地下水机器学习方法研究          下载免费PDF全文

齐永强  李文鹏  郑跃军  李慧  王成见 《水文地质工程地质》2022,49(1):1-11

随着我国地下水监测工作的高速发展,高频率高密度水位监测数据的出现催生了对其进行深入信息挖掘的需求。在传统地下水模型研究中,地下水水位监测值常位于模型构建过程的下游,当水位监测的时空密度逐渐增大时,新增信息无法有效传导至模型的规划阶段并指导概念模型的修订。文章提出了一种地下水系统补排边界的识别方法,在不建立地下水数值模型的前提下,以监测井空间位置为节点,按照德劳内原则建立三角网格。在此网格系统中,首先定义一个水力梯度变换函数gradF,以求取网格中任意位置的水力梯度;借鉴机器学习领域的优化算法,使用水力梯度场驱动含水层中随机分布质点的运行轨迹,并以此推断和识别区域内地下水补给和排泄边界。在环境地学计算平台EnviFusion-CGS中实现,并构建了详细工作流程。以山东省青岛市大沽河中下游含水层为示范区,对含水系统的补给区和排泄区的空间分布及其动态变化进行了分析,取得了良好效果。本研究为构建和修订已有含水层概念模型提供了新思路。  相似文献   

引发2011年8月宁夏持续高温天气的青藏高压结构分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陈豫英  陈楠  穆建华  朱海斌  何佳 《气象》2013,39(8):988-994

利用常规气象观测资料、中尺度区域自动站逐时地面资料及NCEP/NCAR 1°×1°再分析资料等,对引发2011年8月6-10日宁夏中北部连续5天出现≥35℃的高温天气的青藏高压水平和垂直结构进行了天气学分析.结果表明:青藏高压是一个深厚的暖性负涡度系统,它与西风带长波脊的同位相叠加使得高原上空的长波脊和暖高压稳定加强,受其影响,青藏高压外围586 dagpm线东移越过高原后稳定维持在85°～105°E附近,高压脊线北界伸展到40°～42°N,西北地区大范围长时间处在584 dagpm以上的青藏高压和1000 hPa以下的地面热低压控制区域内;高压上空在中纬度极锋急流的作用下,高原东部存在“高空辐合、低空辐散”的环流配置导致高原东部维持较强的下沉运动,处在下沉区的宁夏上空晴朗少云,湿度小,风力相对较大,地面增温和蒸发强烈,地面感热远远大于潜热,有利于出现以“干热”为主的持续高温天气.在此基础上,文章提出了宁夏夏季高温的概念模型.  相似文献   

THE ARTIST AS GEOGRAPHER: RICHARD LONG'S EARTH ART     

William D. Romey 《The Professional geographer》1987,39(4):450-456

The sculptor Richard Long practices a variety of art based largely on taking walks around the countryside. He documents his expeditions by making his route on a map, taking a representative photograph, or making a word “poster.”Assemblages of rocks or other materials are exhibited in galleries. His work shows a subtle understanding of esthetic aspects of the landscape in developing an artistic sense of “place”from which geographers may learn much about perception.  相似文献   

Comparison of infiltration models     

Surendra Kumar Mishra  J. V. Tyagi  Vijay P. Singh 《水文研究》2003,17(13):2629-2652

Fourteen popular, representative infiltration models, some physically based, some semi‐empirical and some empirical, were selected for a comparative evaluation. Using the Nash and Sutcliffe efficiency criterion, the models were evaluated and compared for 243 sets of infiltration data collected from field and laboratory tests conducted in India and the USA on soils ranging from coarse sand to fine clay. Based on a relative grading scale, the semi‐empirical Singh–Yu general model, Holtan model and Horton model were graded respectively as 6·52, 5·57 and 5·48 out of 10. The empirical Huggins and Monke model, modified Kostiakov and Kostiakov model were graded as 5·57, 5·30 and 5·22, respectively. The physically based non‐linear and linear models of Smith–Parlange were graded as 5·48 and 5·22, respectively. Other models were ranked lower than these models. All the models generally performed poorly in field tests on Georgia's sandy soils, except the Robertsdale loamy sand. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

内蒙古极端低温事件发生的环流特征及预测概念模型     

司瑶冰  李海英  杨晶  杨丽桃  刘秀荣 《内蒙古气象》2012,(6):3-9

利用50a（1961-2010年）的日最低气温计算阈值,超过此阈值为极端低温事件。将内蒙古东、中、西部的极端最低气温事件进行四季划分统计．讨论分析这些地区的极端低温事件与大气环流、海洋因子的关系。分析研究表明：内蒙古极端低温事件主要发生在冬季（12月至次年2月）,集中在20世纪60年代初至80年代中期,80年代中期至90年代末基本上没有发生,90年代末以后又陆续发生,但强度、范围明显减小。极端低温事件与北半球极涡、北极涛动、北太平洋涛动、南方涛动、海气相互作用、副热带高压、两风带环流存在着大体一致的年代际震荡趋势,同时与冷空气南下的路径有关,而且相关关系显著。通过相关检验,建立内蒙古极端低温事件的预测概念模型．以此应J}=fj于实际的业务当中．减少极端事件发生引发的各方面损失。  相似文献   

