沉降监测多项式回归分析与神经网络预测     

田丰  文鸿雁  张静 《海洋测绘》2007,27(4):23-27

使用多项式和切比雪夫(Tchebyshev)多项式分别对沉降监测数据进行回归分析以预测未来沉降值,其中切比雪夫多项式的外推效果较好;应用前向BP神经网络对两种不同的单因子输入模式进行非线性函数逼近,并进行了不同采样步长的比较,实例表明将时间点作为网络的输入对沉降进行预测效果较好。  相似文献   

南黄海夏季海水pCO2研究Ⅱ--下层海水涌升和长江冲淡水对海-气界面CO2通量的贡献     

江春波  张龙军  王峰 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2006,36(Z1):147-152

根据2001年7月对南黄海的大面积调查,研究了南黄海夏季pCO2的分布机制,着重讨论下层海水涌升和长江冲淡水对海-气界面CO2通量的贡献,并给出了南黄海海-气界面CO2通量。研究结果表明:夏季南黄海总体上是CO2的1个弱源,大约向大气中释放45.05×104t C。夏季南黄海表层海水pCO2分布表现出了极大的不均性,其汇区主要由长江冲淡水造成,影响区域占汇区吸收CO2的99.9%;而在源区,下层海水涌升虽然面积较小却占源区释放CO2的35.2%。可见陆架边缘海区源/汇格局的地域差异非常之特别。  相似文献   

黄条鰤贮藏挥发性化合物的研究     

林洪  薛长湖  李兆杰  楼伟风  陈修白 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》1995,(4)

用气相色谱仪和气—质联机等方法对黄条鱼师的腐败挥发性化合物进行了定性和定量分析。这将有利于对黄条做一步的生化性质分析和制定其鲜品的国家标准。样品在２５℃贮藏５ｄ期间，测定了某些化学指标。结果表明在贮藏１ｄ后，鱼肉变腐臭，挥发性碱基化合物三甲胺和二甲基在贮藏中增加。在５ｄ的贮藏期间发现的挥发性有机酸包括乙酸、丙酸、丁酸、异丁酸、戊酸、异成酸，并且它们的含量不断增加，检测出脂肪氧化产物和含硫化合物，正己醛、３—辛酮、３，５—丰二烯—２—酮，２—壬酮辛烯—３—醇，二甲基三硫化物、１Ｈ—吲哚等都是黄条腐败时产生的重要挥发性化合物。应指出的是，２—甲基丁醇、庚醇、苯酚、辛烯—３—醇己醛是黄条中所特有的化合物，其余化合物与其它鱼类的挥发性化合物几乎相近。  相似文献   

海洋中CO的研究进展     

杨桂朋  王晓蒙  陆小兰 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2006,36(4):530-534

研究海洋中的CO具有重要的生物地球化学意义,因为它在控制大气中羟基自由基的浓度、参与全球碳循环进而影响全球气候变化等方面起着重要作用。对过去几十年来海洋中CO的研究进展进行评述。详细介绍了海洋环境中CO浓度的分布特征、通量、来源及去除途径。指出在这一研究领域我国和国际的差距以及一些有待于进一步研究的问题。  相似文献   

结构损伤初步定位的简便方法     

孟海平  杨永春  杨风艳 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2006,36(5):785-789

提出将基于动态特性的检测方法与局部物理检测手段相结合的探伤思路。利用动力学方法进行实时监测及损伤区域的粗略定位,再由物理探测方法实现损伤程度和位置的精确判断,从而降低对动态检测方法的精度要求。此外,文中尝试直接由结构的动力响应信号构建能量指标识别结构损伤的方法,不需要进行模态参数识别,算法简单,有望应用于海洋平台、高层建筑等可简化为串联多自由度体系的结构的实时监测和损伤初步定位。  相似文献   

Optimum Sample Size to Detect Perturbation Effects: The Importance of Statistical Power Analysis – A Critique     

Marco Ortiz 《Marine Ecology》2002,23(1):1-9

Abstract. The current article describes statistical power analysis as an efficient strategy for the estimation of the optimum sample size. The principle aim is constructively to criticise and enrich the results presented by Mouillot et al. (1999) , who estimate the optimum sample size for evaluating possible perturbations. The authors did not make any reference to statistical power analysis, even though their objective clearly went beyond a simple stock evaluation to assess management strategies in a particular marine ecosystem. Surprisingly, they proposed (a priori) an ANOVA design to test a hypothesis considering both space and temporal scales. However, the authors did not cover important topics related with power analysis and the precautionary principle, both used into environment impact assessment programmes for marine ecosystems. Based on their results and on statistical power analysis, it is demonstrated that the variability (dispersion statistics), a key factor they used to estimate the sample size, is less relevant than the magnitude of perturbation (effect size). Therefore, a greater effort must be devoted to estimate the effect size of a particular phenomenon rather than a desired variability.  相似文献   

