山东滨州市冰雹天气分型和预报方法研究     

王培涛  王凤娇  张婷婷 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2019,(3):33-40

利用山东滨州市7个国家气象站与61个人影作业站点观测资料,结合高空观测及探空、ECMWF再分析等资料,对2001—2011年滨州降雹时空分布特征、天气系统和物理量特征、降雹形势分型和预报方法进行研究。得出:(1)降雹日数年均8.6次,总体呈现明显下降的年际变化特征;4—10月可降雹,6—7月降雹最多;降雹主要出现在14时—翌日02时;北部沿海相对较多。(2)降雹形势主要有5种类型:冷涡型降雹、低槽型降雹、横槽型降雹、西北气流型降雹、其他小范围降雹。根据冷涡中心位置冷涡型划分为两个关键区;低槽型可分为前倾槽、阶梯槽、较深低槽、与中低纬度共同作用的槽;横槽型降雹范围广、破坏性大;西北气流型存在连续性。(3)4类13种物理量具有不同分布特征和变异系数,均具有较好的代表性。不同月份、不同降雹影响程度和影响系统,物理量具有较明显差别。(4)0℃层高度在1370~5331m时,7种物理量可用于预报冰雹,K≥17℃、T850-500≥25℃、LI≤2℃、SRH≥0.1m^2·s^-2、SSI≥240、SWEAT≥100、Cape≥2J·kg^-1时可能降雹。6月、7—8月和其它月分别有3种、1种、3种物理量指标组合可用于预报冰雹,物理量的组合和数值有差异。  相似文献   

内蒙古东南部暴雨洪涝灾害风险评估与区划——以通辽市为例     

李思慧 《内蒙古气象》2019,(1):23-28

文章选取通辽市各气象站点气象数据、基础地理信息数据、历史灾情数据、第二次土地调查数据及相关社会经济等统计数据,基于自然灾害风险原理,利用数理统计、层次分析法及空间叠加分析等方法,提出了通辽市暴雨洪涝灾害风险评价指标体系,得到通辽市暴雨洪涝灾害风险评估空间分布图。结果表明:高风险区主要分布在通辽市北部山区、中东部地区及偏南部地区,包括扎鲁特旗鲁北镇、科尔沁区、科左中旗东南部及库伦旗东南部;而科左后旗大部地区易形成由短时强降水引发的洪涝,为次高风险区;低风险区及次低风险区主要分布在通辽市中部、西南部地区,包括开鲁县、奈曼旗北部、科左中旗西部。  相似文献   

公路勘测中应注意的几个问题     

王生才 《测绘与空间地理信息》2006,29(6):111-112

结合营口滨海大道勘测设计工程实例,探讨了公路勘测时坐标系统选择、平面控制点点位选定、全站仪三角高程代替四等水准、RTK技术应用等一些问题,并提出了几点结论。  相似文献   

论城市地下管线MIS与城市规划管理的关系——以胶南市城市地下管线MIS为例     

李继宏  尹衍勇  陆玉梅  卢刚书 《测绘与空间地理信息》2006,29(6):118-120

在分析山东省胶南市城市地下管线M IS的基础上,从两个方面论述了城市地下管线与城市规划管理的关系,认为城市地下管线M IS和城市规划管理之间相互作用、互为补充、关系密切。城市地下管线M IS为城市规划管理工作提供了准确而有现势性的基础资料,提高了规划管理的工作效能和城市规划管理水平;城市规划管理保障了城市地下管线M IS数据的动态更新和现势性,实现地下管线从规划设计审批竣工测量,到系统数据更新的全过程动态管理。  相似文献   

Synthetic information prediction system for crisis mine based on GIS     

Yuxin Ye  Ping Yu  Shi Wang  Shuisheng Ye 《世界地质(英文版)》2006,9(1)

Reserves of some kinds of the crisis mines will be lack now or from now on, because of lacking seriously reserves of mineral resources and the crisis of exploring bases in support. So that it is urgent to predict, appraise, development and utilize the replaceable resources of the crisis mines. The mineral resources prediction software system of synthetic information is intelligent GIS which is used to quantitative prediction of large-scale synthetic information mineral target. It takes the geological body and the mineral resource body as a unit. And it analyzes the ore deposit genesis and metallotect, knows the spatial distribution laws of the ore deposit and ore body, and establish the prospecting model based on the concept of establishing the three-dimensional space of a mine. This paper will primarily discuss some important problems as follows: the secondary development of various kinds of data(including geology, geophysical prospecting, geochemical prospecting and remote sensing, etc); process synthetically and establish the synthetic information interpretative map base; correspond prospecting model with synthetic information of ore deposit; divided into statistical units of metallogenic information synthetic anomalies based on the synthetic information anomalies of ore control, then research the metallogenic information variable of unit synthetically and make quantitative prediction according to choose the quantitative prediction math model which is suitable to the demands of large-scale precision; at last, finish the target area optimization of ore deposit (body).  相似文献   

