独立观测量抗差估计效果分析     

余学祥  吕伟才 《测绘与空间地理信息》1998,(1)

本文从多余观测分量出发,通过对观测值附加粗差的方法,对抗差估计IGGI方案的抗差效果进行了分析,得出一些结论,并提出了在实际工作中有益的建议。  相似文献   

当前国外人工增雨防雹作业的效果评估   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

章澄昌 《气象》1998,24(10):3-8

统计学推荐随机化播云试验作为人工增雨防雹作业的最佳效果检验方法,但在业务性作业中却难于实施。作者综述国外人工影响天气主要外场试验计划实施中的缺陷和经验教训,以及近年来对两个最受推崇的随机化试验的争论,并通过实例说明人工影响天气的效果评估可基于无分布推断法,以简化试验设计并提高检出功效。  相似文献   

一次西风槽系统的云微物理结构分析     

刘海月  李云川 《气象》1996,22(5):48-51

对１９９１年４月１６日影响河北地区中南部的一次西槽天气过程形成的降水性层状云微物理结构进行了分析。结果表明，降水主要发生在层状云的中上层，存在可供催化的过冷层和过冷水，但云体下层的供水云较薄，云底偏高，不利于降水的发展；实施人工增雨作业后，云层微结构出现相应变化（云滴和雨滴含水量增加，滴谱拓宽等）作业区与影响区雨量普遍增加，并与催化时间相吻合，这些可能与人工影响有关。  相似文献   

一种新型软钢阻尼器力学性能和减震效果的研究   总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11  

邢书涛  郭迅 《地震工程与工程振动》2003,23(6):179-186

本文研究了一种新型软钢阻尼器。首先分析了这种阻尼器的力学性能和减震机理，依据试验结果给出了它的恢复力模型，并推导得出了特征参数的表达式和疲劳验算式；研究了阻尼器参数对减震效果的影响，给出了最佳的参数取值范围；算例分析表明该种阻尼器具有很好的减震效果。  相似文献   

Geomorphic effectiveness of extraordinary floods on three large rivers of the Indian Peninsula     

Vishwas S. Kale   《Geomorphology》2007,85(3-4):306

The efficacy of extreme events is directly linked to the flood power and the total energy expended. The geomorphic effectiveness of floods is evaluated in terms of the distribution of stream power per unit boundary area (ω) over time, for three very large floods of the 20th Century in the Indian Peninsula. These floods stand out as outliers when compared with the peak floods per unit drainage area recorded elsewhere in the world. We used flood hydrographs and at-a-station hydraulic geometry equations, computed for the same gauging site or a nearby site, to construct approximately stream-power curves and to estimate the total energy expended by each flood. Critical unit stream power values necessary to entrain cobbles and boulders were estimated on the basis of empirical relationships for coarse sediment transport developed by Williams [Williams, G.P., 1983. Paleohydrological methods and some examples from Swedish fluvial environments. I. Cobble and boulder deposits. Geografiska Annaler 65A, 227–243.] in order to determine the geomorphological effectiveness of the floods. The estimates indicate that the minimum power per unit area values for all three floods were sufficiently high, and stream energy was above the threshold of boulder movement (90 W m^− 2) for several tens of hours. The peak unit stream power values and the total energy expended during each flood were in the range of 290–325 W m^− 2 and 65–160 × 10⁶ J respectively. The average and peak flood powers were found to be higher or comparable to those estimated for extreme palaeo or modern floods on low-gradient, alluvial rivers.  相似文献   

Velocity adjustable TMD and numerical simulation of seismic performance   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

秦丽  周锡元  闫维明 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2007,6(2):147-158

A new type of velocity adjustable tuned mass damper (TMD) consisting of impulse generators and clutches is presented. The force impulse is generated by a joining operation of electromagnets and springs and MR dampers are used as clutches. Rules for velocity adjustment are established according to the working mechanism of TMD. The analysis program is developed on a VB platform. Seismic response of SDOF structures with both passive TMD and velocity adjustable TMD are analyzed. The results show that (1) the control effectiveness of passive TMDs is usually unstable; (2) the control effectiveness of the proposed semi-active TMDs is much better than passive TMDs under typical seismic ground motions; and (3) unlike the passive TMD system, the proposed velocity adjustable TMDs exhibit good control effectiveness even when the primary structure performance becomes inelastic during severe earthquakes.  相似文献   

