Seismic Risk Maps of Taiwan Areasin the Period from 2001 to 2010     

Cheng Kuei-Hsiang 《中国地震研究》2001,15(3):311-320

INTRODUCTIONSeveMmethdsdPOtential analyslsfor medium－and short－termpredlctlon dl’l;lln shocks weredevelopedbaseduponthe pnnclpledInaccufatemeasurementoffOCfOCustheoryaMthepattemdmainshocks．These analytic methods can be used to predict strong earthop拙es In shallow layers on thesubducting plate boundeq In squeezed zones．More than a half of strong earthquakes In the world。located inthe shallow depth tthe suMuctingplate boundw In s仰eezed zones．This paPerfirst Statesthe philoso…  相似文献   

Research　on　the　seismotectonics　of　the　Jan－uary　17，1995　Hanshin　M7．2　earthquake   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

韩竹君  任伏虎  小川雄二郎  谷口仁士 《地震学报(英文版)》1996,(4)

ＲｅｓｅａｒｃｈｏｎｔｈｅｓｅｉｓｍｏｔｅｃｔｏｎｉｃｓｏｆｔｈｅＪａｎ┐ｕａｒｙ１７，１９９５ＨａｎｓｈｉｎＭ７．２ｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅＺＨＵ－ＪＵＮＨＡＮ１）（韩竹君），ＦＵ－ＨＵＲＥＮ２）（任伏虎），ＹｕｊｉｒｏＯｇａｗａ２）（小川雄二郎）ａ...  相似文献   

A NUMERICAL STUDY FOR MECHANISM OF THE EFFECT OF NORTHERN SUMMER ARCTIC ICE COVER ON THE GLOBAL SHORTRANGE CLIMATE CHANGE          下载免费PDF全文

Ni Yunqi  Zhang Qin  Li Yuedong 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1992,6(1):15-24

In terms of nine-layer global spectral model involving fuller parameterization of physical process,with arhomboidal truncation at wavenumber 15,experiments are conducted by virtue of two numerical schemes,one withlong-range mean coverage of Arctic ice,and the other with supercooled water at the same temperature as the ice,fol-lowed by an analysis of the difference field simulated by the two schemes.Results show that(1)the impact of Arctic iceon the northern short-range climate is realized through the change in polar ice coverage to cause local temperaturechange in the polar region to set up gradient difference in temperature from north to south,thus affecting the atmospher-ic circulations and,on the other hand,two trains of two-dimensional Rossby waves excited by the atmospheric heatsource anomaly have impacts on the Northern Hemisphere(NH)extratropical region,one of which is similar to the JPteleconnection pattern first presented by Nitta(1987);(2)The significant impact of Arctic ice anomaly on the southernshort-range climate change is accomplished with the aid of the anomaly of the equatorial heat source that excites a two-dimensional Rossby wavetrain propagating along a great circle route into the Southern Hemisphere(SH)extratropics,and the cross-equatorial propagation of the NH wavetrain also has effects on the SH atmosphere.Simulation indicatesthat with the 15-day integration the Arctic ice exerts an influence mainly on the NH and when the model atmosphere isgetting stabilized,the effect is dominantly on the SH short-range climate change.  相似文献   

山西井水位短临异常分析     

吴定定  王爱英 《山西地震》1993,(4)

通过对山西地下水动态井冈,在山西地震带几次中强地震前,表现出异常变化情况的分析,获得一批有价值的短临异常资料,这些异常资料对利用地下水预报地震具有参考意义;另一方面说明在有发震背景地区实现短临跟踪是完全有可能的.  相似文献   

基于太阳能无人艇的海洋气象观测系统及其初步试验     

陈洪滨  李军  马舒庆  魏应植  赵宇 《气象科技》2021,49(4):509-516

中国沿海地区以及濒临海域经常发生多种灾害性天气,包括大风、暴雨、大雾和海上强对流天气等,原位探测资料的缺乏极大影响了这些天气生消演变规律的深入研究以及预报准确性的提高。为了实现海上自动部署、机动安全和实时的多要素原位探测,研发了一种基于太阳能无人艇的海洋气象水文探测系统,工程样机命名为MWO-I(Marine Weather Observer-I),2015—2019年该系统进行了多次海上试验。本文对这一长航时海洋气象探测系统进行介绍,并给出2018年4月一次海上探测试验个例的初步结果。  相似文献   

