蒙特卡罗法在地热资源评价中的应用     

韩军  刘祜  甄珍 《江苏地质》2022,46(2):158-164

通过印度尼西亚B地热田地质勘查和已有资料分析,参照中国地热行业勘查和资源评价相关规范,对比该地热田已有的资源评价结果;以热储法（体积法）为基本公式,运用蒙特卡罗（Monte Carlo）法进行预测,随机参数均为地热地质条件限定下的取值范围;最终以体积法估算结果作为评估资源量下限,获得待评价地热田的可发电量资源潜力,为该地热田的进一步开发提供可靠依据。相比传统方法,蒙特卡罗法更适用于地热勘查初级阶段的地热资源评价,具有预测范围合理、数据结果定量化、可提供概率分析置信区间等优点。  相似文献   

WV-3遥感数据在滇西矿产资源开发与地质灾害调查中的应用     

胡官兵  党伟  金梦迪 《江苏地质》2022,46(2):199-206

选择云南三江中南段高黎贡山之南作为研究对象,利用WorldView-3卫星数据高空间分辨率的特点,基于Skyline软件构建三维模拟场景,从不同视域范围、远近尺度、方位视角对解译目标进行全方位展示,获取了不同矿山开发及地质灾害的典型识别标志,进行矿产资源开发状况精细识别及地质灾害详细信息提取,解译出区内建筑石料用灰岩等5种非金属矿以及滑坡等3种类型地质灾害,为矿山管理及地质灾害调查提供快速精准的目标,提升工作效率和质量。  相似文献   

油气聚集链:内涵、特征与勘探实践:以渤海湾盆地冀中、黄骅坳陷为例     

赵贤正  金凤鸣  蒲秀刚  罗群  周立宏  姜文亚  董雄英  时战楠  韩文中  张伟  汪虎 《地学前缘》2022,29(6):120-135

成熟盆地仍然蕴藏着可观的油气资源,目前的油气成藏理论面临越来越难、复杂、隐蔽油气藏勘探的挑战。受“链”事物属性的启发,通过调研、类比国内外油气成藏过程与分布规律,在继承和发展已有油气成藏理论基础上,结合勘探实践,学界提出了“油气聚集链”的概念和认识。油气聚集链指在成因上有密切联系、空间上多呈串珠状链式排列在一起的一系列油气藏组合,是油气成藏与分布本质规律的客观体现。油气聚集链在形式上多表现为油气藏多呈串珠状的链式空间分布特征,实质上表现为油气生成、运移、聚集的沿优势运移通道的链式反应和成藏事件;现今复杂的油气分布是地史上多条油气聚集链叠合的反映;一条完整的油气聚集链由内链、中链和外链组成,它们在成藏背景、成藏条件、成藏机理、富集规律和分布模式上既各有特征,又有连续性,更是紧密有机的油气生运聚成藏整体。“同源多链、一链多藏、多链成域、主链富集”是“油气聚集链”的四大特征。与目前油气成藏理论相比,油气聚集链认识的突出优势在于:发现和论证了油气聚集的链式成藏特点和多呈串珠状链式分布规律,提出沿“油气聚集链”寻找油气藏,比沿“油气聚集带”寻找油气藏的效率更高;将勘探目标的预测精度从油气聚集区带范围提高到某个具体圈闭或甜点。油气聚集链认识具有目前其他油气成藏理论所不具有的独特优势——链式思维,精准定位。依据油气聚集链的认识,提出了“找准链源,梳理链节,确定链环,重视主链”和“全链思维、整体研究,顺链找油、精准勘探”的思路,对指导成熟盆地继续挖掘勘探潜力、新区新领域获得勘探突破,都具有重要现实意义。以油气聚集链的认识为指导,转变勘探思维,在冀中、黄骅坳陷油气勘探中获得重大突破。  相似文献   

厄立特里亚中部Adi Keyh A型流纹岩成因及地质意义     

曾国平  王建雄  向文帅  童喜润  邵鑫  胡鹏  吴发富  姜军胜  向鹏 《华南地质与矿产》2022,38(1):157-173

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Characterizing uncertainty in geotechnical design of energy piles based on Bayesian theorem     

Hu  Biao  Gong  Quanmei  Zhang  Yueqiang  Yin  Yihe  Chen  Wenjun 《Acta Geotechnica》2022,17(9):4191-4206

It is known that a lot of uncertainties are involved in geotechnical design of energy piles. In this paper, a Bayesian updating framework is presented to characterize those uncertainties. The load-transfer model is developed to predict the thermomechanical response of energy piles. Considering the cross-case variability of the uncertainty in the axial strains of pile, the global model bias is firstly calibrated by establishing a comprehensive database consisting of 12 energy pile cases. Furthermore, the uncertainty in input parameters is considered in the Bayesian updating of model bias in a specific case. The variability of the uncertain parameters is effectively reduced after updating. The coefficient of variation of prediction is decreased from 0.34 to 0.13. The present framework can well quantify uncertain factors and improve the accuracy and reliability of the prediction model.

