初值信息在气候预测中的作用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

范新岗  丑纪范 《大气科学》1999,23(1):71-76

应用胞映射全局分析方法,研究初值信息在气候预测中的作用。针对人们认识气候的实际过程,分别提出4种初始条件,研究一个最大简化的大气模式做逐日级别预报和量值预报以及月平均级别预报和量值预报的能力。结果表明,初值信息掌握得越多,预报误差就越小,预报的相对准确率就越高。  相似文献   

台风与西风槽相互作用与赤道辐合带的北跳   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

仇永炎  马德贞  林玉成 《气象》1999,25(2):3-9

利用历史天气图,台风年鉴,以及ＥＣＭＷＦ和ＮＭＣ再分析的风场等资料,研究盛夏一些系统的活动特征及赤道辐合带北跳及其在台风与西风槽相互作用型的关系,得到如下一些事实：（１）块状,自东向西移动的渤海日本海高压,准定常的,河套以东西风槽,低空偏东、偏南急流等系统的活动,都有利于出现台风与西风槽相互作用,有利于出现４００ｍｍ以上台风降水。（２）“７５．８”、“８４．８”和“９８．８”３个台风与西风槽相互作  相似文献   

注浆管表面的固体润滑涂层研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

杨相茂  范畴 《地质科技情报》2007,26(4):79-81

研究了帷幕灌浆中注浆管表面的固体润滑涂层组成.用附着力试验仪、耐磨试验机、冲击试验机、电子万能试验机测试了固体润滑涂层的附着力、耐磨性、抗冲击性和拔管摩擦阻力,用傅立叶红外光谱仪(FTIR)分析了固体润滑涂料磨损前后的变化.结果表明:环氧树脂固体润滑涂层的耐磨性和附着力优于不饱和树脂固体润滑涂层,但抗冲击强度低于不饱和树脂固体润滑涂层;涂敷不饱和树脂固体润滑涂层注浆管的拔管摩擦阻力小于涂敷环氧树脂固体润滑涂层注浆管的拔管摩擦阻力,比未涂敷固体润滑涂层注浆管的拔管摩擦阻力平均降低25%;耐磨性和拔管摩擦阻力随固体润滑涂层的涂层厚度增大而下降.傅立叶红外分析结果表明,涂层磨损后,部分官能团的峰面积发生了变化.试验分析表明,润滑摩擦作用机制是层剥落磨损.  相似文献   

Hydrothermal studies in a new diamond anvil cell up to 10 GPa and from −190°C to 1200°C     

W. A. Bassett  A. H. Shen  M. Bucknum  I-Ming Chou 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1993,141(2-4):487-495

The new hydrothermal diamond anvil cell (HDAC) has been designed for optical microscopy and X-ray diffraction at pressures up to 10 GPa and temperatures between –190°C and 1200°C. Laser light reffected from the top and bottom anvil faces and the top and bottom solid sample faces produce interference fringes that provide a very sensitive means of monitoring the volume of sample chamber and for observing volume and refractive index changes in solid samples due to transitions and reactions. Synchrotron radiation has been used to make X-ray diffraction patterns of samples under hydrothermal conditions. Individual heaters and individual thermocouples provide temperature control with an accuracy of ±0.5°C. Liquid nitrogen directly introduced into the HDAC has been used to reduce the sample temperature to –190°C. The - phase boundary of quartz has been used to calculate the transition pressures from measured transition temperatures. With this method we have redetermined 5 isochores of H₂O up to 850°C and 1.2 GPa at which the solution rate of the quartz became so rapid that the quartz dissolved completely before the - transition could be observed. When silica solutions were cooled, opal spherules and rods formed.  相似文献   

Heat fluxes and roll circulations over the western Gulf Stream during an intense cold-air outbreak     

Shu -Hsien Chou  Michael P. Ferguson 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1991,55(3):255-281

