边界层参数化影响“梅花”台风的敏感性试验   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

王晨稀 《地球科学进展》2013,28(2):197-208

以GRAPES-TCM为试验模式,对1109台风“梅花”进行了36次72 h的预报试验,通过试验分析了2种边界层参数化方案——MRF方案与YSU方案在不同情况下对台风预报的影响.结果显示:“梅花”路径与强度对边界层方案的变化都表现出一定的敏感性,敏感性大小与对流参数化方案、台风的初始强度等因素有关,强度的敏感性比路径更明显;对弱台风的路径与强度,YSU方案的总体预报效果优于MRF方案,对于强台风,2种边界层方案中MRF方案的路径预报效果更好,哪种方案的强度预报效果更好与对流参数化方案有关;无论何种情况,YSU方案预报的“梅花”强度都明显强于MRF方案,YSU方案预报的降水及感热通量与潜热通量总体上大于MRF方案;YSU方案时更多的感热通量和潜热通量与该方案时边界层更强的湍流混合有关,更多的潜热通量导致更多的降水,从而释放更多的潜热,更多的潜热释放以及更多的感热通量导致台风强度更强.  相似文献   

Using mobile laser scanning data for automated extraction of road markings     

《ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing》2014

A mobile laser scanning (MLS) system allows direct collection of accurate 3D point information in unprecedented detail at highway speeds and at less than traditional survey costs, which serves the fast growing demands of transportation-related road surveying including road surface geometry and road environment. As one type of road feature in traffic management systems, road markings on paved roadways have important functions in providing guidance and information to drivers and pedestrians. This paper presents a stepwise procedure to recognize road markings from MLS point clouds. To improve computational efficiency, we first propose a curb-based method for road surface extraction. This method first partitions the raw MLS data into a set of profiles according to vehicle trajectory data, and then extracts small height jumps caused by curbs in the profiles via slope and elevation-difference thresholds. Next, points belonging to the extracted road surface are interpolated into a geo-referenced intensity image using an extended inverse-distance-weighted (IDW) approach. Finally, we dynamically segment the geo-referenced intensity image into road-marking candidates with multiple thresholds that correspond to different ranges determined by point-density appropriate normality. A morphological closing operation with a linear structuring element is finally used to refine the road-marking candidates by removing noise and improving completeness. This road-marking extraction algorithm is comprehensively discussed in the analysis of parameter sensitivity and overall performance. An experimental study performed on a set of road markings with ground-truth shows that the proposed algorithm provides a promising solution to the road-marking extraction from MLS data.  相似文献   

面向灾害风险评估的热带气旋路径及强度随机模拟综述   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

方伟华  石先武 《地球科学进展》2012,27(8):866-875

历史热带气旋记录时间序列较短空间差异大,热带气旋灾害风险评估经常面临样本不足,特别是超强台风及巨灾记录历史样本的问题,从而导致传统概率统计方法失效。过去20多年来,逐渐发展出一套完整的方法体系进行热带气旋路径及强度随机模拟,其特点是充分利用历史总体样本信息,生成大量符合历史样本特征的热带气旋路径及强度随机事件样本集,从而有效地解决了局地历史样本不足的问题。在回顾热带气旋的年频次、季节分布、路径分布、强度及影响范围时空规律研究进展基础上,系统综述了用于热带气旋路径及随机模拟的起始点模型、行进模型、终止点模型、洋面强度模型、陆地衰减模型及结果检验方法等领域的进展及不足,然后对其在世界各地的应用进行了概述,并对未来研究改进方向及应用领域进行了展望。  相似文献   

地震作用下含弱面斜坡变形破坏实验研究     

王来贵  闫杰  马乐  何峰 《工程地质学报》2012,20(4):471-477

为了研究含弱面斜坡在强震作用下变形破坏规律,对含单一弱面的3组斜坡模型模拟地震作用下的变形破坏,并用数字散斑相关方法对实验结果进行处理,得到斜坡模型位移和应变。从实验结果可以发现:位移和应变变形均集中在弱面上,随着震动的持续,这种变形积累最终导致斜坡发生破坏; 模型对比中可以发现,在斜坡体内弱面越深则斜坡稳定性越强,在斜坡体内弱面越长则斜坡稳定性越弱。分析模型最初在顶部出现裂缝和沿弱面发生滑动的原因。  相似文献   