THE THEORY OF RESPONSE ANALYSIS OF FUZZY STOCHASTIC DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS WITH A SINGLE DEGREE OF FREEDOM     

Y. ZHANG  G. WANG  F. SU  Z. QIAO 《地震工程与结构动力学》1996,25(3):235-251

Most real-life structural/mechanical systems have complex geometrical and material properties and operate under complex fuzzy environmental conditions. These systems are certainly subjected to fuzzy random excitations induced by the environment. For an analytical treatment of such a system subjected to fuzzy random excitations, it becomes necessary to establish the general theory of dynamic response of a system to fuzzy random excitations. In this paper, the theory of response, fuzzy mean response and fuzzy covariance response of a single-degree-of-freedom (sdf) system to fuzzy random excitations in the time domain and frequency domain is put forward. The theory of response analysis of an sdf system to both stationary and non-stationary fuzzy random excitations in the time domain and frequency domain is established. Two examples are considered in order to demonstrate the rationality and validity of the theory, and the models of stationary filtered white noise and non-stationary filtered white noise fuzzy stochastic processes of the earthquake ground motion are set up. Methods of analysis for fuzzy random seismic response of sdf systems are put forward using the principles of response analysis of an sdf fuzzy random dynamic system.  相似文献   

SEQUENTIAL STIFFNESS DESIGN FOR SEISMIC DRIFT RANGES OF A SHEAR BUILDING–PILE–SOIL SYSTEM     

T. NAKAMURA  I. TAKEWAKI  Y. ASAOKA 《地震工程与结构动力学》1996,25(12):1405-1420

A shear building supported by a prescribed pile–soil system is subjected to bedrock earthquake input. A new design procedure is presented for generating a sequence of stiffness designs satisfying the constraints on interstorey drifts. The mean peak interstorey drifts of the shear building subjected to a set of spectrum-compatible ground motions at the bedrock are evaluated by a modal combination rule. Tuning of the fundamental natural period of a shear building with a fixed base with that of a shear beam ground results in a non-monotonic sequence of stiffness designs with respect to a ground stiffness parameter and previous approaches cannot be applied to such a problem. This difficulty in finding such a non-monotonic sequence is overcome by utilizing the ground stiffness parameter and the superstructure stiffness parameter alternately in multiple design phases and by developing a new multi-phase perturbation technique. Fundamental characteristics of this sequence of stiffness designs and the effect of ground stiffnesses on the design of the shear building are disclosed. It is further shown that the stiffness contour method is also useful for the design procedure such that a scattering effect in the estimates of ground stiffnesses is taken into account. The usefulness of the proposed procedure of sequential stiffness design and contour line method is demonstrated through several sequential design examples.  相似文献   

试论基于行业级WebGIS的系统安全体系     

吴晓佳  李卫红 《测绘与空间地理信息》2006,29(3):48-51

随着W ebGIS的不断深入、发展应用,基于行业级的W ebGIS系统已深入到了政府、事业及大型企业。系统中除了大量的地理信息外,还存储着单位业务系统(OA/M IS)重要的技术和专题信息。系统内联办公自动化局域网络,外联因特网,在网络上进行着大量的重要信息交流。系统安全问题在信息系统整个生命周期过程中显得非常重要,本文论述了如何制定系统完善的安全计划和安全管理,为行业的信息安全工作提供具体的指导,提高行业信息系统的整体安全水平。  相似文献   

地理空间信息网格特征解析     

龚强 《测绘与空间地理信息》2006,29(3):15-18

地理空间信息网格这一重要的基础设施具有物理特征、基本特征和多方参与性等若干特征。详细分析、讨论地理空间信息网格的这些特征,对地理空间信息网格技术研究、地理空间信息资源共享、更加广泛地应用以及地理空间信息网格建设具有重要意义。  相似文献   

Mobile-GIS中的数据组织模型研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

刘召芹  谢彩香  王梅 《测绘与空间地理信息》2006,29(4):1-5

mob ile-GIS是GIS的全新发展领域,从应用的角度评述了移动服务中的数据特点和各种数据模型的原理及适用领域。不同的数据模型造成部门间数据难以共享,为此本文提出了一种集成数据模型,能使不同模型相互转化,提高数据共享程度。  相似文献