灰色GM(1,1)模型最优维数的研究   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

黄咏庆  张勤  张至峰 《水文地质工程地质》2003,30(1):33-35

灰色GM(1,1)模型的维数对模型的预测精度有很大的影响,本文通过自编的FORTRAN程序,在合适的范围内对GM(1,1)模型的维数进行自动优化,通过对宁波市地面沉降数据的计算分析,得到了C和P的定性关系,确定了优化的评价标准,维数最优化后的模型能反映预测数列变化幅度的大小。  相似文献   

新疆乌鲁木齐地区多年水氡观测资料的统计与分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张学敏  蓝陵  李艳萍 《内陆地震》2003,17(3):259-267

通过对乌鲁木齐地区1980—7．001年的水氡观测资料进行全时域扫描分析，以乌鲁木齐为中心300km范围内Ms≥5．0的地震事件为研究对象，挑选出观测资料中异常时段，用地震预报效能评价评分的方法对水氡观测资料预报地震的能力进行评价。  相似文献   

灾害预报与鸡西煤矿瓦斯爆炸事件   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

杨学祥  宋冬林  陈震 《地震工程学报》2003,25(1):93-93

2002年上半年,伴随着厄尔尼诺现象的日益加剧,全球性重大自然灾害频繁发生.6月20日发生在中国黑龙江省鸡西煤矿的瓦斯爆炸事件和6月22日发生在伊朗的强烈地震,时间恰逢月亮近地潮的6月19日和太阳潮半日形变最大值的夏至的6月21日附近,是地球形变和排气较强烈的时段.据国内外有关资料,月球与地球发震有关系的重要条件是“近地点兼朔、望”以及各大行星特定位置的配合,张元东称之为“特殊天象组合期”[1];郭增建等提出,月亮赤纬角或太阳黄赤交角最大时地球形变和排气最强烈[2～5].在此期间,中国各种大的突发性灾难,如空难、海难、火车事故、矿…  相似文献   

数字化气氡观测干扰因素的分析研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

张朝明  陈华静  朱方保  李罡风  陶月潮  罗志春  束克明 《地震地质》2003,25(4):640-646

在进行地下流体数字化气氡观测及将观测资料应用于震情分析的过程中 ,发现某些干扰因素对数字化气氡观测和水氡的影响不同。在目前所用观测仪器和方法的条件下 ,气温对气氡值的影响系数为 - 0 4 % /℃ ;气压对气氡测值的影响系数为 0 1% /hPa ;不同类型的气水分离装置对气氡观测的影响很显著 ;同一含水层的井 (泉 )出水量的短期变化可引起观测水井流量的变化 ,但对气氡测值影响不显著 ;气氡测值对逸出气流量的变化反映不明显 ;逸出气含有杂质及气路泄漏等均会引起测值的下降。结合仪器的工作原理 ,对干扰产生的机制以及排除的方法进行了讨论  相似文献   

邯郸磁山井水氡异常与华北两次中强地震关系初探   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张双凤  黄戌辰  梁东洲  闫俊岗  马广庆 《华北地震科学》2003,21(3):23-26

大同6．1级和张北6．2级地震前，邯郸磁山井水氧值都出现趋势性高值异常变化。应用水氧异常的滑动平均值和从属函数的判定方法做进一步分析，结果表明，磁山井水氧值的中期异常与华北地区的这两次中强地震有较好的对应关系；对出现这种对应关系的机理进行了讨论。  相似文献   

镍铜硫化物矿石中磁黄铁矿固溶体的退火及其选矿意义   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

顾硅兴赵明  吴昌志 《地质论评》2003,49(3):261-264

磁黄铁矿固治体从硫化物熔体结晶后，在缓慢冷却过程中经历了显著的退火。出治和出治体的租化是固治体退火的两种方式。叶片状的单斜磁黄铁矿和“火焰状”的镍黄铁矿原始出治相在降温过程中均可发生退火和租化。分布于磁黄铁矿等矿物粒间或包于磁黄铁矿粒内的粒状镍黄铁矿，不只是高温出治的直接产物，有一部分可能是由火焰状出治体租化而成的。磁黄铁矿中单斜变体的出治和租化可使矿石的磁性发生改变，镍黄铁矿出治体的租化使含镍矿物的粒度加大。因而，退火作用对矿石的选矿工艺性能有着显著影响。  相似文献   

