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81.
青岛市大气污染时间序列分析预报方法研究   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
根据青岛市大气污染监测资料 ,采用时间序列分析方法 ,建立多种预报模型 ,有原序列周期外延法、均生函数周期外延法、均生函数逐步回归法以及自回归预报法等 ,最后提出一种综合预报模型。连续预报试验表明 ,综合预报模型优于任何个别预报模型 ,有较好的预报能力。利用马尔可夫概型对污染状态 (轻、中、重 )进行了分级预报试验 ,也获得良好的效果。  相似文献   
82.
I~IOXThe half-lives of natural radioactive nuclides "'Ra, 226Ra and 228Ra are 3. 66 d, 5. 76 a,1600 a respectively, hence, the marine process with various time scales can be researched by taking these nuclides as tracers. Because these nuclides can be determined by measuring them or theirdaughters' a,g, y-rays, they have been applied extensively in oceanography research. Huang(1996), Huang et al. (1996 a,b) and Chen (1996) have given reviews on it.Since the contents of "'Ra, 226Ra and 228…  相似文献   
83.
INTRODUCTIONTheradionuclidesofnaturaluraniumandthoriumseriescanbeusedtotracemarinepro cessofvarioustemporalandspatialscaleandpropertiesthatprovideplentifulinformationaboutphysics,chemistry ,geoscienceandbiologyofoceanbecausetheyhavedifferentchemicalpro…  相似文献   
84.
The spectral methods and ice-induced fatigue analysis are discussed based on Miner's linear cumulative fatigue hypothesis and S-N curve data.According to the long-term data of full-scale tests on the platforms in the Bohai Sea,the ice force spectrum of conical structures and the fatigue environmental model are established.Moreover,the finite element model of JZ20-2MSW platform,an example of ice-induced fatigue analysis,is built with ANSYS software.The mode analysis and dynamic analysis in frequency domain under all kinds of ice fatigue work conditions are carried on,and the fatigue life of the structure is estimated in detail.The methods in this paper can be helpful in ice-induced fatigue analysis of ice-resistant platforms.  相似文献   
85.
This paper examines spatial and temporal variations of mesozooplankton abundance, biomass and community structure during three cruises of July 2002 (summer), January 2003 (winter), and April 2003 (spring) in the Pearl River estuary, China. Zooplankton abundance and biomass fluctuated widely and showed distinct heterogeneity in the Pearl River estuary. A total of 154 species were identified during three surveys. The number of zooplankton species richness was strongly linked to salinity. Hierarchical cluster analysis identified three zooplankton groups during this study. Estuarine, neritic and pelagic groups corresponded to the upper, middle and lower reaches in the Pearl River estuary. The difference among groups could be mainly ascribed to changes in the relative contributions of the dominant species. The fluctuations in the zooplankton abundance, biomass and community structure were determined by the interactive effects of freshwater inflow, tidal and coastal currents, chlorophyll a, salinity and temperature. Significant spatial variability in the distribution of zooplankton species, abundance and biomass can be ascribed to the virtual presence of a horizontal gradient in salinity.  相似文献   
86.
Spatial and Temporal Variations of Sound Speed at the PN Section   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
Gridded sound speed data were calculated using Del Grosso's formulation from the temperature and salinity data at the PN section in the East China Sea covering 92 cruises between February 1978 and October 2000. The vertical gradients of sound speed are mainly related to the seasonal variations, and the strong horizontal gradients are mainly related to the Kuroshio and the upwelling. The standard deviations show that great variations of sound speed exist in the upper layer and in the slope zone. Empirical orthogonal function analysis shows that contributions of surface heating and the Kuroshio to sound speed variance are almost equivalent. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   
87.
A submerged apparatus, which consists of a buoy, several horizontal contraction and expansion tubes (Venturi-type tubes) and a long pipe, is expected to be used to pump the subsurface sea-water (200–300 meter depth) containing abundant nutrients to surface layer (50–100 m) by the dynamic of ocean currents. i.e. an artificial upwelling without energy cost. A preliminary experiment and analysis are undertaken and shows that the capacity of pumping the nutrient-rich sea-water is worth to build a pilot prototype model.  相似文献   
88.
本文给出了满足给定数字特征和谱的随机序列的产生方法,即用无记忆非线性变换实现非正态随机信号的模拟.该法与Gujar法相比较,放宽了变量概率分布的限制,只要求变量矩的存在。同时考虑无记忆非线性变换对谱的影响,用异于Liu的方法在频域上求解输入正态分布随机序列的谱.  相似文献   
89.
梭鱼仔鱼耳石日轮形成及自然种群日龄的鉴定   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
梭鱼实验种群样本,系于1987年5月,从山东大沽河口搜集的亲鱼经人工授精后孵出的仔鱼在实验室培育取得;自然种群样本,于同年同地区采集。对于实验种群耳石生长轮形成的周期性进行了研究。结果表明,实验种群培育天数(D)与耳石生长轮数(N)之间的关系以回归式N=D-1.89表达之;根据实验种群耳石轮纹形成的周期性规律,鉴定了自然种群的日龄,表明二者具相似的周期性规律;协方差分析表明,梭鱼早期阶段的生长,自然种群比实验种群快。  相似文献   
90.
Dissipation source function and an improvement to LAGFD-WAM model   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
In this paper, a new theoretical expression of dissipation term is presented on the basis of statistical model of breaking wave, which is an improvement to LAGFD-WAM wave model. The computational results in three typical wind fields show a good improvement to LAGFD-WAM model and a better accuracy in comparison with the observed data in the South China Sea.  相似文献   
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