上海市南部地区地震危险性分析     

朱子沾 《上海国土资源》1992,(1):24-30,39

本文通过对工作区内地震地质、地球物理场特征研究,确定了场区周围九个潜在震源区,分析计算得出各潜在震源区的地震活动性参数。用概率论的方法,以洪华生等人提出的《断层—破裂模型》计算得到上海市南部地区地震烈度年超越概率以及10、20、50、100、200、300、500年内场区的地震影响烈度超越概率,并对这一地区的地震危险性进行了估计。  相似文献   

On the crust structure near focus and the far-field body wave synthetic seismograms     

Dong-Sheng Li  Hui-Lan Zhou 《地震学报(英文版)》1993,6(4):823-831

In this paper we discuss two types of crust models with abnormal density, velocity of wave and certain geometrical structures. The far-field synthetic seismograms of P and SH wave are calculated by the far-field vertical displacement formulas of P and SH waves with the double couple point source and the formulas of reflection coefficient, radiation pattern and travelling time difference derived from the models suggested in the paper. It is shown by the results that the effect of special crust structures near focus on the far-field seismograms can be ignored if the densities and wave velocity of the special structure are less than average those of the crust (model I). However the effect should be noticed if the densities and wave velosities of the structure are large than average those of the crust (modelI). The effect of the special crust structure on the far-field seismograms has not been studied further before. Seismic records of the Haicheng earthquake and the crust structure in Haicheng region are studied by the calculation method in the paper. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 1993.  相似文献   

地震前兆异常时间分布非线性特征的初步探讨——以海城地震和唐山地震为例   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

邓志辉  马瑾 《地震地质》1993,15(3):213-219

震源系统是一个与外界既有物质交换又有能量交换的耗散系统,在其发展演化过程中会经历一系列的分岔突变。作者运用非线性动力学的方法,分析了海城地震和唐山地震的前兆资料。研究结果表明,前兆异常活动具有阶段性,相邻两个异常阶段的持续时间的比值为一常量(5左右)。这种前兆时间分布规律可用震源体内应变能密度随孕震时间的增加发生倍周期分岔进行解析。它可用于预测主震的发生时间  相似文献   

Meanders caused by hyperconcentrated water flow: An example from the loess plateau,China     

Xu Jiongxin 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1993,18(8):687-702

This paper describes meandering alluvial rivers with mean annual suspended-sediment concentrations of more than 100 kgm^?3 on the Loess Plateau, China, and explains their formation as caused by the effect of hyperconcentrated water flow. When the river is dominated by hyperconcentrated flow, the rate of energy expenditure required for sediment transport declines significantly. Accordingly, the river channel adjusts itself to a lower channel gradient by increasing the river length, resulting in a meandering channel. Since the stable transportation of sediment by hyperconcentrated flow is dependent on river channel boundary conditions, the latter play an important role in the formation of meanders of this kind. The paper also discusses the conditions for the discrimination of meandering and braided rivers in this area.  相似文献   

对华北一次特大台风暴雨过程的位涡诊断分析   总被引：59，自引：23，他引：36  

于玉斌  姚秀萍 《高原气象》2000,19(1):111-120

通过对９６０８号台风低压及其外围暴雨位和等熵面上物理量场的分析,揭示了台风低压北上诱发暴雨过程的位涡场的结构及冷空气对暴雨增幅的作用,给出此次暴雨增幅过程的图像。分析表明：对流层低层中高纬度冷空气（高位涡）扩散南下在台风低压环流区附近的“侵入”作用是此次特大暴雨过程的最重要的原因之一;等熵面位涡的分析进一步说明了中高纬地区冷空气的活动状况;对流层高层或平流层低层位涡的下传有利于位势不稳定能量的释放  相似文献   

