一种概率分布的区间数多指标灰色关联模型     

周全  郭健  李爱光  刘凯  金子鑫 《测绘科学技术学报》2017,(5):541-544,550

针对区间数多指标决策问题中评价值的取值概率问题,提出了基于概率分布的区间数多指标灰色关联模型。该模型将区间数距离映射到概率分布函数上,根据灰色关联分析方法的基本思想,计算决策方案与理想方案之间的关联度,通过关联度对决策方案进行排序。最后给出了两个实例分析,验证了该模型计算结果的正确性与有效性。  相似文献   

Chanchu台风(0601)流出层的低理查森数特征分析     

吴天贻  王咏青  周玉淑 《大气科学》2017,41(5):1101-1112

对流层高层存在流出层是台风环流结构的一个典型特征,但是关于台风流出层层结及不稳定特征的分析相对较少。本文利用了非静力中尺度WRF模式输出的0601号Chanchu台风的模式模拟资料,以Ri(理查森数) < 1为判据,分析了存在于Chanchu台风流出层的低理查森数,以及它的分布特征与形成原因。分析表明,在Chanchu台风流出层10~16 km高度附近,低理查森数出现频率较大,甚至达到湍流标准,这与Emmanuel(2011) 推测得出的结论一致。通过对比台风发展过程发生、发展、成熟和消亡阶段流出层低理查森数的状况,发现低理查森数的出现频率与Chanchu台风强度有较好的对应关系,即Chanchu台风强度越强,低理查森数出现的频率越高,范围也越大,同时,Chanchu流出层的低理查森数的存在及分布特征受到水平风的垂直切变和稳定度影响。在Chanchu台风强度缓变过程中,低理查森数的分布还存在日变化,这与太阳辐射日变化导致的辐射加热和冷却造成的稳定度变化有关。分析揭示出存在于Chanchu台风流出层的低理查森数层的结构特征,也验证了低理查森数层对Chanchu台风的强度和辐射日变化具有敏感性。  相似文献   

风浪状态对海面拖曳系数的影响     

史剑  赵栋梁 《海洋湖沼通报》2007,(2):1-6

通过对四种参数化方法的比较,认为风海雷诺数RB较风速、波龄和波陡能更好地描述拖曳系数CDN。利用分组平均法对CDN与RB关系进行处理,得到最佳的CDN参数化方案。利用COARE3算法测试了四种依赖海况的粗糙长度,与实测结果进行了比较,结果表明CDN与RB的关系式更真实地反映了海-气界面动量交换过程。  相似文献   

多向随机波浪的方向谱分析     

李本霞  俞聿修 《海岸工程》2002,21(3):1-7

针对由多点波面资料进行方向谱分析过程中发现的问题，利用数值模拟的方法研究了互谱分析中光滑点数，光滑次数，采样长度，采样间隔，波浪入射方向，波浪的多向性等因素对方向谱分析结果的影响，得出一些有意义的结论。  相似文献   

Stone mobility and longshore transport at reshaping breakwaters     

Alberto Lamberti  Giuseppe R. Tomasicchio   《Coastal Engineering》1997,29(3-4)

Physical model tests have been performed in two different wave flumes to analyse the threshold of stone movement and quantify the frequency and length of displacements due to head-on wave attacks at a reshaping breakwater. Data on stone movements were obtained from the observation of cumulative displacements at the end of each wave attack and from video records during the attack. Threshold conditions, frequency of movement and displacement length are expressed as function of a suitably modified stability number.A simple model is defined relating longshore transport due to oblique wave attack to stone mobility. The transport model is based on the assumption that movement statistics is affected by obliquity only through the appropriate mobility index and that stones move during up- and down-rush in the direction of incident and reflected waves. Without any calibration, results compare favourably with experimental data available in literature in the range of low mobility conditions where movement statistics was observed. A calibration is provided in order to obtain an accurate transport formula valid in a wide mobility range i.e. for reshaping breakwaters and up to gravel beaches.  相似文献   

Effect of Band Width on Fatigue Life under Random Stress Response     

Wu Yisheng Associate Professor 《中国海洋工程》1992,(2)

A fatigue life estimation method for offshore structures under random stress response is studied in this paper. The method of broad band cumulative frequency number is used to determine the effect of band width of stress frequency spectra on fatigue. A formula of correction factor for fatigue under broad band stress spectra is suggested and compared with that given by P. H. Wirsching.  相似文献   

基于不变性矩特征的人工神经网络2-D形状识别     

姬光荣  王国宇  吕洪涛  于青松 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》1996,(2)

在2—D不变性矩快速计算的基础上，利用人工神经网络，使用不变性矩完成2—D形状的识别。实验结果与现有文献的结果比较，本文采用的方法具有特征数目少、意义统一、识别快速、准确的特点。  相似文献   

PRESEMO a predictive model of codend selectivity a tool for fishery managers     

O'Neill  F. G.; Herrmann  B. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2007,64(8):1558-1568

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Study of evolution forecast of the area of the Huanghe River mouth     

Guo Yongsheng  Xu Xuegong  Fan Zhaomu  Wu Peihong  Zhu Xiaoge 《海洋学报(英文版)》1993,12(2):249-259

From 1979 to 1989, the current Qingshuigou course of the Huanghe River formed a sub - delta which resembles a beak extending into the Laizhou Bay. It covers 618 km2 in area. To meet the needs of developing and constructing the Huanghe River Delta and under the presupposition of keeping the current course for 15-20 a, we forecast mainly by using the OM (1, 1) model that the front border of the sub-delta will be close to 119°30'E and its area will become 923 km2by the end of the year 2000. The Huanghe River will make land 760 km2 in area.  相似文献   

An Advanced Probabilistic Neural Network for the Design of Breakwater Armor Blocks     

Dookie KIM  Dong Hyawn KIM  Seongkyu CHANG  Gil Lim YOON 《中国海洋工程》2007,21(4):597-610

In this study,an advanced probabilistic neural network(APNN)method is proposed to reflect the global probability density function(PDF)by summing up the heterogeneous local PDF which is automatically determined in the individual standard deviation of variables.The APNN is applied to predict the stability number of armor blocks of breakwaters using the experimental data of van der Meer,and the estimated results of the APNN are compared with those of an empirical formula and a previous artificial neural network(ANN)model.The APNN shows better results in predicting the stability number of armor blocks of breakwater and it provided the promising probabilistic viewpoints by using the individual standard deviation in a variable.  相似文献