Microbial Degradation of Tar Oil Compounds under Different Redox Conditions     

Matthias Mundt  Katrin Althoff  Wolfgang Dott  Juliane Hollender 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2003,31(3):204-212

The microbial transformation of typical tar oil compounds such as acridine, benzo(b)thiophene, dibenzofuran, indane, and indene under different redox conditions was investigated in microcosm studies. Under aerobic conditions the inherent contamination in polluted soil as well as the added N‐, S‐, O‐ heterocyclic and homocyclic compounds were transformed predominantly apart from thiophene. 1‐Indanone was detected by RP‐HPLC‐DAD and GC‐MS as an intermediate metabolite from indane and indene. Under nitrate and sulfate reducing conditions indane, benzo(b)thiophene, and dibenzofuran were transformed in assays with the polluted soil samples from well B 65 and B 66 within 426 days, whereas they were persistent in assays with the highly polluted soil B 67. All heterocyclic and homocyclic compounds added to the non‐contaminated soil from well B 85 were not degraded under nitrate and sulfate reducing conditions, too. The results indicate that for the decision, wether natural attenuation can be implemented in the remediation of contaminated site, in addition to BTEX and PAHs especially the fate of further tar oil compounds in anoxic aquifers has to be considered.  相似文献   

Optimization of the Sampling Technique for the Determination of Dissolved Hydrogen in Groundwater     

Axel Heimann  Silke Marczinek  Karin Kloosb  Stefan Peiffer 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2003,31(6):491-500

In this study a field‐sampling technique for dissolved hydrogen (H₂) in groundwater will be presented which allows the transport of gaseous samples into the laboratory for further analysis. The method consists of transferring the headspace trapped in a gas‐sampling bulb which is continuously purged by groundwater into previously evacuated vials using a gas‐tight syringe. Three transfer steps with preceding evacuation of the vial led to a H₂‐recovery of 100 % in laboratory experiments. The method has been applied to determine H₂ concentrations in an aquifer contaminated with chlorinated solvents. Tests concerning the effect of different pumping techniques on H₂ concentrations revealed that most reliable values were obtained with a bladder pump, while an electrically driven submersible pump generated considerable amounts of hydrogen due to electrochemical interactions with the sampled water. Concentrations of dissolved hydrogen in field and laboratory samples were about two orders of magnitude higher when sampling was performed with the electrically driven submersible pump compared to sampling with the bladder pump and a peristaltic pump. Lab experiments with a Plexiglas reservoir to produce H₂‐enriched water were used to study the effect of two tubing materials (PVC, polyamide) on H₂ losses. PVC tubing turned out to allow transfer of H₂‐enriched water over 25 m without significant losses, while PA‐tubing was not suitable for sampling of H₂.  相似文献   

新技术在北极星天文方位角测量中的应用     

赵珞成  熊瑛 《测绘信息与工程》2003,28(3):37-39

使用GPS接收机的UTC作为北极星天文方位角测量的时间比对的标准时间，利用推估UTl与UTC的差值，将时间归算到UTl的方法，可满足各等级天文方位角测量的要求，现场计算零点恒星时和北极星坐标的精度满足北极星天文方位角测量的要求，实现了现场评估测量精度。  相似文献   

自适应GM(1,1)模型进行地表沉降预报   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

王坚  岳广余  王继刚 《北京测绘》2003,(1):40-42

提出采用自适应GM( 1 ,1 )模型进行地表沉降预报 ,并用于兖州某矿形变控制点的沉降预报 ,效果令人满意。说明此模型具有实用价值。  相似文献