天山南麓雷暴日短期预报研究     

柳志慧  王式功  尚可政  孔德兵  赵文婧  王昀 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2016,10(2):43-49

利用阿克苏及邻近地区12个气象站1980—2013年雷暴资料,以及同期高空资料,统计了各站年均雷暴日数,对发生区域雷暴天气的环流形势进行分类,归纳出各型的入型指标。通过逐步回归法,建立阿克苏及邻近地区区域雷暴概率回归预报模型,并对2013年进行试预报。结果表明:(1)阿克苏及邻近地区区域雷暴的影响系统主要分为4类:巴湖低槽型、急流型、西北气流型和温度槽型。(2)对2002—2012年5—9月(共1683 d)历史资料进行判别,满足入型条件的样本数为876 d,消空率为48%;对2013年5—9月(共153 d)历史资料进行判别,入型样本数为80 d,消空率为48%。(3)对2002—2012年5—9月所有入型样本进行回代检验,平均准确率为72.0%(平均TS评分为30.1%);对2013年5—9月所有入型样本进行试预报,平均准确率为63.2%(平均TS评分为28.2%)。  相似文献   

On the tectonic problems of the southern East China Sea and adjacent regions: Evidence from gravity and magnetic data     

Luning Shang  Xunhua Zhang  Bo Han  Runlin Du 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2016,15(1):93-106

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Determining sources of mine water based on hydraulic characteristics analysis of a fault system     

Mei Yao  Peigui Liu  Manting Shang  Yuezan Tao  Chao Lei  Lugan Cao 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2016,75(10):858

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China’s environmental strategy towards reducing deep groundwater exploitation     

Yizi Shang  Bing You  Ling Shang 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2016,75(22):1439

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Seasonal variation and principle of cyanobacterial biomass and forms in the water source area of Chaohu City,China     

徐宪根  柯凡  李文朝  冯慕华  尚丽霞  范帆  何延召 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2016,34(1):34-43

We investigated seasonal variations in cyanobacterial biomass and the forms of its dominant population(M. aeruginosa) and their correlation with environmental factors in the water source area of Chaohu City,China from December 2011 to October 2012. The results show that species belonging to the phylum Cyanophyta occupied the maximum proportion of phytoplankton biomass,and that the dominant population in the water source area of Chaohu City was M. aeruginosa. The variation in cyanobacterial biomass from March to August 2012 was well fitted to the logistic growth model. The growth rate of cyanobacteria was the highest in June,and the biomass of cyanobacteria reached a maximum in August. From February to March 2012,the main form of M.aeruginosa was the single-cell form; M.aeruginosa colonies began to appear from April,and blooms appeared on the water surface in May. The maximum diameter of the colonies was recorded in July,and then gradually decreased from August. The diameter range of M. aeruginosa colonies was 18.37–237.77 μm,and most of the colonies were distributed in the range 20–200 μm,comprising 95.5% of the total number of samples. Temperature and photosynthetically active radiation may be the most important factors that influenced the annual variation in M. aeruginosa biomass and forms. The suitable temperature for cyanobacterial growth was in the range of 15–30°C. In natural water bodies,photosynthetically active radiation had a significant positive influence on the colonial diameter of M.aeruginosa(P0.01).  相似文献   

A nonlinear multiparameter prestack seismic inversion method based on hybrid optimization approach     

Qiang Guo  Hongbing Zhang  Jingbo Tian  Lifeng Liang  Zuoping Shang 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2018,11(3):48

Multiparameter prestack seismic inversion is one of the most powerful techniques in quantitatively estimating subsurface petrophysical properties. However, it remains a challenging problem due to the nonlinearity and ill-posedness of the inversion process. Traditional regularization approach can stabilize the solution but at the cost of smoothing valuable geological boundaries. In addition, compared with linearized optimization methods, global optimization techniques can obtain better results regardless of initial models, especially for multiparameter prestack inversion. However, when solving multiparameter prestack inversion problems, the application of standard global optimization algorithms maybe limited due to the issue of high computational cost (e.g., simulating annealing) or premature convergence (e.g., particle swarm optimization). In this paper, we propose a hybrid optimization-based multiparameter prestack inversion method. In this method, we introduce a prior constraint term featured by multiple regularization functions, intended to preserve layered boundaries of geological formations; in particular, to address the problem of premature convergence existing in standard particle swarm optimization algorithm, we propose a hybrid optimization strategy by hybridizing particle swarm optimization and very fast simulating annealing to solve the nonlinear optimization problem. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed inversion method by conducting synthetic test and field data application, both of which show encouraging results.  相似文献   

