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111.
In this paper, seasonal prediction of spring dust weather frequency (DWF) in Beijing during 1982-2008 has been performed. First, correlation analyses are conducted to identify antecedent climate signals during last winter that are statistically significantly related to spring DWF in Beijing. Then, a seasonal prediction model of spring DWF in Beijing is established through multivariate linear regression analysis, in which the systematic error between the result of original prediction model and the observation, averaged over the last 10 years, is corrected. In addition, it is found that climate signals occurring synchronously with spring dust weather, particularly meridional wind at 850 hPa over western Mongolian Plateau, are also linked closely to spring DWF in Beijing. As such, statistical and dynamic prediction approaches should be combined to include these synchronous predictors into the prediction model in the real-time operational prediction, so as to further improve the prediction accuracy of spring DWF in Beijing, even over North China. However, realizing such a prediction idea in practice depends essentially on the ability of climate models in predicting key climate signals associated with spring DWF in Beijing.  相似文献   
112.
113.
The time frame of the three main geological events in the Neoproterozoic Cambaí Complex, juvenile São Gabriel belt in the southern Brazilian Shield is established by integrating field mapping, back-scattered electron imaging and sensitive high-resolution ion microprobe (SHRIMP II) U–Pb dating of 96 zircon crystals from nine granitic and metasedimentary rock samples. The three events are: (1) voluminous flat-lying paragneisses (Cambaizinho Complex) and orthogneisses (Vila Nova gneisses) between 735 and 718 Ma, (2) tonalite–trondhjemite association (Lagoa da Meia-Lua Suite) between 710 and 690 Ma, and (3) late granodiorite intrusions (Sanga do Jobim Suite) at 680 Ma. An additional older volcanic event (Campestre Formation) was dated at 753 Ma. These results are most significant for the reconstruction of West Gondwana.  相似文献   
114.
利用习水C波段双偏振雷达和常规气象观测资料对2021年5月9日发生在毕节的一次冰雹和雷暴大风强对流天气特征进行分析,结果表明:上干冷下暖湿层结使得毕节大气层结极不稳定,午后地面辐合线叠加露点锋抬升触发对流形成有组织性的多单体强风暴。反射率因子表现出典型强风暴型雷暴单体特征,有利于大冰雹的生成和发展。双偏振雷达参量ZDR和CC能有效识别降水粒子类型,其中已识别冰雹区中相关系数ρHV异常低值区能较好地反映出大冰雹或超大冰雹特征。阵风锋的出现以及风暴单体底层的冷池出流是百里杜鹃—黔西一线大风出现的主要原因,配合径向速度图上低层强气旋式辐合使得地面大风加强,造成黔西县出现极端破坏性大风天气。  相似文献   
115.
We have investigated the loss of H2O from olivine-hosted melt inclusions (MIs) by designing an experiment using tephra samples that cooled at different rates owing to their different sizes: ash, lapilli, and bomb samples that were deposited on the same day (10/17/74) of the sub-Plinian eruption of Volcán de Fuego in Guatemala. Ion microprobe, laser ablation-ICPMS, and electron probe analyses show that MIs from ash and lapilli record the highest H2O contents, up to 4.4 wt%. On the other hand, MIs from bombs indicate up to 30 % lower H2O contents (loss of ~1 wt% H2O) and 10 % post-entrapment crystallization of olivine. This evidence is consistent with the longer cooling time available for a bomb-sized clast, up to 10 min for a 3–4-cm radius bomb, assuming conductive cooling and the fastest H diffusivities measured in olivine (D~10?9 to 10?10 m2/s). On the other hand, several lines of evidence point to some water loss prior to eruption, during magma ascent and degassing in the conduit. Thus, results point to both slower post-eruptive cooling and slower magma ascent affecting MIs from bombs, leading to H2O loss over the timescale of minutes to hours. The important implication of this study is that a significant portion of the published data on H2O concentrations in olivine-hosted MIs may reflect unrecognized H2O loss via diffusion. This work highlights the importance of reporting clast and MI sizes in order to assess diffusive effects and the potential benefit of using water loss as a chronometer of magma ascent.  相似文献   
116.
This study presents a reconstruction of the tectonic history of an Upper Rotliegend tight gas field in Northern Germany. Tectonism of the greater study area was influenced by multiple phases of salt movement, which produced a variety of salt-related structural features such as salt walls, salt diapirs as well as salt glaciers (namakiers). A sequential 2D retro-deformation and stratal backstripping methodology was used to differentiate mechanisms inducing salt movement and to discuss their relation to regional tectonics. The quantitative geometric restoration included sedimentary balancing, decompaction, fault-related deformation, salt movement, thermal subsidence, and isostasy to unravel the post-depositional tectonic overprint of the Rotliegend reservoir rock. The results of this study indicate that reactive salt diapirism started during an Early Triassic interval of thin-skinned extensional tectonics, followed by an active diapirism stage with an overburden salt piercement in the Late Triassic, and finally a period of intensive salt surface extrusion and the formation of salt glaciers (namakiers) in Late Triassic and Jurassic times. Since the Early Cretaceous, salt in the study area has been rising by passive diapirism.  相似文献   
117.
