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21.
Best estimate seismic analysis are generally based on time‐domain simulations of structural responses. The seismic load is then modeled by a stochastic process representing ground motion. For this purpose, the analyst can use recorded accelerograms or work with synthetically generated ones. The number of ground motion time‐histories available for a given scenario and site condition is limited and generally not sufficient for carrying out more advanced probabilistic structural response analysis. It is then necessary to have at our disposal methods that allow for generating synthetic accelerograms that realistically characterize earthquake ground motions. However, most of the methods proposed in literature for generating synthetic accelerograms do not accurately reproduce the natural variability of ground motion parameters (such as PGA, cumulative absolute velocity, and Arias intensity) observed for recorded time histories. In this paper, we introduce a new method for generating synthetic ground motion, based on Karhunen‐Loève decomposition and a non‐Gaussian stochastic model. The proposed method enables the structural analyst to simulate ground motion time histories featuring the properties mentioned above. To demonstrate its capability, we study the influence of the simulation method on different ground motion parameters and on soil response spectra. We finally compute fragility curves to illustrate the practical application of the proposed method. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
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IFKIS-Hydro is an information and warning system for hydrological hazards in small- and medium-scale catchments. The system collects data such as weather forecasts, precipitation measurements, water level gauges, discharge simulations and local observations of event-specific phenomena. In addition, IFKIS-Hydro incorporates a web-based information platform, which serves as a central hub for the submission and overview of data. Special emphasis is given to local information. This is accomplished particularly by human observers. In medium-scale catchments, discharge forecast models have an increasing importance in providing valuable information. IFKIS-Hydro was developed in several test regions in Switzerland and the first results of its application are available now. The system is constantly extended to additional regions and may become the standard for warning systems in smaller catchments in Switzerland.  相似文献   
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The West Eifel Volcanic Field comprises 98 maars, tuff rings, and scoria rings of volcanoes younger than 700 ka. Digital Terrain Models (DTMs) allow to automatically measure morphologic parameters of volcanic edifices such as slope angles, diameters, elevations, floor, and slope surface areas. Based on their morphological characteristics, we subdivided the West Eifel volcanoes into five morphometric groups which reflect different stages of erosion. Group I, II, and IV comprise clear ring-shaped structures. The difference between these groups is that a tephra ring is well preserved in Group I, partially preserved in Group II and absent in Group IV. The original shapes of Group III maars have been lost more substantially than in Groups I, II, or IV, but they nevertheless retain a negative shape (a depression) and have characteristic channel systems, which can be used as search criteria. Maar-diatremes of Group V are eroded down to their feeder pipes and form hills. In order to locate potential volcanic depressions that are likely to be maar volcanoes, we defined common search criteria such as circular negative landforms or particular drainage system patterns for all groups except the least well-preserved Group V. These criteria were taken as the basis for further processing of the DTM data. The first processing step consisted of constructing a residual relief calculated as the difference between a filtered (smoothed) topographic surface and the original DTM data. This identifies local topographic features. We propose a method for regulating the degree of smoothing which is based on filtering of local maxima according to their distance from a surface constructed from local minima. The previously defined search criteria for Groups I to IV such as specific ranges of curvature, slope, circularity, density of the drainage network were then applied to the residual relief in order to extract maar shapes. Not all criteria work equally well for all morphological groups. Combinations of multiple search criteria therefore yield the best results and efficiently identify most known maars. They also separate some probable new, hitherto unrecognized maars from a large number of other local depressions. We also compared the erosional state of maars to their absolute ages. Published estimates of erosion