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1.
提出了采用铁谱分析技术、运用灰色预测理论对钻机易磨损件的更换时间间隔进行灰色预测。通过实例计算,证明本方法效果良好。 相似文献
2.
Prediction of pore pressure change is an effective tool to properly monitor changes of groundwater flow caused by any construction
work in fractured rock mass. Due to the complexity of hydrogeologic conditions in fractured rock and the scale of interest
of the study domain, prediction of pore pressure changes by numerical models has not been precise enough to meet monitoring
requirements. Considering these problems, a Grey model that combines the finite element method (FEM) and the artificial neural
network (ANN) was developed for more precise prediction of pore pressure changes. In this model, several patterns of pore
pressure changes were calculated by FEM for a simplified hydrogeologic conceptual model at a scale smaller than a representative
elementary volume. The ANN model was then constructed to predict the actual pore pressure change using these FEM results as
inputs. This modeling approach was adopted to predict the pore pressure changes caused by the construction of shafts of Mizunami
Underground Research Laboratory (MIU), Japan. From the results obtained for MIU, it can be concluded that the proposed Grey
model is a powerful tool for monitoring of pore pressure changes. 相似文献
3.
地下水的水质演化预测一直以来是一个难点,单纯依赖于历史数据所反映的水质演化趋势预测未来水质,存在较大的局限性。以石家庄地区为研究区,提出将现状人为活动对地下水的影响程度作为校正因子,修订历史数据所表现出来的水质演化趋势,预测未来水质变化的方法。并以石家庄地区浅层地下水代表性指标总硬度、TDS、$NO_3^-$、Fe4项指标作为预测指标,尝试预测了2025年代表性指标的演化情况。结果表明:TDS和总硬度恶化的区域主要为灵寿县东南方向、藁城区和无极县靠近滹沱河河道附近等区域;Fe恶化的区域主要为石家庄市区中部以及东南部等区域; $NO_3^-$恶化的主要区域为鹿泉区与灵寿县交界附近、石家庄市区西北以及藁城区靠近滹沱河河道附近等区域。预测结果与研究区水文地质条件、人为污染源的排放以及地下水的开采等因素影响下的情况较为吻合。 相似文献
4.
基于人工神经网络的膨胀土判别分类方法：以宁连一级公路为例 总被引：6，自引：2，他引：4
以往用于膨胀土判别分类的定量手段,如模糊数学,灰色聚类法等都或多或少带有一定的人为因素,不可避免的影响了分类结果,本文提出了一种膨胀土判别分类的新方法－ＢＰ神经网络模型,较好的弥补了这方面的缺点,并具有容错能力强,客观性好等特点,研究表明,这种方法在实践中合理的,可行的。 相似文献
5.
The Neoproterozoic Katangan R.A.T. (“Roches Argilo-Talqueuses”) Subgroup is a sedimentary sequence composed of red massive to irregularly bedded terrigenous-dolomitic rocks occurring at the base of the Katangan succession in Congo. Red R.A.T. is rarely exposed in a continuous section because it was affected by a major layer-parallel décollement during the Lufilian thrusting. However, in a number of thrust sheets, Red R.A.T. is in conformable sedimentary contact with Grey R.A.T which forms the base of the Mines Subgroup. Apart from the colour difference reflecting distinct depositional redox conditions, lithological, petrographical and geochemical features of Red and Grey R.A.T. are similar. A continuous sedimentary transition between these two lithological units is shown by the occurrence of variegated to yellowish R.A.T. The D. Strat. “Dolomies Stratifiées” formation of the Mines Subgroup conformably overlies the Grey R.A.T. In addition, a transitional gradation between Grey R.A.T. and D. Strat. occurs in most Cu–Co mines in Katanga and is marked by interbedding of Grey R.A.T.-type and D. Strat.-type layers or by a progressive petrographic and lithologic transition from R.A.T. to D. Strat. Thus, there is an unquestionable sedimentary transition between Grey R.A.T. and D. Strat. and between Grey R.A.T. and Red R.A.T.The R.A.T. Subgroup stratigraphically underlies the Mines Subgroup and therefore R.A.T. cannot be comprised of syn-orogenic sediments deposited upon the Kundelungu (formerly “Upper Kundelungu”) Group as suggested by Wendorff (2000). As a consequence, the Grey R.A.T. Cu–Co mineralisation definitely is part of the Mines Subgroup Lower Orebody, and does not represent a distinct generation of stratiform Cu–Co sulphide mineralisation younger than the Roan orebodies. 相似文献
6.
灰色系统与神经网络组合模型在地下水水位预测中的应用 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
灰色GM(1,1)模型与人工BP神经网络对于预测非线性数列变化趋势都具有很好的适用性,但同其他预测方法一样也存在各自的局限性。本文采用灰色GM(1,1)模型与人工神经网络相结合的方法,对GM(1,1)模型预测结果进行了修正。以收集到的某地区1996～2006年的地下水水位埋深数据为算例,计算结果表明,经人工神经网络修正后的灰色系统的预测值比原预测值的预测精度有了很大提高。 相似文献
7.
