淮河流域大气环流型在冬季气温预测中的应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

段雯瑜  邓伟涛 《气象与减灾研究》2014,(1):6-12

应用Lamb-Jenkinson大气环流分型方法,根据由1970—2012年NCEP/NCAR逐日海平面气压场计算得到的环流指数,对淮河流域的环流进行分型。分析了冬季主要环流型和气温的分布特征及两者的联系,并以环流指数和主要环流型为预测因子,结合经验正交函数分解(EOF)方法和逐步回归方法,建立了淮河流域冬季气温距平的预测模型。结果表明,淮河流域冬季的主要环流型是东北风型、东风型、反气旋环流型以及东北风、东风配合下的反气旋性环流型,划分的环流型符合实际情况,这些环流型具有显著的年际和年代际变化特征。通过对预测模型进行后报试验和独立预报试验,表明该模型具有一定的预报技巧。  相似文献   

CFD-based numerical analysis of a variable cross-section cylinder     

Jinlong Duan  Weiping Huang 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2014,13(4):584-588

Using ANSYS-CFX, a general purpose fluid dynamics program, the vortex-induced vibration (VIV) of a variable cross-section cylinder is simulated under uniform current with high Reynolds numbers. Large eddy simulation (LES) is conducted for studying the fluid-structure interaction. The vortex shedding in the wake, the motion trajectories of a cylinder, the variation of drag and lift forces on the cylinder are analyzed. The results show that the vortices of variable cross-section cylinder are chaotic and are varying along the cylinder. In places where cross-sections are changing significantly, the vortices are more irregular. The motion trail of the cylinder is almost the same but irregular. The drag and lift coefficients of the cylinder are varying with the changes of diameters.  相似文献   

基于城市内涝仿真模型的天津风暴潮灾害评估          下载免费PDF全文

段丽瑶  解以扬  陈靖  赵玉洁  任雨 《应用气象学报》2014,25(3):354-359

基于城市内涝仿真模型,根据天津沿海地区的地形、地貌特征以及排水系统等对城市内涝仿真模型进行改进,在沿海边界和河口设置时变水位,使得模型拓展到既能模拟暴雨产生的内涝,也能模拟由于风暴潮侵袭造成的淹没情景。该模型对天津沿海地区历史上典型风暴潮个例以及10年、20年、50年、100年一遇重现期风暴潮产生的积水范围和积水深度进行了模拟,并对2012年8月3日台风达维 (1210) 造成的天津沿海风暴潮进行了业务试应用。将历史风暴潮个例模拟结果以及2012年8月3日的评估结果与实际灾情进行对比,结果显示模型具有较好的模拟能力,可应用于风暴潮灾害的评估和预估业务中,为相关部门和行业提供决策参考。  相似文献   

Erratum to: Numerical simulation of changes in tropical cyclone intensity using a coupled air-sea model          下载免费PDF全文

端义宏  伍荣生  于润玲  梁旭东 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2014,28(2):324-324

正Erratum to:Acta Meteor Sinica DOI 10.1007/sl3351-013-0506-z The original version of this article unfortunately contained a mistake.The presentation of DOI number was incorrect.The corrected DOI number is 10.1007/sl3351-013-0503-2  相似文献   

基于Moodle的变形监测技术网络课程开发及应用     

李培现  杨中辉  阎跃观  袁德宝  赵艳玲  范德芹 《测绘通报》2022,(2):168-173

为提高网络在线教学效果,适应疫情期间线上教学需求,本文基于Moodle开源在线教育平台构建了广泛适应的变形监测网络在线课程资源库。简述了Moodle在线课程建设的过程、方法及应注意的问题,重点讨论了试题库、案例库及线上线下交流模块的开发步骤。根据双一流建设与工程认证的OBE教学理念,对变形监测技术网络课程教学建设应遵循的基本原则、问题及毕业要求达成值评价方法进行了探讨。研究表明,网络在线课程的应用,促进了教学资源的共享和师生交流,降低了教师上课的劳动强度,提高了学生学习的积极性。通过合理制定课程目标,有效评价毕业要求的达成情况和持续改进教学手段,对提高变形监测技术课程教学效果有积极意义。  相似文献   

填方边坡稳定性影响因素敏感性分析     

段永坤 《岩土工程技术》2014,(4):205-211

以重庆某核电场地填方边坡为例,采用均匀试验设计法安排试验,运用回归分析法对比分析各个因素对边坡稳定性影响的差异,得到各影响因素对填方边坡稳定的敏感性.影响边坡稳定性的主要因素为填料内摩擦角￠、边坡坡度α和地下水水位Hw.根据各影响因素对边坡稳定性的敏感性大小,填方边坡的设计和施工中可采取更具针对性的工程措施.  相似文献   