谢通门地震窗活动频次与强震对应关系     

土登次仁  格桑尼玛  格桑卓玛  益西拉姆  次仁多吉 《地震地磁观测与研究》2020,41(2):31-36

采用西藏测震台网记录的2008年1月—2018年12月谢通门区域定位地震,系统分析该区M_L1.5以上地震频度变化及与附近强震的对应关系,发现地震台站建设密度对谢通门地震窗监控能力影响较大,故从2008—2011年和2012年7月—2018年12月2个时段予以分析。分析发现,2012年7月开始,谢通门地震窗小震活动水平在每月20次范围内随机波动,当超过20次以上(含20次)即异常高值出现或结束后1.5年内,在半径100 km以内具有发生M_S 5.0以上地震的可能,在半径1 000 km以内具有发生M_S 6.5以上强震的可能。  相似文献   

基于雷达资料的定量降水预报外推算法试验     

苏华英  曾莉萍  罗乃兴  王国松 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2020,14(5):27-35

摘要：目前贵州在短时临近降水预报客观算法方面研究匮乏，而短时强降水常常给贵州造成严重的洪涝灾害和地质灾害。将短时临近降水预报应用于气象防灾减灾、电网输电线路安全预警、水利防洪自动化方面是未来重要的研究应用方向。本文基于灾害天气短时临近系统（Severe Weather Automatic Nowcast System，SWAN）的定量降水预报(QPF)产品进行0～2小时QPF外推试验研究。利用贵州省地面自动站数据、SWAN 输出的1h-QPF产品、SWAN 1h定量降水估测(QPE)产品。选取2018年3次典型暴雨个例进行试验，采用融合订正技术，利用相似离度算法对降水强度位相进行调整、Weibull分布算法对降水极值分布进行订正、改进后的交叉相关法(Improved Cross-correlation Extrapolation Method，COTREC)进行降水外推预报。通过主客观检验对比，初步说明基于Weibull分布算法的降水极值订正对降水极值分布有很好的模拟效果。融合订正外推的贵州省短时临近定量降水预报产品（Nowcasting precipitation forecast of GuiZhou，下文简写为GZ_NPF）在大于5mm以上量级降水的TS检验中评分更高。GZ_NPF的空报率明显降低，但空报率降低的代价是漏报率相对提高。GZ_NPF总的相对误差减小，格点总降水量与实况总降水量更为接近。试验说明新的融合订正外推算法提高了0～2h短时临近降水的预报能力。  相似文献   

河外射电源的结合阵数据的图像处理     

张福俊 Akuj.  CE 《天文学报》1995,36(3):245-251

不同类型的射电望远镜阵的分辨率差异甚大，用它们的数据进行图像处理后所得到的源结构的尺度也不一样。为了得到中间尺度的结构信息，有时我们需要把不同类型的射电望远镜阵的观测数据结合起来再进行图像处理。本文阐述我们把不同类型阵的数据结合时所用的方法；也给出我们使用的方法所获得的结果的实际例子。  相似文献   

New M-Type Variables in Galactic Dark Clouds     

N. D. Melikian  C. Magnan  J. M. Sarkissian  A. A. Karapetian 《Astrophysics》2003,46(1):10-17

The results of the spectral classification of newly discovered M-type variables obtained as part of an H-alpha survey of Galactic dark cloud regions are presented. The survey was carried out with the 40 Schmidt camera of Byurakan Observatory, and the spectra of the variable stars for the classification were obtained with the Observatory's 2.6-m telescope. The observational material allowed register of late M-type variables as well as their brightness variations. Among the 97 newly discovered M-type stars, 22 show brightness variations. The results of the spectral classification of these new variables show that 21 out of 22 are red giants, and in all probability they are Mira Ceti type long period variables.  相似文献   

Influence of long‐period filter cut‐off on elastic spectral displacements     

Sinan Akkar  Julian J. Bommer 《地震工程与结构动力学》2006,35(9):1145-1165

The effect of the long‐period filter cut‐off, T_c, on elastic spectral displacements is investigated using a strong ground‐motion database from Europe and the Middle East. The relation between the filter and oscillator responses is considered to observe the influence of T_c for both analogue and digital records, and the variations with site classification, magnitude, filter order and viscous damping. Robust statistics are derived using the re‐processed European data to generalize the effects of the long‐period filter cut‐off on maximum oscillator deformation demands as a function of these seismological and structural features. Statistics with a 95% confidence interval are derived to suggest usable period ranges for spectral displacement computations as a function of T_c. The results indicate that the maximum period at which spectral displacements can be confidently calculated depend strongly on the site class, magnitude and filter order. The period range where reliable long‐period information can be extracted from digital accelerograms is twice that of analogue records. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献