Trends in northern midlatitude atmospheric wave power from 1950 to 2099     

Heather S. Sussman  Ajay Raghavendra  Paul E. Roundy  Aiguo Dai 《Climate Dynamics》2020,54(5):2903-2918

In a warming climate, atmospheric wave activity and associated weather patterns may change, although conflicting results have been reported on this topic. Additionally, atmospheric wave changes in a future climate have mainly focused on waves of a specified spatial scale, rather than a particular spatiotemporal scale. Here, changes in the variability of Rossby waves of multiple spatiotemporal scales are analyzed using the wavenumber-frequency power spectrum, a tool commonly applied to analyze atmospheric equatorial waves. Daily 500 hPa geopotential height data over 40°–60°N from historical (1950–2005) and future (2006–2099) simulations from 20 models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) under the RCP8.5 scenario were analyzed. When compared to the historical period, the late 21st century climate projections showed a decline in spectral power for both eastward and westward propagating waves with wavenumbers greater than 8 that spanned over all frequencies in all seasons, but an increase in mean power for eastward propagating waves with wavenumbers 1–7 over all frequencies was shown in winter and spring. This increase in power was accompanied by increased variance, i.e., an increased meridional extent of 500 hPa ridges and troughs, and was the result of increases in the mean number of high amplitude events and duration of activity within this wave band. These results indicate that large-scale (~ 104 km) eastward propagating weather systems may intensify with higher amplitudes for ridges and troughs, while short-scale (102–103 km) weather systems may decrease in their intensity due to reduced variability in the late 21st century under the high emissions scenario. Potential mechanisms for these changes are discussed, including enhanced Arctic warming and midlatitude-tropical interactions.  相似文献   

Improved methods for estimating equilibrium climate sensitivity from transient warming simulations     

Dai  Aiguo  Huang  Danqing  Rose  Brian E. J.  Zhu  Jian  Tian  Xiangjun 《Climate Dynamics》2020,54(11):4515-4543

Climate Dynamics - Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) refers to the total global warming caused by an instantaneous doubling of atmospheric CO2 from the pre-industrial level in a climate system....  相似文献   

The influence of the inter-decadal Pacific oscillation on US precipitation during 1923–2010     

Aiguo Dai 《Climate Dynamics》2013,41(3-4):633-646

Precipitation over the contiguous United States exhibits large multi-decadal oscillations since the early twentieth century, and they often lead to dry (e.g., 1946–1976 and 1999-present) and wet (e.g., 1977–1998) periods and apparent precipitation trends (e.g., from the 1950s to 1990s) over most of the western and central US. The exact cause of these inter-decadal variations is not fully understood. Using observational and reanalysis data and model simulations, this paper examines the influence of the Inter-decadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO) on US precipitation. The IPO is a leading mode of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) seen mostly in the Pacific Ocean. It is found that decadal precipitation variations over much of the West and Central US, especially the Southwest, closely follow the evolution of the IPO (r = 0.85 during 1923–2010 for the Southwest US), and the dry and wet periods are associated, respectively, with the cold and warm phases of the IPO. In particular, the apparent upward trend from the 1950s–1990s and the dry decade thereafter in precipitation over much of the West and Central US are largely caused by the IPO cycles, which switched to a warm phase around 1977 and back to a cold phase around 1999. An atmospheric model forced with observed SSTs reproduces much of this association of US precipitation with the IPO (r = 0.95 between smoothed observed and simulated Southwest US precipitation during 1950–2009 and r = 0.88 between the simulated Southwest US precipitation and the IPO). Atmospheric reanalysis and model data both show a strong high (low) pressure center and anti-cyclonic (cyclonic) anomaly circulation over the North Pacific in the lower troposphere during cold (warm) phases of the IPO, which lead to dry and cold northwesterly and northerly winds and below-normal precipitation over much of the West US during IPO cold periods. The IPO induced changes are most pronounced during the boreal cold season. The results reinforce the notion that tropical Pacific SSTs (and the accompanying SST anomalies in the North Pacific) have large impacts on US precipitation and highlight the need to understand and simulate the IPO for decadal prediction of US precipitation.  相似文献   

力觉临场感遥操作机器人(1):技术发展与现状     

宋爱国 《南京气象学院学报》2013,5(1):1-19

人机交互式机器人作为最具实用价值的特种机器人已成为当前机器人学研究的前沿和热点.临场感(Telepresence)技术是人机交互的核心.首先,回顾了力觉临场感遥操作机器人技术的产生、发展和现状,介绍了力觉临场感遥操作机器人在核领域、空间探测领域与远程医疗领域的应用情况;其次,对力觉临场感遥操作机器人的4大关键技术:传感技术、力反馈与触觉再现技术、大时延控制技术和虚拟预测环境建模技术等进行了综述;还介绍了东南大学仪器科学与工程学院机器人传感与控制研究所近20年来开展临场感遥操作机器人技术研究,以及在核探测、康复医疗领域应用的情况.通过回顾与分析,指出了力觉临场感遥操作机器人技术今后需要研究的几个重点问题.  相似文献   

Wind tunnel simulation experiment and investigation on the electrification of sandstorms     

