洪涝风险图的编制与应用——以太湖流域湖西区为例   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

高俊峰  孙顺才 《湖泊科学》1995,7(2):151-156

洪涝风险图的编制,是洪涝平原管理中的一项重要内容,对洪涝平原生产布局和人类经济活动具有指导作用。本文介绍了一种洪涝风险图的编制方法。首先概化平原内河图,用明渠一维非恒定流模拟水流运动,得到各地的水位和流量,比较水位和数学地形模型（ＤＥＭ）的高程,将水位高过ＤＥＭ的地方划为洪涝危险区,本文以太湖流域湖西区为例作出洪涝风险图,并且介绍了洪涝风险图在国民经济部门的应用。  相似文献   

Quality influencing factors of dispersion curves from short period dense arrays based on a convolutional neural network across the north section of the Xiaojiang fault area          下载免费PDF全文

Si Chen  Rui Gao  Zhanwu Lu  Yao Liang  Wei Cai  Lifu Cao  Zilong Chen  Guangwen Wang 《地震科学（英文版）》2023,36(3):200-211

The number of dispersion curves increases significantly when the scale of a short-period dense array increases. Owing to a substantial increase in data volume, it is important to quickly evaluate dispersion curve quality as well as select the available dispersion curve. Accordingly, this study quantitatively evaluated dispersion curve quality by training a convolutional neural network model for ambient noise tomography using a short-period dense array. The model can select high-quality dispersion curves that exhibit a ≤ 10% difference between the results of manual screening and the proposed model. In addition, this study established a dispersion curve loss function by analyzing the quality of the dispersion curve and the corresponding influencing factors, thereby estimating the number of available dispersion curves for the existing observation systems. Furthermore, a Monte Carlo simulation experiment is used to illustrates the station-pair interval distance probability density function, which is independent of station number in the observational system with randomly deployed stations. The results suggested that the straight-line length should exceed 15 km to ensure that loss rate of dispersion curves remains < 0.5, while maintaining the threshold ambient noise tomography accuracy within the study area.  相似文献   

湖泊环境研究的数据质量保证——以巢湖为例     

高锡云 《湖泊科学》1991,3(1):54-60

本文以“巢湖富营养化研究”为例, 阐述了湖泊环境科学研究工作中监测数据质量保证工作的程序与技水要点。  相似文献   

同位素地球化学在地震监测预测研究中的应用进展     

周启超  蒋雨函  高小其  汪倩  彭莱 《中国地震》2023,39(2):243-259

随着新观测技术和理论的进一步发展,同位素地球化学方法在地震监测预测研究中发挥了越来越重要的作用。通过同位素地球化学方法确定地下流体来源,研究地下流体循环特征,分析地震前兆异常的成因,评估地质构造活动的程度,开展地震预测研究。同位素示踪技术还可以结合深源流体监测和地球物理方法,揭示地震孕育、流体与震源之间的关系。此外,同位素地球化学还可以构建断裂带流体地球化学背景特征,用于地震监测点映震效能的评估,提高地震监测预测的准确性,为地震新监测点的布设和震情跟踪提供技术支撑。通过对现今同位素在地震监测预测中所使用的方法、技术及国内外应用情况的总结分析,力图全面认识同位素地球化学在地震监测预测应用中的现状及发展趋势。  相似文献   

An improvement of the mass flux convection parameterization scheme and its sensitivity tests for seasonal prediction over China     

PING Fan  GAO Shouting  WANG Huijun 《大气科学进展》2003,20(6):978-990

A modified cumulus parameterization scheme, suitable for use in a seasonal forecast model, is presented. This parameterization scheme is an improvement of the mass flux convection scheme developed by Gregory and Rowntree (1989; 1990). This convection scheme uses a “bulk” cloud model to present an ensemble of convective clouds, and aims to represent shallow, deep, and mid-level convection. At present,this convection scheme is employed in the NCC T63L20 model (National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration). Simulation results with this scheme have revealed some deficiencies in the scheme,although to some extent, it improves the accuracy of the simulation. In order to alleviate the deficiencies and reflect the effect of cumulus convection in the actual atmosphere, the scheme is modified and improved.The improvements include (i) the full estimation of the effects of the large-scale convergence in the lower layer upon cumulus convection, (ii) the revision of the initial convective mass flux, and (iii) the regulation of convective-scale downdrafts. A comparison of the results obtained by using the original model and the modified one shows that the improvement and modification of the original convection scheme is successful in simulating the precipitation and general circulation field, because the modified scheme provides a good simulation of the main features of seasonal precipitation in China, and an analysis of the anomaly correlation eoetfieient between the simulation and the observations confirms the improved results.  相似文献   

