南水北调中线工程不同调水规模对汉江中下游影响分析   总被引：18，自引：2，他引：16  

沈大军 《地理学报》1998,53(4):341-348

南水北调中线工程是解决我国北方地区水资源紧缺的重大战略措施。但调水将给汉江中下游的水文情势及用水带来一定的影响。文章分析了丹江口水库不同调水方案对汉江中下游水位、流量及灌溉和航运的影响,并提出补偿工程措施。调水６０×１０８ｍ３对汉江中下游的影响较小,可基本不予补偿;调水１５０×１０８ｍ３的影响稍重,但对航运和灌溉用水的影响不大,适当补偿可以解决;调水２３０×１０８ｍ３对汉江中下游水位流量及用水的影响十分严重,必须全部渠化并修建江汉运河。  相似文献   

鲁南地区城市房屋震害预测     

何钧  杜宪宋 《高原地震》1998,(2)

在文献调查和现场调查的基础上,对鲁南地震重点监视防御区内城市房屋建筑的抗震能力做了分析,给出了抗震救灾重要房屋的单体预测结果、现有房屋的群体预测结果,并对房屋破坏造成的直接经济损失、人员伤亡进行了预测。文中指出了现有房屋的抗震薄弱环节,为该地区采取防震减灾对策提供了依据。  相似文献   

三峡工程岩体破坏分析中面连通率研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

李义连  满作武  薛果夫 《地质科技情报》1998,(Z2)

介绍了面连通率在岩体破坏研究中的表述方法。连通率的大小可反映破坏概率的大小。选择可能滑动面进行连通率计算方法有：多个结构面组成的折面;单个结构面的扩展面。两种面连通率均反映了在空间平面上结构面的发育程度,揭露更多隐藏的破坏性信息,有利于定量、定位分析岩体稳定性。  相似文献   

三峡工程船闸高边坡岩体稳定性预测方法研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李义连  满作武  薛果夫 《地质科技情报》1998,(Z2)

三峡船闸高边坡岩体稳定性主要影响因素为结构面发育情况。施工期地质超前预报,着重从结构面网络角度进行处理,其方法为：编录统计整理结构面,建立高边坡的三维立体网络图形;岩体质量分析,进行概率模型与确定性模型的耦合模拟;块体判断分析,对临空面块体、内部块体进行判断、搜索、分析;稳定性计算分析。  相似文献   

某些测震学指标与地震相关性研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

张军  黄显良 《地震》1998,18(2):171-176

通过对１０项测震学指示宾１０ａ的大范围时空扫描得出的有震和无震“预报”进行了与５．０级以上的地震的相关性研究,结果证明这１０项指标当显性水平较低时,均可通过统计检验,表明是有效的提取异常指标。作还依统计检验结果对１０项测震学指标与地震相关性好坏进行了排序,并通过分析得到各指标今后优化方向．  相似文献   

察尔汗盐湖盐田渗漏及其工程地质条件分析     

王石军 《化工矿产地质》1998,20(4):301-307

１９８１年以来对察尔汗盐湖三次渗漏试验结果表明,盐田渗漏是盐田土层与外界条件综合作用的结果,在盐田建设和生产管理过程中,应结合不同地点的土层特性、工程地质条件和其它有关条件,采取不同的处理措施。  相似文献   

9210工程省级计算机网络与原有气象业务系统间的应用结合     

秦亚军  谢今范  马吉祥  李宗文 《气象》1998,24(12):39-42

通过网络互联,实现了现有气象业务系统利用卫星网提供的实时观测数据,提高了预报工作的实效性。  相似文献   

The spatial and temporal changes inV p /V s before strong earthquakes in Kamchatka     

G. A. Sobolev  L. B. Slavina 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1977,115(4):1047-1060

A method was developed to obtain from a signal station the spatial and temporal distribution ofV _p /V _s ratios before earthquakes of magnitude>6. It was shown thatV _p /V _s values strongly depend upon the relative positions of the stations, the future large earthquake and the foci of the smaller earthquakes used forV _p /V _s determination. The appearance of a zone of anomalousV _p /V _s values with linear dimensions of the order of 100 km was noted at least 4 years before a deep earthquake of magnitude 7. Similar size anomalous zones were detected one year before some magnitude 6 earthquakes. V _p /V _s values decreased by a small but distinct amount during this time. Additionally, local short term minima inV _p /V _s ratios were observed some months before the major event. The epicenters of the large earthquakes were located within the 100 km size zone where the gradients of theV _p /V _s field were largest.  相似文献   

测绘技术进步状况和2010年定位方向预测分析     

郭淑香  刘长生 《地理信息世界》2000,(1)

该文是对测绘技术进步对经济发展的作用进行定量分析，并运用经济、数学、统计等科学方法，依据产出增长数学方程，对测绘生产单位产值增长、技术进步速度和水平等进行测算，预测２０１０年测绘生产发展规模、技术水平等，提出对策建议，供管理决策者及部门参考。  相似文献   

The Dependence of the Geoeffectiveness of Interplanetary Flux Rope on Its Orientation,with Possible Application to Geomagnetic Storm Prediction     

Yuming Wang  Pinzhong Ye  S. Wang 《Solar physics》2007,240(2):373-386

Interplanetary magnetic clouds (MCs) are one of the main sources of large non-recurrent geomagnetic storms. With the aid of a force-free flux rope model, the dependence of the intensity of geomagnetic activity (indicated by Dst index) on the axial orientation (denoted by θ and φ in GSE coordinates) of the magnetic cloud is analyzed theoretically. The distribution of the Dst values in the (θ, φ) plane is calculated by changing the axial orientation for various cases. It is concluded that (i) geomagnetic storms tend to occur in the region of θ<0°, especially in the region of θ≲−45°, where larger geomagnetic activity could be created; (ii) the intensity of geomagnetic activity varies more strongly with θ than with φ; (iii) when the parameters B ₀ (the magnetic field strength at the flux rope axis), R ₀ (the radius of the flux rope), or V (the bulk speed) increase, or |D| (the shortest distance between the flux rope axis and the x-axis in GSE coordinates) decreases, a flux rope not only can increase the intensity of geomagnetic activity, but also is more likely to create a storm, however the variation of n (the density) only has a little effect on the intensity; (iv) the most efficient orientation (MEO) in which a flux rope can cause the largest geomagnetic activity appears at φ∼0° or ∼ 180°, and some value of θ which depends mainly on D; (v) the minimum Dst value that could be caused by a flux rope is the most sensitive to changes in B ₀ and V of the flux rope, and for a stronger and/or faster MC, a wider range of orientations will be geoeffective. Further, through analyzing 20 MC-caused moderate to large geomagnetic storms during 1998 – 2003, a long-term prediction of MC-caused geomagnetic storms on the basis of the flux rope model is proposed and assessed. The comparison between the theoretical results and the observations shows that there is a close linear correlation between the estimated and observed minimum Dst values. This suggests that using the ideal flux rope to predict practical MC-caused geomagnetic storms is applicable. The possibility of the long-term prediction of MC-caused geomagnetic storms is discussed briefly.  相似文献