地下水封石油洞库渗流场的数值分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

刘贯群  韩曼  宋涛  陈浩 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2007,37(5):819-824

对研究区水文地质条件和地下水封石油洞库、水幕系统进行了概化,利用Visual MODFLOW软件,建立了某地下水封石油洞库无水幕和有水幕条件下的三维地下水数值模拟模型,模拟了地下水封石油洞库区的渗流场。利用所建模型预报了2种条件下涌入地下水封石油洞库的涌水量、区域地下水降落漏斗扩展情况及洞库上方地下水位变化情况等。由预测结果可知,2种条件下洞库涌水量均逐渐减小并趋于稳定,而有水幕条件下的地下漏斗扩展范围和速度均比无水幕条件小;在洞库开挖初期水幕作用较小,随时间延长作用愈加明显,因此水幕系统在保证地下水封石油洞库的储油安全和保护周围地下水资源方面都起到重要作用。  相似文献   

Spatial variability in the partial pressures of CO₂ in the northern Bering and Chukchi seas   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Liqi Chen  Zhongyong Gao   《Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography》2007,54(23-26):2619

In the summers of 1999 and 2003, the 1st and 2nd Chinese National Arctic Research Expeditions measured the partial pressure of CO₂ in the air and surface waters (pCO₂) of the Bering Sea and the western Arctic Ocean. The lowest pCO₂ values were found in continental shelf waters, increased values over the Bering Sea shelf slope, and the highest values in the waters of the Bering Abyssal Plain (BAP) and the Canadian Basin. These differences arise from a combination of various source waters, biological uptake, and seasonal warming. The Chukchi Sea was found to be a carbon dioxide sink, a result of the increased open water due to rapid sea-ice melting, high primary production over the shelf and in marginal ice zones (MIZ), and transport of low pCO₂ waters from the Bering Sea. As a consequence of differences in inflow water masses, relatively low pCO₂ concentrations occurred in the Anadyr waters that dominate the western Bering Strait, and relatively high values in the waters of the Alaskan Coastal Current (ACC) in the eastern strait. The generally lower pCO₂ values found in mid-August compared to at the end of July in the Bering Strait region (66–69°N) are attributed to the presence of phytoplankton blooms. In August, higher pCO₂ than in July between 68.5 and 69°N along 169°W was associated with higher sea-surface temperatures (SST), possibly as an influence of the ACC. In August in the MIZ, pCO₂ was observed to increase along with the temperature, indicating that SST plays an important role when the pack ice melts and recedes.  相似文献   

长江口淡水端淡、盐水混合表层pCO2的急剧变化及其影响机制   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

李岩  张龙军  苏征  王晓亮  潘建明 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2006,36(2):295-298

根据2004年5月长江口淡水端淡、盐水混合初期表层水二氧化碳分压(pCO2)的实测数据,结合水文、化学和生物等要素的同步观测资料,对pCO2的变化及其影响因素进行了研究。研究结果表明:在长江口淡水端盐度0~15的淡、盐水混合初期,表层水pCO2由3 500μatm左右大幅度下降至约1 000μatm。生源要素的补充使生物活动的急剧增加是pCO2以对数形式大幅度降低的主要原因,这一性质显著体现的拐点为(S<0.6,50<浊度<110)这一范围。同时由于生物活动和物理混合作用的分别控制,使得长江口淡水端淡、盐水混合初期表层水碱度与盐度呈二次抛物线关系,拐点处的盐度约为0.6。  相似文献   

A New Fall-Rate Equation for T-5 Expendable Bathythermograph (XBT) by TSK     

Kizu  Shoichi  Yoritaka  Hiroyuki  Hanawa  Kimio 《Journal of Oceanography》2005,61(1):115-121

The accuracy of the manufacturer’s fall-rate equation for the T-5 Model of expendable bathythermograph (XBT) has been investigated based on about 300 collocated pairs of XBT-CTD (Conductivity-Temperature-Depth profiler) measurements in various climatological regions. We found that the equation systematically overestimates depth by about 5% for the T-5 produced by Tsurumi Seiki, Co. Ltd. (TSK), but almost no bias is associated with the T-5 produced by Sippican, Inc., in USA. The cause of this difference is not clear, because the two manufacturers’ T-5 probes are reported to have identical shape and weight in water. We propose a new fall-rate equation for the TSK T-5: z(t) = 6.54071t - 0.0018691t ², where z(t) is depth in meters at time, t, in seconds.  相似文献