rates for maars in the French Massif Central suggest a general trend of erosion rates decreasing with time elapsed since eruption. However, this cannot explain the strongly varying ages for maars of the same morphometric group (i.e., similar preservation state) in the West Eifel Volcanic Field. The spatial distribution of the morphometric groups shows some regularity. For example, strongly eroded maars are concentrated in the Gerolstein area (where maar density is highest), whereas most well-preserved maars are located east of the Eifel North–South Depression (ENSD). Most maars affected by fluvial erosion lie near the Kyll and Kleine Kyll streams. These observations suggest differential recent uplift of the West Eifel Volcanic Field, with stronger uplift occurring west of the ENSD.  相似文献   
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This paper aims to simulate the kinematic evolution of a regional transect crossing the Northern Emirates in the northernmost part of the Semail Ophiolite and the Dibba zone, just south of the Musandam Platform exposures. The studied section comprises, from top to bottom and from inner to outer zones, (1) the erosional remnants of the Semail Ophiolite, mainly made up of serpentinized ultramafics in the west and gabbros in the east, (2) high-grade metamorphic rocks which are currently exposed in the core of a nappe anticline near Masafi, (3) far-travelled Hawasina basinal units and Sumeini paleo-slope units of the Dibba Zone, (4) parautochthonous platform carbonates, which are currently well exposed in the Musandam area, and (5) a flexural basin filled with uppermost Cretaceous to Neogene sediments. Two main compressional episodes are generally identified, resulting first in the obduction of the Semail Ophiolite and then in the stacking of underlying platform carbonate units of the former Arabian passive margin, thus accounting for the present architecture of this transect: (1) first, deformation at the plate boundary initiated in the Late Cretaceous, resulting in the obduction of the Semail Ophiolite and the progressive accretion of the Hawasina and Sumeini tectonic wedge on top of the Arabian foreland, leading to a progressive bending of its lithosphere and development of a wide flexural basin; (2) compression resumed during the Neogene, leading to the tectonic stacking of the parautochthonous platform duplexes of Musandam and Margham trends, the development of out-of-sequence thrusts and triangle zones, refolding of the sole thrust of the former Late Cretaceous accretionary wedge and coeval normal (?) high-angle faulting along the contact between the Musandam and Dibba zones. However, seismic profiles and paleo-thermometers also help in identifying another erosional event at the boundary between the Paleogene Pabdeh and the Neogene Fars series. Evidenced by the local erosional truncation of the Pabdeh series in the vicinity of the frontal triangle zone (i.e. the inner part of the former Late Cretaceous foredeep), this Paleogene uplift/unroofing episode is tentatively interpreted here as an evidence for a continuum of compressional deformation lasting from the Late Cretaceous to the Middle Miocene although one may alternatively speculate that it was related to the detachment of the subducted slab. Although carbonate facies are usually not suitable for apatite fission track (AFT) studies, we were able to extract detrital apatites from quartz-bearing Triassic dolomites in the Musandam area. However, the yield and the quality were both poor and too few fission track lengths could be measured, making it difficult to interpret the meaning of the FT ages. The FT dates obtained in this study are therefore compared with those existing in the literature. Fortunately enough, for each sample, at least ten apatite crystals could be used for fission track dating, except for site 6 with only five datable apatite grains. The obtained apatite fission track dates between 28 and 13 Ma, much younger than the Triassic age of the series, are taken to represent reset fission track ages, implying erosion of an up-to-3-km-thick pile of Jurassic–Cretaceous carbonates and Hawasina allochthon during the Neogene. Apatite fission track dates from the ~95 M-old plagiogranites of the Semail complex (Searle and Cox, Geol Mag 139(3):241–255, 2002) obtained in this study and compared with those recently published provide evidences for more than one cooling event. An early unroofing of the ophiolite during the Late Cretaceous is revealed in fission track dates of 72–76 Ma at the top of the ophiolite in the east, which are coeval and also consistent with the occurrence of paleo-soils, rudists and paleo-reefs on top of serpentinized ultramafics in the west. High-pressure rocks at As Sifah in the southeast near Muscat revealed apatite fission track data ranging from ~46 to 63 Ma (Gray et al. 2006). The leucocratic part of the ophiolite (sample UAE 180) yielded comparable young apatite (40.6?