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941.
崔臻  盛谦  宋艳华  魏倩 《岩土力学》2012,33(12):3760-3766
在证明随机响应的统计参数可以用传递函数进行直接表达的前提下,将传递函数引入地下洞室群随机地震响应研究中,对白鹤滩水电工程13#机组剖面地下洞群进行了随机地震响应分析,并对之进行了地震动力可靠度的探讨。结果表明:较之常规方法,基于传递函数的方法除可得到洞室群的随机地震响应以外,还可同时得到洞室群的地震响应频谱特性,并可以直接利用传递函数得到确定性地震动输入下洞室群的响应值进行验证,显示对问题的研究具有更加深刻的优势;将所得到的随机地震响应结果与基于传递函数的确定性估算结果,与实际时程计算得到的确定性结果比较,吻合良好;首次采用超越破坏理论对地下洞室群进行地震动力可靠度分析的可行性,为地下工程抗震可靠度计算中如何以动力方式考虑地震荷载的随机性提供了一些新思路。  相似文献   
942.
1992- 2005 年中国旅游业全要素生产率及省际差异   总被引:23,自引:2,他引:21  
左冰  保继刚 《地理学报》2008,63(4):417-427
全要素生产率是评价一个国家或地区经济增长质量和技术进步的基本指标。本文采用生产函数法对1992-2005年中国旅游业全要素生产率(TTFP)以及旅游经济增长方式进行研究,分析TTFP变化与旅游增长之间的关系,探讨各省旅游增长方式的演化过程与变化趋势,得出了以下结论:①中国旅游业属于典型的(劳动)要素驱动型增长方式,劳动力要素投入对中国旅游经济增长的贡献为63.69%;②旅游业年均技术进步速度(TTFP)为2.91%,技术进步速度缓慢的原因主要在于投资效率低下和基础设施投资不足;③旅游业技术进步是旅游业增长的充分条件而非必要条件,旅游吸引物在空间上的"不可移动性"和不发达地区的"飞地旅游"性质决定了旅游业的技术扩散方式从根本上有别于传统产业,它既不受制于区域经济发展水平,与区域地理位置也不具有对应性;④中国各省旅游业增长方式与发展水平已经出现了明显的分化,并且差异正在逐年扩大,技术进步速度(TTFP)差异是导致各省旅游发展水平分化的原因,如果各省TTFP差异继续扩大,可能会进一步加大各省旅游业发展水平的差距,加强旅游业公共服务领域的建设对于推动中国旅游业技术进步和增长质量提高具有决定性作用。  相似文献   
943.
Testate amoebae are now commonly used in paleoenvironmental studies but little is known of their taphonomy. There is some experimental evidence for differential preservation of some testate amoeba shell types over others, but it is unclear what, if any impact this has on palaeoenvironmental reconstruction. To investigate this issue we looked at palaeoecological evidence for the preservation of different shell types. We then investigated the possible impact of selective preservation on quantitative palaeoenvironmental inference. We first used existing palaeoecological data sets to assess the vertical patterns of relative abundance in four testate amoeba shell types: (1) shells made of secreted biosilica plates (idiosomes, e.g. Euglypha), (2) idiosomes with thick organic coating (Assulina), (3) proteinaceous shells (e.g. Hyalosphenia), (4) shells built from recycled organic or mineral particles (xenosomes) (e.g. Difflugia, Centropyxis). In three diagrams a clear pattern of decay was only observed for the idiosome type. In order to assess the implications of differential preservation of testate amoeba taxa for paleoenvironmental reconstruction we then carried out simulations using three existing transfer functions and a wide range of scenarios, downweighting different test categories to represent the impact of selective test decomposition. Simulation results showed that downweighting generally reduced overall model performance. However downweighting a shell type only produced a consistent directional bias in inferred water table depth where that shell type is both dominant and shows a clear preference along the ecological gradient. Applying a scenario derived from previous experimental work did not lead to significant difference in inferred water table. Our results show that differential shell preservation has little impact on paleohydrological reconstruction from Sphagnum-dominated peatlands. By contrast, for the minerotrophic peatlands data-set loss of idiosome tests leads to consistent underestimation of water table depth. However there are few studies from fens and it is possible that idiosome tests are not always dominant, and/or that differential decomposition is less marked than in Sphagnum peatlands. Further work is clearly needed to assess the potential of testate amoebae for paleoecological studies of minerotrophic peatlands.  相似文献   
944.
