Sentinel-1卫星合成孔径雷达获取第一幅台风图像   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

LI Xiaofeng 《海洋学报(英文版)》2015,34(1):1-2

In this note, we present the first Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar(SAR) typhoon image acquired in the northwest Pacific on October 4, 2014. The eye shape and sea surface wind patterns associated with Typhoon Phanfone are clearly shown in the high-quality SAR image. SAR winds retrieval procedure was given but the actual wind estimates will only be available after the European Space Agency(ESA) releases the official calibration coefficients in order to accurately derive the SAR-measured normalized radar cross section. This study demonstrates the advantage of Sentinel-1 SAR with regards to imaging fine scale typhoon patterns on the sea surface beneath storm clouds. This paper also advocates the use of Sentinel-1 SAR data that is made freely and openly available worldwide for the first time in civilian SAR history.  相似文献   

A population health model for integrated assessment models     

Hugh M. Pitcher  Kristie L. Ebi  Antoinette L. Brenkert 《Climatic change》2008,88(1):35-57

In this paper we present the initial results from a project to develop a population health model so we can extend the scenarios included in the IPCC’s Special Report on Emission Scenarios to include population health status. Our initial hypothesis was that some climatic variable, particularly temperature, would have a significant impact on health outcomes. After experiments – using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data on Years of Life Lost (YLL) and Years Lived with disability (YLD) both by WHO region and by five degree latitude band as outcome variables – failed, we settled on life expectancy (LE) as the best measure of health status. We discovered that there is a solid relationship between LE and the GBD data from our first experiments, allowing us to extend the results from the LE model. The LE model used cross section data on LE for 91 countries and included temperature, per capita income, access to clean water and sanitation, literacy, simple medical attention, nutrition, per capita medical expenditure, electricity use per capita, and automobiles per capita as independent variables. While all were individually associated with LE, our model of choice included literacy, access to clean water and sanitation, simple medical attention, an indictor variable for Sub-Saharan Africa and purchasing-power parity per capita income. Note that neither temperature nor calories enter into this model. The fit between life expectancy, as predicted by this model, and actual life expectancy was quite good (R ² =0.90), except for Rwanda, Uganda, and Madagascar; these countries accounted for one half of the unexplained variation in the model. The LE model was then used to develop trajectories of life expectancy in India for the four IPCC SRES storylines, where values for the independent variables were extrapolated based on the story line content. YLL and YLD estimates were created using the current cross relationship of these outcomes to LE. Given the lack of a general role for climate in our LE model, future work is planned to explore how to add detailed climate related impacts, to explore alternative nutritional variables, as well as extend the data set to allow a cross-section time-series approach.  相似文献   

Integrated estimates of global terrestrial carbon sequestration   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Allison M. Thomson  R. Csar Izaurralde  Steven J. Smith  Leon E. Clarke 《Global Environmental Change》2008,18(1):192-203

Assessing the contribution of terrestrial carbon sequestration to climate change mitigation requires integration across scientific and disciplinary boundaries. A comprehensive analysis incorporating ecologic, geographic and economic data was used to develop terrestrial carbon sequestration estimates for agricultural soil carbon, reforestation and pasture management. These estimates were applied in the MiniCAM integrated assessment model to evaluate mitigation strategies within policy and technology scenarios aimed at achieving atmospheric greenhouse gas stabilization by 2100. Terrestrial sequestration reaches a peak rate of 0.5–0.7 GtC yr⁻¹ in mid-century with contributions from agricultural soils (0.21 GtC yr⁻¹), reforestation (0.31 GtC yr⁻¹) and pasture (0.15 GtC yr⁻¹). Sequestration rates vary over time and with different technology and policy scenarios. The combined contribution of terrestrial sequestration over the next century ranges from 23 to 41 GtC.  相似文献   

Long-Term Variability of Nutrients and Chlorophyll in the Chesapeake Bay: A Retrospective Analysis, 1985–2008     

M. Bala Krishna Prasad  Mathew R. P. Sapiano  Clarissa R. Anderson  Wen Long  Raghu Murtugudde 《Estuaries and Coasts》2010,33(5):1128-1143

