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排序方式: 共有434条查询结果,搜索用时 281 毫秒
31.
Very little work has been done in generating alternatives to the Poisson process model. The work reported here deals with
alternatives to the Poisson process model for the earthquakes and checks them using empirical data and the statistical hypothesis
testing apparatus. The strategy used here for generating hypotheses is to compound the Poisson process. The parameter of the
Poisson process is replaced by a random variable having prescribed density function. The density functions used are gamma,
chi and extended (gamma/chi). The original distribution is then averaged out with respect to these density functions. For
the compound Poisson processes the waiting time distributions for the future events are derived. As the parameters for the
various statistical models for earthquake occurrences are not known, the problem is basically of composite hypothesis testing.
One way of designing a test is to estimate these parameters and use them as true values. Momentmatching is used here to estimate
the parameters. The results of hypothesis testing using data from Hindukush and North East India are presented. 相似文献
32.
Application of bivariate extreme value distribution to flood frequency analysis: a case study of Northwestern Mexico 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Carlos Escalante-Sandoval 《Natural Hazards》2007,42(1):37-46
In Mexico, poverty has forced people to live almost on the water of rivers. This situation along with the occurrence of floods
is a serious problem for the local governments. In order to protect their lives and goods, it is very important to account
with a mathematical tool that may reduce the uncertainties in computing the design events for different return periods.
In this paper, the Logistic model for bivariate extreme value distribution with Weibull-2 and Mixed Weibull marginals is proposed
for the case of flood frequency analysis. A procedure to estimate their parameters based on the maximum likelihood method
is developed. A region in Northwestern Mexico with 16 gauging stations has been selected to apply the model and regional at-site
quantiles were estimated. A significant improvement occurs, measured through the use of a goodness-of-fit test, when parameters
are estimated using the bivariate distribution instead of its univariate counterpart. Results suggest that it is very important
to consider the Mixed Weibull distribution and its bivariate option when analyzing floods generated by a␣mixture of two populations. 相似文献
33.
34.
自动搜索最小多边形算法的研究 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
多边形的自动搜索是GIS空间分析的基本算法之一,同时也在地籍拆宗、导线网闭合环的闭合差计算等领域有着重要的作用。本文依据一般的图形数据结构,提出了一种结点标记的搜索算法,利用该算法可自动搜索出所有独立的最小多边形。 相似文献
35.
Oliver Wild Oliver V. Rattigan Roderic L. Jones John A. Pyle R. Anthony Cox 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1996,25(2):167-199
The Cambridge 2-D Eulerian model has been used to study the potential atmospheric distributions and lifetimes of a number of CFC replacement compounds and their degradation products. The study has focused on HFC 134a and HCFCs 123, 141b and 142b and the major products formed by their atmospheric degradation. The loss of these compounds and their products by hydroxyl radical attack, photolysis and in-cloud hydrolysis have been investigated. The study has shown that HCFCs 141b and 142b have sufficiently long lifetimes to enter the stratosphere in significant quantities, where degradation leads to an increase in the total stratospheric chlorine concentration. The study has also highlighted areas where further experimental work would be valuable, in particular characterisation of the product channels for the degradation reactions and determination of the removal rates of the products in the aqueous phase. 相似文献
36.
Zipf's Law is a mathematical expression of the relationship between size and rank orders of some discrete phenomena. We have used this relationship to predict the undiscovered viable copper reserves for the Zambian Copperbelt. This prediction has been reinforced by canvassing geological opinion. As two semi-numerate exploration geologists, we naively risk predicting the undiscovered gold resources of the West Australian shield.This paper was presented at Symposium 116.3, Quantitative Strategy for Exploration, held as part of the 25th International Geological Congress, Sydney, Australia, August 1976. 相似文献
37.
Thomas A. Jones 《Mathematical Geology》1977,9(6):635-647
It is becoming increasingly important to determine probability distributions of combinations of random variables. Convolution is a technique by which the distribution of a sum of random variables can be determined. This paper presents some simplifications in order to reduce the numerical integrations and computer time. In addition, the method may be used with empirical nonanalytic distributions. While Monte Carlo methods are also appropriate for calculating the distribution, convolution can give at least as much accuracy as Monte Carlo methods with a reduction in computation. Two applications are presented: one approximates the distribution of percent sand in an area, and the other indicates a method of determining sample size when using the distribution of means to approximate normality. 相似文献
38.
R. Leuning 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2000,96(1-2):293-314
Source/sink distributions of heat, water vapour andCO2 within a rice canopy were inferred using aninverse Lagrangian dispersion analysis and measuredmean profiles of temperature, specific humidity andCO2 mixing ratio. Monin–Obukhov similarity theorywas used to account for the effects of atmosphericstability on w(z), the standard deviation ofvertical velocity and L(z), the Lagrangian timescale of the turbulence. Classical surface layer scaling was applied in the inertial sublayer (z > zruf)using the similarity parameter = (z - d)/L, where z is height above ground, d is the zero plane displacementheight for momentum, L is the Obukhov length,and zruf 2.3hc, where hc iscanopy height. A single length scale hc, was usedfor the stability parameter 3 = hc/L in the height range 0.25 < z/hc < 2.5. This choice is justified by mixing layer theory, which shows that within the roughness sublayer there is one dominant turbulence length scaledetermined by the degree of inflection in the windprofile at the canopy top. In the absence of theoretical or experimental evidence for guidance,standard Monin–Obukhov similarity functions, with = hc/L, were used to calculate the stabilitydependence of w(z) and L(z) in the roughness sublayer. For z/hc < 0.25 the turbulence length and time scales are influenced by the presence of the lowersurface, and stability effects are minimal. With theseassumptions there was excellent agreement between eddycovariance flux measurements and deductions from theinverse Lagrangian analysis. Stability correctionswere particularly necessary for night time fluxes whenthe atmosphere was stably stratified.The inverse Lagrangian analysis provides a useful toolfor testing and refining multilayer canopy models usedto predict radiation absorption, energy partitioningand CO2 exchanges within the canopy and at thesoil surface. Comparison of model predictions withsource strengths deduced from the inverse analysisgave good results. Observed discrepancies may be dueto incorrect specification of the turbulent timescales and vertical velocity fluctuations close to theground. Further investigation of turbulencecharacteristics within plant canopies is required toresolve these issues. 相似文献
39.
40.
海南省澄迈县雷暴气候特征及其灾害防御 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
通过统计分析海南省澄迈县1959-2004年逐日雷暴资料,找出雷暴发生时空分布特征,统计1995-2004年10a雷暴发生的影响天气系统,计算出各天气系统影响下雷暴发生的概率。分析结果表明:澄迈县雷暴日46a平均雷暴频次437次,年际变化呈波动减少趋势,5-8月是雷暴发生的高发期,占全年雷暴的53%,16-17时是一天中发生雷暴的最高期,西南方向发生的雷暴略多于其他方向,澄迈县受西南低压槽、南海低压槽和副热带高压等天气系统影响时发生雷暴的概率较大。 相似文献