动机、成本、风险：家长视角下研学旅游产品价值感知研究     

文彤  李思敏  苏海洋  肖凯杰 《热带地理》2022,42(10):1677-1689

以中小学生自然教育研学旅游作为具体情境,基于539份家长问卷数据阐释研学旅游动机与价值感知之间的关系,并通过成本感知和风险感知探讨其内在机制和边界条件。结果表明,家长感知的研学旅游动机越强烈,越容易感知到研学旅游产品所传递的价值,验证了研学旅游情境下动机对价值感知的积极影响,也形成了对动机与价值之间关系研究的理论补充。并且,这一动机除了直接作用于价值感知外,还会通过成本感知的部分中介作用影响价值感知,揭示了中国家长对于教育价值的重视会削弱其对“利失”的感知。此外,进一步验证了风险感知的积极影响,即家长感知研学旅游的不确定性水平越高,动机对价值感知的积极影响越明显,且会抑制成本感知对价值感知的负向作用,但风险感知水平达到一定高度时,其对成本感知与价值感知间的抑制作用将不显著。因此,面向需求设计打造产品,突出产品价值、加大宣传营销力度、把控活动安全、合理制定价格,获取家长群体的认同接受,将是研学旅游进一步拓展市场的重要考量。  相似文献   

Understanding the dynamical-microphysical-electrical processes associated with severe thunderstorms over the Beijing metropolitan region     

Xiushu QIE  Shanfeng YUAN  Zhixiong CHEN  Dongfeng WANG  Dongxia LIU  Mengyu SUN  Zhuling SUN  Abhay SRIVASTAVA  Hongbo ZHANG  Jingyu LU  Hui XIAO  Yongheng BI  Liang FENG  Ye TIAN  Yan XU  Rubin JIANG  Mingyuan LIU  Xian XIAO  Shu DUAN  Debin SU  Chengyun SUN  Wenjing XU  Yijun ZHANG  Gaopeng LU  Da-Lin ZHANG  Yan YIN  Ye YU 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2021,64(1):10-26

The Dynamical-microphysical-electrical Processes in Severe Thunderstorms and Lightning Hazards(STORM973)project conducted coordinated comprehensive field observations of thunderstorms in the Beijing metropolitan region(BMR)during the warm season from 2014 to 2018.The aim of the project was to understand how dynamical,microphysical and electrical processes interact in severe thunderstorms in the BMR,and how to assimilate lightning data in numerical weather prediction models to improve severe thunderstorm forecasts.The platforms used in the field campaign included the Beijing Lightning Network(BLNET,consisting of 16 stations),2 X-band dual linear polarimetric Doppler radars,and 4 laser raindrop spectrometers.The collaboration also made use of the China Meteorological Administration’s mesoscale meteorological observation network in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.Although diverse thunderstorm types were documented,it was found that squall lines and multicell storms were the two major categories of severe thunderstorms with frequent lightning activity and extreme rainfall or unexpected local short-duration heavy rainfall resulting in inundations in the central urban area,influenced by the terrain and environmental conditions.The flash density maximums were found in eastern Changping District,central and eastern Shunyi District,and the central urban area of Beijing,suggesting that the urban heat island effect has a crucial role in the intensification of thunderstorms over Beijing.In addition,the flash rate associated with super thunderstorms can reach hundreds of flashes per minute in the central city regions.The super(5%of the total),strong(35%),and weak(60%)thunderstorms contributed about 37%,56%,and 7%to the total flashes in the BMR,respectively.Owing to the close connection between lightning activity and the thermodynamic and microphysical characteristics of the thunderstorms,the lightning flash rate can be used as an indicator of severe weather events,such as hail and short-duration heavy rainfall.Lightning data can also be assimilated into numerical weather prediction models to help improve the forecasting of severe convection and precipitation at the cloud-resolved scale,through adjusting or correcting the thermodynamic and microphysical parameters of the model.  相似文献   

东营凹陷低渗透油藏分布规律及储层改造效果     

苏国英 《海洋地质译丛》2008,(4):21-25

东营凹陷2001年之前探明的低渗透油藏主要分布在洼陷带、中央背斜带及北部陡坡带,以沙三段深水浊积扇及沙四段滨浅湖相砂岩滩坝、扇三角洲前缘等沉积体系为主。油藏类型主要是岩性油藏,其次为构造—岩性复合型油藏。低渗透油藏以中深层、常压-超高压、低产、中产为特征,多为特小型、小型油藏,储量丰度为低丰度~特低丰度。低渗透油藏的探井试油过程中,经历了从酸化逐步到压裂的技术发展过程。统计探井的试油效果表明,沙四段碳酸盐含量较高的砂岩低渗透油藏,酸化效果较好;黏土含量较高的沙三段低渗透油藏,压裂效果较好。  相似文献   

Enhancement of jellyfish (Aurelia aurita) populations by extensive aquaculture rafts in a coastal lagoon in Taiwan   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Lo  Wen-Tseng; Purcell  Jennifer E.; Hung  Jia-Jang; Su  Huei-Meei; Hsu  Pei-Kai 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2008,65(3):453-461

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基于WebGIS技术的黄海大海洋生态系信息共享系统   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

苏天赟  刘保华  刘海行  韩京云  杨凤丽 《海洋科学进展》2008,26(3)

主要基于WebGIS技术,设计和开发了一套适合于减少黄海大海洋生态系环境压力(YSLME)项目应用需求的信息共享系统--YSLME GIS系统,系统能够通过Internet提供元数据查询、数据查询、基于电子底图的空间数据查询以及系统管理等功能,从而实现对项目多源异构数据的有效管理,并且向科学家和公众提供高效便捷的在线信息共享服务.  相似文献   