三峡水库运行前后长江中下游干流及两湖的径流过程变化     

周建银  高菲  元媛  黄仁勇  闫霞 《湖泊科学》2023,35(2):696-708

为探索三峡水库运行前后长江中下游干流及两湖径流过程的变化及其驱动因素,利用宜昌、监利、大通、七里山、湖口共5个水文站的流量资料,分析了各站径流过程的变化特征及其成因。结论:(1)各站年径流量均减少,但除七里山站之外,其它各站减少比例均小于10%且变化不显著;(2)干流各站月径流量最大减幅发生在10月,而七里山站、湖口站分别发生在7月、4月;(3)干流各站月径流量最大增幅发生在3月,而七里山站、湖口站分别发生在1月、6月;(4)宜昌站,1—4月径流量增加是三峡水库入库径流增加和水库调度的共同作用结果,6—8月径流量减少的主因是三峡水库入库径流量减少,5、9、10月径流量变化的主因是三峡水库调度;(5)监利站,径流量的变化与宜昌站表现出高度的一致性,但冬季各月径流量的增幅均大于宜昌站;(6)大通站,4—6月径流量变化方向与湖口站一致,其它月份变化方向均与宜昌站一致。(7)七里山站,7月径流量减少的主因是洞庭湖流域来水减少,9、10月径流量减少的主要原因是荆江分流减少,但洞庭湖流域来水减少也是重要原因。(8)湖口站,4、5月径流量减少的主因是流域降水减少,9、10月径流量减少的主要原因是鄱阳...  相似文献   

金沙江下游梯级水库运行后三峡水库高洪水期入库水沙特性     

高宇  任实  王海  吕超楠  赵汗青 《湖泊科学》2023,35(2):662-672

泥沙淤积问题直接影响着三峡水库的使用寿命及综合效益的发挥,研究其入库水沙特性对于解决水库泥沙淤积问题具有重要意义。根据水文站实测数据,分析了三峡水库入库水沙输移特性及来源组成变化,重点研究了金沙江下游梯级水库运行后的三峡水库高洪水期入库水沙特性。结果表明:2003—2021年,三峡水库入库泥沙集中于汛期的高洪水期,2013年以后该现象更为显著,泥沙来源也由金沙江为主转变为嘉陵江为主。寸滩站洪峰流量高于50000 m³/s的高洪水期三峡入库沙量显著大于30000～50000 m³/s区间的高洪水期,三峡水库泥沙调度关键在于上游发生编号洪水期间。三峡水库上游沱江或嘉陵江等支流发生流域性大洪水时,易引起高洪水期入库水沙出现“小水大沙”的特点。金沙江下游梯级水库运行后,三峡水库高洪水期入库泥沙大幅减少,中小洪水调度期间泥沙淤积量也大幅减小。研究结果可为三峡水库的泥沙精细化调度和长期高效使用提供基础数据支撑。  相似文献   

形变单位在地震文献中的正确使用     

高伟 《地震地磁观测与研究》2017,38(6):140-142

针对地震观测技术论文中有关形变单位"毫秒",即10~(-3″)混用为时间单位ms的情况,笔者从单位符号的意义及观测技术仪器的工作原理出发,最终明确,地震观测仪器中倾斜仪观测量单位应为10~(-3″),不能以时间单位ms代替,二者不能混为一谈。  相似文献   

甘肃省地震局高性能计算系统     

高永国  邓津 《地震地磁观测与研究》2017,39(1):149-153

高性能计算是现代科学研究、工程技术开发和大规模数据处理的关键支撑技术,在地震系统发挥着日益重要的作用。甘肃省地震局高性能计算集群系统由60个节点、采用40 GB InfiniBand网络互连组成,峰值计算速度达9.2万亿次/秒。作为地震系统重要的科技服务平台之一,为地震反演、数据分析、数值模拟等领域以及科研创新平台提供高性能计算环境。  相似文献   

宾川地区的地壳厚度和泊松比分布特征研究     

邓嘉美  金明培  陈佳  高琼  张华英  王军  叶泵 《中国地震研究》2017,31(1):79-89

This paper presents the changes of crust thickness and Poissons ratios distribution in the Binchuan region,where the first air-gun transmitting station and its a small dense array were deployed.From September 2011 to January 2014,more than 239 teleseismic events of M≥6.0 were recorded in 16 stations in the Binchuan region.Their P-wave receiver functions were analyzed respectively.The high spatial resolution result shows that the average crust thickness of Binchuan region is 45.3km,it follows the rule of"deeper in the north and east part,shallower in the south and west part."The deepest region is in Xiaoyindian Station;the crust thickness is 47.9km;the shallowest region is in Paiying Station,it has the thickness of 42.1km.It shows that the deeper Moho surface nearby the Chenghai fault and shallower nearby the Honghe fault;the isoline distribution of thickness changes greatly nearby the Chenghai fault and slowly nearby the Honghe fault.From the distribution of Poissons ratios,it is unevenly in the study area with a great difference from the north part to the south part,which shows a characteristic of"lower in the north,higher in the south".The Poissons ratio nearby the Honghe fault is medium too high(0.26≤σ≤0.29);lower nearby the Chenghai fault(σ≤0.26).This paper concludes the possible reason of different characteristic between Poissons ratio and crust thickness is thicker in the upper crust in the Binchuan region.  相似文献