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101.
文章设计了一个以均匀网格差分模式为基础的全球变网格多层原始方程差分模式。还证明了如果前者满足了一定条件,从而具有质量与能量守恒性质以及与连续情况一致的动能、位能和表面位能之间的转换关系,则变网格模式也同样具有。而且,把前者改变为后者增加的运算量很小,也非常方便。 相似文献
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Vesselin A. Alexandrov 《Climatic change》1997,36(1-2):135-149
In recent years the problem of climate and its variations under the influence of natural processes and factors of anthropogenetic origin has come to the forefront of scientific and practical problems on a world-wide scale. Climate change vulnerability assessments of agronomic systems in Bulgaria have been initiated. In this paper preliminary results of this study are presented. Different climate change scenarios were defined. Global circulation model (GCM) scenarios and incremental scenarios for Bulgaria were created and applied. The influence of climate change on potential crop growing season above a base of 5° and 10 °C in Bulgaria was investigated. Increases in temperature can be expected to lengthen the potential growing season, resulting in a shift of thermal limits of agriculture in Bulgaria. The Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) Version 2.1 was used to assess the influence of climate change on grain yield of maize and winter wheat. Maize and winter wheat yields decreased with increasing temperatures and decreasing precipitation. 相似文献
106.
用卡尔曼滤波预报南海热带气旋路径的试验 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
利用卡尔曼滤波方法预报南海热带气旋路径,发现采用卡尔曼滤波可以大大地降低预报误差,提高预测模型的预报能力。 相似文献
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Richard Griggs 《GeoJournal》1996,40(4):387-396
In 1951–52, a nationwide sediment gauge network was initiated in Bulgaria. In 1992–93 a Computerized Information Base of Sediment Data for the Bulgarian rivers was developed. Some analysis has shown that the long term sequences of the annual suspended sediment load of the rivers are not homogeneous. The period 1980–90 has received special attention due to the anthropogenic generated randomeness of the hydrometeorological process on most of catchment areas across the country. Due to the anthropogenic impact, the sediment load assessments are strongly affected. The author has determined a new parameter — Partial Suspended Sediment yield — MR(°) that is formed in separate river reaches, bordered by any two adjacent gauges. The partial suspended sediment yield is zoned in selected grades instead of drawing isolines. A comparison among runoff (Q) and suspended load (R) for the rivers in Bulgaria reveals relationships that are in conformities with the process of suspended sediment formation. Some other empirical relationships of potential practical use for the Bulgarian rivers have been determined. The goal is to introduce some results of Bulgarian sediment studies to a Non-Bulgarian audience. 相似文献
109.
本文利用在乌鲁木齐河山区流域所建立的树轮年表,重建了乌鲁木齐河山区流域360年上年7月~当年3月的平均径流量。校准方程的相关系数为0.670,交叉检验的误差缩减值达0.366。在重建的360年径流量的变化中,有4个偏丰期和3个偏枯期,第2,3两个偏丰期与乌鲁木齐河河源1号冰川的两次冰进期相对应。对重建径流量的丰枯频率分析发现,平水年份出现最多,偏枯水年份多于偏丰水年份约5.8%,特枯水年没有出现,特丰水年出现6次,约占1.7%。这表明360年来径流量变化基本上稳定。 相似文献
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In this paper,a comprehensive analysis and review of the advances in the research of human body comfort degree is made.Based on the studies of human thermal equilibrium theories contributed by previous researchers,different apparent temperature models corresponding to different environments are set up in accordance with the current situation and the characteristics of metabolism in different groups of people in China.After case studies and comparison with present dominant human body comfort degree statistical models,it is proved that the apparent temperature models have high rationality and wide adaptability.Furthermore,the comfort scaling standard according to apparent temperature is suggested,which is suitable for the middle latitude regions in China. 相似文献