Pb distribution and translocation in Jiaozhou Bay     

杨东方  苏畅  高振会  孙培艳  曹丽歆 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2008,26(3):296-299

The trends of distribution, translocation and seasonal change of heavy metal Pb were studied based on the surface and bottom water sampling in Jiaozhou Bay in 1979, and compared with those in 1990＇s. The results showed that the source of Pb in the bay was from wastewater and sewage in the east of Jiaozhou Bay from ocean vessels. Pb concentration was higher in spring and lower in summer and autumn, and remained stable through sedimentation in the bottom layer. The overall water quality was good in 1970＇s. Compared with the environmental monitoring data of 1995-1999, Pb pollution had become serious. Therefore, more efforts should be made to protect the bay from Pb pollution.  相似文献   

Optimum temperature for the growth performance of juvenile orange-spotted grouper （Epinephelus coioides H.）     

林祥志  解绶启  苏永全  崔奕波 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2008,26(1):69-75

Effects of water temperature （17, 21, 25, 30 and 35℃） and body size （14.75-281.41 g initial body weight） on food consumption, growth, feed conversion, and dry matter content in orange-spotted grouper fed to satiation were investigated. The combined effect of temperature （T, ℃） and body weight （W, g） on maximum food consumption （Cmax, g/day） was described as： InCmax=-7.411＋0.828 InW＋0.317T4）.004 7T2, and the optimum feeding temperature was 33.9℃. The combined effect of temperature and body weight on growth （G） was described as： lnG=-4.461-0.2081nW＋0.394T-0.006 3T^2. The optimum growth temperature was 31.4℃, whereas overall growth rates were high at 25, 30 and 35 ℃. Feed conversion efficiencies （FCE, %）, increasing first and then decreasing with increasing temperature, averaged from 1.8 to 2.1 in terms of dry weight of food fish. The optimum temperature for FCE tended to be lower than that for growth or feeding. Dry matter content increased with both increasing water temperature （17, 25, 30 and 35℃） and body weight, and the combined effect of temperature and body weight on dry matter content （DM, %） was described as： lnDM =3.232＋0.01 4 lnW-0.004 4T＋0.001 2TInW.  相似文献   

Uncertainty representation of ocean fronts based on fuzzy-rough set theory   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Cunjin Xue  Chenghu Zhou  Fenzhen Su  Dandan Zhang 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2008,7(2):131-136

Analysis of ocean fronts' uncertainties indicates that they result from indiseemibility of their spatial position and fuzzi-ness of their intensity. In view of this, a flow hierarchy for uncertainty representation of ocean fronts is proposed on the basis of fuzzy-rough set theory. Firstly, raster scanning and blurring are carried out on an ocean front, and the upper and lower approximate sets, the indiscernible relation in fuzzy-rough theories and related operators in fuzzy set theories are adopted to represent its uncer-tainties, then they are classified into three sets: with members one hundred pereent belonging to the ocean front, belonging to the ocean front's edge and definitely not belonging to the ocean front. Finally, the approximate precision and roughness degree are util-ized to evaluate the ocean front's degree of uncertainties and the precision of the representation. It has been proven that the method is not only capable of representing ocean fronts' uncertainties, but also provides a new theory and method for uncertainty representation of other oceanic phenomena.  相似文献   

中国人海经济系统环境适应性演化及预警     

李博  史钊源  田闯  苏飞  彭飞 《地理科学》2019,39(4):533-540

基于敏感性-稳定性-响应3维要素构建指标体系,运用熵值法和ARIMA-BP组合预测模型研究中国人海经济系统环境适应性的演化及预警。结果表明：① 2001~2016年中国人海经济系统环境适应性呈稳定上升态势,总体集中于中警状态,期间经历了“人海环境系统比较优势阶段→耦合协调阶段→人海经济系统比较优势阶段”的双螺旋适应过程,预计2017~2020年再次进入相互契合的轻警状态;② 16 a间中国人海经济系统环境适应性波动存在上升期短-衰退期长现象,预计未来4 a人海经济系统环境适应性在经济下行和生态约束背景下的速率不容乐观;③ 权衡人海经济系统和人海环境系统的关系,追求总体效益最大化,延长适应性周期波动中扩张期活动,差别化和灵活性的适应行为是未来主要排警对策。  相似文献   

2003-2016年北极净初级生产力时空变化     

李海丽  柯长青  朱庆辉  舒苏 《海洋学报(英文版)》2019,38(8):111-121

The area of Arctic sea ice has dramatically decreased, and the length of the open water season has increased;these patterns have been observed by satellite remote sensing since the 1970 s. In this paper, we calculate the net primary productivity(NPP, calculated by carbon) from 2003 to 2016 based on sea ice concentration products,chlorophyll a(Chl a) concentration, photosynthetically active radiation(PAR), sea surface temperature(SST), and sunshine duration data. We then analyse the spatiotemporal changes in the Chl a concentration and NPP and further investigate the relations among NPP, the open water area, and the length of the open water season. The results indicate that(1) the Chl a concentration increased by 0.025 mg/m~3 per year;(2) the NPP increased by 4.29 mg/(m~2·d) per year, reaching a maximum of 525.74 mg/(m~2·d) in 2016; and(3) the Arctic open water area increased by 57.23×10~3 km~2/a, with a growth rate of 1.53 d/a for the length of the open water season. The annual NPP was significantly positively related to the open water area, the length of the open water season and the SST.The daily NPP was also found to have a lag correlation with the open water area, with a lag time of two months.With global warming, NPP has maintained an increasing trend, with the most significant increase occurring in the Kara Sea. In summary, this study provides a macroscopic understanding of the distribution of phytoplankton in the Arctic, which is valuable information for the evaluation and management of marine ecological environments.  相似文献