藏北高原地面加热场的变化及其对气候的影响   总被引：16，自引：9，他引：16  

季国良  时兴和  高务祥 《高原气象》2001,20(3):239-244

利用 1994— 1996年在藏北高原五道梁所观测得到的地面能量收支资料 ,结合同期的大气环流进行了分析研究。结果表明 :高原北部地面加热场强度的变化与高原西部相似 ,而与高原主体东半部的变化相反 ;冬季前期 11月的地面积雪过程对决定整个冬季地面加热场的性质具有重要的意义 ;高原冬季地面热状况的异常 ,引起夏季加热场的异常 ,这可能是造成大气环流异常的原因之一 ,从而影响我国的气候环境 ,因此对高原地面加热场的监测可以为短期气候预测提供依据。  相似文献   

斜压大气中热带气旋运动特征的动力分析   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

雷小途  陈联寿 《地球物理学报》2001,44(4):467-476

从绝热、无摩擦、无环境场作用条件下的原始方程组出发,讨论了热带气旋的动力平衡特征,并分别导出了正、斜压大气中综合描述热带气旋中心强度变化的物理量(dI/dt)及其动力平衡关系式,进而分析了正、斜压大气中的热带气旋强度变化及移动的特征.结果表明:热带气旋的定常运动具有"相当地转风平衡”的特征,其等"压能”线和等位涡线均与流线重合;"β涡旋对”及由高(低)层水平风正(负)垂直切变产生的"切变涡旋对”之间的"通风气流”均使热带气旋的强度减弱,高(低)层涡度的负(正)垂直平流则增强热带气旋的强度;热带气旋的中心有向极、向高(低)层涡度垂直平流的梯(升)度方向移动的趋势,垂直运动及高、低层水平风速垂直切变的非对称结构对热带气旋的移动有影响;"γ效应”则是"通风气流”牵引热带气旋移动的动力机制之一.  相似文献   

Treatment of earthquake ground motion using regionalized variables     

James R. Carr  Charles E. Glass 《Mathematical Geology》1985,17(3):221-241

  相似文献   

Shaking table tests on the lateral response of a pile buried in liquefied sand   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

J.R. Dungca  J. Kuwano  A. Takahashi  T. Saruwatari  J. Izawa  H. Suzuki  K. Tokimatsu 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2006,26(2-4):287-295

This paper presents an experimental study on the lateral resistance of a pile subjected to liquefaction-induced lateral flow. To observe the soil surrounding the pile during liquefaction, it was modeled as a buried cylinder that corresponded to a sectional model of the prototype pile at a certain depth in the subsoil. In order to create a realistic stress condition in the model ground, the model was prepared in a sealed container and the overburden pressure was applied to the ground surface by a rubber pressure bag. The model pile was actuated back and forth through rods attached on each side by an electro-hydraulic actuator.This paper focuses on observing the deformation of the liquefied soil surrounding the pile when a large relative displacement between the pile and the soil is induced. The loading rate effect on the lateral resistance of the pile in the liquefied sand and the influence of the relative density are also investigated.Test results show that a larger resistance is mobilized as the loading rate becomes higher. When the loading rate is higher, the cylinder displacement required for the lateral resistance becomes smaller. It has been also observed that as the relative density of the soil increases, dilatancy of the soil in front of the pile also increases.  相似文献   

Shaking table testing of geofoam seismic buffers   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Richard J. Bathurst  Saman Zarnani  Andrew Gaskin 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2007,27(4):324-332

The paper describes the experimental design and results of tests used to investigate the use of compressible EPS (geofoam) seismic buffers to attenuate dynamic loads against rigid retaining wall structures. The tests were carried out using 1-m-high models mounted on a large shaking table. Three different geofoam buffer materials retaining a sand soil were tested under idealized dynamic loading conditions. The results of these tests are compared to a nominal identical structure without a seismic buffer. The test results demonstrate that the reduction in dynamic load increased with decreasing seismic buffer density. For the best case reported here, the maximum dynamic force reduction was 31% at a peak base acceleration of 0.7g.  相似文献   

0414号台风“云娜”多普勒雷达探测   总被引：4，自引：3，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

朱龙彪郑铮  何彩芬 《应用气象学报》2005,16(4):500-508

通过宁波新一代天气雷达对0414号台风“云娜”的多普勒雷达探测资料及其所提供的产品进行个例分析, 得出了一些初步的结果:该雷达对“云娜”的中心位置探测与舟山、温州雷达以及中央气象台综合定位基本一致; 通过大陈站、石浦站出现的极大风速与温州、宁波两部多普勒雷达测得的最大径向速度比较, 发现其独特的径向速度产品能较好地显示台风的极大风速情况; 探测到的反射率因子强度与雨强有较好的对应关系, 并就此讨论了Z-I关系。文章还对总降水量产品和实况雨量进行比较, 发现反演值只有实况过程雨量的50%左右。  相似文献