Experimental study of the mechanical properties of expansive soil with added nanomaterials     

Yanliang Shang  Yingchun Fu 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2018,11(8):180

The main purpose of this paper is to describe ways to improve the microstructure of expansive soil by adding nanomaterials. Mechanical tests were done to explore the changes in shear strength and compression index of expansive soil that was modified by adding different amounts of two kinds of nanomaterials (nano-alumina and nano-silica). The test results show that adding 1.2% nano-alumina and about 2% nano-silica to expansive soil provides the optimal compression index. The test results show that adding 1.2% nano-alumina and about 1.5% nano-silica to expansive soil provides the optimal unconfined compression stress. Scanning electron microscopy of the microstructure of expansive soil modified by nanomaterials provided a deeper understanding of the effects of nanomaterials on improving expansive soil.  相似文献   

基于BP神经网络的溶洞规模预测及应用   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

刘振华  范宏运  朱宇泽  柳尚 《中国岩溶》2018,37(1):139-145

复杂岩溶地区的溶洞发育规模受地质构造、地区岩性、地下水动力系统等多种因素的影响,具有高度复杂性和非线性的特征。通过对岩溶区溶洞的赋存规律研究,确定影响溶洞发育规模的控制因素进行定量处理,收集已探明溶洞的样本数据。为克服已有研究对溶洞发育规模定性描述的模糊性,文章利用BP（Back Propagation）神经网络对自组织、自适应特性对数据样本的非线性关系揭示的能力,实现对溶洞发育规模的预测,并基于MATLAB实现BP神经网络结构的设计、训练、预测,其结果表明:BP神经网络模型对溶洞规模预测的精度高、收敛性能好。   相似文献   

Identifying the determinants of access to agricultural credit in Southern Punjab of Pakistan     

Zulfiqar  Farah  Shang  Jie  Zada  Muhammad  Alam  Qamar  Rauf  Tariq 《GeoJournal》2021,86(6):2767-2776

Based on the survey data of 250 farmers from the Multan district of Southern region of Punjab, Pakistan this study aims to empirically examine the determinants of access to agricultural credit. This study used the probit model to analyze the data. The results revealed that formal education, farm size, level of farm mechanization, farm revenue and landholding size positively and significantly influenced access to agricultural credit while the age of the farmer’s, distance, and off- farm income negatively and insignificantly influenced farmer’s accessibility to agricultural credit. The findings of the current study offer a policy guideline to streamline national policy on agricultural finance. This study also recommends that ZaraiTaraqiati Bank (ZTBL) and other Commercial Banks should improve their agricultural credit schemes to fulfil the diversified needs of small farm holders.

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黔中隆起北缘五峰-龙马溪组页岩元素地球化学特征及其地质意义          下载免费PDF全文

李琪琪  蓝宝锋  李刚权  徐尚  刘婷  苟启洋  王雨轩 《地球科学》2021,46(9):3172-3188

为探讨黔中隆起北缘五峰—龙马溪组富有机质页岩的沉积环境和物源区背景,对区内两口井的样品进行了有机碳含量、微量元素和稀土元素地球化学测试和分析.结果表明,研究区五峰—龙马溪组页岩在沉积时以贫氧—厌氧环境为主,富氧环境也偶尔存在,且龙马溪组沉积水体还原程度比五峰组高.La_N/Yb_N值的变化反映沉积速率为:龙马溪组下部 < 五峰组 < 观音桥段,表明五峰—龙马溪组页岩沉积时存在沉积速率先变快后变缓的过程.Mo/TOC值显示五峰组页岩沉积时盆地滞留程度较强,进入志留纪相对减弱,盆地滞留程度对有机质富集的正向影响可能不大,海平面升降造成的氧化还原条件以及生产力条件的变化或许控制了有机质的富集.微量和稀土元素组合及比值特征,反映研究区五峰—龙马溪组沉积时的原始物质来自上地壳,五峰组沉积时存在混合物源,而龙马溪组沉积时物源相对单一,总体上源岩以长英质（花岗岩）为主.源区构造背景以主动大陆边缘为主,受到一定热液活动的影响,同时也表现出一定的大陆岛弧构造背景的特征.   相似文献