The Gradenbach mass movement (GMM) is an example of DGSD (deep-seated gravitational slope deformation) in crystalline rocks of the Eastern Alps (12.85°E, 47.00°N). The main body of the GMM covers an area of 1.7 km2 and its volume is about 120?×?106 m3. A reconstruction of the deformation history yields a mean displacement of?~?22 m from 1962 to 2011. In 1965/66, 1975, 2001, and 2009 high sliding velocities, exceeding several meters per year, interrupt the quasi-stationary periods of slow movement (≤0.3 m/year). Since 1999 the displacement of the main body of the GMM has been observed by GPS. Time series of extensometer readings, precipitation, snow cover water equivalent, water discharge, and hydrostatic water level observed in boreholes were re-processed and are presented in this paper. Continuous recording of seismic activity by a seismic monitoring network at the GMM began in the summer of 2006. Deformation has been monitored since 2007 by an embedded strain rosette based on fiber optics technology and a local conventional geodetic deformation network. The velocity of the GMM could be modeled to a large extent by a quantitative relation to hydro-meteorological data. During the phase of high sliding velocity in spring 2009, the seismic activity in the area increased significantly. Several types of seismic events were identified with some of them preceding the acceleration of the main body by about 6 weeks. The potential inherent in the Gradenbach Observatory data to supply early warning and hazard estimation is discussed.  相似文献   
118.
利用习水双偏振雷达对2021年5月2日发生在贵州西北部的一次冰雹、短时强降水过程进行分析,结果表明:双偏振雷达能够很好区分出冰雹和短时强降水,并可以分析出冰雹相态演变:高空出现明显的冰雹特征(差分反射率因子Zdr、差分相移率Kdp小于0 dB,相关系数CC为0.9~0.95),随着高度降低Zdr和Kdp从负值向正值转变,CC增加到0.95左右,表明冰雹在下落过程中融化为包裹着水膜的小冰雹并伴随降水,这与地面观测事实一致。观测到CC谷、Zdr弧、Zdr柱、Kdp柱和典型的三体散射双偏振特征,这些特征对雹暴的演变有指示作用。短时强降水回波的Zdr和Kdp随反射率因子强度的增大而增大,CC>0.95,Kdp大值区能更好的指示出短时强降水的位置。  相似文献   
119.
In order to get a broader view of the s-process nucleosynthesis we study the abundance distribution of heavy elements of 35 barium stars and 24 CEMP-stars, including nine CEMP-s stars and 15 CEMP-r/s stars. The similar distribution of [Pb/hs] between CEMP-s and CEMP-r/s stars indicate that the s-process material of both CEMP-s and CEMP-r/s stars should have a uniform origin, i.e. mass transfer from their predominant AGB companions. For the CEMP-r/s stars, we found that the r-process should provide similar proportional contributes to the second s-peak and the third s-peak elements, and also be responsible for the higher overabundance of heavy elements than those in CEMP-s stars. Which hints that the r-process origin of CEMP-r/s stars should be closely linked to the main r-process. The fact that some small r values exist for both barium and CEMP-s stars, implies that the single exposure event of the s-process nucleosynthesis should be general in a wide metallicity range of our Galaxy. Based on the relation between C r and C s, we suggest that the origin of r-elements for CEMP-r/s stars have more sources. A common scenario is that the formation of the binary system was triggered by only one or a few supernova. In addition, accretion-induced collapse(AIC) or SN 1.5 should be the supplementary scenario, especially for these whose pre-AGB companion with higher mass and smaller orbit radius, which support the higher values of both C r and C s.  相似文献   
120.
In this paper, the relationship between sulfate reduction potential and mercury methylation potential was studied in the Aha, Baihua and Hongfeng reservoirs from Guiyang City. The methylmercury (MeHg) concentrations of lake water in the Aha Reservoir were greatly elevated as compared to those of the Hongfeng and Baihua reservoirs, which was correlated with its distinctly high SRB abundance, SO42-, and S2- concentrations. Among the three reservoirs, however, the highest MeHg was observed in in the top several centimenters of pore water profile in the Hongfeng Reservoir where the lowest S2- in pore water occurred. The distributions of MeHg in lake water and pore water showed the highest methylation potential occurred at water-sediment surface for the Aha Reservoir and the in the top several centimenters of sediments for the Hongfeng Reservoir. It is guessed that the highest mercury methylation only occurs at the sites with certain sulfide concentrations.  相似文献   
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