QU Jianjun  YAN Muhong  DONG Guangrong  ZHANG Hongfa  ZU Ruiping  TUO Wanquan  ZHAO Aiguo  XlAO Zhenghua  LI Fang & YANG Bao Key Laboratory of Desert  Desertification  Cold  Arid Regions Environmental  Engineering Research Institute  Shapotou Desert Research  Experiment Station  Chinese Academy of Sciences  Lanzhou  China 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2004,47(6):529-539

~~Wind tunnel simulation experiment and investigation on the electrification of sandstorms~~  相似文献   

《测绘法》适应性浅析     

阮于洲 《测绘与空间地理信息》2012,(3):219-220

分析了新时期测绘发展面临的新形势,对《中华人民共和国测绘法》规定的有关概念内涵、管理体制、运行机制、准入制度等的适应性进行了探讨,对进一步修订《中华人民共和国测绘法》提出了建议。  相似文献   

ECC方法在中国夏季气温预测研究中的应用     

阮能  游庆龙  陈翛旸  谭桂容 《气候与环境研究》2016,21(2):221-235

以中国夏季气温为预测对象,选取东亚地区冬季500 h Pa高度场、海平面气压场、地表温度场和850 h Pa温度场为预测因子,采用1951~2009年去趋势处理后的资料,通过变形的典型相关分析(Barnett-Preisendorfer Canonical Correlation Analysis,BP-CCA)方法分别建立单因子预测模型,再利用集合典型相关分析(Ensemble Canonical Correlation,ECC)方法建立集合预测模型,对中国夏季气温进行基于交叉检验方法的预测试验,然后利用2010~2014年的资料对中国夏季气温进行独立样本检验。通过分析BP-CCA模态可知,一对BP-CCA模态的空间型在一定程度上可以反映预报因子场和对象场的遥相关特征。通过基于交叉检验方法的预测试验表明环流场和热力场均能为气温提供预测信息。ECC预测模型综合了各个预报因子的在不同地区的预报技巧,比单因子BP-CCA预测模型有更高、更稳定的预报技巧。独立样本检验表明ECC模型与单因子BP-CCA预测模型相比,对中国夏季气温有更高、更稳定的实际预测能力,对气温季节预测具有参考价值。  相似文献   

Delphi、MapInfo集成开发环境下 CallBack的实现     

阮于洲 《测绘与空间地理信息》2005,28(1):36-38

在客户程序中集成MapInfo后,客户程序可以向MapInfo发送各种指令,执行各种操作。但作为服务器的MapInfo一般不会主动向客户程序发送信息,是较为被动的角色。这里介绍了如何让客户应用程序接收MapInfo发送的消息,并进行相应处理的有效方法。  相似文献   

Ore-Bearing Formations of the Precambrian in South China and Their Prospects     

HE Jurui  WANG Aiguo  RUI Xingjian  LI Chunhai Nanjing Institute of Geology  Mineral Resources  Nanjing  Jiangsu 《《地质学报》英文版》2004,78(2):375-379

In the Precambrian System of the Yangtze and Cathaysian plates six ore-bearing formations can be identified: the Cu-Pb-Zn-bearing formations in volcanic rocks of marine facies of the Neoarchean-Paleoproterozoic, Cu-Au-bearing formations and Pb-Zn-bearing formations in volcanic rocks of marine facies of the Mesoproterozoic, Pb-Zn-bearing formations in volcaniclastic rock and carbonate rock of the Neoproterozoic, Fe-Mn-bearing formations in the volcaniclastic rock of the Neoproterozoic, and Ni-Cr-serpentine-bearing formations in ophiolite and ultrabasic rock of the Meso- and Neoproterozoic. They were mostly formed in the marginal rift valleys of the Yangtze and Cathaysian plates, where occur stratabound and stratiform ore deposits, thermal deposits and porphyry polymetallic deposits. The six regions with ore-bearing formations have good prospects for ore deposits.  相似文献   

基于粒子群算法优化小波支持向量机的岩土力学参数反演     

阮永芬  高春钦  刘克文  贾荣谷  丁海涛 《岩土力学》2019,(9):3662-3669

常用的确定岩土力学参数的方法有原位测试和室内试验两种,但都存在一定的局限性,参数选择的合理与否,对设计计算及数值模拟分析结果的有效性影响很大。支持向量机法在理论基础和求解算法方面都具有明显优势,为确保岩土力学参数取值的合理性,采用支持向量机法对岩土力学参数进行反演。先通过小波分析理论构造出支持向量机的核函数,再用粒子群算法(PSO)分别优化Morlet小波、Mexico小波和RBF函数的支持向量机模型参数,通过小波支持向量机模型建立反演参数与沉降值间的非线性映射关系。根据正交试验和均匀试验对需反演的岩土力学参数进行设计,结合有限元软件进行计算分析,得到学习样本和测试样本。分别采用Morlet小波、Mexico小波和RBF函数得出的预测结果和原始数据进行对比分析,发现采用Morlet小波核函数预测效果更佳。使用Morlet小波核函数预测的参数输入到Midas模型中计算建筑物最终沉降量,比较计算值与实际监测值,其相对误差不超过8.1%。研究结果表明,该方法在岩土工程参数的反演中具有良好的应用价值,对今后岩土力学参数的确定及校核提供了一种新方法。  相似文献