湖南6月区域持续性暴雨的强信号及预报概念模型     

张超  罗伯良  彭莉莉  谢傲  李易芝 《湖北气象》2021,40(1)

基于湖南汛期区域持续性暴雨典型环流分型,利用1961—2016年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和异常度方法对湖南6月区域持续性暴雨环流型进行客观识别,并结合动力和水汽输送条件,确定湖南6月区域持续性暴雨强信号并客观量化表征,建立湖南6月区域持续性暴雨预报定量化概念模型。结果表明:43次历史区域持续性暴雨过程的回报准确率达到81%,2017—2018年3次区域持续暴雨过程试报准确率为2/3,说明该概念模型有一定预报能力,能为湖南暴雨预报业务服务提供技术支持。将该概念模型与各类模式预报产品相结合,还可开展区域持续性暴雨的中期和延伸期预报。  相似文献   

Catchment properties,function, and conceptual model representation: is there a correspondence?          下载免费PDF全文

Fabrizio Fenicia  Dmitri Kavetski  Hubert H. G. Savenije  Martyn P. Clark  Gerrit Schoups  Laurent Pfister  Jim Freer 《水文研究》2014,28(4):2451-2467

This study investigates the possible correspondence between catchment structure, as represented by perceptual hydrological models developed from fieldwork investigations, and mathematical model structures, selected on the basis of reproducing observed catchment hydrographs. Three Luxembourgish headwater catchments are considered, where previous fieldwork suggested distinct flow‐generating mechanisms and hydrological dynamics. A set of lumped conceptual model structures are hypothesized and implemented using the SUPERFLEX framework. Following parameter calibration, the model performance is examined in terms of predictive accuracy, quantification of uncertainty, and the ability to reproduce the flow–duration curve signature. Our key research question is whether differences in the performance of the conceptual model structures can be interpreted based on the dominant catchment processes suggested from fieldwork investigations. For example, we propose that the permeable bedrock and the presence of multiple aquifers in the Huewelerbach catchment may explain the superior performance of model structures with storage elements connected in parallel. Conversely, model structures with serial connections perform better in the Weierbach and Wollefsbach catchments, which are characterized by impermeable bedrock and dominated by lateral flow. The presence of threshold dynamics in the Weierbach and Wollefsbach catchments may favour nonlinear models, while the smoother dynamics of the larger Huewelerbach catchment were suitably reproduced by linear models. It is also shown how hydrologically distinct processes can be effectively described by the same mathematical model components. Major research questions are reviewed, including the correspondence between hydrological processes at different levels of scale and how best to synthesize the experimentalist's and modeller's perspectives. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

南疆短时强降水概念模型及环境参数分析   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

黄艳  俞小鼎  陈天宇  唐鹏 《气象》2018,44(8):1033-1041

利用南疆2010-2016年自动气象站及区域自动气象站逐小时降水量资料,NCEP/NCAR 1°×1°再分析资料以及探空资料,分析不同强度的短时强降水的时空分布,得出南疆短时强降水事件的天气型有明显的季节性特点和区域性特征。总结了典型短时强降水过程的环境背景场特征,建立了短时强降水的三种概念模型:中亚低槽(涡)型、西伯利亚低槽(涡)型和西风短波型。通过7个探空站的温湿廓线形态、地面露点温度、T_(850)-T_(500)、T_(700)-T_(500)、对流有效位能(CAPE)、对流抑制能量(CIN)、抬升凝结高度、0～6 km垂直风切变等分析了南疆短时强降水的环境背景:短时强降水Ⅰ型(整层湿)、短时强降水Ⅱ型(上湿下干)和短时强降水Ⅲ型(上干下湿)发生前大气水汽含量充沛、存在一定的CAPE和较明显的垂直风切变以及0℃层高度偏低、暖云层厚度偏厚等特征,而合适的CIN,有利于对流不稳定能量的积聚和爆发,促进短时强降水的发生;短时强降水Ⅳ型(干绝热型)存在大气层结较干和较大的T_(850)-T_(500)、T_(700)-T_(500);Ⅰ型和Ⅱ型是南疆短时强降水的主要类型,常出现在南疆中部、西部地区的盛夏和夏末,多为西伯利亚低值系统(低涡、低槽)型和中亚低值系统(低涡、低槽)型影响。  相似文献   

山东临清市地热地质条件分析及地热概念模型   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘春华  杨丽芝 《城市地质》2008,3(1):27-30

临清市区近年来陆续发现地下热水,本文在了解区域地质地热背景的基础上,综合临清市地热调查成果,建立了临清市地热概念模型。  相似文献   

Simulation of regional-scale groundwater flow in the Azul River basin, Buenos Aires Province, Argentina   总被引：5，自引：2，他引：3  

Marcelo R. Varni  Eduardo J. Usunoff 《Hydrogeology Journal》1999,7(2):180-187

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