近百年北半球陆面降水资料的插补及初步分析   总被引：6，自引：2，他引：4  

李庆祥  屠其璞 《南京气象学院学报》2000,23(4):528-535

采用ＥＯＦｓ展开方法插补延长了一个北半球陆面月降水资料,并讨论了该资料插补工作的合理性。利用该资料初步分析了近百年北半球陆面降水的基本特点。  相似文献   

台湾岛云量,降水量的EOF分析及其与EL Nino关系的研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

周林  王汉杰 《气象科学》2000,20(2):179-188

本文根据最新整理的台湾岛地面气象要素观测资料,利用ＥＯＦ方法分析了台湾总云量、低云量和降水量的年变化和年际变化特征,结果表明：季节变化中,总云量、低云量和降水量的ＥＯＦ模态一各自反映了它们的基本气候特征,即台湾岛的东北（包括台北）及东部地区全年总云量、低云量较多,除花莲以外,云量以低云为主,１２月￣５月较多,６月￣１１月较少;台湾岛的西南地区虽然全年总云量、低云量较少,但夏季云量明显增多,台湾岛的  相似文献   

DISPLACEMENT HISTORY OF THE GANGDESE THRUST, ZEDONG WINDOW, SOUTHEASTERN TIBET   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

T.Mark Harrison 《地学前缘》2000,(Z1)

DISPLACEMENT HISTORY OF THE GANGDESE THRUST, ZEDONG WINDOW, SOUTHEASTERN TIBET  相似文献   

准噶尔盆地南缘泥火山活动及其伴生油苗的地球化学特征和意义     

李梦  刘冬冬  郭召杰 《高校地质学报》2013,19(3):484-490

文中对准噶尔盆地南缘乌苏四棵树和独山子泥火山的构造背景进行了分析,指出其形成主要是由于天山北缘中新生 代沉积层中地势高低造成的水压差和地层层间压力差,导致丰富的地下水沿着背斜顶端发育的断裂带上升,与通道周围的 泥质岩石相遇,泥浆形成并喷出地表而成为泥火山。论文还对四棵树和独山子泥火山的伴生油苗进行了全油色谱和生物标 记化合物研究,对比相关烃源岩地球化学特征及前人有关研究成果,指出油样有机质均处于成熟阶段,油源可能是侏罗系 与古近系烃源岩的混合产物。研究结果对探索该区泥火山的成因和油气成藏条件具有重要意义。  相似文献   

辽宁地区夏季高温极值预测模型   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

李娇  任国玉  任玉玉  沈志超  孙秀宝 《气象与环境学报》2012,28(6):50-57

利用1957-2006年辽宁地区夏季23站极端最高气温资料和国家气候中心气候监测室的74项环流特征量资料,应用EOF方法对高温极值样本进行分解,研究辽宁极端高温的时空分布规律。结果表明：第一特征向量表现为区域整体一致的特征,中心区位于辽西北、辽北,第二、三特征向量空间分布表现为东西部反位相和南北反位相的特征。普查了前3个时间系数与前期环流指数的相关关系,认为前3个时间系数的显著影响因子是不同的。采用CSC准则确定最优预测因子,分别建立各时间系数的回归统计模型,并对高温极值历史拟合序列进行回报检验和预测检验。回报结果表明,各站的历史拟合率都保持在一定水平,但拟合率在辽西地区较差。各年的历史拟合率极不均衡,多数年份较为稳定,但个别年份拟合率较低。未来3 a试验性预测效果逐年下降,模型对未来1 a预测能力较好,可以作为业务预测的参考。  相似文献   

东海陆架表层水温年际变化时空特征分析   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

李家星  魏皓  罗晓凡 《海洋与湖沼》2012,43(3):624-634

结合东海沿岸嵊山(北)和厦门(南)站1960—2001年海表温度(SST)监测数据与东中国海1982—2011年AVHRR水温资料,讨论了台站监测的空间代表范围,分析了东海陆架SST年际变化的时空特征。结果表明,嵊山和厦门站SST变化分别代表内陆架和台湾海峡。东海陆架52年来SST总体呈升温趋势,冬季最为显著;内陆架的升幅远大于台湾海峡。内陆架水温冬季分别在1977年和1995年发生两次跃升,共升温2.34℃;春、夏、秋季均在1994年发生冷暖转折,分别升高1.19℃、1.43℃和1.16℃。台湾海峡水温冬季在1989年跃升0.91℃,夏季在1987年跃升0.38℃,春、秋季则在1996—1997年间分别升温0.80℃和0.58℃。全年水温变化最大处在长江口附近内陆架海区,可能的主导因素是低盐水与外海水混合:随季风、降水、径流变化的沿岸流、长江冲淡水和台湾暖流给该区域带来不同水团,使得热量向下层输运减少,从而导致东海内陆架升温快于其它海区。  相似文献   

Comparison of retrospective analyses of the global ocean heat content     

Gennady A. Chepurin  James A. Carton 《Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans》1999,29(2-4)

