小冰期时中国南方地区降水模式的差异研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

肖思雅  李廷勇  陈朝军  黄冉  王涛  吴尧  徐玉珍  邱海英  黄洋阳  李俊云 《地质论评》2021,67(1):56-67

小冰期是过去一千年中全球气候变化的重要事件之一。关于小冰期时中国季风区和西风影响区气候变化的对比研究众多,但是缺乏中国南方地区降水模式时空差异的研究,难以了解中国南方地区降水变化规律。为了系统地了解小冰期时中国南方地区降水的复杂性,本文将中国南方地区划分为东南—华南沿海地区、中部地区以及西南地区三个区域,总共选取了19条高分辨率的古气候记录进行对比研究,主要有以下几点认识:(1)相对于中世纪暖期而言,小冰期期间中国南方东南—华南沿海地区的气候偏湿,这可能与雨带在中国南方的滞留时间延长和沿海地区受台风的影响增强有关。(2)中国中部地区秦岭南麓和神农架高山林区在小冰期时期主要呈"冷湿"的模式,差异在于秦岭南麓区域主要在小冰期中后期偏湿,这与中部其他区域偏"冷干"的模式不同。这种区域差异可能是由于地形地势和大气环流的复杂性导致。(3)中国西南地区受印度夏季风和东亚夏季风的共同影响,且该区域地形复杂,其气候变化在小冰期时期存在更加明显的空间差异,没有呈现出比较一致的降水模式。与小冰期期间的降水变化不同的是,近30年东南—华南沿海地区除了台湾和雷州半岛,其他区域降水明显减少,可能受气温和人类活动等因素的影响。通过结合高分辨率的古气候记录,我们系统分析了中国南方小冰期的干湿模式在时空上的差异及其可能的影响因子,这对于认识小冰期时中国南方不同区域降水的复杂性及未来旱涝灾害的防控具有一定意义。  相似文献   

基于自组织映射的长江中下游夏季天气分型及其降水特征     

吴胜男  江志红 《气象科学》2019,39(5):588-598

利用欧洲中心1979—2015年夏季6—8月ERA-Interim逐日再分析资料和国家气候中心CN05.1格点化降水观测数据集,引入基于自组织映射SOM(Self-Organizing Maps)方法进行长江中下游地区夏季海平面气压空间距平场的客观分型,得到该地区25种地面天气型及其系统演变特征,发现天气型的稳定、转移与天气系统强弱有关。高低压系统越强,天气型停滞频率越高,天气型越稳定;反之,天气型越不稳定。基于SOM天气型转移概率,发现三条与局地降水联系的系统演变路径,其中1号路径暖空气势力强盛,副高北上,推动锋面北抬,产生江北降水型,多发生在7月;路径2反映冷空气势力强盛推动锋面南下的天气过程,产生沿江降水型,该天气型在6、7月均易发生;路径3表现为台风移动变化对长江下游江南地区降水的影响,为江南降水型,且集中在8月。通过引入SOM方法对逐日天气尺度环流进行分型,从气候态上捕捉与降水有关的天气系统的移动变化特征,体现SOM方法在模拟天气系统演变的优势。  相似文献   

江苏省夏季浓雾的时空分布特征及气象影响因子分析     

宗晨  钱玮  包云轩  袁成松  周林义  崔驰潇  王宏斌 《气象》2019,45(7):968-977

利用江苏省70个国家基本站逐10 min连续观测资料,对江苏省夏季浓雾的时空分布特征及影响因子进行分析研究。结果表明:(1)夏季浓雾易在气温小于29℃、风速低于3 m·s~(-1),且盛行偏东风的条件下形成;低温高湿的梅雨期是夏季浓雾在6月高发(42.4%)的可能原因。(2)夏季浓雾生消时间与秋、冬季显著不同,主要发生于00—06时,消散集中于05—08时,持续时间主要在6 h以内。(3)夏季浓雾以辐射雾为主,辐射雾、平流雾和锋面雾分别占58. 1%、35. 5%和6.4%。(4)夏季浓雾发生频次呈现从东北部沿海地区向西南部内陆地区递减的趋势,淮北地区夜间降温幅度高于苏南地区是出现这一现象的主要原因。(5)成雾前6～24 h出现的弱降水为近地层提供水汽,此后天气转晴,静稳的大气层结下有利于夏季浓雾的出现。  相似文献   