改进的GM(1,1)模型及其在地下水环境预测中的应用 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
地下水环境评价和预测是地下水资源规划管理的重要内容之一,地下水环境的评价和预测对促进地下水资源可持续利用具有重要的现实意义。地下水环境评价和预测模型的建立以及在实际中的运用是近年来受到广泛重视的研究领域。本文基于灰色理论、数值积分公式和相邻最近插值构造了一类改进的灰色预测模型,使得灰色预测的基本模型成为特例。以实际地下水环境数据为基础,应用本文构造的几种灰色预测模型进行了预测,并进行了分析比较。计算结果表明,构造出的几种预测模型算法简单、精度较高,比基本灰色预测模型效果更好。 相似文献
8.
The Grey System is a method for making quantitative predictions using the similarity between a parent sequence and a set of subsequences. It has previously been used for non-geological problems, but here we demonstrate its use in ore prediction. Our example is from our work on known Cu deposits distributed in the Panzihua-Xichang region of Sichuan Province to set up a Grey prediction model for an unknown deposit in a similar type of environment. The following steps were carried out: (1) a sift selection was first made by logical information processing of the initial data from the known deposits, (2) data on seven deposits belonging to the same general rock type were obtained, and (3) a Grey prediction model was set up and used to make predictions about an unknown deposit in the same type of environment. 相似文献
9.
简要论述丰县县城的水文地质条件；对丰县县城规划区主要供水源深层孔隙水的开采作了动态分析；建立了地下水位灰色预测模型并预测了２０００年的水位及水位变化区间。 相似文献
10.
建立于秦岭腹地柞水、镇安两县交界的泥盆系沉积岩相地质剖面，有陆相冲积相、过渡相河口湾相、海潮坪相、陆棚相、局限台地相、开阔台地相、台缘生物礁相、台缘斜坡相及次深海盆地浊积岩相，整体反映一微型镶边碳酸盐台地的形成与消亡，保护该地质遗迹对地质科学研究具有重要的实际意义。该剖面已被批准为陕西省第2号自然保护点，并已立碑保护。 相似文献
11.
建立灾害体的3D仿真模型,提取泥石流灾害体的特征信息;对信息进行归一化处理,并对其进行等级划分和赋值。建立“灰色类别模型”,对古乡沟泥石流进行危险性评价。灾害体的危险性评价结果与前人实地调查的情况基本吻合,具有较高的准确性,能够为防灾避难提供科学依据。 相似文献
12.
The interactions between factors that affect slope instability are complex, multi-factorial, and often difficult to describe mathematically, imposing a challenge for prediction using traditional methods. The power of the ANN and Grey Systems approaches lies in employing the behaviour of the system rather than knowledge of explicit relations. Published data has been used to illustrate the application of these techniques to predicting the state of slope stability. This has been developed into a tool for analysing and predicting future ground movement based on geotechnical properties and historical behaviour. 相似文献
13.
14.
金矿灰色关联分析预测法 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
以金矿为研究客体，提出了一种新的矿床预测方法－灰色关联分析预测法，一种新的矿床评价参数－综合关联度，理论分析和预测实践表明，该方法适用于建立综合信息灰色观测模型和大比例尺隐伏矿床预测。 相似文献
15.
滑坡位移预测模型是滑坡预警系统建立的核心,而模型可靠性与精确性关键在于主控因子的选取与基础理论模型的构建。学者们通过大量滑坡实例研究,已取得了诸多成果,但是由于滑坡位移变化具有强烈的个性特征及趋势发展的不确定性问题,在多因子联合作用下的位移预测模型尚有不足之处。本文以西南地区普遍存在的平推式滑坡——垮梁子滑坡为研究对象,结合前人已有的研究成果,综合考虑坡体内外各项影响因子,利用灰色关联度与相关性分析对坡体变形主控因子进行优化筛选。以此为基础,提出一种基于GM（1,1）灰色模型与改进型自适应遗传算法（IAGA）进行优化的小波神经网络（WNN）联合预测模型构建方案。通过对垮梁子滑坡历时5年的监测数据挖掘分析,得知滑坡变形受累计降雨、渗压、地下水位及土体含水率影响显著,预测结果与实际监测比较吻合。相较于传统BP神经网络模型、小波神经网络模型和未优化遗传算法-小波神经网络联合模型,该联合模型具有更好的稳定性与精度优势,在滑坡预警预报研究中具有良好的应用前景。 相似文献
16.
采用灰色系统理论中灰色动态模型GM（1,1）,对一观测孔地下水位埋深进行灰色动态模拟。利用观测孔2011年实测地下水位埋深数据建立GM（1,1）预测模型,并对2012年地下水位埋深进行预测。经验证,模型预测精度较高,具有一定的实用价值。 相似文献
17.