±?3.9 Ma) and zircon (46.6?±?4.3 Ma) FT dates. A Cenozoic (~20–21 Ma) exhumation has been determined for the Bani Hamid metamorphic sole in northern Oman, applying low temperature geochronology and combining apatite FT and apatite (U–Th)/He analyses (Gray et al. 2006). In this study, young apatite fission track dates of 20 Ma have also been found but at the base of the ophiolite near Masafi, in the core of the nappe anticline, thus indicating a Neogene age for the refolding of the allochthon and stacking of underlying parautochthonous platform carbonate units. During the subsequent 2D forward Thrustpack kinematic modelling of the regional transect, these AFT data-set has been used, together with available subsurface information, to reconstruct the past architecture of the structural sections through time, accounting for incremental deformation along the various decollement levels, synorogenic sedimentation and erosion, as well as for successive bending and unbending episodes of the Arabian lithosphere.  相似文献   
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Xenoliths of meta-igneous origin occur as one of the two main types of ultramafic and mafic xenoliths entrained by alkaline lavas of the Kerguelen islands. These are designated type II xenoliths and are subdivided into three mineralogical groups. Subtype IIa and IIc xenoliths are interpreted as crystallisation products of basaltic melts that were emplaced near the crust-mantle boundary during the early tholeiitic–transitional magmatic activity of the Kerguelen islands. Younger magmatism became more alkaline and subtype IIb xenoliths were formed as high-pressure alkaline cumulates related to the last alkaline volcanic stage. Subsequently, the plagioclase-bearing type II rocks have been re-equilibrated under granulite facies conditions. This addition of mafic material around the crust-mantle boundary is consistent with seismic evidence for crustal thickening to 14–20 km. Calculated compressional seismic velocities (Vp) for the basic granulites are consistent with the range of observed Vp in the low-velocity region underlying the oceanic crust. Such growth in the thickness of the oceanic crust may be caused by intrusion of basalts at different levels in the lithosphere and may provide the heat responsible for granulitic metamorphism in the oceanic setting. This study suggests that basic granulites can account for the observed seismic characteristics of oceanic plateaux and can be important components of Kerguelen oceanic lithosphere where there has been large-scale magma production. Moreover we speculate that the Kerguelen islands and perhaps the surrounding plateau represent a continental nucleation process. Received: 30 September 1997 / Accepted: 17 June 1998  相似文献   
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Estuaries in the Gulf of Maine contain disjunct, isolated populations of a number of invertebrate taxa typically distributed only sound of Cape Cod. These estuarine populations may either be remnants of a southern fauna that were stranded by Quaternary changes in water temperature, or they may have been established more recently via larvae that entered the estuaries from the open ocean. We tested these hypotheses by examining the distribution of sibling species of hydroids that are symbiotic on paguriid hermit crabs. These crab-hydroid species pairs differ greatly in their ability to colonize new areas through the water column. The hermit crabs possess a planktonic larva that can disperse great distances, while the hydroids have a crawling planula larva that is extremely limited in its dispersal capabilities. Consequently, estuarine hermit crab populations that lack their native hydroid symbiont are likely to have originated by larval colonization. Hydroid sibling species were identified on the basis of MDH electromorphs. Species identifications were confirmed through a limited number of test matings with colonies of known species identity. In three out of the four estuaries that we examined, shells inhabited by the southern hermit crab,Pagurus longicarpus, were occupied only by the local northern hydroid,Hydractinia polyclina. This pattern is consistent with a more recent establishment of the hermit crab populations through larval dispersal or transport. However, in Casco Bay, shells inhabited byP. longicarpus were occupied by a mixture of the northern hydroid,H. polyclina, and the southern hydroid,H. symbiolongicarpus, that is associated withP. longicarpus throughout the southern part of its range. Thus, theP. longicarpus population in Casco Bay may either be a relict of a former, more broadly distributed population of this crab in the Gulf of Maine, or if recently established, is likely to have originated by the introduction of adult crabs with hydroid-covered shells.  相似文献   
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