The Quaternary Lancaster Sound trough‐mouth fan,NW Baffin Bay     

Gang Li  David J.W. Piper  D. Calvin Campbell 《第四纪科学杂志》2011,26(5):511-522

The development of the Lancaster Sound Trough Mouth Fan (TMF) and glacial history in Arctic Canada were studied using a high‐resolution seismic profile across the entire fan and two piston cores. Stacked tills separated by erosion surfaces on the shelf pass seaward through till deltas into thick transparent glacigenic debris flow (GDF) deposits on the slope, separated by thin, well‐stratified glaciomarine layers. An age model was built by ties to the Ocean Drilling Program Site 645. The deepest GDF on the seismic profile was indicative of the onset of shelf‐crossing glaciation in the Early Pleistocene. The transition of the growth of Lancaster Sound TMF from an aggradational sequence (unit M) to an aggradational–progradational sequence (unit F) occurred at the Middle Pleistocene transition in glacial cyclicity. In the most recent glacial cycle, GDF sheets were deposited during Heinrich events 4 and 2 according to the correlation of the main detrital carbonate beds in two piston cores. The outmost till wedge reflects the maximum advance of the grounding glacier, far seaward of previously proposed Last Glacial Maximum ice extent. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Inferring soil water movement and streamflow response in Canadian Prairie riparian areas using hydrologic state variables          下载免费PDF全文

Cody A. Ross  Genevieve Ali  David Lobb 《水文研究》2017,31(22):3765-3782

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A field test of a linear stability model for crescentic bars     

M.C.H. Tiessen  S.M. van Leeuwen  D. Calvete  N. Dodd 《Coastal Engineering》2010

A morphodynamical linear stability analysis is used to predict the natural development of crescentic bed patterns and rip channels. The purpose is to investigate whether this technique, which is useful for understanding the physics of emerging bed-forms, can be used to make quantitative predictions in the field, which may then be of use for coastal engineers.  相似文献   

An empirical approach to estimating population parameters from censored fracture-length distributions   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Pascal de Caprariis 《Mathematical Geology》1988,20(7):803-814

Most fracture data sets are length-censored because of incomplete exposure at the surface, so estimating values of parameters of the sampled populations is difficult. Unless the form of the distribution function of the population is known, or one which is analytically tractable is assumed, length-censoring presents formidable problems in determining population parameters. Tests conducted on experimental fracture patterns developed in clay samples subjected to simple shear loading are the basis of a distribution-free way to estimate population parameters. Comparison of random samples of censored and uncensored fracture lengths shows that a useful, homogeneous data set consists of those cracks which lie entirely within the sampling area (two-ended cracks). The properties of this data set can be used to estimate the mean and variance of uncensored data. Estimates of the maximum fracture length of uncensored data, using the variance and maximum length of these two-ended cracks, show good agreement with measured values. Knowledge of the mean, variance, and maximum value of fracture-length populations are of interest in engineering and hydraulic studies, as well as in remote sensing studies of the Earth and other planets. Application of these results to data on rock masses are subject to the caveat that different crack-growth mechanisms in clay and rock may affect the accuracy of the calculations.  相似文献   

Late quaternary monsoon patterns on the Loess Plateau of China     

Li Jijun And  Feng Zhaodon  Tang Lingyu 《地球表面变化过程与地形》1988,13(2):125-135

China's Loess Plateau was formed under special conditions. The tectonic movement, topographical characteristics, and monsoon patterns combined to create a favourable environment for the accumulation of thick loessic deposits. The Loess Plateau itself is part of the ‘Monsoon Triangle’ of China, a region very susceptible to climatic changes. Throughout the Upper Pleistocene the palaeoenvironment on the Loess Plateau alternated from steppe, to deciduous forest and coniferous forest, in response to shifts in the atmospheric circulation. Three monsoon patterns appear to be indicated: (1) a full glacial monsoon pattern (18000–15000 yr BP) which induced a cold and dry climate favouring loess accumulation in steppe conditions; (2) an interglacial monsoon pattern (last interglacial and Holocene) in which a warm humid climate prevailed with deciduous forests, leaving palaeosols interbedded within the loess sequence; and (3) a transitional or interstadial monsoon pattern (50 000–23 000 yr BP) in which the climate was cold and humid in the Loess Plateau, encouraging the development of coniferous forest.  相似文献   

Statistical methods for investigating quiescence and other temporal seismicity patterns     

Mark V. Matthews  Paul A. Reasenberg 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1988,126(2-4):357-372

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A four-parameter,two degree-of-freedom block-spring model: Effect of the driver velocity     

Jose L. Brun  Javier B. Gomez 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1994,143(4):633-653

We analyze the effect of tectonic plate velocities in the earthquake pattern using a simple mass-spring model of the Burridge and Knopoff type with two blocks and a velocity-weakening friction law. Previous versions of the two-block model assume a steady driver during slip events (limit of zero driver velocity), which, in some cases makes necessary the introduction of artificial parameters to start the numerical integration of the equations of motion at impending slip of any block. Still maintaining the condition of zero driver velocity during slip, we shall introduce a procedure to start the numerical integration without introducing artificial parameters and this will be done by using a linearized version of the equations of motion valid for small velocities and considering nonzero driver velocity. We also introduce a four parameter model in which the driver velocity enters the equations during the whole simulation, and analyze the effect of the new parameter, the driver velocity, in the displacement and time patterns of blocks motion, directly related to earthquake statistics such as coseismic slips and average repeat times.  相似文献