T-S-K模糊逻辑算法在抚河水文预报中的应用     

朱冰  赵兰兰  李萌 《水文》2015,35(3):53-58

目前我国水文机构存有大量的水文数据,如何充分有效地利用智能算法对这些数据进行分析和挖掘,降低预测的复杂度并提高水文预测的精度,是水文预报的一个重要的发展方向。数据挖掘中的T-S-K模糊逻辑算法从大量数据中提取未知、可操作、有相关性的水文模式和关系用于水文预报。本文以抚河上下游3个重要水文站历史数据为实例,建立T-S-K模糊逻辑算法水文预报,分析结果表明该算法所建模型误差较小,预测精度高,可满足实际水文预报需求。  相似文献   

An Analytical Solution for Mechanical Responses Induced by Temperature and Air Pressure in a Lined Rock Cavern for Underground Compressed Air Energy Storage     

Shu-Wei?Zhou  Cai-Chu?XiaEmail author  Shi-Gui?Du  Ping-Yang?Zhang  Yu?Zhou 《Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering》2015,48(2):749-770

Mechanical responses induced by temperature and air pressure significantly affect the stability and durability of underground compressed air energy storage (CAES) in a lined rock cavern. An analytical solution for evaluating such responses is, thus, proposed in this paper. The lined cavern of interest consists of three layers, namely, a sealing layer, a concrete lining and the host rock. Governing equations for cavern temperature and air pressure, which involve heat transfer between the air and surrounding layers, are established first. Then, Laplace transform and superposition principle are applied to obtain the temperature around the lined cavern and the air pressure during the operational period. Afterwards, a thermo-elastic axisymmetrical model is used to analytically determine the stress and displacement variations induced by temperature and air pressure. The developments of temperature, displacement and stress during a typical operational cycle are discussed on the basis of the proposed approach. The approach is subsequently verified with a coupled compressed air and thermo-mechanical numerical simulation and by a previous study on temperature. Finally, the influence of temperature on total stress and displacement and the impact of the heat transfer coefficient are discussed. This paper shows that the temperature sharply fluctuates only on the sealing layer and the concrete lining. The resulting tensile hoop stresses on the sealing layer and concrete lining are considerably large in comparison with the initial air pressure. Moreover, temperature has a non-negligible effect on the lined cavern for underground compressed air storage. Meanwhile, temperature has a greater effect on hoop and longitudinal stress than on radial stress and displacement. In addition, the heat transfer coefficient affects the cavern stress to a higher degree than the displacement.  相似文献   

Spalling Experiments on Large Hard Rock Specimens     

Lars?JacobssonEmail author  Karin?Appelquist  Jan?Erik?Lindkvist 《Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering》2015,48(4):1485-1503

Specimens of coarse-grained Äspö diorite were axially compressed to observe stress-induced spalling. The specimens had a novel design characterized by two manufactured large radius notches on opposite sides. The tangential stress occurring in the notches aimed to represent the tangential loading around a circular opening. Fracture stages were monitored by acoustic emission measurements. Rock chips were formed similar to those found in situ, which indicates a similar fracture process. Slabs were cut out from the specimens and impregnated using a fluorescent material to visualize the cracks. The cracks were subsequently examined by the naked eye and by means of microscopy images, from which fracture paths could be identified and related to different minerals and their crystallographic orientations. The microscopy analyses showed how the stress field and the microstructure interact. Parallel cracks were formed 2–4 mm below the surface, sub-parallel to the direction of the maximum principal stress. The crack initiation, the roles of minerals such as feldspar, biotite and quartz and their grain boundaries and crystallographic directions are thoroughly studied and discussed in this paper. Scale effects, which relate to the stress gradient and microstructure, are discussed.  相似文献   

腕足壳体与碳酸盐岩全岩中碳、氧、锶同位素差异   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

程红光  李心清  黄思静  王兵  程建中 《沉积学报》2015,33(1):60-66

利用碳酸盐岩中的地球化学信息反演是研究地质历史时期古环境、古气候变化的一种常用手段.上世纪八十年代前,学术界一直将碳酸盐岩全岩样品作为研究对象.近年来,腕足化石壳体引起了科学家的注意,认为相比碳酸盐岩全岩样品,腕足壳体能更为完好地保存原始的地球化学信息.研究通过对比四川龙门山泥盆纪腕足化石和碳酸盐岩全岩样品中碳、氧、锶同位素(黄思静、卢长武等人数据),发现腕足化石中氧同位素明显高于碳酸盐岩全岩;但碳、锶同位素基本一致.上述结果表明:相比腕足化石,碳酸盐岩全岩样品蕴含的地球化学信息虽有所差异,但在大多数情况下,尤其是缺乏腕足化石的时期,碳酸盐岩全岩蕴含的地球化学信息照样可以反演地质历史时期的古环境变化,尤其是碳、锶同位素.  相似文献   

新疆东昆仑于沟子地区与铁-稀有多金属成矿有关的碱性花岗岩地球化学、年代学及Hf同位素研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