Turbulence and heat fluxes in the marine atmospheric boundary layer (MABL) for the roll vortex regime, observed during the Genesis of Atlantic Lows Experiment (GALE) over the western Gulf Stream, have been studied. The spectral analysis suggests that cloud streets (roll vortices) are vertically organized convection in the MABL having the same roll scale for both the cloud layer and subcloud layer, and that the roll spacing is about three times the MABL depth. The roll circulations contribute significantly to the sensible (temperature) and latent heat (moisture) fluxes with importance increasing upward. Near the MABL top, these fluxes are primarily due to roll vortices which transfer both sensible heat and moisture upward in the lower half of the convective MABL. Near the MABL top, the roll circulations transfer sensible heat downward and moisture upward in the clear thermal-street region, but roll vortices influenced by evaporative cooling can transfer sensible heat upward and moisture downward in the cloud-street region. Near the cloud-top, the upward buoyancy flux due to evaporative cooling is highly related to the roll circulations near the inversion.For the lower half of the MABL, the normalized temperature flux decreases upward more rapidly than the humidity flux, which is mainly because potential temperature () increases slightly upward while humidity (q) decreases slightly upward above the unstable surface layer. The gradient production (associated with the gradient) is a source for the temperature flux in the unstable surface layer but changes to a sink in the mixed layer, while the gradient production (associated with the q gradient) acts as a source for the humidity flux in both the unstable surface and mixed layers. The results suggest that the entrainment at the MABL top might affect the budgets of temperature and humidity fluxes in the lower MABL, but not in the unstable surface layer.Caelum Research Corporation, Silver Spring, MD, 20901, U.S.A.  相似文献   

湿大气方程组解的渐近性质   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

李建平  丑纪范 《气象学报》1998,56(2):187-198

研究无穷维Ｈｉｌｂｅｒｔ空间中,湿大气运动系统解的长期行为,在导得了湿大气运动方程是Ｈｉｌｂｅｒｔ空间中一个非常特殊的算子方程之后,利用算子的性质讨论了全局吸收集和全局吸引子的存在性,揭示出系统解的渐近行为表现在吸引子的结构上及系统向非绝热加热的非线性适应过程。最后指出了几个简化方程组与原方程组在解的长期行为上的根本不同,从而给出长期天气或气候研究中简化方程组必须遵循的原则。  相似文献   

An improved model for the calculation of CO₂ solubility in aqueous solutions containing Na, K, Ca, Mg, Cl, and SO₄     

Zhenhao Duan  Rui Sun  Chen Zhu  I-Ming Chou 《Marine Chemistry》2006,98(2-4):131-139

An improved model is presented for the calculation of the solubility of carbon dioxide in aqueous solutions containing Na⁺, K⁺, Ca²⁺, Mg²⁺, Cl⁻, and SO₄²⁻ in a wide temperature–pressure–ionic strength range (from 273 to 533 K, from 0 to 2000 bar, and from 0 to 4.5 molality of salts) with experimental accuracy. The improvements over the previous model [Duan, Z. and Sun, R., 2003. An improved model calculating CO₂ solubility in pure water and aqueous NaCl solutions from 273 to 533K and from 0 to 2000 bar. Chemical Geology, 193: 257–271] include: (1) By developing a non-iterative equation to replace the original equation of state in the calculation of CO₂ fugacity coefficients, the new model is at least twenty times computationally faster and can be easily adapted to numerical reaction-flow simulator for such applications as CO₂ sequestration and (2) By fitting to the new solubility data, the new model improved the accuracy below 288 K from 6% to about 3% of uncertainty but still retains the high accuracy of the original model above 288 K. We comprehensively evaluate all experimental CO₂ solubility data. Compared with these data, this model not only reproduces all the reliable data used for the parameterization but also predicts the data that were not used in the parameterization. In order to facilitate the application to CO₂ sequestration, we also predicted CO₂ solubility in seawater at two-phase coexistence (vapor–liquid or liquid–liquid) and at three-phase coexistence (CO₂ hydrate–liquid water–vapor CO₂ [or liquid CO₂]). The improved model is programmed and can be downloaded from the website http://www.geochem-model.org/programs.htm.  相似文献   

Comparison of two bias correction methods for precipitation simulated with a regional climate model     