能源补贴政策及其改革——为减排提供经济激励     

庄贵阳 《气候变化研究进展》2007,3(Z1):92-96

The subsidy, as a measure, is widely applied by governments at all levels around the world as a way of policy interventions. However, there are two completely opposite opinions of subsidies on energy and environmental protection. The only reason for subsidy in existence is the internalization of external benefit. The paper firstly examines the energy subsidy policies relevant to climate change mitigation in China and their effectiveness, then points out the deficiency existing in energy conservation policies and renewable energy development policies, and finally suggests that China should exert positive role of subsidy policies and reduce negative effects in promoting climate change mitigation.  相似文献   

干旱荒漠绿洲紫花苜蓿的节水灌溉及水效益分析——以民勤县为例   总被引：12，自引：2，他引：10  

王祺  王继和  徐延双  崔宏明 《中国沙漠》2004,24(3):343-348

通过对民勤绿洲区8个紫花苜蓿品种的节水灌溉技术研究, 分析得出紫花苜蓿在刈割前10d灌溉的平均耗水系数比刈割后灌溉的平均耗水系数降低18.6%, 平均水效益提高23.3%; 采用沟畦小块(面积0.03hm²)刈割前10d灌溉的紫花苜蓿平均耗水系数为0.228kg·g^-1, 平均水效益为4.39kg·m^-3, 平均水经济效益为8.78元·m^-3; 是沟畦小块(0.03hm²)灌溉小麦耗水系数的47.2%, 水生产效益的212%, 水经济效益的309%。不同紫花苜蓿品种间水效益的研究表明, 加拿大Ranger Lander、Kane和新疆大叶苜蓿的水效益明显高于对照品种的水效益。同时, 通过对干旱荒漠区水资源紧缺、水资源有效利用率低以及种植业结构不合理的现状分析, 提出了改革种植业内部粮经饲以往的面积比例65:32:3为可行比例1:1:1, 以大力发展优良品种紫花苜蓿草产业为突破口, 走紫花苜蓿产业化道路最终实现高效节水持续农业的对策。  相似文献   

The effect of increasing gravel cover on forest roads for reduced sediment delivery to stream crossings          下载免费PDF全文

Kristopher R. Brown  Kevin J. McGuire  W. Michael Aust  W. Cully Hession  C. Andrew Dolloff 《水文研究》2015,29(6):1129-1140

Direct sediment inputs from forest roads at stream crossings are a major concern for water quality and aquatic habitat. Legacy road–stream crossing approaches, or the section of road leading to the stream, may have poor water and grade control upon reopening, thus increasing the potential for negative impacts to water quality. Rainfall simulation experiments were conducted on the entire running surface area associated with six reopened stream crossing approaches in the south‐western Virginia Piedmont physiographic region, USA. Event‐based surface run‐off and associated total suspended solid (TSS) concentrations were compared among a succession of gravel surfacing treatments that represented increasing intensities of best management practice (BMP) implementation. The three treatments were no gravel (10–19% cover), low gravel (34–60% cover), and high gravel (50–99% cover). Increased field hydraulic conductivity was associated with maximized surface cover and ranged from 7.2 to 41.6, 11.9 to 46.3, and 16.0 to 58.6 mm h⁻¹ respectively for the no gravel, low gravel, and high gravel treatments. Median TSS concentration of surface run‐off for the no gravel treatment (2.84 g l⁻¹) was greater than low gravel (1.10 g l⁻¹) and high gravel (0.82 g l⁻¹) by factors of 2.6 and 3.5 respectively. Stream crossing approaches with 90–99% surface cover had TSS concentrations below 1 g l⁻¹. Reducing the length of road segments that drain directly to the stream can reduce the costs associated with gravel surfacing. This research demonstrates that judicious and low‐cost BMPs can ameliorate poor water control and soil erosion associated with reopening legacy roads. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

对流云人工增雨效果检验技术方法及应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王婉  石玉恒  李宏宇  郭晓军 《气象科技》2014,42(6):1131-1136

对流云降水时空变差较大,利用WoodleyRosenfeld提出的建立在雷达资料基础上的移动目标单元法对对流云增雨作业进行效果评估。利用塘沽、北京及秦皇岛3部雷达资料,对其进行插值处理,确定移动目标单元识别和跟踪方法,然后在移动目标单元中确定催化单元和对比单元,记录每个单元的物理参量,利用Z-R关系反演降水量,对物理参量和反演降水量做统计分析,定量计算增雨效果的同时提供人工增雨的物理证据。应用该方法对2011年7月24日对流云人工增雨作业效果进行评估,结果表明:催化剂进入云中后使得最大回波强度增强,回波顶高增加,从物理角度证明了催化对增加降水起到了一定作用。利用降雨率对增雨作业进行定量效果分析,结果表明该次作业相对增雨7.69%,显著度检验值0.043,增雨效果较为显著。  相似文献