广东省东江流域降雨时空变化特征多角度分析     

李宁宁  邱静  陈晓宏  李泽君  陈颖毅 《水文》2023,43(4)

在人类活动和气候变化的复杂影响下,广东省东江流域的降雨特征在66年间发生了显著改变,为了精准识别其时空变化特征,基于流域34个雨量站逐月长序列降雨数据,采用集中度、集中期、OLS回归法、M-K检验法、滑动t检验法、一维连续小波等多种方法,对广东省东江流域上下游降雨的年内分布特征,年际变化的趋势性、突变性和周期性特征以及空间变化规律开展多角度分析。结果表明：广东省东江流域降雨量从东北向西南递减;从上游到下游,年内降雨集中期从6月延迟到7月份,降雨由减少过渡到弱增长趋势;下游突变性较上游显著,上游周期性强于下游;上下游降雨主周期一致,均为17 a。研究成果可为广东省东江流域降雨预报及水资源开发利用等相关研究提供支撑。  相似文献   

Invisible face of COVID-19 pandemic on the freshwater environment: An impact assessment on the sediment quality of a cross boundary river basin in Turkey     

Cem Tokatlı 《国际泥沙研究》2022,37(2):139-150

In the current research,the impact of the COVID-19 lockdown period on sediment quality of the MericErgene River Basin was evaluated by determining the potentially toxic elements（PTEs） in sediment samples collected from 25 sampling points in the basin.Also some important ecological indicators including potential ecological risk index（PERI）,contamination factor（CF）,pollution load index（PLI）,biological risk index（BRI）,and geo-accumulation index(I_geo) and some important statistical indica...  相似文献   

Luminescence dating reveals a rapid response to climate change of fluvial terrace formation along the Ani River,northeastern Japan,during the last glacial period     

《Quaternary Geochronology》2022

Fluvial terraces along the middle reaches of many Japanese rivers were formed during the last glacial period as a result of changes in sediment discharge related to cooler temperatures and/or reduced water discharge because of lower precipitation. The influence of climate change on these fluvial terraces is not yet fully understood because most previous studies lacked detailed reconstructions of the chronology of terrace development. This study provides a detailed luminescence chronology of fluvial terrace deposits along the Ani River, northeastern Honshu, Japan, and compares that chronology to paleoclimatic records. Eight samples for luminescence dating were obtained from an outcrop of terrace deposits (∼10 m thick) in the Ani River valley. The fading-corrected infrared stimulated luminescence (IRSL) ages are consistent with the fading-corrected post-IR IRSL ages for some samples, which suggests that fading corrections were effective despite the higher fading rates of the IRSL signal. However, for the other samples, the post-IR IRSL ages are significantly older than the fading-corrected IRSL ages due to incomplete bleaching. The pulsed IRSL signals are close to field saturation for older samples, which might have resulted in a greater variation of the ages. Fading-corrected IRSL ages demonstrate periods of rapid aggradation during 105–90 ka and 75–60 ka. Comparison of terrace development with paleoclimatic records indicates that the two periods of fluvial deposition correspond to decreases in precipitation caused by weakened East Asian summer monsoon precipitation and possibly decreases in temperature. The results of this study show that the Ani River responded rapidly to climate change on a time scale of a few tens of thousands of years during the last glacial period.  相似文献   

扬子地块西缘天全新元古代过铝质花岗岩类成因机制及其构造动力学背景   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