The chemical composition of the pseudotachylyte in the West Rand Goldfield of the Witwatersrand Basin, South Africa, is closely related to the composition of the host rocks and this is reflected in the colour of the pseudotachylyte. Grey pseudotachylyte is generally hosted by and similar in composition to quartzites of the Witatersrand Supergroup, whereas maroon pseudotachylyte has a similar relationship to the mafic lava of the Ventersdorp Supergroup. In some instances, the composition of the pseudotachylyte is intermediate between these two host rock types and a mixing process is proposed.
A study of the ferrous to ferric iron ratio provides limited evidence that pseudotachylyte is slightly more reduced than the rocks from which they have been derived.
The only elements that are consistently enriched in the pseudotachylyte, irrespective of host rock composition, are S, Pb and Au. It is speculated that this indicates the existence of a sulphide-bearing fluid phase along the fault zone either prior to or during pseudotachylyte formation.
Geochemical and petrographic evidence favour an origin by frictional fusion rather than ultracomminution for the pseudotachylyte from the West Rand Goldfield. 相似文献
18.
M. Tichomirowa H.-J. Berger E.A. Koch B.V. Belyatski J. Gtze U. Kempe L. Nasdala U. Schaltegger 《Lithos》2001,56(4):303-332
This study is an attempt to unravel the tectono-metamorphic history of high-grade metamorphic rocks in the Eastern Erzgebirge region. Metamorphism has strongly disturbed the primary petrological genetic characteristics of the rocks. We compare geological, geochemical, and petrological data, and zircon populations as well as isotope and geochronological data for the major gneiss units of the Eastern Erzgebirge; (1) coarse- to medium-grained “Inner Grey Gneiss”, (2) fine-grained “Outer Grey Gneiss”, and (3) “Red Gneiss”. The Inner and Outer Grey Gneiss units (MP–MT overprinted) have very similar geochemical and mineralogical compositions, but they contain different zircon populations. The Inner Grey Gneiss is found to be of primary igneous origin as documented by the presence of long-prismatic, oscillatory zoned zircons (540 Ma) and relics of granitic textures. Geochemical and isotope data classify the igneous precursor as a S-type granite. In contrast, Outer Grey Gneiss samples are free of long-prismatic zircons and contain zircons with signs of mechanical rounding through sedimentary transport. Geochemical data indicate greywackes as main previous precursor. The most euhedral zircons are zoned and document Neoproterozoic (ca. 575 Ma) source rocks eroded to form these greywackes. U–Pb-SHRIMP measurements revealed three further ancient sources, which zircons survived in both the Inner and Outer Grey Gneiss: Neoproterozoic (600–700 Ma), Paleoproterozoic (2100–2200 Ma), and Archaean (2700–2800 Ma). These results point to absence of Grenvillian type sources and derivation of the crust from the West African Craton. The granite magma of the Inner Grey Gneiss was probably derived through in situ melting of the Outer Grey Gneiss sedimentary protolith as indicated by geological relationships, similar geochemical composition, similar Nd model ages, and inherited zircon ages. Red Gneiss occurs as separate bodies within fine- and medium-grained grey gneisses of the gneiss–eclogite zone (HP–HT overprinted). In comparison to Grey Gneisses, the Red Gneiss clearly differs in geochemical composition by lower contents of refractory elements. Rocks contain long-prismatic zircons (480–500 Ma) with oscillatory zonation indicating an igneous precursor for Red Gneiss protoliths. Geochemical data display obvious characteristics of S-type granites derived through partial melting from deeper crustal source rocks. The obtained time marks of magmatic activity (ca. 575 Ma, ca. 540 Ma, ca. 500–480 Ma) of the Eastern Erzgebirge are compared with adjacent units of the Saxothuringian zone. In all these units, similar time marks and geochemical pattern of igneous rocks prove a similar tectono-metamorphic evolution during Neoproterozoic–Ordovician time. 相似文献
19.
水环境质量评价的灰色聚类法 总被引：28，自引：0，他引：28
运用灰色聚类法对甘肃金昌市地下水质进行了评价,并与模糊数学方法作了比较。结果表明灰色聚类法不仅具有模糊数学的优点,又弥补了其不完善之处。因此,用灰色聚类法评价水质,方法简便,结论更符合客观实际。 相似文献
20.
简要回顾了我国潮汐潮流区域预报的发展过程。1959—1964年期间按前苏联杜瓦宁方法编制的永久潮流表是第一代预报产品,该产品提供了我国近海若干站点5 m层潮流预报资料。1970—1978年期间按方国洪提出的方法而研制的永久预报图表集是第二代预报产品,提供了基本上覆盖我国近海的多层潮流预报资料;这两代产品均以纸质图表为载体。2005—2006年期间方国洪等研制了第三代预报产品,覆盖了我国近海各海区,分辨率达到5′×5′,垂向10层,并可自动内插到任意点和任意水层。同时介绍了三代产品的研发过程及基本原理。 相似文献