Tschöke  Gabriele Vanessa  Kruk  Nadiane Smaha  de Queiroz  Paulo Ivo Braga  Chou  Sin Chan  de Sousa Junior  Wilson Cabral 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2017,127(3-4):841-852

This study evaluates the performance of two bias correction techniques—power transformation and gamma distribution adjustment—for Eta regional climate model (RCM) precipitation simulations. For the gamma distribution adjustment, the number of dry days is not taken as a fixed parameter; rather, we propose a new methodology for handling dry days. We consider two cases: the first case is defined as having a greater number of simulated dry days than the observed number, and the second case is defined as the opposite. The present climate period was divided into calibration and validation sets. We evaluate the results of the two bias correction techniques using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov nonparametric test and the sum of the differences between the cumulative distribution curves. These tests show that both correction techniques were effective in reducing errors and consequently improving the reliability of the simulations. However, the gamma distribution correction method proved to be more efficient, particularly in reducing the error in the number of dry days.

  相似文献   

Coupling Earth System Model and Integrated Assessment Model     

Dong Wenjie  Yuan Wenping  Teng Fei  Hao Zhixin  Zheng Jingyun  Wei Zhigang  Chou Jieming  Liu Changxin  Qi Tianyu  Yang Shili  Yan Dongdong  Zhang Jing 《地球科学进展》2016,31(12):1215-1219

According to the guideline of National Key Research and Development Project, this project aims at developing a world-class Integrated Assessment Model (IAM) in China, which will be used to assess the impacts of climate change on economy system. The objects of this project are to ① Improve the spatial resolution of Earth System Model (ESM); ② Modify the Integrated Assessment Model; ③ Couple the ESM and IAM; ④ Evaluate the impacts of climate change on society and economy. This project will solve two key scientific questions: how to identify the impacts of climate change in the IAM; How much the impacts of climate change on economy in China. Meanwhile, two techniques will be developed to complete the mission of this project: Simulate of small-scale human activities in the EAM and spatial and temporal resolution match of ESM and IAM.  相似文献   

A new method for synthesizing fluid inclusions in fused silica capillaries containing organic and inorganic material   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

I-Ming Chou  Yucai Song 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2008,72(21):5217-5231

Considerable advances in our understanding of physicochemical properties of geological fluids and their roles in many geological processes have been achieved by the use of synthetic fluid inclusions. We have developed a new method to synthesize fluid inclusions containing organic and inorganic material in fused silica capillary tubing. We have used both round (0.3 mm OD and 0.05 or 0.1 mm ID) and square cross-section tubing (0.3 × 0.3 mm with 0.05 × 0.05 mm or 0.1 × 0.1 mm cavities). For microthermometric measurements in a USGS-type heating-cooling stage, sample capsules must be less than 25 mm in length. The square-sectioned capsules have the advantage of providing images without optical distortion. However, the maximum internal pressure (P; about 100 MPa at 22 °C) and temperature (T; about 500 °C) maintained by the square-sectioned capsules are less than those held by the round-sectioned capsules (about 300 MPa at room T, and T up to 650 °C).The fused silica capsules can be applied to a wide range of problems of interest in fluid inclusion and hydrothermal research, such as creating standards for the calibration of thermocouples in heating-cooling stages and frequency shifts in Raman spectrometers. The fused silica capsules can also be used as containers for hydrothermal reactions, especially for organic samples, including individual hydrocarbons, crude oils, and gases, such as cracking of C₁₈H₃₈ between 350 and 400 °C, isotopic exchanges between C₁₈H₃₈ and D₂O and between C₁₉D₄₀ and H₂O at similar temperatures. Results of these types of studies provide information on the kinetics of oil cracking and the changes of oil composition under thermal stress.When compared with synthesis of fluid inclusions formed by healing fractures in quartz or other minerals or by overgrowth of quartz at elevated P-T conditions, the new fused-silica method has the following advantages: (1) it is simple; (2) fluid inclusions without the presence of water can be formed; (3) synthesized inclusions are large and uniform, and they are able to tolerate high internal P; (4) it is suitable for the study of organic material; and (5) redox control is possible due to high permeability of the fused silica to hydrogen.  相似文献