赖绍聪  秦江锋  朱韧之  赵少伟 《岩石学报》2015,31(8):2245-2258

四川西部天全地区花岗岩属于扬子地块西缘岩浆岩带,是"康滇地轴"北段的重要组成部分。岩石形成年龄为851±15Ma(MSWD=0.7),属于新元古代花岗岩,与扬子地块西缘和北缘大量的中酸性侵入体和火山岩具有相近的形成年龄。火夹沟花岗闪长岩为过铝质、低Si O2、具有相对亏损的Sr-Nd-Pb同位素地球化学组成,结合岩石低的Al2O3/Ti O2和高的Ca O/Na2O比值,其应是在镁铁质岩浆底侵的条件下,成熟度较低的杂砂岩部分熔融形成的过铝质熔体,岩石较低的Si O2含量表明其同化了部分镁铁质熔体。而角脚坪花岗岩具有高的Si O2含量,为过铝质、富Na的熔体,而且具有极度亏损的Sr-Nd同位素组成,表明其应是亏损的玄武质岩石(洋壳或是与地幔柱有关的玄武岩)在H2O饱和条件下发生低程度部分熔融形成的过铝质熔体。结合扬子西缘其它新元古代火成岩的地球化学特征及区域构造资料,我们认为天全地区的Na质花岗闪长岩-花岗岩组合代表在高地温梯度条件下,玄武质岩石在H2O饱和条件下发生部分熔融形成的过铝质花岗岩。  相似文献   

Re–Os and U–Pb Geochronology of Porphyry and Skarn Types Copper Deposits in Jilin Province,NE China          下载免费PDF全文

Yong Zhang  Shu–Wen Xing  Quan–Heng Song  Yan Wang  Zheng–Tao Yu  Xiao–Hui Du  Yu–Bo Ma  Zeng–Jie Zhang 《Resource Geology》2015,65(4):394-404

Jilin Province in NE China lies on the eastern edge of the Xing–Meng Orogenic Belt. Mineral exploration in this area has resulted in the discovery of numerous large, medium, and small sized Cu, Mo, Au, and Co deposits. To better understand the formation and distribution of both the porphyry and skarn types Cu deposits of the region, we examined the geological characteristics of the deposits and applied zircon U–Pb and molybdenite Re–Os isotope dating to constrain the age of the mineralization. The Binghugou Cu deposit yields a zircon U–Pb age for quartz diorite of 128.1 ± 1.6 Ma; the Chang'anpu Cu deposit yields a zircon U–Pb age for granite porphyry of 117.0 ± 1.4 Ma; the Ermi Cu deposit yields a zircon U–Pb age for granite porphyry of 96.8 ± 1.1 Ma; the Tongshan Cu deposit yields molybdenite Re–Os model ages of 128.7 to 130.2 Ma, an isochron age of 129.0 ± 1.6 Ma, and a weighted mean model age of 129.2 ± 0.7 Ma; and the Tianhexing Cu deposit yields molybdenite Re–Os model ages of 113.9 to 115.2 Ma, an isochron age of 114.7 ± 1.2 Ma, and a weighted mean model age of 114.7 ± 0.7 Ma. The new ages, combined with existing geochronology data, show that intense porphyry and skarn types Cu mineralization was coeval with Cretaceous magmatism. The geotectonic processes responsible for the genesis of the Cu mineralization were probably related to lithospheric thinning. By analyzing the accumulated molybdenite Re–Os, zircon U–Pb, and Ar–Ar ages for NE China, it is concluded that the Cu deposits formed during multiple events coinciding with periods of magmatic activity. We have identified five phases of mineralization: early Paleozoic (~476 Ma), late Paleozoic (286.5–273.6 Ma), early Mesozoic (~228.7 Ma), Jurassic (194.8–137.1 Ma), and Cretaceous (131.2–96.8 Ma). Although Cu deposits formed during each phase, most of the Cu mineralization occurred during the Cretaceous.  相似文献   

Photometric study of the short-period eclipsing binary V441 Lac     

《New Astronomy》2015

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基于TIGGE资料的地面气温延伸期多模式集成预报   总被引：4，自引：3，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

