，为更好地理解区域土地利用变化的机制和原因，测度现有及未来土地利用变化的速率、过程和地点，支持政府相关决策的制定与实施，促使区域土地利用变化向有利于人类的方向发展,区域土地利用变化驱动力分析应优先考虑以下研究领域：①驱动力因子识别及其作用效应的尺度依赖性；②驱动力因子的贡献量化及其在具体区域的非均一分布；③驱动力因子作用过程的自然反馈机制模型化。
[HT5H]关〓键〓词：[HT5K] 相似文献
16.
This paper describes the spatiotemporal changes pertaining to land use land cover (LULC) and the driving forces behind these changes in Doodhganga watershed of Jhelum Basin. An integrated approach utilizing remote sensing and geographic information system (GIS) was used to extract information pertaining to LULC change. Multi-date LULC maps were generated by analyzing remotely sensed images of three dates which include LandSat TM 1992, LandSat ETM+ 2001 and IRS LISS-III 2005. The LULC information was extracted by adopting on-screen image interpretation technique in a GIS environment at 1:25,000 scale. Based on the analysis, changes were observed in the spatial extent of different LULC types over a period of 13 years. Significant changes were observed in the spatial extent of forest, horticulture, built-up and agriculture. Forest cover in the watershed has decreased by 1.47 %, Agricultural by 0.93 % while as built-up area has increased by 0.92 %. The net decrease in forest cover and agriculture land indicate the anthropogenic interference into surrounding natural ecosystems. From the study it was found that the major driving forces for these changes were population growth and changes in the stream discharge. The changes in the stream discharge were found responsible for the conversion of agricultural land into horticulture, as horticulture has increased by 1.14 % in spatial extent. It has been found that increasing human population together with decreasing stream discharge account for LULC changes in the watershed. Therefore, the existing policy framework needs to focus upon mitigating the impacts of forces responsible for LULC change so as to ensure sustainable development of land resources. 相似文献
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It is axiomatically true that urbanization in India's metropolises and large cities has been exacerbated since the beginning of the millennium, consuming the natural and semi-natural ecosystem on the outskirts of the city, resulting in a zone with a distinct climate known as urban climate. Such a climate—the result of a built-up environment is distinctly different from the natural climate as the paved surface and concrete skyscrapers not only destroy the natural ecosystem, it peculiarly induce a different kind of insolation, cooling and air drainage were lacking in green space, water bodies and open space cannot accommodate with environmental rhythm properly, resulting into the accumulation of heat, ecological derangement of subsurface soil which can easily be predicted by GIS analysis. This paper is an attempt to measure urban growth and its impact on the environment in the metropolitan city Kolkata. The use of satellite data and GIS techniques to detect urban expansion is a highly scientific strategy. Using geospatial techniques, the current study attempts to examine major urban changes in Kolkata and its surroundings from 1988 to 2021. Landsat 5 TM and Landsat 8 OLI temporal data are used to identify land-use change through unsupervised classification; Spectral Radiance Model and Split Window Algorithm method are used for identifying land surface temperature change. SRTM DEM (30 m) has been used to identify flood risk zones and several spectral indices like Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and Modified Normalized Difference Water Index are a further extension for environmental assessment. By all such suitable methods, a clearer change in an urban environment is detected within the period of 33 years (1988–2021). The result shows that the population changes, vegetation cover and built-up area, and accessibility are at a rapid rate. These changes are causing major environmental degradation in the city. The classification result indicates that appropriate land use planning and environmental monitoring are required for the long-term exploitation of these resources.
相似文献20.
Land-use change and its environmental impact in the Heihe River Basin, arid northwestern China 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
Rapid land-use change has taken place in many arid and semi-arid regions of China over the last decade as the result of demand for food for its growing population. The Heihe River Basin, a typical inland river basin of temperate arid zone in northwestern China, was investigated to assess land-use change dynamics by the combined use of satellite remote sensing and geographical information systems (GIS), and to explore the interaction between these changes and the environment. Images were classified into six land-use types: cropland, forestland, grassland, water, urban or built-up land, and barren land. The objectives were to assess and analyze landscape change of land use/cover in Heihe River Basin over 15 years from 1987 to 2002. The results show that (1) grassland and barren land increase greatly by 22.3, and 268.2 km2, respectively, but water area decreased rapidly by 247.2 km2 in the upper reaches of Heihe River Basin; (2) cropland and urban or built-up land increased greatly by 174.9, and 64.6 km2, respectively, but grassland decreased rapidly by 210.3 km2 in the middle reaches of Heihe River Basin; and (3) barren land increased largely by 397.4 km2, but grassland degraded seriously and water area decreased obviously by 313.3, and 21.7 km2, respectively in the lower reaches of Heihe River Basin. These results show that significant changes in land-use occur within the whole basin over the study period and cause severe environmental degradation, such as water environmental changes (including surface water runoff change, decline of groundwater table and degeneration of surface water and groundwater quality), land desertification and salinization, and vegetation degeneracy. 相似文献