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191.
三维绿色生物量的遥感模式研究与绿化环境效益估算   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
本文从理论和技术上叙述了绿量的遥感模式研究和绿化环境效益估算,并取得了以下几个方面的进展:(1)提出了绿量的概念,进一步完善了城市绿化的量化指标体系;(2)成功地修正了“逻辑斯蒂曲线”方程,并以平面量模拟立体量的方法测算了上海市全市的绿量,不仅节省了人力物力,而且提高了精度;(3)提出了模式林的概念及测定了以绿量估算绿化环境效益中所必须的标准换算量;(4)首次用绿量在全市范围估算了绿化群落的吸碳产氧、吸收二氧化硫、滞尘及夏季降温等环境效益。为分析现有绿化群落布局与结构的合理性,及为绿化规划乃至整个城市的总体规划提供了很有价值的技术参数。  相似文献   
192.
围岩参数Monte-Carlo有限元反分析   总被引:3,自引:1,他引:3  
提出了应用隧道施工监测的随机值,采用蒙特一卡罗(Monte-Carlo)有限元随机反分析以反推地层参数和初始地应力分布的方法。反推参数不仅给出其均值,还给出参数的方差及分布类型,为地下结构稳定性和可靠性分析提供必要数据。为检验所提的反分析方法对工程的实用性,文中给出了一个实例。  相似文献   
193.
As is well known, a complete stochastic solution of the stochastic differential equation governing saturated groundwater flow leads to an infinite hierarchy of equations in terms of higher-order moments. Perturbation techniques are commonly used to close this hierarchy, using power-series expansions. These methods are applied by truncating the series after a finite number of terms, and products of random gradients of conductivity and head potential are neglected. Uncertainty regarding the number or terms required to yield a sufficiently accurate result is a significant drawback with the application of power series-based perturbation methods for such problems. Low-order series truncation may be incapable of representing fundamental characteristics of flow and can lead to physically unreasonable and inaccurate solutions of the stochastic flow equation. To support this argument, one-dimensional, steady-state, saturated groundwater flow is examined, for the case of a spatially distributed hydraulic conductivity field. An ordinary power-series perturbation method is used to approximate the mean head, using second-order statistics to characterize the conductivity field. Then an interactive perturbation approach is introduced, which yields improved results compared to low-order, power-series perturbation methods for situations where strong interactions exist between terms in such approximations. The interactive perturbation concept is further developed using Feynman-type diagrams and graph theory, which reduce the original stochastic flow problem to a closed set of equations for the mean and the covariance functions. Both theoretical and practical advantages of diagrammatic solutions are discussed; these include the study of bounded domains and large fluctuations.  相似文献   
194.
ABSTRACT

The predictive capability of a new artificial intelligence method, random subspace (RS), for the prediction of suspended sediment load in rivers was compared with commonly used methods: random forest (RF) and two support vector machine (SVM) models using a radial basis function kernel (SVM-RBF) and a normalized polynomial kernel (SVM-NPK). Using river discharge, rainfall and river stage data from the Haraz River, Iran, the results revealed: (a) the RS model provided a superior predictive accuracy (NSE = 0.83) to SVM-RBF (NSE = 0.80), SVM-NPK (NSE = 0.78) and RF (NSE = 0.68), corresponding to very good, good, satisfactory and unsatisfactory accuracies in load prediction; (b) the RBF kernel outperformed the NPK kernel; (c) the predictive capability was most sensitive to gamma and epsilon in SVM models, maximum depth of a tree and the number of features in RF models, classifier type, number of trees and subspace size in RS models; and (d) suspended sediment loads were most closely correlated with river discharge (PCC = 0.76). Overall, the results show that RS models have great potential in data poor watersheds, such as that studied here, to produce strong predictions of suspended load based on monthly records of river discharge, rainfall depth and river stage alone.  相似文献   
195.
ABSTRACT

The reliable and robust monitoring of air temperature distribution is essential for urban thermal environmental analysis. In this study, a stacking ensemble model consisting of multi-linear regression (MLR), support vector regression (SVR), and random forest (RF) optimized by the SVR is proposed to interpolate the daily maximum air temperature (Tmax) during summertime in a mega urban area. A total of 10 geographic variables, including the clear-sky averaged land surface temperature and the normalized difference vegetation index, were used as input variables. The stacking model was compared to Cokriging, three individual data-driven methods, and a simple average ensemble model, all through leave-one-station-out cross validation. The stacking model showed the best performance by improving the generalizability of the individual models and mitigating the sensitivity to the extreme daily Tmax. This study demonstrates that the stacking ensemble method can improve the accuracy of spatial interpolation of environmental variables in various research fields.  相似文献   
196.