A retrospective analysis of freshwater discharge, riverine dissolved nutrient loads, dissolved nutrients, and chlorophyll in the Chesapeake Bay from 1985 to 2008 is presented. It is evident that each field displays an interannual variability averaged over the Bay. The N and P loads peaked in 1997 and have fluctuated with a decreasing trend since early 2004. Dissolved nutrient concentrations in the Bay appear to be largely controlled by riverine nutrient loads. The temporal variability of chlorophyll is positively correlated with nutrient loads and concentrations. Over the study period, N:P (DIN:DIP) molar ratios were consistently higher than the Redfield ratio (N:P?=?16:1) and strongly correlated with river discharge (R ²?=?0.68, p??16:1), and N is the limiting nutrient in summer and early autumn (N:P?4 from anoxic sediments. Long-term climate indices, such as El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), appear to exert only a moderate control over the riverine discharge to the Bay or over the ecosystem response in terms of chlorophyll in the Bay. While not all related mechanisms can be inferred from available data, this analysis should help in determining future data needs for monitoring water quality and human and climate influence on the health of the Bay.  相似文献   

利用卫星产品评估数值预报模式云层垂直结构     

王旻燕 《气象科技》2010,38(4):403-408

对云层垂直结构的准确参数化描述是数值天气预报模式准确计算长短波辐射通量、辐射加热率廓线、云反射率、云辐射效应等参数的重要基础,但地基观测数据无法对模式预报的云层垂直分层情况进行验证。文章基于卫星资料Collection5版本的MODIS云产品MOD06,利用国际上能够较准确判别云层垂直分层的一个新算法,以反演的高、中、低云发生频率和云顶气压结果,评估美国国家环境预报中心(NCEP)北美中尺度模式NAM的云层垂直结构。2006年7～10月北美地区(153°～48°W,12°～62°N)的评估结果表明:①卫星反演和模式预报的高、中、低云的云量区域分布比较相似,尤其是高云。热带太平洋地区模式预报高云量大于卫星反演值。模式预报的低云在墨西哥及北美大陆、大西洋地区更多。②卫星反演和模式预报中云发生频率的差异最小,模式预报高云和低云发生频率峰值比卫星反演的峰值更大,且云顶出现的高度更高。③模式预报中云量和低云量的纬度平均值比卫星反演的高,尤其是低云量。NAM的云参数化有待于进一步改进。  相似文献   

What do near-term observations tell us about long-term developments in greenhouse gas emissions?     

Detlef P. van Vuuren  Jae Edmonds  Steven J. Smith  Kate V. Calvin  Joseph Karas  Mikiko Kainuma  Nebojsa Nakicenovic  Keywan Riahi  Bas J. van Ruijven  Rob Swart  Allison Thomson 《Climatic change》2010,103(3-4):635-642

Long-term scenarios developed by integrated assessment models are used in climate research to provide an indication of plausible long-term emissions of greenhouse gases and other radiatively active substances based on developments in the global energy system, land-use and the emissions associated with these systems. The phenomena that determine these long-term developments (several decades or even centuries) are very different than those that operate on a shorter time-scales (a few years). Nevertheless, in the literature, we still often find direct comparisons between short-term observations and long-term developments that do not take into account the differing dynamics over these time scales. In this letter, we discuss some of the differences between the factors that operate in the short term and those that operate in the long term. We use long-term historical emissions trends to show that short-term observations are very poor indicators of long-term future emissions developments. Based on this, we conclude that the performance of long-term scenarios should be evaluated against the appropriate, corresponding long-term variables and trends. The research community may facilitate this by developing appropriate data sets and protocols that can be used to test the performance of long-term scenarios and the models that produce them.  相似文献   

The crystal structure of sonoraite,Fe3+Te4+O3(OH)·H2O     

Gabrielle Donnay  J. M. Stewart  H. Preston 《Mineralogy and Petrology》1970,14(1):27-44

Summary Sonoraite, FeTeO₃(OH)·H₂O, is monoclinic,P 2₁/c, witha=10.984(2),b=10.268(2),c=7.917(2) Å, =108.49(2)°. For 8 formula units per cell the calculated density is 4.179(2) g/cm³; the observed value is 3.95(1) g/cm³. The Supper-Pace automated diffractometer was used to collect 1884 independent reflections which were corrected for absorption. The structure was determined by an automated symbolic addition procedure. It was refined to a residualR of 6.2% using anisotropic temperature factors for the cations and isotropic temperature factors for the oxygen atoms. Chains of octahedra about Fe extend along [101]; edge-sharing pairs of these octahedra are joined by corner sharing. The Fe–Fe distances across the shared edges are 3.05 and 3.20 Å, short enough to suggest magnetic interactions. All but one H₂O are involved in the chains. The Te⁴⁺ ions have a pseudotetrahedral coordination, with three oxygen ions forming one face of the tetrahedron and the lone electron pair of Te occupying the fourth corner. The O–Te–O average bond angle is 95°. The Fe chains are tied together by Te–O bonds in all three dimensions.

