Downscaling projections of climate change in Sao Tome and Principe Islands,Africa     

Sin Chan Chou  Andr&#; de Arruda Lyra  Jorge Lu&#;s Gomes  Daniel Andr&#;s Rodriguez  Minella Alves Martins  Nicole Costa Resende  Priscila da Silva Tavares  Claudine Pereira Dereczynski  Isabel Lopes Pilotto  Alessandro Marques Martins  Lu&#;s Felipe Alves de Carvalho  Jos&#; Luiz Lima Onofre  Idal&#;cio Major  Manuel Penhor  Ad&#;rito Santana 《Climate Dynamics》2020,54(9):4021-4042

Sao Tome and Principe is a small insular African country extremely vulnerable to rising sea levels and impacts such as inundation, shore line change, and salt water intrusion into underground aquifers. Projections of climate change have considered coarse model resolutions. The objective of this work is to dynamically downscale the global model projections to 4-km resolution and to assess the climate change in the Sao Tome and Principe islands. The global climate projections are provided by the Canadian Earth System Model under two Representative Concentration Pathways greenhouse gas scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The downscaling is produced by the Eta regional climate model. The baseline period is taken between 1971 and 2000, and the future climate period is taken between 2041 and 2070. The 2-m temperature simulations show good agreement with station data. The model simulates temperature more accurately than precipitation. The precipitation simulations systematically show underestimation and delay of the rainy and the dry seasons by about 1 month, a feature inherited from the global climate model. In the middle of the 21st century, projections show the strongest warming in the elevated parts of the Sao Tome Island, especially in February under RCP8.5. Warmer nights and warmer days become more frequent in the islands when compared with those in the present. While under RCP4.5, precipitation increases in the islands; under RCP8.5, it decreases everywhere in both islands. Heavy precipitation rates should increase, especially in the south-southwestern parts of the Sao Tome islands. Detailed spatial variability of the temperature and precipitation changes in the islands can only be revealed at very high spatial model resolution. Implications for the potential energy production from two major river basins are assessed in this work.  相似文献   

九华山游客地方依恋与游后行为研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

江春娥  黄成林 《云南地理环境研究》2011,23(1):71-75

地方因与人的紧密结合而使得空间充满了价值和意义。地方依恋是人与地方相互作用产生的情感联结,是近几年国外游憩地理学和环境心理学研究的热点。通过对宗教旅游地九华山进行实证研究,结果显示,旅游者对九华山的地方依恋处于中等程度,认同与依赖程度一般。地方依恋影响因素复杂,旅游者的背景、游览次数、对九华山的熟悉度等都会影响地方依恋,依恋程度越高,重游及推荐意愿越强。  相似文献   

Detection of negative superhumps in a low-mass X-ray binary – an end to the long debate on the nature of V1405 Aql (X1916−053)     

A.Retter  Y.Chou  T. R.Bedding  T.Naylor 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2002,330(2):L37-L42

  相似文献   

Automated suitable drainage network extraction from digital elevation models in Taiwan's upstream watersheds     

Wen‐Tzu Lin  Wen‐Chieh Chou  Chao‐Yuan Lin  Pi‐Hui Huang  Jing‐Shyan Tsai 《水文研究》2006,20(2):289-306

Automatically extracting drainage networks from digital elevation models coupled with the constant stream threshold value is a regular method. These extracted networks can be verified by comparing the channel initiation points with those from real networks. From the results analysed, the differences in channel initiation points will affect the network geometries, geomorphological indices and hydrological responses. This paper develops two automatic algorithms, the headwater‐tracing method and the fitness index, to trace the flow paths from headwaters to the outlet and to calculate the reasonable stream threshold. Instead of the method determined by trial and error or field survey, the accurate channel initiation points can be obtained from airborne photographs coupled with high‐resolution SPOT images for suitable drainage network extraction. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A possible influence on standard model of quasars and active galactic nuclei in strong magnetic field     

Qiu-He Peng  Jing-Jing Liu  Chi-Kang Chou 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2016,361(12):388

  相似文献   

Integrating the geographic information system and predictive data mining techniques to model effects of compound disasters in Taipei     

Jui-Sheng Chou  Chen-Ming Lee 《Natural Hazards》2014,70(2):1385-1415

Located in the circum-Pacific seismic zone, Taiwan is continually threatened by such natural disasters as typhoons, floods, landslides, and earthquakes, which increase risk of property loss and severely endanger public safety. Taipei City, the political and economic capital of Taiwan, must address disaster prevention and relief operations for compound disasters and extreme climatic events in addition to existing metropolitan disaster prevention operations. This study formulates 48 compound-disaster scenarios based on threats to Taipei City due to heavy rainfall and surrounding faults. Hydrology and flood analysis results and the Taiwan earthquake loss estimation system are utilized to assess the potential for compound disasters and the number of people they would displace in Taipei’s administrative districts. Analytical results can be used to create a pre-disaster static potential diagram and a refuge or shelter capacity assessment table. The disaster potential diagram is adopted to conduct geographic information system spatial and data analysis, and temporary refuges or shelters planned by the city government are integrated for shelter capacity comparison. Furthermore, a dynamic assessment curve for the number of displaced people during a disaster is plotted using data mining and attribute filtering. Subsequently, a cross table is obtained and employed to predict the number of refugees in the various administrative districts. Finally, conclusions and recommendations are provided for making disaster prevention and relief decisions simultaneously concerning earthquakes and flooding.  相似文献   