西北地区近期地壳水平运动与构造变形特征   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

张希  刘文义  王双绪  王文萍  张晓亮  崔笃信  薛富平 《中国地震》2006,22(1):43-55

利用截止2004年的西北地区GPS和跨祁连-龙首山构造带的红外测距观测资料，借助最小二乘配置、弹性块体边界负位错模型及单一力源反演，研究昆仑山口西8．1级大震前后西北地区水平形变应变场的动态演化特征；尤其是大震3年后，即当前的构造形变与应力场态势；获取活动块体及其边界断裂上可能反映中强以上孕震背景的高应变能积累区、段，以及可能的潜在震源。结果表明：青藏块体北缘地区经8．1级大震后的短期松弛和调整，目前正在恢复印度板块北东向碰撞推挤背景场的主控作用。而北天山构造带中段及其与西段的交汇区、南天山构造带中西段及其与西昆仑构造带的交汇区、阿尔金断裂中段、祁连山构造带中东段及其与海原断裂的交汇区、西秦岭北缘断裂与庄浪河断裂东南延伸线的交汇区域等具有相对高应变能积累背景；临泽与海原这两个地区也反映一定程度的应变能积累状态。  相似文献   

塔里木盆地喀什凹陷北缘烃源岩潜力探讨   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

达江  宋岩  赵孟军  傅国友  杨芝林 《新疆地质》2007,25(1):77-80

对喀什凹陷北缘烃源岩进行了综合评价分析,通过对喀什凹陷北缘3套潜在烃源岩的分布、有机质丰度、类型、成熟度的对比分析,认为喀什凹陷北缘石炭系海相碳酸盐岩分布有限,综合评价指标较差,为非烃源岩;二叠系海陆过渡相泥岩分布较广,为差烃源岩;侏罗系煤系源岩分布虽然局限,但是厚度大,评价指标好,是喀什凹陷主要的烃源岩.石炭系碳酸盐岩和二叠系泥岩不具备为大中型气田提供烃源的潜质.  相似文献   

Delineation of potential groundwater zones based on multicriteria decision making technique          下载免费PDF全文

Dinagarapandi Pandi  Saravanan Kothandaraman  Mohan Kuppusamy 《地下水科学与工程》2020,8(2):180-194

Groundwater is the most prioritized water source in India and plays an indispensable role in India's economy. The groundwater potential mapping is key to the sustainable groundwater development and management. A hybrid methodology is applied to delineate potential groundwater zones based on remote sensing, geographical information systems(GIS) and analytic hierarchy process(AHP) as on multicriteria decision making. For the purpose of demonstrating field application, Chittar watershed, Tamilnadu, India is studied as an example. The important morphological characteristics considered in the study are lithology, geomorphology, lineament density, drainage density, slope, and Soil Conservation Service–Curve Number(SCS-CN). These six thematic layers are generated in a GIS platform. Based on intersecting the layers, AHP method, the values for adopting the pairwise comparison normalized weight and normalized subclasses weightage were given. The normalized subclass weightage is input into each layer subclass. Then, weighted linear combination method is used to add the data layers in GIS platform to generate groundwater potential Index(GWPI) map. The GWPI map is validated based on the net recharge computed from the differences of measured groundwater levels between the pre-monsoon and post-monsoon in the year 2018. The kappa statistics are used to measure level spatial consistency between the GWPI and net recharge map. The overall average spatial matching accuracy between the two data sets is 0.86, while the kappa coefficient for GWPI with net recharge, 0.78. The results show that in Chittar watershed about 870 km~2 area is divided into high potential zone(i.e. sum of very high and high potential zone), 667 km~2 area, as the moderate one and the rest 105 km~2 area, as the poor zone(i.e. sum of very poor and poor potential zone).  相似文献   

南北地震带地震活动分析   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

韩守琪 《内陆地震》1998,12(1):36-43

在综合分析有关南北地震带研究成果的基础上重点分析了南北地震带活动特征;根据该带地震活动特点和规律提出了南北地震带目前处于新的活动期;预测了今后发生强震的潜在危险区（段）为南北地震带的中北段。  相似文献   

地震前兆复杂性成因机理研究的讨论（一）：地震前兆复杂性的表现形式   总被引：10，自引：2，他引：8  

焦明若  张国民 《地震》1998,18(1):14-20

通过国内外成功与失败的震例分析,介绍了地震前兆共性的一面,如在台网具有一定监测能力的地区,如果发生６级以上地震,震前总能或多或少地观测到异常现象。地震越大震前异常越多,分布越广,持续时间越长,异常幅度也较大,同时章着重对前兆复杂性的表现形式进行了较系统的归纳,整理,主要从以下几方面进行了分析,异常与地震关系的不确定性,主要表现在除了“有异常有地震”和“无异常无地震”的理论情况外,还存在“有异常无  相似文献