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Formation mechanism,experimental method,and property characterization of grain-displacing methane hydrates in marine sediment: A review     

Yong-chao Zhang  Le-le Liu  Gao-wei Hu  Qing-tao Bu  Cheng-feng Li  Zheng-cai Zhang  Jian-ye Sun  Chang-ling Liu 《China Geology》2022,5(2):345-354

Grain-displacing hydrate deposits exist at many marine sites, which constitute an important part of methane hydrate resources worldwide. Attributed to the difficulties in acquiring field data and synthesizing experimental samples, the formation and property characterization of grain-displacing hydrate remains less understood and characterized than the pore-filling hydrate in current literature. This study reviews the formation mechanisms of grain-displacing hydrate from the perspective of geological accumulation and microscale sedimentary property. The experimental methods of synthesizing grain-displacing hydrate in the laboratory and the current knowledge on the property of grain-displacing hydrate sediment are also introduced. Shortcomings in current theories and suggestions for future study are proposed. The work is hoped to provide valuable insights for the research into the hydrate accumulation, geophysics, and hydrate exploitation targeted at the grain-displacing hydrate in the marine sediments.©2022 China Geology Editorial Office.  相似文献   

Experimental investigation of hydrate formation in water-dominated pipeline and its influential factors     

Li Huang  Jia-le Kang  Xiao-dong Shen  Jian-ye Sun  Qing-guo Meng  Qiang Chen  Gao-wei Hu  Chang-ling Liu  Neng-you Wu 《China Geology》2022,5(2):310-321

Blockage in water-dominated flow pipelines due to hydrate reformation has been suggested as a potential safety issue during the hydrate production. In this work, flow velocity-dependent hydrate formation features are investigated in a fluid circulation system with a total length of 39 m. A 9-m section pipe is transparent consisted of two complete rectangular loops. By means of pressurization with gas-saturated water, the system can gradually reach the equilibrium conditions. The result shows that the hydrates are delayed to appear as floccules or thin films covering the methane bubbles. When the circulation velocity is below 750 rpm, hydrate is finally deposited as a “hydrate bed” at upmost of inner wall, narrowing the flow channel of the pipeline. Nevertheless, no plugging is observed during all the experimental runs. The five stages of hydrate deposition are proposed based on the experimental results. It is also revealed that a higher driving pressure is needed at a lower flow rate. The driving force of hydrate formation from gas and water obtained by melting hydrate is higher than that from fresh water with no previous hydrate history. The authors hope that this work will be beneficial for the flow assurance of the following oceanic field hydrate recovery trials.©2022 China Geology Editorial Office.  相似文献   

Identification of functionally active aerobic methanotrophs and their methane oxidation potential in sediments from the Shenhu Area,South China Sea     

Jing Li  Chang-ling Liu  Neng-you Wu  Xiao-qing Xu  Gao-wei Hu  Yan-long Li  Qing-guo Meng 《China Geology》2022,5(2):285-292

Large amounts of gas hydrate are distributed in the northern slope of the South China Sea, which is a potential threat of methane leakage. Aerobic methane oxidation by methanotrophs, significant methane biotransformation that occurs in sediment surface and water column, can effectively reduce atmospheric emission of hydrate-decomposed methane. To identify active aerobic methanotrophs and their methane oxidation potential in sediments from the Shenhu Area in the South China Sea, multi-day enrichment incubations were conducted in this study. The results show that the methane oxidation rates in the studied sediments were 2.03–2.36 μmol/gdw/d, which were higher than those obtained by sediment incubations from other areas in marine ecosystems. Thus the authors suspect that the methane oxidation potential of methanotrophs was relatively higher in sediments from the Shenhu Area. After the incubations family Methylococcaea (type I methanotrophs) mainly consisted of genus Methylobacter and Methylococcaea_Other were predominant with an increased proportion of 70.3%, whereas Methylocaldum decreased simultaneously in the incubated sediments. Collectively, this study may help to gain a better understanding of the methane biotransformation in the Shenhu Area.©2022 China Geology Editorial Office.  相似文献   

Developing a novel hybrid model for seismic loss prediction of regional-scale buildings     

Hu  Qidan  Xiong  Feng  Zhang  Bowen  Su  Peiyang  Lu  Yang 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2022,20(11):5849-5875

Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering - Seismic loss prediction of regional-scale buildings provides key information for disaster management. However, previous seismic loss prediction models ignored...  相似文献   

Estimation of constant-damage residual displacements in terms of maximum inelastic displacements for SDOF structures     

Liu  Bali  Hu  Jinjun  Xie  Lili 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2022,20(2):1027-1055

Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering - This paper investigates the constant-damage residual displacement ratios Cr (i.e., the ratio of the residual displacement in terms of the maximum inelastic...  相似文献