崔慧慧  智协飞 《大气科学学报》2013,36(2):165-173

基于TIGGE资料中心提供的CMC、ECMWF、UKMO及NCEP四个集合预报中心2008年7月1日-9月30日北半球中纬度地区地面气温10 ～ 15 d延伸期集合预报产品,首先采用Tala-grand分布及离散度—误差关系评估了单个预报系统的预报性能,然后分别利用多模式集成平均(Ensemble Mean,EMN)、消除偏差集成平均(Bias-Removed Ensemble Mean,BREM)及多模式超级集合(Multi-model Superensemble,SUP)对地面气温进行多模式集成预报试验.由于逐日的延伸期预报准确率相对较低,因此人们更关注延伸期预报对天气过程的预报准确率.对各个集合预报系统的逐日预报资料以及逐日“观测”资料做滑动平均,并对处理后的资料进行多模式集成,最后对超级集合预报的训练期长度进行调试,以获得最佳训练期长度.结果表明,四个集合预报系统的离散度相对于均方根误差都偏小,ECMWF预报效果最好,NCEP次之,UKMO预报效果最差.EMN、BREM及SUP三种多模式集成方法的预报效果均优于单个系统且SUP对预报效果的改善最明显.滑动平均后,预报误差进一步降低,且滑动步长越长,误差越小.对于SUP的训练期,逐日预报和3d滑动平均10～12 d预报最佳训练期长度为75 d;13 ～ 15 d预报最佳训练期长度为35 d;5 d及7d滑动平均其训练期长度在各个时效均以35 d为宜.  相似文献   

1961—2017年辽宁省旱涝急转现象时空演变特征     

李倩  林毅  于琳琳  王大钧  林蓉  林益同  赵春雨 《气象与环境学报》2020,36(5):33-39

利用1961-2017年辽宁省61个气象站逐月降水数据,以5-8月为研究时段建立旱涝急转指数（drought-flood abrupt alternation index,DFAI）序列,采用线性倾向法、趋势分析、阶段性分析、T检验、ArcGIS空间插值等方法对辽宁省降水集中期的旱涝急转现象进行时空特征分析。结果表明：1961-2017年辽宁省降水集中期DFAI总体以-0.7/（10 a）的速率下降,有13 a出现旱转涝,有19 a出现涝转旱;DFAI强度以0.1/（10 a）的速率略呈上升趋势。近57 a,辽宁省旱转涝多发生在20世纪60年代,涝转旱多发生在20世纪70年代和20世纪初之后,1989年出现了涝转旱的突变,发生频率呈增多趋势,1994年又出现旱转涝的突变,发生频率呈减少趋势。典型旱转涝年（2013年）,DFAI的高值区分布在中、西部地区;典型涝转旱年（2014年）,DFAI绝对值的高值区分布在东北部和中西部地区。DFAI变化率在空间分布上具有明显的中、北部增多,东、西部减少的趋势差异。  相似文献   

樟树市气象干旱特征及重现期分析          下载免费PDF全文

刘喆玥  韩会明  赖亮  杨立苑  徐全倩 《气象与减灾研究》2020,43(2):117-122

利用樟树市1960—2018年逐月降水和气温资料,计算标准化降水蒸散指数（SPEI）,并结合游程理论和Copula函数分析了该地区干旱特征。结果表明：樟树市干旱形势总体上趋于缓和,干旱历时和干旱烈度均呈减弱趋势,且呈现出良好的相关性;Frank-Copula函数可作为描述该地区干旱历时和干旱烈度的二维联合分布最优函数;在相同干旱历时和烈度下,“且”的重现期大于“或”的重现期,樟树市历史干旱事件的干旱历时多小于5个月,“且”的重现期小于10 a。  相似文献   

低频天气图预报方法的思索     

孙国武  冯建英 《干旱气象》2013,(3):558-560

对当前国内推广应用低频天气图延伸期天气过程预报方法需要思考和探索的几个问题：气象服务需求、完善技术方法、今后如何发展等提出了一些见解,供推广应用低频天气图延伸期天气过程预报方法的有关省市自治区业务单位思索。  相似文献