贾耀红  任立清  郭强 《气象科技》2020,48(5):630-634
风云四号静止气象卫星(FY-4)地面测距系统用于获得分布在不同地方的5个地面站到卫星的精确距离,进而利用得到的距离数据确定并预报卫星的轨道和位置,所以测距精度是影响卫星轨道和位置确定精度的主要因素。本文根据测距系统工作的原理及过程,分析影响测距精度的误差来源,从测距体制、站址坐标测量、地面设备时延测量、转发器时延测量、大气传输时延测量和各站时间同步几个方面分析了风云四号测距系统为了提高测距精度采取的相应的技术手段。  相似文献   
197.
为了实现陆表植被碳汇量精准计测和森林资源的可持续发展,本文采用C#面向对象高级程序设计语言,利用组件式GIS技术和第三方UI控件进行开发,建立了一套现代化、信息化的管理平台。该平台实现了GIS基础操作、森林基础数表、森林资源二类调查、森林观测数据后处理和森林经营辅助决策五大功能模块,构建了较为系统的陆表植被碳汇计量管理基础业务体系。满足了森林资源管理和经营的需要,实现了对森林资源一体化经营和管理。  相似文献   
198.
岩溶坝区透水参数的随机模型   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
岩溶坝区的渗透特性受高应力场的作用,使其固有的非均质各向异性更趋复杂,采用确定性的方法不能准确的描述其本质特性。本文在对岩溶坝区透水性随机场进行分析的基础上,提出了渗透随机性的数学描述。考察岩溶坝区主要的两场作用,即渗流与应力场的耦合。基于Taylor随机有限元建立了渗流应力耦合的随机微分方程格式,并对耦合随机模型反演求解渗透参数提出了思路。  相似文献   
199.
综合小波分析与分形方法进行弱磁异常识别   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
耿喜哲  张春华 《物探与化探》2002,26(2):126-130,125
利用小波分析塔式算法对单一分形模型数据进行处理,结合“随机共振”理论,对高精度弱磁异常中的噪声和误差进行有效的分析评价,依据趋势分析方法获得的剩余磁异常,提出“加窗移动”最小二乘方法对应用非整数阶微积分的布郎运动正态随机行走进行控制,为高精度弱磁异常的有效识别提供有益的指导。  相似文献   
200.
Long-term measurement of carbon metabolism of old-growth forests is critical to predict their behaviors and to reduce the uncertainties of carbon accounting under changing climate. Eddy covariance technology was applied to investigate the long-term carbon exchange over a 200 year-old Chinese broad-leaved Korean pine mixed forest in the Changbai Mountains (128°28'E and 42°24'N, Jilin Province, P. R. China) since August 2002. On the data obtained with open-path eddy covariance system and CO2 profile measurement system from Jan. 2003 to Dec. 2004, this paper reports (i) annual and seasonal variation of FNEE, FGPP and Re; (ii) regulation of environmental factors on phase and amplitude of ecosystem CO2 uptake and release Corrections due to storage and friction velocity were applied to the eddy carbon flux. Lal and soil temperature determined the seasonal and annual dynamics of FGPP and RE separately. VPD and air temperature regulated ecosystem photosynthesis at finer scales in growing seasons. Water condition at the root zone exerted a significant influence on ecosystem maintenance carbon metabolism of this forest in winter. The forest was a net sink of atmospheric CO2 and sequestered -449 g C·m-2 during the study period; -278 and -171 gC·m-2 for 2003 and 2004 respectively. FGPP and FRE over 2003 and 2004 were -1332, -1294 g C·m-2. and 1054, 1124 g C·m-2 respectively. This study shows that old-growth forest can be a strong net carbon sink of atmospheric CO2. There was significant seasonal and annual variation in carbon metabolism. In winter, there was weak photosynthesis while the ecosystem emitted CO2. Carbon exchanges were active in spring and fall but contributed little to carbon sequestration on an annual scale. The summer is the most significant season as far as ecosystem carbon balance is concerned. The 90 days of summer contributed 66.9, 68.9% of FGPp, and 60.4, 62.1% of RE of the entire year.  相似文献   
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