A major goal of paleolimnological studies is the quantification of past environmental conditions. This is accomplished by computing transfer functions relating organism assemblages to environmental factors. The environmental data are typically comprised of a point sample of water chemistry and other environmental parameters that are collected at the same time as a surface sediment sample. We explore whether the year of sampling of the environmental variables affects the parameterization of organism-environment relations, in particular chironomids, ostracodes and diatoms. Canonical correspondence analyses revealed that the year of sampling is of secondary importance when relating the organism assemblages to environmental variables, but only with the major explanatory variables. A chironomid-inferred bottom water temperature partial least squares transfer function revealed similar performance statistics between the years. Taxon optima and tolerances were computed for both years using weighted averaging, and the results are comparable. A paired t-test computed on the proxy-inferred bottom water temperature values indicated that the results between the 2 years are not statistically different. The results of this study provide guarded optimism that the methodology of estimating transfer functions as currently applied is not entirely determined by the particular year when the data were collected, although more case studies are needed.  相似文献   
945.
天柱山黄山松群落特征及其环境功能评价   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
周葆华  余世金 《地理研究》2008,27(2):257-265
应用样方法,通过野外实地调查、数理统计,分析了天柱山黄山松群落特征和物种多样性;采用因子分析法、专家评价法和模糊评价方法,评价了天柱山黄山松群落环境功能及价值。结果表明:天柱山黄山松群落物种组成较复杂,科属分散,共有52科105属,区系成分多样,覆盖了9个种子植物科的分布区类型,具有明显的从北亚热带常绿阔叶林向暖温带落叶阔叶林过渡的特点;物种多样,乔木层、灌木层、草本层的Shannon-Wiener指数分别为1.9814、2.3175、2.1077,但由于人类活动的影响,乔木层黄山松的相对密度和优势度较大,多样性指数相对较低;群落顺行演替,环境服务功能多样,保护价值较重要。  相似文献   
946.
多灾种综合风险评估软层次模型   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
在复杂的灾害风险系统中,风险并非简单相加,但目前的研究成果基本是单一灾种简单相加得到的综合风险,缺乏可靠性。因此,此研究基于灾害风险系统理论,引入模糊信息粒化方法和模糊转化函数,利用模糊近似推理理论和方法,建立一个多灾种综合风险评估软层次模型。研究表明该模型的优势:1)不仅考虑了灾害风险系统中的确定性,而且还包括了随机不确定性和模糊不确定性;2)利用模糊信息粒化方法不仅减少了数据的不确定性,而且还包括了一些主观信息,使得评估结果更加接近实际,理论与实际紧密结合,更有利于风险管理者和决策者为减少损失规避风险提供依据;3)通过模糊转化函数将不同灾种得到的不同量纲的量转化同一量纲的量,以便于综合分析和模糊近似推理,获得多灾种综合风险。以云南省丽江地区(市)的地震-洪水灾害为例,验证多灾种综合风险评估软层次模型的实用性,并将其结果与世界银行灾害管理中心和哥伦比亚大学灾害和风险研究中心所建议的风险评估模型(HMU-CHRR模型)的结果进行比较分析,讨论了本研究所建模型在多灾种综合风险评估中的特点。  相似文献   
947.