钱兵  高永宝  李侃  张照伟  周安顺  吴玉诗 《岩石学报》2015,31(9):2508-2520

东昆仑祁漫塔格地区是近年来发现的具有优越多金属成矿条件的地区,区内中-酸性侵入岩广泛发育且与成矿关系密切。于沟子铁-稀有多金属矿床位于祁漫塔格地区西部,矿床主要由产于钾长花岗岩外接触带矽卡岩内的铁-铜(钼)多金属矿化体及产于花岗岩体内部的铌、铷等稀有元素矿化体组成。锆石LA-MC-ICP-MS定年测得钾长花岗岩U-Pb年龄为210.0±0.6Ma,属晚三叠世末期岩浆活动的产物。岩体主要由条纹长石(60%~65%)、斜长石(10%~15%)、石英(20%~22%)、钠闪石(4%~5%)和少量黑云母(1%~2%)等组成,为典型的碱性花岗岩。地球化学特征上,该岩体具有高硅、高钾、准铝、钙碱性特点,富Nb、Zr、Rb、Th、U,贫Ba、Sr、P、Ti等元素,稀土元素总量较高,富集轻稀土,具强烈的负Eu异常(δEu=0.09~0.26),属于A型花岗岩。锆石εHf(t)值为-6.71~2.25,平均为-1.15,二阶段Hf模式年龄(t DM2)为1102~1674Ma,显示在成岩过程中有地幔物质的参与。综合研究认为,于沟子岩体形成于晚三叠世末后造山板内伸展阶段,该碱性花岗岩的确定,标志着东昆仑祁漫塔格地区在晚三叠世末(212~210Ma)已逐步演化为伸展构造背景下的后造山构造阶段。同时矿床的成矿时代、氧同位素及电子探针结果均显示花岗岩与铁-稀有多金属成矿有关,指示出该类型碱性花岗岩具有良好的铁-稀有多金属成矿潜力。  相似文献   

南祁连化隆地区鲁满山花岗岩的岩石成因:地球化学、锆石U-Pb年代学及Hf同位素约束   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

郭周平李文渊  张照伟高永宝  张江伟李 侃 孔会磊 钱 兵 《中国地质》2015,(4):864-880

位于南祁连化隆地区的鲁满山花岗岩体,岩石类型主体为黑云二长花岗岩。LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年测得其成岩年龄为(452.9±1.8)Ma,属于加里东期岩浆活动的产物。化学组成上,岩体具有高硅、富碱的特征,属于弱过铝质高钾钙碱性系列。微量和稀土元素组成上,岩体富集大离子亲石元素Rb、U、Th、K和Pb,亏损Ba、Sr、Ta、Nb、P、Ti,具明显轻稀土富集,重稀土亏损特征,显示较强烈的负Eu异常(δEu=0.06~0.55,平均0.31),综合地质地球化学资料指示该岩体应属于高分异的Ⅰ型花岗岩。锆石Hf同位素分析结果显示,岩体的εHf(t)为-7.4~0.1,二阶段模式年龄介于1425~1930 Ma,指示成岩过程中应有亏损地幔组分参与,其壳源源区很可能包括化隆岩群。结合区域构造演化,认为鲁满山花岗岩体形成于柴北缘洋壳与中南祁连陆壳俯冲碰撞的地球动力学背景下,由幔源岩浆与其诱发的地壳物质熔融产生的长英质岩浆在地壳深部混合后再经历分异演化形成。  相似文献   

The Study of The Tight Sandstone Reservoir’s Characteristics and The Fluid Inclusions in Fuyu Oil Layer, Daqing Placanticline     

SONG Tushun  LIU Li  LI Fulai  LIU Na  ZHOU Bing 《《地质学报》英文版》2015,89(Z1):79-80

<正>1 Introduction The exploration and development of unconventional oil and gas is gradually becoming the new hot topic,which is promoted by the increasing demand of oil and gas,as well as the decline in conventional oil and gas production(Jia et al.,2012;Zou et al.,2012).The researches of unconventional oil and gas resources started late in China,while the resources are widely distributed,including  相似文献   

Strenulagus (Mammalia: Lagomorpha) from the Middle Eocene Irdin Manha Formation of the Erlian Basin, Nei Mongol, China     

?ucja FOSTOWICZ-FRELIK  LI Chuankui  LI Qian  MENG Jin  WANG Yuanqing 《《地质学报》英文版》2015,89(1):12-26

New material of Strenulagus solaris, a stem lagomorph, from the lower part of the Middle Eocene Irdin Manha Formation at the Irdin Manha and Huheboerhe localities, Erlian Basin, Nei Mongol, China includes remains of isolated cheek teeth, fragmentary upper incisors(d I2) and postcranial elements, reported from the species for the first time. The tarsal bones display advanced features, such as a wide calcaneofibular articulation surface and, along with an increase in hypsodonty, the new data document the early stage of lagomorph evolution in the Middle Eocene of the Erlian Basin. This finding is stratigraphically well constrained and probably predates that of the type material of S. solaris from the Khaychin Formation, Bugin-Tsav Basin, Mongolia.  相似文献   

电子自旋共振(ESR)化石测年及其在晚新生代动物群年代学研究中的应用     

韩非  尹功明  刘春茹  李建平 《第四纪研究》2015,35(3)

动物群化石组合通常被用来限定地层的相对年代,但很难给出地质事件的精确时间.电子自旋共振(ESR)方法能够对化石样品本身直接测年,测年范围可以覆盖更新世和上新世.ESR化石测年的难点之一在于化石中铀放射性衰变体系的开放性.通过与铀系分析相结合,可以更精确的重建牙齿化石中铀元素的迁移过程,进而获得更可靠的年龄.本文对ESR化石测年方法进行了介绍,并展示了该方法在国内外动物群年代学研究中的一些应用.通过与生物地层学相结合,ESR化石测年方法为晚新生代地质和动物考古学年代学研究提供了一种更直接的绝对测年手段.  相似文献   

Prediction of Seafloors Polymetallic Sulphides Resources in the North Atlantic Ridge Area   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Fang Jie  Sun Jingwen  Xu Hongqing  Ye Jinhua  Chen Jianping  Ren Mengyi  Tangchao 《地球科学进展》2015,30(1):60-68

  相似文献