Silica Mass-Balance and Retention in the Riverine and Estuarine Scheldt Tidal System (Belgium/The Netherlands)     

Vincent Carbonnel  Jean-Pierre Vanderborght  Lei Chou 《Aquatic Geochemistry》2013,19(5-6):501-516

An annual budget for dissolved silica (DSi) and biogenic silica (BSi) was constructed for the Scheldt estuary and for the entire riverine and estuarine Scheldt tidal system (Belgium/The Netherlands) using previously published silica concentrations and fluxes for the period 2003–2005. The annual estuarine DSi mass-balance was established, based on seasonal fluxes estimated using measured DSi concentrations and (fully transient) model simulations of conservative transport. The annual BSi mass-balance was deduced from measured BSi contents in the suspended particulate matter and annual mud fluxes taken from the literature. The Scheldt estuary acted as a net sink not only for the BSi carried by the tidal river as well as that produced by diatoms in the estuary, but also for large amounts of BSi imported from the coastal zone. This results in the retention of dissolved and biogenic silica higher than that of DSi alone, which is in contrast with the classical consideration that rivers act as a source of BSi for the coastal zone. DSi and silica (DSi + BSi) retentions amounted to, respectively, 28 and 64 % in the estuary, and 33 and 66 % in the entire tidal system. This study highlights thus the predominant role of the estuary in the entire Scheldt tidal system when dealing with silica dynamics, as well as the importance of including BSi when investigating estuarine silica retention.  相似文献   

Analysis of the Helioseismic Power-Spectrum Diagram of a Sunspot     

Junwei Zhao  Dean-Yi Chou 《Solar physics》2013,287(1-2):149-159

The continuous high spatial resolution Doppler observation of the Sun by the Solar Dynamics Observatory/Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager allows us to compute a helioseismic k–ω power-spectrum diagram using only oscillations inside a sunspot. Individual modal ridges can be clearly seen with reduced power in the k–ω diagram that is constructed from a 40-hour observation of a stable and round sunspot. Comparing this with the k–ω diagram obtained from a quiet-Sun region, one sees that inside the sunspot the f-mode ridge is more reduced in power than the p-mode ridges, especially at high wavenumbers. The p-mode ridges all shift toward lower wavenumber (or higher frequency) for a given frequency (or wavenumber), implying an increase of phase velocity beneath the sunspot. This is probably because the acoustic waves travel across the inclined magnetic field of the sunspot penumbra. Line-profile asymmetries exhibited in the p-mode ridges are more significant in the sunspot than in the quiet Sun. Convection inside the sunspot is also highly suppressed, and its characteristic spatial scale is substantially larger than the typical convection scale of the quiet Sun. These observational facts demand a better understanding of magnetoconvection and interactions of helioseismic waves with magnetic field.  相似文献   

The effects of intense magnetic fields on Landau levels in a neutron star     

Z. F. Gao  N. Wang  D. L. Song  J. P. Yuan  C.-K. Chou 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2011,334(2):281-292

In this paper, an approximate method of calculating the Fermi energy of electrons (E _F (e)) in a high-intensity magnetic field, based on the analysis of the distribution of a neutron star magnetic field, has been proposed. In the interior of a neutron star, different forms of intense magnetic field could exist simultaneously and a high electron Fermi energy could be generated by the release of magnetic field energy. The calculation results show that: E _F (e) is related to density ρ, the mean electron number per baryon Y _e and magnetic field strength B.  相似文献   

Corrections to the Magnitude of Cross-Correlation Functions for Dispersion of Solar Acoustic Waves     

Hui Zhao  Dean-Yi Chou  Ming-Hsu Yang  Zhi-Chao Liang  Ming-Tsung Sun 《Solar physics》2011,268(2):363-376

The cross-correlation function is a useful tool in helioseismology. The magnitude of the cross-correlation function has been used to represent the power of wave packets. Dispersion causes a decrease in amplitude and an increase in width of wave packets. This leads to a decrease in magnitude and an increase in width of cross-correlation functions. The effect of dispersion on the magnitude of cross-correlation functions needs to be adequately corrected for in order to use the magnitude of cross-correlation functions to represent the power of wave packets. In this study, we investigate how the magnitude of cross-correlation functions changes with the number of skips owing to dispersion and the method to correct it. Our study, using simulated and observational data, indicates that the correction should be three dimensional instead of the one-dimensional correction adopted in previous studies. Using the three-dimensional correction, the measured dissipation rate in the quiet Sun is smaller than the value of previous studies.  相似文献