矿井断层构造复杂程度的GIS与熵值耦合评价研究     

李飞  杨滨滨  张金陵  段李宏 《中国煤炭地质》2014,(8):60-63

基于GIS与熵值耦合理论的矿井断层构造复杂程度的综合评价方法,建立了断层构造的非线性特征值、断层规模指数、煤层底板倾角指数、断层断距指数等与矿井构造复杂程度相关的评价指标体系。并以河南某矿为例,对矿井断层构造复杂程度进行多因素评价综合分区。结果显示:该矿井构造以中等和简单为主;在构造简单-中等区,构造对煤层开采基本无影响,而在构造复杂区,断层可导致水文地质条件变得较为复杂,影响煤层安全开采。  相似文献   

Erratum to: Desert riparian forest colonization in the lower reaches of Tarim River based on remote sensing analysis     

Guilin Liu  Alishir Kurban  Hanming Duan  Umut Halik  Abdimijit Ablekim  Luocheng Zhang 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2014,71(10):4591-4591

  相似文献   

Magmatic activity and its geological significance in Early Jurassic in Mangui area of Inner Mongolia     

LI Zhonghui  LI Yang  LI Ruijie  LI Kai 《中国地质调查》2014,7(5):54-65

By investigating the U-Pb zircon isotope geochronology and petrogochemistry of the major magmatic rocks in Mangui area, the authors in this paper discussed the forming era, tectonic background and geological significance. A large amount of intrusive rocks and a small amount of medium-acid volcanic rocks in Early Jurassic were found in this area. U-Pb dating by LA-ICP-MS method shows that the ages are from (199±1)Ma to (184±1)Ma and the rock types can be divided into fine-medium-grained quartz diorite, medium-grained granodiorite, fine-medium-grained monzogranite, medium-fine-grained macrophenocryst monzogranite, rhyolite, dacite and andesite, which didn’t ouur in Neoprotezoic-Paleozoic period as previous researchers thought, revealing the tectonic and magmatic activities during the Early Mesozoic period. The geochemical results show that the rocks are Ⅰ-type magmatic rocks of subluminous-peraluminous high-K calc-alkaline series. The fractionation between light and heavy rare-erath elements((La/Yb)_N= 3.42~32.96) and the Eu depletion degree is not complied with the evaluation from basic to acidic. The large ion lithophile element Ba is relatively rich and Rb, Sr are relatively delicient. The high field strength elements Th and U are relatively rich and Nb, Ti, Y are relatively deficient. The magma origin and tectonic setting show that quartz diorite and medium-fine-grained macrophenocryst monzogranite come from crust-mantle mixed magma, while the medium-acid volcanic rocks, granodiorite and fine-medium-grained monzogranite are from the partial melting of crustal materials, whose formation is connected with the evolution of Mongol-Okhotsk Suture Zone. The geology and geochemistry of the Early Mesozoic magmatic rocks indicate that the middle part of Mongol-Okhotsk Ocean might begin subduction at the end of the middle Triassic and close the Early Jurassic. The peak collision might take place at the Early Jurassic, not in the Late Triassic as previous thought. The Mohe over-thrust nappe system might form in the remote effect of southward extrusion during the closing process of the eastem part of Mongol-Okhotsk Ocean. The middle and eastern Mongol-Okhotsk Ocean closing age is of great importance to reveal the basin-range tectonic formation during the Middle Jurassic to the Late Cretaceous in Northeast China.  相似文献   

Time-Varying Multifractal Characteristics and Formation Mechanism of Loaded Coal Electromagnetic Radiation     

Shaobin Hu  Enyuan Wang  Zhonghui Li  Rongxi Shen  Jie Liu 《Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering》2014,47(5):1821-1838

Dynamic collapses of deeply mined coal rocks are severe threats to miners. To predict the collapses more accurately using electromagnetic radiation (EMR), we investigate the time-varying multifractal characteristics and formation mechanism of EMR induced by underground coal mining. A series of uniaxial compression and multi-stage loading experiments with coal samples of different mechanical properties were carried out. The EMR signals during their damage evolution were monitored in real-time; the inherent law of EMR time series was analyzed by fractal theory. The results show that the time-varying multifractal characteristics of EMR are determined by damage evolutions process, the dissipated energy caused by damage evolutions such as crack propagation, fractal sliding and shearing can be regard as the fingerprint of various EMR micro-mechanics. Based on the Irreversible thermodynamics and damage mechanics, we introduced the damage internal variable, constructed the dissipative potential function and established the coupled model of the EMR and the dissipative energy, which revealed the nature of dynamic nonlinear characteristics of EMR. Dynamic multifractal spectrum is the objective response of EMR signals, thus it can be used to evaluate the coal deformation and fracture process.  相似文献