In this study, we compare seven retrospective analyses of basin- to global-scale upper ocean temperature. The analyses span a minimum of 10 years during the 50-year period since World War II. Three of the analyses (WOA-94, WHITE, BMRC) are based on objective analysis and thus, do not rely on a numerical forecast model. The remaining four (NCEP, WAJSOWICZ, ROSATI, SODA) are based on data assimilation in which the numerical forecast is provided by some form of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Modular Ocean Model driven by historical winds. The comparison presented here is limited to heat content in the upper 250 m, information that is available for all analyses. The results are presented in three frequency bands: seasonal, interannual (periods of 1–5 years), and decadal (periods of 5–25 years). At seasonal frequencies, all of the analyses are quite similar. Otherwise, the differences among analyses are limited to the regions of the western boundary currents, and some regions in the Southern Hemisphere. At interannual frequencies, significant differences appear between the objective analyses and the data assimilation analyses. Along the equator in the Pacific, where variability is dominated by El Niño, the objective analyses have somewhat noisier fields, as well as reduced variance prior to 1980 due to lack of observations. Still, the correlation among analyses generally exceeds 80% in this region. Along the equator in the Atlantic, the correlation is lower (30–60%) although inspection of the time series shows that the same biennial progression of warm and cool events appears in all analyses since 1980. In the midlatitude Pacific agreement among objective analyses and data assimilation analyses is good. The analysis of Rosati et al. [Rosati, A., Gudgel, R., Miyakoda, K., 1995. Decadal analysis produced from an ocean assimilation system. Mon. Weather Rev., 123, 2, 206.] differs somewhat from the others apparently because in this analysis, the forecast model is weighted more heavily relative to the observations. The analysis of Levitus et al. [Levitus, S., Boyer, T.P., Antonov, J., 1994. Interannual variability of upper ocean thermal structure. World Ocean Atlas, 1994, Vol. 5. Natl. Env. Satell. Data and Int. Serv., Natl. Oceanic and Atmos. Admin. Atlas series, Washington, DC, 176 pp.] has a much different spatial distribution of variability in the interannual band than the others. Partly, this results from the yearly time-averaging of this analysis. Three of the monthly analyses extend over 20 years and thus are useful for examining decadal variations. Comparison of these analyses shows in common a slow progression of warm water westward and then eastward along the equator in the tropical Pacific that is linked to the decadal fluctuations of El Niño.  相似文献   

额济纳生态环境退化及成因分析   总被引：21，自引：4，他引：17  

苏永红  冯起  吕世华  张艳武  司建华 《高原气象》2004,23(2):264-270

黑河下游的额济纳旗近20年来水文和生态环境严重退化,约有3/4的水井干涸,部分地区地下水位下降了2～3m,水质恶化,生物多样性减少,有的物种已经灭绝。仅从1987年到1991年间,沙漠化面积(植被覆盖率<10%)就增加了约5.6%,年递增1.63×102km2,绿洲严重退化,沙尘暴天气频繁。生态环境退化的原因是由于黑河水资源的不合理利用、人口的快速增长使土地超载及过度放牧。最后针对这些问题提出了一些相应的措施。  相似文献   

地表感热的时空分布特征及其与邻近海洋海温异常的关系   总被引：9，自引：4，他引：5  

张艳  钱永甫 《高原气象》2004,23(3):330-338

利用1949—2000年NCEP／NCAR再分析资料中的地表感热通量资料,分析了全球地表感热的时空分布特征。结果表明：青藏高原地表感热是全球感热的主要部分,高原地表热源表现出明显的非均匀性,高原东西部热源呈反位相变化。高原西部、东部和北非地区是地表感热年际和年代际异常的关键区。SVD分析发现,高原东、西部感热异常与西北太平洋和赤道中印度洋的海温异常有很好的相关关系。  相似文献   

AP/VP specific inelastic displacement ratio for seismic response estimation of structures          下载免费PDF全文

Cengizhan Durucan  Murat Dicleli 《地震工程与结构动力学》2015,44(7):1075-1097

In this study, two new site specific statistical equations are proposed to estimate the inelastic displacement ratio, C₁ of structures subjected to far fault (FF) and near fault (NF) ground motions. The proposed equations consider the effects of fundamental vibration period of the structure, T, lateral strength ratio, R and frequency content of the design earthquake record represented by the A_p/V_p ratio (or T₀ = 2π/A_p/V_p), which is a function of the earthquake magnitude, distance to fault, faulting mechanism and site class. It was observed that the C₁ values obtained from the proposed equations are in good agreement with the calculated results. The flare of the plotted C₁ vs. T/T₀ curves enables the proposed equations to cover nearly all the calculated C₁ data range and give satisfactory results. However, the curves obtained using the C₁ equations of several codes and those available in the literature do not cover the whole calculated C₁ data range and generally give unconservative results (smaller C₁ values) especially in the shorter period range. For the longer period range, the predictions of C₁ obtained from the proposed equation and the ones available in the literature are in good agreement with the calculated C₁ data. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献