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Die Kristallstruktur von Sonorait, Fe³⁺Te⁴⁺O₃(OH).H₂O

Zusammenfassung Sonorait, FeTeO₃(OH)·H₂O, ist monoklin, P 2₁/c, mit den folgenden Zelldimensionen:a=10,984(2),b=10,268(2),c=7,917(2) Å, =108,49(2)°. Mit 8 Formel-Einheiten errechnet man eine Dichte von 4,179(2) g/cm³; die gemessene Dichte beträgt 3,95(1) g/cm³. Das Supper-Pace automatische Diffraktometer wurde zur Sammlung von 1884 unabhängigen Reflexen benutzt, welche für Absorption korrigiert wurden. Die Struktur wurde mit Hilfe eines vollständig automatischen Programms für symbolische Addition bestimmt. Mit anisotropen Temperaturfaktoren für die Kationen und mit isotropen Temperaturfaktoren für die Sauerstoff-Atome wurde ein Residuum von 6,2% erreicht. Ketten von Eisen-Oktaedern erstrecken sich entlang [101]; Oktaeder-Paare mit gemeinsamen Kanten sind über Eckenverknüpfung verbunden. Die Fe–Fe-Abstände über die gemeinsamen Kanten betragen 3,05 und 3,20 Å, kurz genug, um zu magnetischer Wechselwirkung führen zu können. Nur ein H₂O-Molekül ist nicht Teil einer Kette. Die Te⁴⁺-Ionen befinden sich in pseudotetraedrischer Koordination; drei Sauerstoff-Ionen bilden eine Fläche des Tetraeders, die vierte Ecke wird durch das einsame Elektronenpaar von Te besetzt. Der Mittelwert des O–Te–O-Bindungswinkels beträgt 95° Die Fe-Ketten werden durch Te–O-Bindungen dreidimensional verbunden.

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With 3 Figures  相似文献   

微型钢管砂浆复合桩在土体中稳定性计算     

朱彦鹏  严紫豪  朱轶凡 《岩土力学》2020,41(4):1339-1346

微型钢管砂浆复合桩因纠偏受力明确、施工简单、工期短且加固费用低，被广泛用于基础加固托换。但小直径、大长度的微型钢管砂浆复合桩在土体中失稳破坏缺乏理论研究。故以弹性地基梁理论为基础，依据桩与地基土共同工作时的受力关系，建立微分方程求解。给出了微型钢管砂浆复合桩失稳承载力具体表达式，并与实际工程原位试验相比较，理论与试验结果接近；给出了最小临界计算长度的表达式指导工程施工；并运用Matlab编写程序计算分析了土与桩在不同的刚度比下不同桩长的失稳荷载，反映出土对微型钢管砂浆复合桩失稳约束力的影响程度。  相似文献   

The economic implications of carbon cycle uncertainty   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

STEVEN J. SMITH  JAMES A. EDMONDS 《Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology》2006,58(5):586-590

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Estimating the mean temperature and salinity of the Chesapeake Bay mouth     

Ricardo?A.?Locarnini  Larry?P.?AtkinsonEmail author  Arnoldo?Valle-Levinson 《Estuaries and Coasts》2002,25(1):1-5

We used an extensive temperature and salinity data set to develop a statistically meaningful way of estimating mean temperature and salinity from discrete measurements in the mouth of Chesapeake Bay. From April 1992 to December 1998, the Center for Coastal Physical Oceanography completed 73 monthly hydrographic sections at high spring tide across the mouth of Chesapeake Bay. Time series of area weighted mean bay mouth temperature (MBMT) and salinity (MBMS) were calculated. We found that at any time the temperature at any location in the section correlated with the MBMT with a r² of 0.95 or better. A similar analysis for salinity showed that the best correlation was about 0.9 with many locations below 0.8. A correlation between MBMT and temperature at a nearby tide station indicated it was possible to estimate MBMT from the temperature at the tide station to ±0.74°C (90% confidence interval). Salinity was not measured at the tide station, but the correlation at a location in the section similar to the tide station indicates that MBMS can be estimated with an error of ±1.5 (90% confidence interval).  相似文献