在频率域,利用地震记录反卷积恢复地面运动,由于FFT运算导致的谱泄漏与系统传递函数对高频与低频的放大效果会导致地面运动恢复失败,本研究采用重叠加窗方式,可避免单一加窗的时域失真,并减小频域谱泄漏。结果表明,恢复地面运动取得了较好效果。  相似文献   
948.
We performed an interlaboratory comparison study with the aim to determine the accuracy of cosmogenic 21Ne measurements in quartz. CREU-1 is a natural quartz standard prepared from amalgamated vein clasts which were crushed, thoroughly mixed, and sieved into 125–250 μm and 250–500 μm size fractions. 50 aliquots of CREU-1 were analyzed by five laboratories employing six different noble gas mass spectrometers. The released gas contained a mixture of 16–30% atmospheric and 70–84% non-atmospheric (predominantly cosmogenic) 21Ne, defining a linear array on the 22Ne/20Ne-21Ne/20Ne three isotope diagram with a slope of 1.108 ± 0.014. The internal reproducibility of the measurements is in good agreement with the formal analytical precision for all participating labs. The external reproducibility of the 21Ne concentrations between labs, however, is significantly overdispersed with respect to the reported analytical precision. We report an average reference concentration for CREU-1 of 348 ± 10 × 106 at [21Ne]/g[SiO2], and suggest that the 7.1% (2σ) overdispersion of our measurements may be representative of the current accuracy of cosmogenic 21Ne in quartz. CREU-1 was tied to CRONUS-A, which is a second reference material prepared from a sample of Antarctic sandstone. We propose a reference value of 320 ± 11 × 106 at/g for CRONUS-A. The CREU-1 and CRONUS-A intercalibration materials may be used to improve the consistency of cosmogenic 21Ne to the level of the analytical precision.  相似文献   
949.
This study reports an inter-laboratory comparison of the 3He and 4He concentrations measured in the pyroxene material CRONUS-P. This forms part of the CRONUS-Earth and CRONUS-EU programs, which also produced a series of natural reference materials for in situ produced 26Al, 10Be, 14C, 21Ne and 36Cl.Six laboratories (GFZ Potsdam, Caltech Pasadena, CRPG Nancy, SUERC Glasgow, BGC Berkeley, Lamont New York) participated in this intercomparison experiment, analyzing between 5 and 22 aliquots each. Intra-laboratory results yield 3He concentrations that are consistent with the reported analytical uncertainties, which suggests that 3He is homogeneous within CRONUS-P. The inter-laboratory dataset (66 determinations from the 6 different labs) is characterized by a global weighted mean of (5.02 ± 0.12) × 109 at g−1 with an overdispersion of 5.6% (2σ). 4He is characterized by a larger variability than 3He, and by an inter-lab global weighted mean of (3.60 ± 0.18) × 1013 at g−1 (2σ) with an overdispersion of 10.4% (2σ).There are, however, some systematic differences between the six laboratories. More precisely, 2 laboratories obtained mean 3He concentrations that are about 6% higher than the clustered other 4 laboratories. This systematic bias is larger than the analytical uncertainty and not related to the CRONUS-P material (see Schaefer et al., 2015). Reasons for these inter-laboratory offsets are difficult to identify but are discussed below. To improve the precision of cosmogenic 3He dating, we suggest that future studies presenting cosmogenic 3He results also report the 3He concentration measured in the CRONUS-P material in the lab(s) used in a given study.  相似文献   
950.
There is a lack of detailed guidance in the published literature on how to calibrate 14C measurements made on marine or mixed marine/terrestrial (primarily human remains) samples. We describe what we consider to be the best approach towards achieving the most accurate calibrated age ranges, using the most appropriate ΔR and percentage marine diet estimates, and associated, realistic error terms on these values. However, this approach will increase the calibrated age range(s) by fully accounting for the variability in both the model and the material. While the discussion is based on examples from the UK and Iceland, the same fundamental arguments can be applied in any geographic location largely devoid of C4 plants as the high δ13C values from such plants can make identification of marine intake difficult to determine.  相似文献   
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