Numerical Simulation of Andhra Severe Cyclone (2003): Model Sensitivity to the Boundary Layer and Convection Parameterization   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

C. V. Srinivas  R. Venkatesan  D. V. Bhaskar Rao  D. Hari Prasad 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2007,164(8-9):1465-1487

The Andhra severe cyclonic storm (2003) is simulated to study its evolution, structure, intensity and movement using the Penn State/NCAR non-hydrostatic mesoscale atmospheric model MM5. The model is used with three interactive nested domains at 81, 27 and 9 km resolutions covering the Bay of Bengal and adjoining Indian Peninsula. The performance of the Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL) and convective parameterization on the simulated features of the cyclone is studied by conducting sensitivity experiments. Results indicate that while the boundary layer processes play a significant role in determining both the intensity and movement, the convective processes especially control the movement of the model storm. The Mellor-Yamada scheme is found to yield the most intensive cyclone. While the combination of Mellor-Yamada (MY) PBL and Kain-Fritsch 2 (KF2) convection schemes gives the most intensive storm, the MRF PBL with KF2 convection scheme produces the best simulation in terms of intensity and track. Results of the simulation with the combination of MRF scheme for PBL and KF2 for convection show the evolution and major features of a mature tropical storm. The model has very nearly simulated the intensity of the storm though slightly overpredicted. Simulated core vertical temperature structure, winds at different heights, vertical winds in and around the core, vorticity and divergence fields at the lower and upper levels—all support the characteristics of a mature storm. The model storm has moved towards the west of the observed track during the development phase although the location of the storm in the initial and final phases agreed with the observations. The simulated rainfall distribution associated with the storm agreed reasonably with observations.  相似文献   

海温变化对台风路径的影响   总被引：8，自引：2，他引：8  

袁金南  肖伟生 《广东气象》2002,(3):1-2

在台风模式中采用周平均海温和多年的月平均海温，对一些台风个例进行了比较，分析了数值模式中影响台风路径的海温因子变化对台风移动路径的影响。  相似文献   

近圆轨道遥感卫星星下点轨迹的计算   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

张云彬  张永生 《测绘学院学报》2001,18(4):257-259

根据遥感卫星轨道的特点，提出了计算近圆轨道卫星星下点轨迹的算法，并对其进行精度评估。结果表明这种算法是快捷和有效的，能够满足卫星规划阶段对轨道精度的要求。  相似文献   

祁连-海原地震带中强地震序列类型分布及其应用          下载免费PDF全文

杨立明  王振亚  程建武  殷志钢 《地震工程学报》2001,23(2):137-141

研究了1970年以来发生于祁连—海原地震带的18次中强地震序列特征，在此基础上确定了地震序列类型，研究了各种类型地震序列的分布规律．结果表明，该带的18次中强地震序列中有44%为主震型，56%为孤立型．西海固地区的中强地震序列一般为孤立型；101°～103.5°E范围内的祁连山中东段的中强地震序列一般为主震型；99°～101°E范围内的祁连山中段为孤立型和主震型序列并存；99°E以西的祁连山西段的中强地震序列为孤立型．将上述结果应用于2000年6月6日景泰MS5.9地震的震后趋势快速判定，判定结果与实际地震活动情况符合．  相似文献   

阿尔金山北段晚新生代山体抬升的裂变径迹证据   总被引：37，自引：0，他引：37  

万景林  王瑜  李齐  王非  王二七 《矿物岩石地球化学通报》2001,20(4):222-224

对阿尔金山北段阿克塞 当金山口剖面的裂变径迹研究结果表明 ,该区晚新生代 8Ma左右曾发生较快速抬升。抬升年龄的展布与阿尔金左行走滑断裂带晚期活动在该区所呈现的正花状构造相吻合。  相似文献   

一种公平技术评分方法在台风业务预报评估中的应用   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

江志红  余锦华  丁裕国 《热带气象学报》1996,12(4):365-371

将离散变量分级预报的公平技术评分方法引入台风路径业务的预报评估中，对１９８９－１９９１年的台风业务预报作评估试验，结果表明，该方法量客观，不但可用于台风分类预报评估，也可对台风移向移速预报进行客观评估。  相似文献   

永登5.8级地震的社会经济影响     

牛旺祥 《国际地震动态》1996,(2):15-19

本文详细介绍了永登５．８级地震引起的各种不良社会现象和政府采取的相应措施，同时，就这次地震造成的经济损失和重建家园的经济预算进行了详细的介绍和估算。可供从事地震社会学的同行在防震减灾工作中参考。  相似文献   

非常定自适应网格模式在台风路径数值预报中的应用   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

刘卓  曾庆存 《大气科学》1995,19(3):301-308

本文将作者在前文中介绍的非常定自适应网格模式用于台风路径的数值预报。由于自适应网格在台风中心附近安排了较密的网格，有效地提高了网格的分辨率，使得台风环流的结构在预报48小时以后仍能保持，其预报的路径与实况相比令人鼓舞。  相似文献   

台湾岛地形对台风移动路径的作用   总被引：27，自引：3，他引：27       下载免费PDF全文

罗哲贤  陈联寿 《大气科学》1995,19(6):701-706

本文用一个β平面准地转正压模式实施了九组试验，研究台湾岛地形对台风移动路径的作用。初始场系根据SPECTRUM和TCM-90期间加强观测资料确定。结果表明:台湾岛地形的引进会使台风路径向右偏移；地形使台风环流的最大风速区向台风中心方向推移，造成台风环流空间尺度减小，这个结构的变化是路径右偏的一个可能原因。  相似文献   

Thermo-tectonic history of Ryoke Basement in Hohi volcanic zone, northeast Kyushu, Japan: Constraints from fission track thermochronology     

Peter J. J.  Kamp Keiji  Takemura 《Island Arc》1993,2(4):213-227

Abstract Apatite and zircon fission track ages from Ryoke Belt basement in northeast Kyushu show late Cretaceous, middle to late Eocene, middle Miocene and Quaternary groupings. The basement cooled through 240 ± 25°C, the closure temperature for fission tracks in zircon, mainly during the interval 74-90 Ma as a result of uplift and denudation, the pattern being uniform across northeast Kyushu. In combination with published K-Ar ages and the Turonian-Santonian age of sedimentation in the Onogawa Basin, active suturing along the Median Tectonic Line from 100-80 Ma, at least, is inferred. Ryoke Belt rocks along the northern margin of Hohi volcanic zone (HVZ) cooled rapidly through ∼100°C to less than 50°C during the middle Eocene to Oligocene, associated with 2.5-3.5 km of denudation. The timing of this cooling follows peak heating in the Eocene-Oligocene part (Murotohanto subbelt) of the Shimanto Belt in Muroto Peninsula (Shikoku) inferred previously, and coincides with the 43 Ma change in convergence direction of the Pacific-Eurasian plate and the demise of the Kula-Pacific spreading centre. Ryoke Belt rocks along the southern margin of HVZ have weighted mean apatite fission track ages of 15.3 ± 3.1 Ma. These reset ages are attributed to an increase in geothermal gradient in the middle Miocene combined with rapid denudation and uplift of at least 1.4 km. These ages indicate that heating of the overriding plate associated with the middle Miocene start of subduction of hot Shikoku Basin lithosphere extended into the Ryoke Belt in northeast Kyushu. Pleistocene apatite fission track ages from Ryoke Belt granites at depth in the centre of HVZ are due to modern annealing in a geothermal environment.  相似文献